321 Tyler Ln · Smyrna, DE
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $476 – $884
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 71.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +9.1/15.0
- DSCR +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.8/10.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$300,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to Cottage Dale Acres! Charming ranch home situated in a lovely established neighborhood featuring: 3BR/2BA, living room w/ fireplace, kitchen with fireplace & adjoining sitting area (sm. family room), sunroom & attached garage. Hardwood floors throughout most of the home. Ready for your personal touch & updates - great potential with the opportunity to make it your own.
Key facts
- Sunroom
- Kitchen fireplace
- Hardwood floors
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached front-entry garage with inside access and garage door opener; Driveway parking and on-street parking available
- Utilities: Public water; Public septic; Natural gas hot water and heating
- Home design: Detached single-family home; Finished above-grade area (1,524); Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Brick construction; Crawl space foundation; Other structures noted above and below grade; Built (year source: Assessor)
- Exterior features: Wood fencing; Lot dimensions approximately 100.00 x 109.64
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard hot water heating; Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Fireplace (1)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $300k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $96 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $234k (22.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $234k (22.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.6% in Smyrna — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#29 in DE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Smyrna School District (rural): math 22% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #16 of 26 in DE (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 220 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,201 units permitted in Kent County in 2024 (116 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kent County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $80k; list at $300k implies a 273% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 71% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.78% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.36%
- DSCR
- 1.06
- GRM
- 10.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $310,896
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 321 Tyler Ln | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,524 (0%) | 0mo | $275,000 | $180 | 100 |
| 419 Mulberry St | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,536 (+1%) | 3mo | $385,000 | $251 | 82 |
| 521 Cindy Ln | 0.17mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,566 (+3%) | 7mo | $420,000 | $268 | 77 |
| 13 N Howard St | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 | 1,470 (-4%) | 8mo | $115,000 | $78 | 61 |
| 525 W Commerce St | 0.42mi | 3/1.5 | 1,369 (-10%) | 1mo | $283,000 | $207 | 60 |
| 133 W Frazier St | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 | 1,316 (-14%) | 7mo | $320,000 | $243 | 57 |
| 608 Lexington Ave | 0.43mi | 3/2.5 | 1,680 (+10%) | 10mo | $300,000 | $179 | 53 |
| 166 Collins Ave | 0.52mi | 3/1.5 | 1,320 (-13%) | 2mo | $320,000 | $242 | 50 |
| 14 E Commerce St | 0.54mi | 3/1.5 | 1,728 (+13%) | 7mo | $244,900 | $142 | 45 |
| 218 N Union St | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 1,300 (-15%) | 4mo | $265,000 | $204 | 40 |
| 110 N Dupont Blvd | 0.74mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,711 (+12%) | 4mo | $275,000 | $161 | 37 |
| 803 Culbreath St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,316 (-14%) | 9mo | $205,000 | $156 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.49×
- Total profit
- $-42,694
- Equity at exit
- $44,731
- IRR
- -5.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.64×
- Total profit
- $-30,008
- Equity at exit
- $25,939
Cash invested: $84,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 70 Landlord-Friendly
- State Delaware
- 70 Landlord-Friendly · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 19977
- Home prices YoY
- -29.1%
- Active inventory
- 220
- Price-to-rent
- 10.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,336 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,573
- Tax from tax record
- −$52 /mo · $623/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$491
- Net cashflow
- $96
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $265 | -5% $180 | +0% $96 | +5% $-331 | +10% $-435 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-89 | -5% $3 | +0% $96 | +5% $188 | +10% $280 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $247 | -0.5pp $172 | base $96 | +0.5pp $18 | +1.0pp $-61 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $75,000
- Closing costs
- $9,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 Harkins Dr Smyrna, DE | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $2,200 | $1.69 | 45d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 150 Greens Branch Ln Smyrna, DE | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2105 | $2,500 | $1.19 | 45d | 1 | 0.99mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-15status Pending
-
2026-05-13historical
-
2026-05-08$300,000 Active
-
1984-02-01soldstatus $80,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast DE · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $623 · $52/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,181 · $98/mo
- Expected delta
- +$559/yr (+$47/mo · 89.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 71% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,035
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,805
- − Property taxes
- −$623
- − Insurance
- −$1,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,243
- − Management
- −$2,243
- − Depreciation
- −$8,727
- Taxable loss
- −$4,105
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$985
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,131/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Smyrna School District
- NCES district ID
- 1001620
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -25.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -17.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,704
- Composite
- 27.67/100
- National rank
- #6915
- State rank
- #16 of 26 in DE
Livability — Smyrna
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #29
- US rank
- #8702
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Smyrna, DE
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,164
Population outlook (Kent County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 194,477 people
- By 2030
- 204,351 · +5.1%
- By 2040
- 222,135 · +14.2%
- By 2050
- 236,483 · +21.6%
- By 2075
- 266,327 · +36.9%
- By 2100
- 275,335 · +41.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Black 29% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 5% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Hispanic 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Kent
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.2% · R 48.2% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.8pp toward R · 2008: 9.8pp · 2024: 2.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.0 2020: D+4.1 2016: R+4.9 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+9.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -110.14%
- Current HPI
- 267.998
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+272.7% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-13 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-08 Listed $300,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 1984-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $80,500 Public Records
Property tax history
-1.7%/yrLatest (2025): $623 · -14.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…