6418 County Rd N · Arpin, WI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $636 – $1,182
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +9.4/10.0
- 1% rule +8.4/10.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$84,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Looking for that perfect "sweat equity" opportunity? This charming 3-bedroom ranch sits on a generous lot and has been lovingly cared for by the same owners for years. It?s move-in ready but priced to let you modernize at your own pace. Outside, the oversized 4-car garage with a loft and a220-amp service is a rare find, providing ample room for toys, tools, or a future ADU. Escape the city hustle and plant roots in a home that offers more square footage?and more freedom?for your dollar.
Key facts
- Large storage area
- 6,534 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Municipal water; Municipal sewer; Natural gas available for heating
- Home design: 1.5-story single-family home; Shingle roof
- Construction: Approximately 1,319 finished above-grade square feet; About 600 sq ft of unfinished below-grade space
- Exterior features: Porch; Smaller lot (about 0.15 acre)
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level — 14 x 15
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom (Main) — 11 x 17; Bedroom 2 (Upper) — 11 x 11; Bedroom 3 (Upper) — 9 x 16
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Full basement; Front porch
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $340 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $82k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#662 in WI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, health & safety D, amenities F.
- Auburndale School District (rural): math 37% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #193 of 342 in WI (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Auburndale Elementary (math 62% / reading 47%, grade C, #166 of 1,041 statewide, top 20%, 419 students, 0% FRL); Auburndale High (math 22% / reading 30%, grade F, #282 of 483 statewide, top 59%, 410 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 23% district-wide (23 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 122 units permitted in Wood County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $8k of equity ($587 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (8.9% local appreciation)).
- Wood County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (8.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $42k; list at $85k implies a 102% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1922 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1922 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.34% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.14%
- DSCR
- 1.76
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $132,045
- List price
- $84,900
- Delta
- -35.70%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6436 County Rd N | 0.03mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,245 (-6%) | 1mo | $230,000 | $185 | 79 |
| 6431 Wisconsin St | 0.04mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (-9%) | 15mo | $131,000 | $109 | 71 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
8.86% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 35.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.58×
- Total profit
- $61,360
- Equity at exit
- $69,564
- IRR
- 30.7%
- Equity multiple
- 7.83×
- Total profit
- $162,426
- Equity at exit
- $143,216
Cash invested: $23,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Wisconsin
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 54410
- Home prices YoY
- 3.7%
- Active inventory
- 4
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,140 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$445
- Tax from tax record
- −$80 /mo · $963/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$239
- Net cashflow
- $340
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $388 | -5% $364 | +0% $340 | +5% $316 | +10% $291 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $249 | -5% $295 | +0% $340 | +5% $385 | +10% $430 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $382 | -0.5pp $361 | base $340 | +0.5pp $318 | +1.0pp $295 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,225
- Closing costs
- $2,547
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $84,900 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $84,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $84,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $84,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $84,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $84,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $84,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $84,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $84,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $84,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $84,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $84,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $84,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $84,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $84,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $84,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $84,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-18$84,900 Active 419-char remark
-
2026-05-15historical 502-char remark
Show marketing remark (502 chars)
Looking for that perfect "sweat equity" opportunity? This charming 3-bedroom ranch sits on a generous lot and has been lovingly cared for by the same owners for years. It?s move-in ready but priced to let you modernize at your own pace. Outside, the oversized 4-car garage with a loft and a220-amp service is a rare find, providing ample room for toys, tools, or a future ADU. Escape the city hustle and plant roots in a home that offers more square footage?and more freedom?for your dollar.
-
2026-03-12price $84,900 502-char remark
Show marketing remark (502 chars)
Looking for that perfect "sweat equity" opportunity? This charming 3-bedroom ranch sits on a generous lot and has been lovingly cared for by the same owners for years. It?s move-in ready but priced to let you modernize at your own pace. Outside, the oversized 4-car garage with a loft and a220-amp service is a rare find, providing ample room for toys, tools, or a future ADU. Escape the city hustle and plant roots in a home that offers more square footage?and more freedom?for your dollar.
-
2025-12-30status Active 502-char remark
Show marketing remark (502 chars)
Looking for that perfect "sweat equity" opportunity? This charming 3-bedroom ranch sits on a generous lot and has been lovingly cared for by the same owners for years. It?s move-in ready but priced to let you modernize at your own pace. Outside, the oversized 4-car garage with a loft and a220-amp service is a rare find, providing ample room for toys, tools, or a future ADU. Escape the city hustle and plant roots in a home that offers more square footage?and more freedom?for your dollar.
-
2025-12-24historical 502-char remark
Show marketing remark (502 chars)
Looking for that perfect "sweat equity" opportunity? This charming 3-bedroom ranch sits on a generous lot and has been lovingly cared for by the same owners for years. It?s move-in ready but priced to let you modernize at your own pace. Outside, the oversized 4-car garage with a loft and a220-amp service is a rare find, providing ample room for toys, tools, or a future ADU. Escape the city hustle and plant roots in a home that offers more square footage?and more freedom?for your dollar.
-
2025-09-30$95,900 Active 502-char remark
Show marketing remark (502 chars)
Looking for that perfect "sweat equity" opportunity? This charming 3-bedroom ranch sits on a generous lot and has been lovingly cared for by the same owners for years. It?s move-in ready but priced to let you modernize at your own pace. Outside, the oversized 4-car garage with a loft and a220-amp service is a rare find, providing ample room for toys, tools, or a future ADU. Escape the city hustle and plant roots in a home that offers more square footage?and more freedom?for your dollar.
-
2013-04-26$49,000
Show marketing remark (584 chars)
Big 2 story 4 car garage & there is a nice house too! 1.5 Story home has open floor plan, main floor laundry /mud room, bedroom, & full bath. Upper has 2 bedrooms. N Gas furnace & wood furnace. Numerous updates, move in ready. Some newer windows, flooring, central air, appliances included. Garage has wood stove, 220 AMP, w/ stairway to upper level. Great for family gatherings, hobbies, business, or storage. Located in the village of Arpin. ,Call for a complete list of updates & set up your showing today. Lot Size, Stories, Sq Ft & Age Per Assessor.
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2013-04-26soldstatus $42,000
Show marketing remark (584 chars)
Big 2 story 4 car garage & there is a nice house too! 1.5 Story home has open floor plan, main floor laundry /mud room, bedroom, & full bath. Upper has 2 bedrooms. N Gas furnace & wood furnace. Numerous updates, move in ready. Some newer windows, flooring, central air, appliances included. Garage has wood stove, 220 AMP, w/ stairway to upper level. Great for family gatherings, hobbies, business, or storage. Located in the village of Arpin. ,Call for a complete list of updates & set up your showing today. Lot Size, Stories, Sq Ft & Age Per Assessor.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $963 · $80/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,267 · $106/mo
- Expected delta
- +$304/yr (+$25/mo · 31.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,677
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,756
- − Property taxes
- −$963
- − Insurance
- −$424
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,094
- − Management
- −$1,094
- − Depreciation
- −$2,470
- Taxable income
- $2,875
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$690
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,384/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Auburndale School District
- NCES district ID
- 5500600
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,737
- Composite
- 32.56/100
- National rank
- #5685
- State rank
- #193 of 342 in WI
Livability — Arpin
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #662
- US rank
- #17506
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Arpin, WI
- City population
- 2,440
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,440
Population outlook (Wood County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 69,530 people
- By 2030
- 66,919 · -3.8%
- By 2040
- 60,735 · -12.6%
- By 2050
- 54,077 · -22.2%
- By 2075
- 41,820 · -39.9%
- By 2100
- 31,863 · -54.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Portuguese 5% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · German/W. Germanic 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Wood
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.9) · D 39.4% · R 59.3% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -33.1pp toward R · 2008: 13.1pp · 2024: -19.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.9 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+19.3 2012: R+2.9 2008: D+13.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 8.86%
- Current HPI
- 247.5583
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.10%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $23B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 2 | $36B |
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| Insurance | 1 | $36B |
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| Professional Services | 1 | $19B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $3B |
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Price history
+102.1% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Listed $84,900 CWMLS
- 2026-05-15 Listing Removed — SCWMLS
- 2026-03-12 Price Changed $84,900 SCWMLS
- 2025-12-30 Relisted — SCWMLS
- 2025-12-24 Listing Removed — SCWMLS
- 2025-09-30 Listed $95,900 SCWMLS
- 2013-04-26 Listed $49,000 CWMLS
- 2013-04-26 Sold (MLS) $42,000 CWMLS
Property tax history
-2.2%/yrLatest (2025): $963 · -44.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…