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6418 County Rd N
A- Composite 84.16
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +9.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.4/10.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$84,900

6418 County Rd N · Arpin, WI 54410
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,319 sqft · SingleFamily · 34 Days on market
Built 1922 6,534 sqft lot $64/sqft · 36% below area Est $132k · 36% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Looking for that perfect "sweat equity" opportunity? This charming 3-bedroom ranch sits on a generous lot and has been lovingly cared for by the same owners for years. It?s move-in ready but priced to let you modernize at your own pace. Outside, the oversized 4-car garage with a loft and a220-amp service is a rare find, providing ample room for toys, tools, or a future ADU. Escape the city hustle and plant roots in a home that offers more square footage?and more freedom?for your dollar.

Key facts

  • Large storage area
  • 6,534 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots

Tags

WASHER AND DRYER HOOKUPSOVERSIZED TWO CAR GARAGELARGE STORAGE AREA

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Municipal water; Municipal sewer; Natural gas available for heating
  • Home design: 1.5-story single-family home; Shingle roof
  • Construction: Approximately 1,319 finished above-grade square feet; About 600 sq ft of unfinished below-grade space
  • Exterior features: Porch; Smaller lot (about 0.15 acre)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level — 14 x 15
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom (Main) — 11 x 17; Bedroom 2 (Upper) — 11 x 11; Bedroom 3 (Upper) — 9 x 16
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Full basement; Front porch

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $340 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
  • Recommended offer: $82k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#662 in WI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, health & safety D, amenities F.
  • Auburndale School District (rural): math 37% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #193 of 342 in WI (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Auburndale Elementary (math 62% / reading 47%, grade C, #166 of 1,041 statewide, top 20%, 419 students, 0% FRL); Auburndale High (math 22% / reading 30%, grade F, #282 of 483 statewide, top 59%, 410 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 23% district-wide (23 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 122 units permitted in Wood County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $8k of equity ($587 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (8.9% local appreciation)).
  • Wood County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (8.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $42k; list at $85k implies a 102% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1922 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $82,353 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1922 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.34%
Cap rate
11.09%
Cash-on-cash
17.14%
DSCR
1.76
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$132,045
List price
$84,900
Delta
-35.70%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6436 County Rd N 0.03mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,245 (-6%) 1mo $230,000 $185 79
6431 Wisconsin St 0.04mi 3/1.0 1,200 (-9%) 15mo $131,000 $109 71

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

8.86% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
35.0%
Equity multiple
3.58×
Total profit
$61,360
Equity at exit
$69,564
10-year hold
IRR
30.7%
Equity multiple
7.83×
Total profit
$162,426
Equity at exit
$143,216

Cash invested: $23,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Wisconsin
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; Madison / Milwaukee have some local enforcement.

ZIP-level market 54410

Home prices YoY
3.7%
Active inventory
4
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,140 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$445
Tax from tax record
$80 /mo · $963/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$239
Net cashflow
$340

Break-even live

Break-even rent $710
Max offer price $84,900
Occupancy floor 65%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $388 -5% $364 +0% $340 +5% $316 +10% $291
Rent -10% $249 -5% $295 +0% $340 +5% $385 +10% $430
Rate -1.0pp $382 -0.5pp $361 base $340 +0.5pp $318 +1.0pp $295

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,225
Closing costs
$2,547
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $84,900 Active 34 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $84,900 Active 33 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $84,900 Active 31 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $84,900 Active 30 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $84,900 Active 29 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $84,900 Active 28 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $84,900 Active 27 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $84,900 Active 26 DOM
  9. 2026-06-12
    days on market $84,900 Active 25 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $84,900 Active 22 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $84,900 Active 21 DOM
  12. 2026-06-08
    days on market $84,900 Active 20 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $84,900 Active 18 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $84,900 Active 16 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $84,900 Active 15 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $84,900 Active 14 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $84,900 Active 13 DOM
  18. 2026-05-18
    listed $84,900 Active 419-char remark
  19. 2026-05-15
    historical 502-char remark
    Show marketing remark (502 chars)

    Looking for that perfect "sweat equity" opportunity? This charming 3-bedroom ranch sits on a generous lot and has been lovingly cared for by the same owners for years. It?s move-in ready but priced to let you modernize at your own pace. Outside, the oversized 4-car garage with a loft and a220-amp service is a rare find, providing ample room for toys, tools, or a future ADU. Escape the city hustle and plant roots in a home that offers more square footage?and more freedom?for your dollar.

  20. 2026-03-12
    price $84,900 502-char remark
    Show marketing remark (502 chars)

    Looking for that perfect "sweat equity" opportunity? This charming 3-bedroom ranch sits on a generous lot and has been lovingly cared for by the same owners for years. It?s move-in ready but priced to let you modernize at your own pace. Outside, the oversized 4-car garage with a loft and a220-amp service is a rare find, providing ample room for toys, tools, or a future ADU. Escape the city hustle and plant roots in a home that offers more square footage?and more freedom?for your dollar.

  21. 2025-12-30
    status Active 502-char remark
    Show marketing remark (502 chars)

    Looking for that perfect "sweat equity" opportunity? This charming 3-bedroom ranch sits on a generous lot and has been lovingly cared for by the same owners for years. It?s move-in ready but priced to let you modernize at your own pace. Outside, the oversized 4-car garage with a loft and a220-amp service is a rare find, providing ample room for toys, tools, or a future ADU. Escape the city hustle and plant roots in a home that offers more square footage?and more freedom?for your dollar.

  22. 2025-12-24
    historical 502-char remark
    Show marketing remark (502 chars)

    Looking for that perfect "sweat equity" opportunity? This charming 3-bedroom ranch sits on a generous lot and has been lovingly cared for by the same owners for years. It?s move-in ready but priced to let you modernize at your own pace. Outside, the oversized 4-car garage with a loft and a220-amp service is a rare find, providing ample room for toys, tools, or a future ADU. Escape the city hustle and plant roots in a home that offers more square footage?and more freedom?for your dollar.

  23. 2025-09-30
    listed $95,900 Active 502-char remark
    Show marketing remark (502 chars)

    Looking for that perfect "sweat equity" opportunity? This charming 3-bedroom ranch sits on a generous lot and has been lovingly cared for by the same owners for years. It?s move-in ready but priced to let you modernize at your own pace. Outside, the oversized 4-car garage with a loft and a220-amp service is a rare find, providing ample room for toys, tools, or a future ADU. Escape the city hustle and plant roots in a home that offers more square footage?and more freedom?for your dollar.

  24. 2013-04-26
    listed $49,000
    Show marketing remark (584 chars)

    Big 2 story 4 car garage & there is a nice house too! 1.5 Story home has open floor plan, main floor laundry /mud room, bedroom, & full bath. Upper has 2 bedrooms. N Gas furnace & wood furnace. Numerous updates, move in ready. Some newer windows, flooring, central air, appliances included. Garage has wood stove, 220 AMP, w/ stairway to upper level. Great for family gatherings, hobbies, business, or storage. Located in the village of Arpin. ,Call for a complete list of updates & set up your showing today. Lot Size, Stories, Sq Ft & Age Per Assessor.

  25. 2013-04-26
    soldstatus $42,000
    Show marketing remark (584 chars)

    Big 2 story 4 car garage & there is a nice house too! 1.5 Story home has open floor plan, main floor laundry /mud room, bedroom, & full bath. Upper has 2 bedrooms. N Gas furnace & wood furnace. Numerous updates, move in ready. Some newer windows, flooring, central air, appliances included. Garage has wood stove, 220 AMP, w/ stairway to upper level. Great for family gatherings, hobbies, business, or storage. Located in the village of Arpin. ,Call for a complete list of updates & set up your showing today. Lot Size, Stories, Sq Ft & Age Per Assessor.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$963 · $80/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,267 · $106/mo
Expected delta
+$304/yr (+$25/mo · 31.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,677
− Mortgage interest
−$4,756
− Property taxes
−$963
− Insurance
−$424
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,094
− Management
−$1,094
− Depreciation
−$2,470
Taxable income
$2,875
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$690
After-tax cash flow
$3,384/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Auburndale School District
NCES district ID
5500600
Math proficiency
37% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$55,737
Composite
32.56/100
National rank
#5685
State rank
#193 of 342 in WI

Livability — Arpin

Score
61/100
State rank
#662
US rank
#17506

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Arpin, WI
City population
2,440
Population (ZIP)
2,440

Population outlook (Wood County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
69,530 people
By 2030
66,919 · -3.8%
By 2040
60,735 · -12.6%
By 2050
54,077 · -22.2%
By 2075
41,820 · -39.9%
By 2100
31,863 · -54.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 9% Portuguese 5% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · German/W. Germanic 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Wood

2024 margin
R (+19.9) · D 39.4% · R 59.3% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-33.1pp toward R · 2008: 13.1pp · 2024: -19.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.9 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+19.3 2012: R+2.9 2008: D+13.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 8.86%
Current HPI
247.5583
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.10%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+102.1% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Listed $84,900 CWMLS
  • 2026-05-15 Listing Removed SCWMLS
  • 2026-03-12 Price Changed $84,900 SCWMLS
  • 2025-12-30 Relisted SCWMLS
  • 2025-12-24 Listing Removed SCWMLS
  • 2025-09-30 Listed $95,900 SCWMLS
  • 2013-04-26 Listed $49,000 CWMLS
  • 2013-04-26 Sold (MLS) $42,000 CWMLS

Property tax history

-2.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $963 · -44.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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