617 N 3rd St · Piedmont, MO 63957

$69,900

3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,016 sqft · Other public records · 250 Days on market

Built 1920 10,542 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +29.4/30.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +8.2/10.0
• Appreciation +7.9/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +2.7/10.0
• Livability +2.6/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks

Nice, shaded yard, 16 x 22 storage shed/garage and attached carport. House with roomy living room, eat-in kitchen with built-in storage cabinet, laundry room, 3-bedrooms and 1-1/2-baths. Metal roof, city utilities, all electric. Good rental opportunity.

Key facts

• Attached carport
• Laundry room
• Shaded yard

Tags

• SHADED YARD
• STORAGE SHED
• ATTACHED CARPORT
• EAT-IN KITCHEN
• BUILT-IN STORAGE CABINET
• LAUNDRY ROOM

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $70k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $248 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($926 rent vs $70k).
• Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 4.3% in Piedmont — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 52/100 on livability (#854 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
• Clearwater R-I (rural): math 33% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #255 of 324 in MO (top 79%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Clearwater Elementary (math 42% / reading 32%, grade F, #611 of 1,115 statewide, top 59%, 414 students, 72% FRL); Clearwater Middle (math 26% / reading 27%, grade F, #313 of 391 statewide, top 81%, 263 students, 66% FRL); Clearwater High (math 34% / reading 57%, grade D-, #174 of 521 statewide, top 33%, 239 students, 55% FRL) — zoned schools at 64% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: 70 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $5k of equity ($483 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (5.9% local appreciation)).
• Wayne County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (5.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 250 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $61,512 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 250 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.32% ✓
• Cap rate: 10.55%
• Cash-on-cash: 15.22%
• DSCR: 1.68
• GRM: 6.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.89% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 27.8%
• Equity multiple: 2.82×
• Total profit: $35,566
• Equity at exit: $43,473

10-year hold

• IRR: 26.1%
• Equity multiple: 5.72×
• Total profit: $92,380
• Equity at exit: $78,435

Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Missouri: 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 63957

• Home prices YoY: 3.7%
• Active inventory: 70
• Price-to-rent: 6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $926 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$367
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$87 /mo · $1,048/yr
• Insurance: −$29
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$194
• Net cashflow: $248

Break-even live

Break-even rent $611

Max offer price $69,900

Occupancy floor 68%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $297	-5% $272	+0% $248	+5% $224	+10% $200
Rent	-10% $175	-5% $212	+0% $248	+5% $285	+10% $321
Rate	-1.0pp $283	-0.5pp $266	base $248	+0.5pp $230	+1.0pp $212

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $17,475
• Closing costs: $2,097
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 3 events

1. 2026-01-09
   status Pending
2. 2026-01-09
   status Active
3. 2025-04-25
   listed $69,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $11,108
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,915
• − Property taxes: −$1,048
• − Insurance: −$350
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$889
• − Management: −$889
• − Depreciation: −$2,033
• Taxable income: $1,984
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$476
• After-tax cash flow: $2,503/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Clearwater R-I
• NCES district ID: 2909750
• Math proficiency: 33% ▲ 1.00%
• Reading proficiency: 33% ▼ -6.00%
• Median HH income: $31,119
• Composite: 26.89/100
• National rank: #7095
• State rank: #255 of 324 in MO

Livability — Piedmont

• Score: 52/100
• State rank: #854
• US rank: #24925

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Piedmont, MO
• Population (ZIP): 5,068

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 13,005 people
• By 2030: 12,767 · -1.8%
• By 2040: 12,319 · -5.3%
• By 2050: 11,828 · -9.1%
• By 2075: 10,806 · -16.9%
• By 2100: 9,610 · -26.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (96%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 96% Two or more races 3%
• Common ancestry: Italian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+72.6) · D 13.4% · R 86.0%
• 2008→2024 swing: -47.6pp toward R · 2008: -25.0pp · 2024: -72.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+72.6 2020: R+70.5 2016: R+64.4 2012: R+34.6 2008: R+25.0

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 5.89%
• Current HPI: 165.6832
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.84%
• F500 in state: 20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	1	$163B
▸Insurance	1	$21B
▸Industrial Technology	1	$17B
▸Retail	1	$16B
▸Industrial Distribution	1	$10B
▸Utilities	1	$9B

Price history

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-01-09 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-01-09 Relisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-04-25 Listed $69,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+1.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $84 · +8.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.