5250 Marietta Dr · Mobile, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.7/10.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Potential and a convenient location! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath fixer upper is ready for new life and your personal touch. Just a short walk to Langan Park and only minutes from the University of South Alabama. The home features a spacious living room with a gas log fireplace, a dedicated dining room with built-in cabinetry for storage and display, and a generously sized kitchen with original wood cabinets. The primary bedroom offers an ensuite bath with shower, while two additional bedrooms share a hall bath. Hardwood floors run through the main living areas, adding to the home’s character. Additional highlights include a single-car garage and a large deck—perfect for outdoor entertaining. Property is being sold as-is and is subject to probate court approval. Cash buyers only.
Key facts
- Built-in cabinetry
- Gas log fireplace
- 0.46 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $390 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
- Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 4.9% in Mobile — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#20 in AL, #4,262 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, employment D-.
- Mobile County (urban): math 15% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #81 of 129 in AL (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 102 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,678 units permitted in Mobile County in 2024 (264 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Mobile County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.87%
- DSCR
- 1.57
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $197,918
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1204 Baylor Dr | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,458 (-1%) | 1mo | $199,000 | $136 | 82 |
| 1270 Peabody Dr | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,398 (-5%) | 7mo | $152,750 | $109 | 68 |
| 1114 Peabody Dr | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,537 (+4%) | 9mo | $235,000 | $153 | 68 |
| 5512 Overlook Rd | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,404 (-5%) | 1mo | $148,000 | $105 | 63 |
| 903 David Langan Dr W | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 | 1,350 (-9%) | 13mo | $190,000 | $141 | 61 |
| 1112 Druid Dr | 0.21mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,606 (+9%) | 12mo | $216,000 | $134 | 61 |
| 5462 Racine Ave | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,558 (+6%) | 1mo | $245,000 | $157 | 60 |
| 5609 Diane Ct | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 | 1,413 (-4%) | 6mo | $173,000 | $122 | 60 |
| 1613 Crestwood Dr | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,442 (-2%) | 9mo | $203,000 | $141 | 58 |
| 5661 Renn St | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 1,443 (-2%) | 7mo | $85,000 | $59 | 55 |
| 1620 Crestwood Dr | 0.71mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,524 (+3%) | 7mo | $180,000 | $118 | 51 |
| 5524 Overlook Rd | 0.64mi | 3/1.5 | 1,597 (+8%) | 9mo | $176,000 | $110 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.10×
- Total profit
- $3,797
- Equity at exit
- $19,383
- IRR
- 12.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.97×
- Total profit
- $35,334
- Equity at exit
- $11,240
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36618
- Home prices YoY
- -22.8%
- Active inventory
- 102
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,592 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax from tax record
- −$131 /mo · $1,577/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$334
- Net cashflow
- $390
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $464 | -5% $427 | +0% $390 | +5% $353 | +10% $317 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $265 | -5% $327 | +0% $390 | +5% $453 | +10% $516 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $456 | -0.5pp $423 | base $390 | +0.5pp $357 | +1.0pp $322 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 914 David Langan Dr E Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,450 | $1.34 | 44d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 1104 Garland St Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1377 | $1,450 | $1.05 | 22d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 5477 Ardell Dr Unit 1043691P Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1496 | $2,680 | $1.79 | 14d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 5508 Overlook Rd Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1260 | $1,400 | $1.11 | 14d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 5613 Overlook Rd Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1520 | $1,450 | $0.95 | 44d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 5520 Vienna Ave Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1745 | $1,395 | $0.80 | 44d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1631 Colonial Oaks Dr Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1196 | $1,100 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 5751 Overlook Rd Unit A2 Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 890 | $850 | $0.96 | 22d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 912 Wendover Rd Unit 1043703P Mobile, AL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1496 | $3,190 | $2.13 | 22d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 5904 Saint Gallen Ave S Unit 1043743P Mobile, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1496 | $3,719 | $2.49 | 22d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1063 Midmoor Dr Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1695 | $1,450 | $0.86 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 5855 Woodvale Dr Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1712 | $1,350 | $0.79 | 22d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 5213 Pineview Ln S Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1176 | $1,575 | $1.34 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1404 Stevens Ln Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1052 | $1,275 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 316 Syracuse St Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1776 | $1,875 | $1.06 | 14d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 5207 Azalea Cir S Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,490 | $1.35 | 22d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 304 N University Blvd Unit 1043721P Mobile, AL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1496 | $4,148 | $2.77 | 22d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 4410 The Cedars Ave Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1232 | $1,500 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 4410 The Cedars Ave Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1232 | $1,500 | $1.22 | 14d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-04-25status Pending
Show marketing remark (798 chars)
Potential and a convenient location! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath fixer upper is ready for new life and your personal touch. Just a short walk to Langan Park and only minutes from the University of South Alabama. The home features a spacious living room with a gas log fireplace, a dedicated dining room with built-in cabinetry for storage and display, and a generously sized kitchen with original wood cabinets. The primary bedroom offers an ensuite bath with shower, while two additional bedrooms share a hall bath. Hardwood floors run through the main living areas, adding to the home’s character. Additional highlights include a single-car garage and a large deck—perfect for outdoor entertaining. Property is being sold as-is and is subject to probate court approval. Cash buyers only.
-
2026-04-25status Pending 798-char remark
Show marketing remark (798 chars)
Potential and a convenient location! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath fixer upper is ready for new life and your personal touch. Just a short walk to Langan Park and only minutes from the University of South Alabama. The home features a spacious living room with a gas log fireplace, a dedicated dining room with built-in cabinetry for storage and display, and a generously sized kitchen with original wood cabinets. The primary bedroom offers an ensuite bath with shower, while two additional bedrooms share a hall bath. Hardwood floors run through the main living areas, adding to the home’s character. Additional highlights include a single-car garage and a large deck—perfect for outdoor entertaining. Property is being sold as-is and is subject to probate court approval. Cash buyers only.
-
2026-04-22$130,000 Active 798-char remark
Show marketing remark (798 chars)
Potential and a convenient location! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath fixer upper is ready for new life and your personal touch. Just a short walk to Langan Park and only minutes from the University of South Alabama. The home features a spacious living room with a gas log fireplace, a dedicated dining room with built-in cabinetry for storage and display, and a generously sized kitchen with original wood cabinets. The primary bedroom offers an ensuite bath with shower, while two additional bedrooms share a hall bath. Hardwood floors run through the main living areas, adding to the home’s character. Additional highlights include a single-car garage and a large deck—perfect for outdoor entertaining. Property is being sold as-is and is subject to probate court approval. Cash buyers only.
-
2026-04-22$130,000 Active
Show marketing remark (798 chars)
Potential and a convenient location! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath fixer upper is ready for new life and your personal touch. Just a short walk to Langan Park and only minutes from the University of South Alabama. The home features a spacious living room with a gas log fireplace, a dedicated dining room with built-in cabinetry for storage and display, and a generously sized kitchen with original wood cabinets. The primary bedroom offers an ensuite bath with shower, while two additional bedrooms share a hall bath. Hardwood floors run through the main living areas, adding to the home’s character. Additional highlights include a single-car garage and a large deck—perfect for outdoor entertaining. Property is being sold as-is and is subject to probate court approval. Cash buyers only.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,577 · $131/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,577 · $131/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,103
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$1,577
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,528
- − Management
- −$1,528
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable income
- $2,756
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$661
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,022/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mobile County
- NCES district ID
- 0102370
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -28.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,455
- Composite
- 22.9/100
- National rank
- #8002
- State rank
- #81 of 129 in AL
Livability — Mobile
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #20
- US rank
- #4262
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mobile, AL
- County
- Mobile County · 246,577 people
- City population
- 205,729
- Metro
- Mobile, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,892
- Household income
- $61,550
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 542.0
Population outlook (Mobile County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,303 people
- By 2030
- 411,755 · -0.9%
- By 2040
- 399,670 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 382,616 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 337,353 · -18.8%
- By 2100
- 283,391 · -31.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 65% White 27% Two or more races 3% Asian 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Serbian 1% Romanian 0%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Chinese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Mobile
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.4) · D 41.3% · R 57.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.7pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -16.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.4 2020: R+11.9 2016: R+13.9 2012: R+9.3 2008: R+8.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -64.54%
- Current HPI
- 218.7133
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Mobile, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+0.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-25 Pending — BCAR
- 2026-04-25 Pending — GCMLS AL
- 2026-04-22 Listed $130,000 GCMLS AL
- 2026-04-22 Listed $130,000 BCAR
Property tax history
+10.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,577 · +3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…