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308 Rowland St
A Composite 87.69
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.6/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0

$105,000

308 Rowland St · Syracuse, NY 13204
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,860 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1910 4,400 sqft lot Est $134k · 22% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Great news to investors & home owners! A unique turn of the century single-family home just below Geddes Reservoir that supplies clean fresh spring water from the Finger Lake Skaneateles. It features 4 bedrooms upstairs with potential extra one bedroom at downstairs. A good size kitchen with newly replaced floor, walk-in pantry/laundry, a classic dinning and living with remolded arch entryways. Double stairs cases, walk-in closets, full attic, and basement, fenced yard. It has potential to make a fifth room at downstairs. The house brings to you more options to develop your new home. You might run your home business, such as daycare center or home office. Just a short walk to Mun

Key facts

  • Walk in closets
  • Double stair cases
  • Walk in pantry

Tags

CLEAN FRESH SPRING WATERWALK IN PANTRYREMOLDED ARCH ENTRYWAYSDOUBLE STAIR CASESWALK IN CLOSETSFULL ATTIC

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $346 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $105k).
  • Cap rate 15.5% vs local median 8.2% in Syracuse — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#187 in NY, #2,869 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment D-.
  • Syracuse City School District (urban): math 18% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #590 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 119 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,877/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($45k/yr) (locally 2073% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $11k of equity ($726 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $105,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.79%
Cap rate
15.51%
Cash-on-cash
32.92%
DSCR
2.46
GRM
4.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$133,920
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
207 Sabine St 0.42mi 4/2.0 2,009 (+8%) 4mo $70,000 $35 60
122 Lydell St 0.21mi 4/2.0 1,654 (-11%) 12mo $85,000 $51 58
806 Tallman St 0.72mi 4/1.5 1,938 (+4%) 0mo $140,000 $72 57
413 Fitch St 0.14mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,624 (-13%) 9mo $50,000 $31 56
101 Bradley St 0.15mi 4/2.0 1,604 (-14%) 12mo $99,000 $62 56
412 Roberts Ave 0.53mi 4/1.0 1,639 (-12%) 7mo $219,300 $134 50
229 Holland St 0.63mi 4/1.5 2,082 (+12%) 0mo $137,000 $66 48
1905 S Geddes St 0.53mi 4/1.5 2,046 (+10%) 10mo $175,000 $86 48
328 Whittier Ave 0.74mi 4/2.0 2,000 (+8%) 2mo $112,000 $56 47
1607 Stolp Ave 0.73mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,778 (-4%) 9mo $279,900 $157 40
221 Whittier Ave 0.71mi 4/1.5 2,133 (+15%) 2mo $190,000 $89 39
622 Stinard Ave 0.62mi 4/2.0 2,136 (+15%) 10mo $300,000 $140 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
38.1%
Equity multiple
4.04×
Total profit
$89,438
Equity at exit
$94,592
10-year hold
IRR
35.4%
Equity multiple
10.22×
Total profit
$271,169
Equity at exit
$203,992

Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13204

Home prices YoY
31.6%
Rents YoY
8.2%
Active inventory
119
Price-to-rent
4.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,877 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$551
Tax from tax record
$82 /mo · $981/yr
Insurance
$44
Flood insurance flood zone
−$460 /mo · $5,525/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$394
Net cashflow
$346

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,439
Max offer price $105,000
Occupancy floor 77%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,250
Closing costs
$3,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
214 Rowland St Syracuse, NY 4.0 1.0 2092 $1,800 $0.86 13d 1 0.09mi
1110 Bellevue Ave Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.0 1449 $1,500 $1.04 43d 1 0.22mi
315 Grant Ave #17 Syracuse, NY 3.0 2.0 1477 $1,275 $0.86 13d 1 0.31mi
318 Kellogg St Unit 2 Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.0 1523 $1,675 $1.10 43d 1 0.42mi
318 Kellogg St Unit 1 Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.0 1523 $1,650 $1.08 43d 1 0.42mi
326 Holland St Unit 1 Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.0 2100 $1,825 $0.87 43d 1 0.48mi
121 Whittier Ave Syracuse, NY 4.0 1.0 1400 $600 $0.43 43d 1 0.73mi
349 Bryant Ave Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.5 1500 $2,300 $1.53 13d 1 0.79mi
269 W Borden Ave Syracuse, NY 4.0 1.5 1800 $650 $0.36 21d 1 1.38mi
1330 Midland Ave Syracuse, NY 4.0 1.0 1870 $2,000 $1.07 21d 1 1.38mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $105,000 Active 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $105,000 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    statusdays on marketlisting id $105,000 Active 1 DOM
  4. 2026-02-16
    status Pending
  5. 2026-02-14
    historical Active Under Contract
  6. 2025-12-06
    listed $105,000 Active
  7. 2025-11-30
    historical
  8. 2025-08-12
    listed $121,000 Active
  9. 2025-07-19
    historical
  10. 2025-05-21
    listed $120,000 Active
  11. 2022-10-26
    historical
  12. 2022-09-06
    price $64,900
  13. 2022-07-22
    listed $69,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$981 · $82/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,378 · $115/mo
Expected delta
+$397/yr (+$33/mo · 40.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,523
− Mortgage interest
−$5,882
− Property taxes
−$981
− Insurance
−$6,050
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,802
− Management
−$1,802
− Depreciation
−$3,055
Taxable income
$2,952
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$709
After-tax cash flow
$3,446/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Syracuse City School District
NCES district ID
3628590
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$32,097
Composite
17.83/100
National rank
#9007
State rank
#590 of 590 in NY

Livability — Syracuse

Score
77/100
State rank
#187
US rank
#2869

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Syracuse, NY
County
Onondaga County · 247,257 people
City population
152,627
Metro
Syracuse, NY
Population (ZIP)
19,440
Household income
$45,351
Rent vs Own
70.8% rent · 29.2% own
Severe rent burden
2073.0

Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
467,894 people
By 2030
463,381 · -1.0%
By 2040
447,697 · -4.3%
By 2050
426,399 · -8.9%
By 2075
373,661 · -20.1%
By 2100
307,967 · -34.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
White 47% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 13% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 12% Cuban 2% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Subsaharan African 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
83% English-only · Spanish 11% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga

2024 margin
D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
2008→2024 swing
-3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 100.14%
Current HPI
416.7272
Rent YoY
▲ 8.24%
Metro
Syracuse, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+50.2% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-16 Pending CNYIS
  • 2026-02-14 Contingent CNYIS
  • 2025-12-06 Listed $105,000 CNYIS
  • 2025-11-30 Listing Removed CNYIS
  • 2025-08-12 Listed $121,000 CNYIS
  • 2025-07-19 Listing Removed CNYIS
  • 2025-05-21 Listed $120,000 CNYIS
  • 2022-10-26 Listing Removed CNYIS
  • 2022-09-06 Price Changed $64,900 CNYIS
  • 2022-07-22 Listed $69,900 CNYIS

Property tax history

-0.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $981 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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