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823 Wyoming St
C+ Composite 60.45
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +8.7/15.0
  • DSCR +8.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$127,500

823 Wyoming St · Dayton, OH 45410
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,456 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 47 Days on market
Built 1895 3,080 sqft lot $88/sqft · at area comps Est $131k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Ready to make it your own or it could be a great rental - market rents are $1200+. All the big stuff is taken care of for you. Newer Roof (2018) and mechanicals - Water Heater (2018) and Furnace (2017), newer appliances - range (2021), dishwasher (2021), and washer (2021). Hardwoods throughout. Call and set up a showing today! Great investment and location!

Key facts

  • 3,080 sq ft lot
  • Built 1895
  • Listed 47 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Offered for sale

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Natural gas; Central air (electric)
  • Home design: Two-story frame home; Main entry on main level
  • Construction: Frame construction
  • Exterior features: Deck; Fence; Lot approximately 27 x 111 (residential zoning)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level; Range; Refrigerator; Dining room adjacent to kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the second floor
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Partial basement; Decorative fireplace (one)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $128k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $297 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $128k).
  • Recommended offer: $124k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 7.3% in Dayton — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#716 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
  • Dayton City (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #641 of 656 in OH (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: River'S Edge Montessori Elementary School (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,193 of 1,584 statewide, top 76%, 494 students, 0% FRL); Belmont High School (math 5% / reading 20%, grade F, #720 of 781 statewide, top 93%, 1,100 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 74% district-wide (74 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.4%/yr); 94 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($47k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $882 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($124k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $80k; list at $128k implies a 60% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1895 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $123,675 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1895 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.08%
Cap rate
9.09%
Cash-on-cash
9.99%
DSCR
1.44
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$130,922
List price
$127,500
Delta
-2.61%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
136 Dover St 0.16mi 3/1.5 1,512 (+4%) 2mo $92,000 $61 82
55 Illinois Ave 0.32mi 3/1.0 1,408 (-3%) 1mo $95,000 $67 79
128 Missouri Ave 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,415 (-3%) 2mo $165,000 $117 78
40 Anderson St 0.51mi 3/1.5 1,433 (-2%) 1mo $172,850 $121 71
167 Indiana Ave 0.43mi 3/1.5 1,395 (-4%) 2mo $179,900 $129 69
566 Wyoming St 0.26mi 3/1.0 1,290 (-11%) 1mo $180,000 $140 68
112 Missouri Ave 0.24mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,581 (+9%) 3mo $150,500 $95 67
107 Sherman St 0.70mi 3/1.5 1,446 (-1%) 2mo $73,000 $50 63
39 Gebhart St 0.21mi 3/2.0 1,248 (-14%) 1mo $39,504 $32 62
519 Wyoming St 0.35mi 3/1.5 1,240 (-15%) 3mo $152,614 $123 54
2127 Wayne Ave 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,648 (+13%) 2mo $125,164 $76 49
708 St Nicholas Ave 0.72mi 3/1.5 1,272 (-13%) 3mo $58,410 $46 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.8%
Equity multiple
1.15×
Total profit
$5,510
Equity at exit
$19,011
10-year hold
IRR
17.3%
Equity multiple
2.74×
Total profit
$62,125
Equity at exit
$11,024

Cash invested: $35,700 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45410

Home prices YoY
-21.4%
Rents YoY
11.4%
Active inventory
94
Price-to-rent
7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,376 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$669
Tax from tax record
$68 /mo · $812/yr
Insurance
$53
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$289
Net cashflow
$297

Break-even live

Break-even rent $999
Max offer price $127,500
Occupancy floor 73%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $370 -5% $333 +0% $297 +5% $261 +10% $225
Rent -10% $189 -5% $243 +0% $297 +5% $352 +10% $406
Rate -1.0pp $362 -0.5pp $330 base $297 +0.5pp $264 +1.0pp $231

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,875
Closing costs
$3,825
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
31 Bidleman St Dayton, OH 2.0 1.5 1568 $1,100 $0.70 46d 1 0.08mi
1020 Walnut Hill Pl Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,400 $1.17 46d 1 0.10mi
1038 Walnut Hill Pl Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1232 $1,095 $0.89 46d 1 0.13mi
32 Gebhart St Dayton, OH 4.0 1.0 1800 $1,400 $0.78 16d 1 0.26mi
20 Lucerne Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1378 $1,200 $0.87 46d 1 0.29mi
519 Wyoming St Dayton, OH 3.0 1.5 1240 $1,600 $1.29 46d 1 0.38mi
1411 Wyoming St Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1256 $1,095 $0.87 5d 1 0.38mi
136 Indiana Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1194 $1,250 $1.05 25d 1 0.43mi
511 Parrot St Dayton, OH 3.0 1.5 1618 $1,100 $0.68 16d 1 0.46mi
1515 Wyoming St Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,000 $0.71 46d 1 0.47mi
2114 Wayne Ave Dayton, OH 4.0 2.0 1723 $1,595 $0.93 46d 1 0.49mi
2132 Wayne Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 2.0 1484 $1,350 $0.91 5d 1 0.52mi
313 Illinois Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1142 $975 $0.85 5d 1 0.52mi
229 James St Unit 228 Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1700 $1,200 $0.71 25d 1 0.54mi
227 James St Unit 1 Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1700 $1,200 $0.71 5d 1 0.54mi
228 James St Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1700 $1,200 $0.71 46d 1 0.55mi
920 E Stewart St Dayton, OH 4.0 1.0 1322 $1,425 $1.08 46d 1 0.59mi
534 Beckman St Dayton, OH 3.0 2.0 1452 $1,400 $0.96 5d 1 0.63mi
1101 Phillips Ave Unit 1101 Dayton, OH 3.0 1.5 1300 $1,450 $1.12 46d 1 0.67mi
25 Garret St Dayton, OH 2.0 1.5 1364 $1,750 $1.28 25d 1 0.72mi
243 Oak St Dayton, OH 3.0 1.5 1316 $1,600 $1.22 5d 1 0.74mi
424 Bantz Ct Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1192 $1,050 $0.88 5d 1 0.76mi
637 Creighton Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1144 $1,350 $1.18 16d 1 0.81mi
425 Dayton Towers Dr Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0–2.0 852 $1,799 $2.11 5d 30 0.82mi
1410 Phillips Ave Unit 1 Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 1000 $950 $0.95 46d 1 0.85mi
2200 E 5th St Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 1000 $825 $0.82 25d 1 0.85mi
2012 Saint Charles Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 945 $1,250 $1.32 46d 1 0.86mi
2600 Wayne Ave Dayton, OH 4.0 1.5 1328 $1,500 $1.13 25d 1 0.87mi
15 John St Unit 15 Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 1200 $800 $0.67 25d 1 0.87mi
213 Burns Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.5 1388 $1,500 $1.08 16d 1 0.90mi
213 Burns Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.5 1388 $1,500 $1.08 46d 1 0.90mi
117 Clay St Unit 117 Dayton, OH 2.0 1.5 1632 $1,950 $1.19 25d 1 0.93mi
2306 Alice St Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 918 $1,200 $1.31 5d 1 0.95mi
218 Brown St Dayton, OH 3.0 2.5 1800 $3,200 $1.78 46d 1 0.99mi
218 Brown St Unit 218 Dayton, OH 3.0 2.5 1789 $2,200 $1.23 46d 1 0.99mi
216 Brown St Dayton, OH 3.0 1.5 1563 $2,500 $1.60 46d 1 0.99mi
80 Green St Dayton, OH 2.0 2.5 1796 $2,200 $1.22 5d 1 1.05mi
854 Santa Cruz Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1060 $1,300 $1.23 46d 1 1.05mi
23 Jasper St Dayton, OH 4.0 4.0 1490 $3,600 $2.42 5d 1 1.06mi
59 Green St Unit A Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,350 $1.23 5d 1 1.09mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $127,500 Active 47 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $127,500 Active 44 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $127,500 Active 43 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $127,500 Active 42 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $127,500 Active 41 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $127,500 Active 39 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $127,500 Active 38 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $127,500 Active 36 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $127,500 Active 35 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $127,500 Active 34 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $127,500 Active 33 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $127,500 Active 30 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $127,500 Active 29 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $127,500 Active 28 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $127,500 Active 27 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $127,500 Active 26 DOM
  17. 2026-05-05
    listed $127,500 Active 1022-char remark
  18. 2023-03-21
    soldstatus $79,500 Sold 362-char remark
    Show marketing remark (362 chars)

    Ready to make it your own or it could be a great rental - market rents are $1200+. All the big stuff is taken care of for you. Newer Roof (2018) and mechanicals - Water Heater (2018) and Furnace (2017), newer appliances - range (2021), dishwasher (2021), and washer (2021). Hardwoods throughout. Call and set up a showing today! Great investment and location!

  19. 2023-03-21
    soldstatus $79,500 Closed 362-char remark
    Show marketing remark (362 chars)

    Ready to make it your own or it could be a great rental - market rents are $1200+. All the big stuff is taken care of for you. Newer Roof (2018) and mechanicals - Water Heater (2018) and Furnace (2017), newer appliances - range (2021), dishwasher (2021), and washer (2021). Hardwoods throughout. Call and set up a showing today! Great investment and location!

  20. 2023-02-04
    status Pending 362-char remark
    Show marketing remark (362 chars)

    Ready to make it your own or it could be a great rental - market rents are $1200+. All the big stuff is taken care of for you. Newer Roof (2018) and mechanicals - Water Heater (2018) and Furnace (2017), newer appliances - range (2021), dishwasher (2021), and washer (2021). Hardwoods throughout. Call and set up a showing today! Great investment and location!

  21. 2023-02-01
    listed $89,900 Active 362-char remark
    Show marketing remark (362 chars)

    Ready to make it your own or it could be a great rental - market rents are $1200+. All the big stuff is taken care of for you. Newer Roof (2018) and mechanicals - Water Heater (2018) and Furnace (2017), newer appliances - range (2021), dishwasher (2021), and washer (2021). Hardwoods throughout. Call and set up a showing today! Great investment and location!

  22. 1998-07-13
    soldstatus $57,000
  23. 1984-03-22
    soldstatus $18,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$812 · $68/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,400 · $117/mo
Expected delta
+$589/yr (+$49/mo · 72.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,507
− Mortgage interest
−$7,142
− Property taxes
−$812
− Insurance
−$638
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,321
− Management
−$1,321
− Depreciation
−$3,709
Taxable income
$1,566
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$376
After-tax cash flow
$3,192/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dayton City
NCES district ID
3904384
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$28,688
Composite
12.94/100
National rank
#9579
State rank
#641 of 656 in OH

Livability — Dayton

Score
65/100
State rank
#716
US rank
#12895

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dayton, OH
County
Montgomery County · 459,541 people
City population
164,387
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
Population (ZIP)
14,694
Household income
$46,651
Rent vs Own
50.7% rent · 49.3% own
Severe rent burden
961.0

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
523,241 people
By 2030
514,948 · -1.6%
By 2040
493,378 · -5.7%
By 2050
469,639 · -10.2%
By 2075
418,360 · -20.0%
By 2100
353,315 · -32.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Black 15% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Iranian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, United Kingdom
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 6% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.3%
2008→2024 swing
-5.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 0.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+6.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -100.61%
Current HPI
369.3938
Rent YoY
▲ 11.37%
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+608.3% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $127,500 Dayton MLS
  • 2023-03-21 Sold (MLS) $79,500 Dayton MLS
  • 2023-03-21 Sold (MLS) $79,500 Dayton MLS
  • 2023-02-04 Pending Dayton MLS
  • 2023-02-01 Listed $89,900 Dayton MLS
  • 1998-07-13 Sold (Public Records) $57,000 Public Records
  • 1984-03-22 Sold (Public Records) $18,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $812 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…