2815 N 48th Ln · Phoenix, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 112°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.6/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
COME AND VIEW THIS BEAUTIFUL HOME WITH 3 BEDROOM 2 BATHROOMS, VERY OPEN FLOOR PLAN, AS YOU WALK IN YOU WILL NOTICE THE TILE THROUGH OUT THE HOME EVEN IN THE BEDROOMS. IT HAS BEEN RECENTLY PAINTED FROM THE OUTSIDE TO INSIDE, CLOSETS THROUGH OUT FOR STORAGE NEEDS, THIS BEAUTY ALSO HAS AN OUTSIDE LAUNDRY ROOM A COVER PATIO TO RELAX UNDER, BLOCK FENCE AND THE YARD HAS PLENTY OF ROOM FOR ALL YOUR TOYS. THIS HOME IS NEAR EVERYTHING FROM SHOPPING CENTERS, RESTAURANTS, SCHOOLS AND FREEWAY AND SO MUCH MORE, DO NOT MISS OUT AND COME VIEW TODAY:)
Key facts
- 6,168 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1961
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Conventional financing available
- HOA & community: No association fees; Near bus stop
Exterior
- Parking: 3 open parking spaces; 2 covered parking spaces; 1 garage space; 1 carport space
- Utilities: City water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Wood frame construction; Painted exterior; Block construction elements; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Grass in front yard; Block and wrought iron fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen (appliances not specified)
- Bedrooms: Up to 4 possible bedrooms
- Flooring: Laminate flooring; Tile flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: High-speed internet available; Eat-in kitchen; Full bath in primary bedroom
- Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookup only
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $1.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $1).
- Cap rate 1514058.3% vs local median 3.3% in Phoenix — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#16 in AZ, #3,924 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F.
- Phoenix Union High School District (4286) (urban): math 10% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #224 of 249 in AZ (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Maryvale High School (math 8% / reading 14%, grade F, #292 of 381 statewide, top 77%, 2,795 students, 88% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.5%/yr); 109 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $0 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $0 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $0 cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($0) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 5% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 159711.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 1514058.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5407328.53%
- DSCR
- 240596.69
- GRM
- 0.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $308,578
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4512 W Virginia Ave | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,118 (+0%) | 1mo | $300,000 | $268 | 80 |
| 4928 W Cypress St | 0.47mi | 4/2.0 | 1,122 (+1%) | 17mo | $329,900 | $294 | 63 |
| 2326 N 48th Dr | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,161 (+4%) | 14mo | $300,000 | $258 | 61 |
| 5028 W Roanoke Ave | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,226 (+10%) | 5mo | $305,000 | $249 | 61 |
| 2030 N 47th Ave | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,134 (+2%) | 11mo | $260,000 | $229 | 59 |
| 2221 N 51st Dr | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,053 (-6%) | 0mo | $315,000 | $299 | 57 |
| 4625 W Sheridan St | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,242 (+12%) | 16mo | $315,000 | $254 | 49 |
| 5039 W Vernon Ave | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,229 (+10%) | 7mo | $360,000 | $293 | 48 |
| 4236 W Lewis Ave | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,156 (+4%) | 17mo | $320,000 | $277 | 44 |
| 4847 W Palm Ln | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,053 (-6%) | 17mo | $320,000 | $304 | 40 |
| 1836 N 46th Dr Dr | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,002 (-10%) | 16mo | $324,400 | $324 | 31 |
| 4214 W Encanto Blvd | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,224 (+10%) | 17mo | $327,000 | $267 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 270366.76×
- Total profit
- $75,702
- Equity at exit
- $0
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 540732.92×
- Total profit
- $151,405
- Equity at exit
- $0
Cash invested: $0 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85035
- Home prices YoY
- -14.3%
- Rents YoY
- -3.5%
- Active inventory
- 109
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,597 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$0
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$0 /mo · $0/yr
- Insurance
- −$0
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$335
- Net cashflow
- $1,262
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $0
- Closing costs
- $0
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4609 Thomas Rd Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1159 | $1,195 | $1.03 | 1d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 2807 N 45th Dr Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1394 | $1,840 | $1.32 | 1d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 2627 N 45th Ave Phoenix, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 843 | $1,600 | $1.90 | 1d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 2804 N 43rd Ave Apt D Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1106 | $1,195 | $1.08 | 1d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 2658 N 43rd Ave Unit A Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1106 | $1,850 | $1.67 | 24d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 2652 N 43rd Ave Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1106 | $1,199 | $1.08 | 1d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 2540 N 51st Ave Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 637 | $1,454 | $2.28 | 1d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 2534 N 51st Dr Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1116 | $1,910 | $1.71 | 12d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 5317 W Windsor Ave Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1273 | $930 | $0.73 | 19d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 5407 W Holly St Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1053 | $2,200 | $2.09 | 1d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 3840 N 43rd Ave #78 Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1243 | $1,600 | $1.29 | 1d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 5244 W Lynwood St Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 972 | $995 | $1.02 | 1d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 5229 W Willetta St Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1035 | $1,250 | $1.21 | 1d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 5540 W Berkeley Rd Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1216 | $1,749 | $1.44 | 1d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 5416 W Lynwood St Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 972 | $1,550 | $1.59 | 1d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 5421 W Indian School Rd Phoenix, AZ | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1014 | $1,709 | $1.69 | 1d | 25 | 1.36mi |
| 3830 W McDowell Rd Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 679 | $1,449 | $2.13 | 1d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $1 Pending 37 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $1 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $1 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $1 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $1 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $1 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $1 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $1 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $1 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-04$1 Active
-
2023-09-07soldstatus $315,000
-
2023-08-31soldstatus $315,000 Closed 541-char remark
Show marketing remark (541 chars)
COME AND VIEW THIS BEAUTIFUL HOME WITH 3 BEDROOM 2 BATHROOMS, VERY OPEN FLOOR PLAN, AS YOU WALK IN YOU WILL NOTICE THE TILE THROUGH OUT THE HOME EVEN IN THE BEDROOMS. IT HAS BEEN RECENTLY PAINTED FROM THE OUTSIDE TO INSIDE, CLOSETS THROUGH OUT FOR STORAGE NEEDS, THIS BEAUTY ALSO HAS AN OUTSIDE LAUNDRY ROOM A COVER PATIO TO RELAX UNDER, BLOCK FENCE AND THE YARD HAS PLENTY OF ROOM FOR ALL YOUR TOYS. THIS HOME IS NEAR EVERYTHING FROM SHOPPING CENTERS, RESTAURANTS, SCHOOLS AND FREEWAY AND SO MUCH MORE, DO NOT MISS OUT AND COME VIEW TODAY:)
-
2023-08-11status Pending 541-char remark
Show marketing remark (541 chars)
COME AND VIEW THIS BEAUTIFUL HOME WITH 3 BEDROOM 2 BATHROOMS, VERY OPEN FLOOR PLAN, AS YOU WALK IN YOU WILL NOTICE THE TILE THROUGH OUT THE HOME EVEN IN THE BEDROOMS. IT HAS BEEN RECENTLY PAINTED FROM THE OUTSIDE TO INSIDE, CLOSETS THROUGH OUT FOR STORAGE NEEDS, THIS BEAUTY ALSO HAS AN OUTSIDE LAUNDRY ROOM A COVER PATIO TO RELAX UNDER, BLOCK FENCE AND THE YARD HAS PLENTY OF ROOM FOR ALL YOUR TOYS. THIS HOME IS NEAR EVERYTHING FROM SHOPPING CENTERS, RESTAURANTS, SCHOOLS AND FREEWAY AND SO MUCH MORE, DO NOT MISS OUT AND COME VIEW TODAY:)
-
2023-07-22price $320,000 541-char remark
Show marketing remark (541 chars)
COME AND VIEW THIS BEAUTIFUL HOME WITH 3 BEDROOM 2 BATHROOMS, VERY OPEN FLOOR PLAN, AS YOU WALK IN YOU WILL NOTICE THE TILE THROUGH OUT THE HOME EVEN IN THE BEDROOMS. IT HAS BEEN RECENTLY PAINTED FROM THE OUTSIDE TO INSIDE, CLOSETS THROUGH OUT FOR STORAGE NEEDS, THIS BEAUTY ALSO HAS AN OUTSIDE LAUNDRY ROOM A COVER PATIO TO RELAX UNDER, BLOCK FENCE AND THE YARD HAS PLENTY OF ROOM FOR ALL YOUR TOYS. THIS HOME IS NEAR EVERYTHING FROM SHOPPING CENTERS, RESTAURANTS, SCHOOLS AND FREEWAY AND SO MUCH MORE, DO NOT MISS OUT AND COME VIEW TODAY:)
-
2023-07-12price $300,000 541-char remark
Show marketing remark (541 chars)
COME AND VIEW THIS BEAUTIFUL HOME WITH 3 BEDROOM 2 BATHROOMS, VERY OPEN FLOOR PLAN, AS YOU WALK IN YOU WILL NOTICE THE TILE THROUGH OUT THE HOME EVEN IN THE BEDROOMS. IT HAS BEEN RECENTLY PAINTED FROM THE OUTSIDE TO INSIDE, CLOSETS THROUGH OUT FOR STORAGE NEEDS, THIS BEAUTY ALSO HAS AN OUTSIDE LAUNDRY ROOM A COVER PATIO TO RELAX UNDER, BLOCK FENCE AND THE YARD HAS PLENTY OF ROOM FOR ALL YOUR TOYS. THIS HOME IS NEAR EVERYTHING FROM SHOPPING CENTERS, RESTAURANTS, SCHOOLS AND FREEWAY AND SO MUCH MORE, DO NOT MISS OUT AND COME VIEW TODAY:)
-
2023-06-24$350,000 Active 541-char remark
Show marketing remark (541 chars)
COME AND VIEW THIS BEAUTIFUL HOME WITH 3 BEDROOM 2 BATHROOMS, VERY OPEN FLOOR PLAN, AS YOU WALK IN YOU WILL NOTICE THE TILE THROUGH OUT THE HOME EVEN IN THE BEDROOMS. IT HAS BEEN RECENTLY PAINTED FROM THE OUTSIDE TO INSIDE, CLOSETS THROUGH OUT FOR STORAGE NEEDS, THIS BEAUTY ALSO HAS AN OUTSIDE LAUNDRY ROOM A COVER PATIO TO RELAX UNDER, BLOCK FENCE AND THE YARD HAS PLENTY OF ROOM FOR ALL YOUR TOYS. THIS HOME IS NEAR EVERYTHING FROM SHOPPING CENTERS, RESTAURANTS, SCHOOLS AND FREEWAY AND SO MUCH MORE, DO NOT MISS OUT AND COME VIEW TODAY:)
-
2023-04-13historical 747-char remark
Show marketing remark (747 chars)
Don't miss out on this extraordinary opportunity to own a 3-bed, 2-bath home with an impressive front yard! Inside you'll find a cozy and inviting living room, modern appliances installed in the kitchen, plus a private main bedroom. Step outside into your backyard which is ideal for socializing or simply taking time to relax. This residence provides the perfect blend of comfort and convenience that will make you never want to leave! Don't hesitate to make this affordable house your home, situated only minutes away from parks, schools, bus stops, restaurants and shopping. With all the amenities it offers at such an incredible value—this property is truly not one to be missed! So why wait? Are you ready for a change of address today?
-
2023-04-12soldstatus $180,000 Closed 747-char remark
Show marketing remark (747 chars)
Don't miss out on this extraordinary opportunity to own a 3-bed, 2-bath home with an impressive front yard! Inside you'll find a cozy and inviting living room, modern appliances installed in the kitchen, plus a private main bedroom. Step outside into your backyard which is ideal for socializing or simply taking time to relax. This residence provides the perfect blend of comfort and convenience that will make you never want to leave! Don't hesitate to make this affordable house your home, situated only minutes away from parks, schools, bus stops, restaurants and shopping. With all the amenities it offers at such an incredible value—this property is truly not one to be missed! So why wait? Are you ready for a change of address today?
-
2023-03-16status Pending 747-char remark
Show marketing remark (747 chars)
Don't miss out on this extraordinary opportunity to own a 3-bed, 2-bath home with an impressive front yard! Inside you'll find a cozy and inviting living room, modern appliances installed in the kitchen, plus a private main bedroom. Step outside into your backyard which is ideal for socializing or simply taking time to relax. This residence provides the perfect blend of comfort and convenience that will make you never want to leave! Don't hesitate to make this affordable house your home, situated only minutes away from parks, schools, bus stops, restaurants and shopping. With all the amenities it offers at such an incredible value—this property is truly not one to be missed! So why wait? Are you ready for a change of address today?
-
2023-03-16$180,000 Active 747-char remark
Show marketing remark (747 chars)
Don't miss out on this extraordinary opportunity to own a 3-bed, 2-bath home with an impressive front yard! Inside you'll find a cozy and inviting living room, modern appliances installed in the kitchen, plus a private main bedroom. Step outside into your backyard which is ideal for socializing or simply taking time to relax. This residence provides the perfect blend of comfort and convenience that will make you never want to leave! Don't hesitate to make this affordable house your home, situated only minutes away from parks, schools, bus stops, restaurants and shopping. With all the amenities it offers at such an incredible value—this property is truly not one to be missed! So why wait? Are you ready for a change of address today?
-
1998-05-15soldstatus $750,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,165
- − Mortgage interest
- −$0
- − Property taxes
- −$0
- − Insurance
- −$0
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,533
- − Management
- −$1,533
- − Depreciation
- −$0
- Taxable income
- $16,099
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,864
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,277/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Phoenix Union High School District (4286)
- NCES district ID
- 0406330
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -27.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 15% ▼ -18.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,055
- Composite
- 10.63/100
- National rank
- #9773
- State rank
- #224 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Phoenix
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #16
- US rank
- #3924
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Phoenix, AZ
- County
- Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
- City population
- 1,500,198
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 53,424
- Household income
- $60,440
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2269.0
Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 4,979,203 people
- By 2030
- 5,378,229 · +8.0%
- By 2040
- 6,156,598 · +23.6%
- By 2050
- 6,872,376 · +38.0%
- By 2075
- 8,401,270 · +68.7%
- By 2100
- 9,247,439 · +85.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 77% Two or more races 32% Black 10% White 7% Native American 4% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 70%
- Foreign-born
- 30% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 36% English-only · Spanish 62% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -83.58%
- Current HPI
- 499.1137
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -3.50%
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
||
| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
|
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Price history
-58.0% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Listed $1 ARMLS
- 2023-09-07 Sold (Public Records) $315,000 Public Records
- 2023-08-31 Sold (MLS) $315,000 ARMLS
- 2023-08-11 Pending — ARMLS
- 2023-07-22 Price Changed $320,000 ARMLS
- 2023-07-12 Price Changed $300,000 ARMLS
- 2023-06-24 Listed $350,000 ARMLS
- 2023-04-13 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2023-04-12 Sold (MLS) $180,000 ARMLS
- 2023-03-16 Pending — ARMLS
- 2023-03-16 Listed $180,000 ARMLS
- 1998-05-15 Sold (Public Records) $750,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-2.7%/yrLatest (2025): $765 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…