308 Rowland St · Syracuse, NY
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $2,026 – $9,024
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.6/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
$105,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great news to investors & home owners! A unique turn of the century single-family home just below Geddes Reservoir that supplies clean fresh spring water from the Finger Lake Skaneateles. It features 4 bedrooms upstairs with potential extra one bedroom at downstairs. A good size kitchen with newly replaced floor, walk-in pantry/laundry, a classic dinning and living with remolded arch entryways. Double stairs cases, walk-in closets, full attic, and basement, fenced yard. It has potential to make a fifth room at downstairs. The house brings to you more options to develop your new home. You might run your home business, such as daycare center or home office. Just a short walk to Mun
Key facts
- Walk in closets
- Double stair cases
- Walk in pantry
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $346 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $105k).
- Cap rate 15.5% vs local median 8.2% in Syracuse — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#187 in NY, #2,869 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment D-.
- Syracuse City School District (urban): math 18% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #590 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 119 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,877/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($45k/yr) (locally 2073% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $11k of equity ($726 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.79% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 32.92%
- DSCR
- 2.46
- GRM
- 4.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $133,920
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 207 Sabine St | 0.42mi | 4/2.0 | 2,009 (+8%) | 4mo | $70,000 | $35 | 60 |
| 122 Lydell St | 0.21mi | 4/2.0 | 1,654 (-11%) | 12mo | $85,000 | $51 | 58 |
| 806 Tallman St | 0.72mi | 4/1.5 | 1,938 (+4%) | 0mo | $140,000 | $72 | 57 |
| 413 Fitch St | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,624 (-13%) | 9mo | $50,000 | $31 | 56 |
| 101 Bradley St | 0.15mi | 4/2.0 | 1,604 (-14%) | 12mo | $99,000 | $62 | 56 |
| 412 Roberts Ave | 0.53mi | 4/1.0 | 1,639 (-12%) | 7mo | $219,300 | $134 | 50 |
| 229 Holland St | 0.63mi | 4/1.5 | 2,082 (+12%) | 0mo | $137,000 | $66 | 48 |
| 1905 S Geddes St | 0.53mi | 4/1.5 | 2,046 (+10%) | 10mo | $175,000 | $86 | 48 |
| 328 Whittier Ave | 0.74mi | 4/2.0 | 2,000 (+8%) | 2mo | $112,000 | $56 | 47 |
| 1607 Stolp Ave | 0.73mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,778 (-4%) | 9mo | $279,900 | $157 | 40 |
| 221 Whittier Ave | 0.71mi | 4/1.5 | 2,133 (+15%) | 2mo | $190,000 | $89 | 39 |
| 622 Stinard Ave | 0.62mi | 4/2.0 | 2,136 (+15%) | 10mo | $300,000 | $140 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 38.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.04×
- Total profit
- $89,438
- Equity at exit
- $94,592
- IRR
- 35.4%
- Equity multiple
- 10.22×
- Total profit
- $271,169
- Equity at exit
- $203,992
Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13204
- Home prices YoY
- 31.6%
- Rents YoY
- 8.2%
- Active inventory
- 119
- Price-to-rent
- 4.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,877 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$551
- Tax from tax record
- −$82 /mo · $981/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$460 /mo · $5,525/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$394
- Net cashflow
- $346
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,250
- Closing costs
- $3,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 214 Rowland St Syracuse, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2092 | $1,800 | $0.86 | 13d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 1110 Bellevue Ave Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1449 | $1,500 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 315 Grant Ave #17 Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1477 | $1,275 | $0.86 | 13d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 318 Kellogg St Unit 2 Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1523 | $1,675 | $1.10 | 43d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 318 Kellogg St Unit 1 Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1523 | $1,650 | $1.08 | 43d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 326 Holland St Unit 1 Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2100 | $1,825 | $0.87 | 43d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 121 Whittier Ave Syracuse, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $600 | $0.43 | 43d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 349 Bryant Ave Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $2,300 | $1.53 | 13d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 269 W Borden Ave Syracuse, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1800 | $650 | $0.36 | 21d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1330 Midland Ave Syracuse, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1870 | $2,000 | $1.07 | 21d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $105,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $105,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-16statusdays on market $105,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-02-16status Pending
-
2026-02-14historical Active Under Contract
-
2025-12-06$105,000 Active
-
2025-11-30historical
-
2025-08-12$121,000 Active
-
2025-07-19historical
-
2025-05-21$120,000 Active
-
2022-10-26historical
-
2022-09-06price $64,900
-
2022-07-22$69,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $981 · $82/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,378 · $115/mo
- Expected delta
- +$397/yr (+$33/mo · 40.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,523
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,882
- − Property taxes
- −$981
- − Insurance
- −$6,050
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,802
- − Management
- −$1,802
- − Depreciation
- −$3,055
- Taxable income
- $2,952
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$709
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,446/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Syracuse City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3628590
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,097
- Composite
- 17.83/100
- National rank
- #9007
- State rank
- #590 of 590 in NY
Livability — Syracuse
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #187
- US rank
- #2869
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Syracuse, NY
- County
- Onondaga County · 247,257 people
- City population
- 152,627
- Metro
- Syracuse, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,440
- Household income
- $45,351
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2073.0
Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 467,894 people
- By 2030
- 463,381 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 447,697 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 426,399 · -8.9%
- By 2075
- 373,661 · -20.1%
- By 2100
- 307,967 · -34.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 13% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 12% Cuban 2% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Subsaharan African 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 11% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga
- 2024 margin
- D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 100.14%
- Current HPI
- 416.7272
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.24%
- Metro
- Syracuse, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+50.2% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-16 Pending — CNYIS
- 2026-02-14 Contingent — CNYIS
- 2025-12-06 Listed $105,000 CNYIS
- 2025-11-30 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2025-08-12 Listed $121,000 CNYIS
- 2025-07-19 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2025-05-21 Listed $120,000 CNYIS
- 2022-10-26 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2022-09-06 Price Changed $64,900 CNYIS
- 2022-07-22 Listed $69,900 CNYIS
Property tax history
-0.3%/yrLatest (2025): $981 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…