534 Wildwood Way · Clearwater, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.9/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
ZONED RESIDENTIAL MULTI FAMILY. SINGLE FAMILY HOME ON PROPERTY. CONVENIENT LOCATION. JUST SOUTH OF BELLEVIEW BLVD. VERIFY WITH CITY ON USE . IDEALFOR INVESTORS.
Key facts
- 0.36 acre lot
- Parking
- Built 1925
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a ?-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $79k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $827 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $79k).
- Cap rate 18.9% vs local median 2.9% in Clearwater — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#60 in FL, #988 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, employment C-.
- Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.2%/yr); 355 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- 44.88%
- DSCR
- 3.00
- GRM
- 3.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $283,434
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 831 Woodlawn St | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 | 1,072 (+10%) | 1mo | $340,000 | $317 | 69 |
| 1139 Harveys Ln | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 | 930 (-4%) | 0mo | $70,000 | $75 | 68 |
| 1518 Scranton Ave | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,060 (+9%) | 1mo | $287,500 | $271 | 68 |
| 1308 S Madison Ave | 0.67mi | 2/2.0 | 992 (+2%) | 1mo | $325,000 | $328 | 61 |
| 1509 S Washington Ave | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 920 (-6%) | 6mo | $281,900 | $306 | 60 |
| 824 Hall St | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 | 918 (-6%) | 3mo | $245,000 | $267 | 59 |
| 834 Grand Central St | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 | 986 (+1%) | 12mo | $150,000 | $152 | 57 |
| 1546 Tilley Ave | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,092 (+12%) | 4mo | $322,500 | $295 | 56 |
| 1520 S Michigan Ave | 0.62mi | 2/2.0 | 1,009 (+4%) | 10mo | $120,000 | $119 | 53 |
| 921 Grand Central St | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 | 912 (-6%) | 11mo | $300,000 | $329 | 48 |
| 1510 S Michigan Ave | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 | 1,108 (+14%) | 4mo | $162,500 | $147 | 45 |
| 1344 S Michigan Ave | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,117 (+15%) | 11mo | $325,000 | $291 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 38.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.58×
- Total profit
- $34,959
- Equity at exit
- $11,779
- IRR
- 43.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.58×
- Total profit
- $79,234
- Equity at exit
- $6,830
Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33756
- Rents YoY
- -2.2%
- Active inventory
- 355
- Price-to-rent
- 3.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,682 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$414
- Tax from tax record
- −$54 /mo · $649/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$353
- Net cashflow
- $827
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $872 | -5% $850 | +0% $827 | +5% $805 | +10% $783 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $694 | -5% $761 | +0% $827 | +5% $894 | +10% $960 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $867 | -0.5pp $847 | base $827 | +0.5pp $807 | +1.0pp $786 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,750
- Closing costs
- $2,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 625 Wildwood Way Clearwater, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,400 | $1.82 | 21d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 627 Wildwood Way Clearwater, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,400 | $1.82 | 21d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 629 Wildwood Way Clearwater, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,400 | $1.82 | 21d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 1516 Carmel Ave Clearwater, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $1,650 | $2.23 | 4d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 1552 S Myrtle Ave Clearwater, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 750 | $1,750 | $2.33 | 15d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 1552 S Myrtle Ave Clearwater, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,950 | $2.17 | 8d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 1632 Clearwater Largo Rd Clearwater, FL | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 961 | $2,499 | $2.60 | 2d | 25 | 0.39mi |
| 1587 Scranton Ave Unit B Clearwater, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 665 | $1,450 | $2.18 | 25d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 1530 S Martin Luther King Jr Ave Clearwater, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1025 | $1,995 | $1.95 | 11d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1530 S Martin Luther King Jr Ave Clearwater, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1025 | $1,950 | $1.90 | 25d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1538 S Martin Luther King Jr Ave Clearwater, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,625 | $2.50 | 25d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 941 Lakeview Rd Clearwater, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,199 | $2.18 | 18d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 1532 S Washington Ave Clearwater, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 954 | $1,500 | $1.57 | 5d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 713 Smith St Clearwater, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 814 | $1,595 | $1.96 | 3d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 1007 Hawkins St Unit A Clearwater, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 784 | $1,845 | $2.35 | 25d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 833 Hall St Clearwater, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,350 | $1.93 | 17d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 833 Hall St Clearwater, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,350 | $1.93 | 25d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1119 Tuskawilla Dr Clearwater, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 603 | $1,500 | $2.49 | 2d | 23 | 0.68mi |
| 811 Lotus Path Unit 2 Clearwater, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,699 | $2.43 | 25d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1245 S Martin Luther King Jr Ave #104 Clearwater, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,495 | $1.33 | 4d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1562 S Jefferson Ave Clearwater, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 870 | $1,250 | $1.44 | 17d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1120 Wyatt St Clearwater, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,150 | $1.92 | 18d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 915 Ewing Ave Clearwater, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 752 | $1,400 | $1.86 | 25d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1224 S Missouri Ave #903 Clearwater, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 730 | $2,250 | $3.08 | 25d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1216 S Missouri Ave Clearwater, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 835 | $2,100 | $2.51 | 25d | 5 | 0.89mi |
| 1216 S Missouri Ave Clearwater, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 835 | $2,000 | $2.40 | 2d | 6 | 0.89mi |
| 1319 Boylan Ave Clearwater, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,550 | $1.94 | 25d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 821 14th Ave NW Largo, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,795 | $1.99 | 25d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 250 Rosery Rd NW #283 Largo, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 764 | $1,395 | $1.83 | 21d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 306 Turner St #1 Clearwater, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,275 | $2.12 | 18d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 250 Rosery Rd NW Largo, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $1,295 | $1.93 | 3d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 701 S Madison Ave Clearwater, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 965 | $1,998 | $2.07 | 3d | 6 | 1.13mi |
| 801 Chestnut St Clearwater, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 433 | $1,460 | $3.37 | 3d | 17 | 1.16mi |
| 811 Rosery Rd NW Largo, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1050 | $2,538 | $2.42 | 4d | 20 | 1.16mi |
| 1100 Turner St Clearwater, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,750 | $1.94 | 4d | 2 | 1.17mi |
| 1406 Lemon St Clearwater, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1020 | $1,990 | $1.95 | 25d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 1712 Belleair Forest Dr Unit D Belleair, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 931 | $1,495 | $1.61 | 25d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1030 Clearwater Largo Rd N Largo, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 849 | $1,875 | $2.21 | 24d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 1040 Clearwater Largo Rd Apt 411 Largo, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 696 | $1,650 | $2.37 | 5d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 612 Sally Ln S Unit 14 Clearwater, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,500 | $2.00 | 25d | 1 | 1.27mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2021-04-01status Pending
-
2018-04-14status Pending
-
2018-03-24status Pending
-
2018-03-22status Pending
-
2014-06-14status Pending
-
2014-03-29historical
-
2003-08-06soldstatus $79,000
-
2002-09-25$79,000
-
2000-12-04soldstatus $25,000
-
1993-03-01soldstatus $28,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $649 · $54/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $656 · $55/mo
- Expected delta
- +$6/yr (+$1/mo · 1.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,181
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,425
- − Property taxes
- −$649
- − Insurance
- −$395
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,615
- − Management
- −$1,615
- − Depreciation
- −$2,298
- Taxable income
- $9,185
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,204
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,723/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pinellas
- NCES district ID
- 1201560
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,270
- Composite
- 43.27/100
- National rank
- #3046
- State rank
- #31 of 73 in FL
Livability — Clearwater
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #60
- US rank
- #988
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Clearwater, FL
- County
- Pinellas County · 939,478 people
- City population
- 170,933
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,201
- Household income
- $61,872
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1868.0
Population outlook (Pinellas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,027,532 people
- By 2030
- 1,063,586 · +3.5%
- By 2040
- 1,125,020 · +9.5%
- By 2050
- 1,168,637 · +13.7%
- By 2075
- 1,265,188 · +23.1%
- By 2100
- 1,260,357 · +22.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Hispanic / Latino 18% Black 11% Two or more races 9% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Pinellas
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.2) · D 46.9% · R 52.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: -5.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.2 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+5.6 2008: D+8.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -438.74%
- Current HPI
- 354.6792
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.22%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+173.4% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2021-04-01 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-04-14 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-03-24 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-03-22 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-06-14 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-03-29 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-08-06 Sold (Public Records) $79,000 Public Records
- 2002-09-25 Listed $79,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2000-12-04 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
- 1993-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $28,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2025): $649 · +10.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…