240 Shannon Dr · Science Hill, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.8/30.0
- Appreciation +7.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- DSCR +3.8/10.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 240 Shannon Drive in Science Hill. This singlewide home offers 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms on a spacious 1 acre lot. The property features a flat yard that makes upkeep simple and opens the door for gardening, raising chickens, or creating a fenced space for pets. Recent updates include a new HVAC system and a new water heater, providing peace of mind. Conveniently located close to town, this home blends country living with nearby amenities. Updated photos will be available soon.
Key facts
- Close to town
- Spacious 1 acre lot
- New water heater
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-11 ($-131/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $123k (1.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $108k (13.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $108k (13.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.7% in Science Hill — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#300 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Pulaski County (town): math 43% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #17 of 165 in KY (top 10%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 30 active listings in the ZIP; 117 units permitted in Pulaski County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (5.2% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (5.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 276 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $12k; list at $125k implies a 942% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 276 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.37%
- DSCR
- 0.98
- GRM
- 9.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.22% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.85×
- Total profit
- $29,696
- Equity at exit
- $72,497
- IRR
- 13.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.56×
- Total profit
- $89,712
- Equity at exit
- $126,517
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 42553
- Home prices YoY
- 1.7%
- Active inventory
- 30
- Price-to-rent
- 9.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,080 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$156 /mo · $1,875/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$227
- Net cashflow
- $-11
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $76 | -5% $32 | +0% $-11 | +5% $-54 | +10% $-97 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-96 | -5% $-54 | +0% $-11 | +5% $32 | +10% $74 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $52 | -0.5pp $21 | base $-11 | +0.5pp $-43 | +1.0pp $-76 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $125,000 Active 276 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $125,000 Active 275 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $125,000 Active 273 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $125,000 Active 272 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $125,000 Active 271 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $125,000 Active 270 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $125,000 Active 268 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $125,000 Active 267 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $125,000 Active 264 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $125,000 Active 263 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $125,000 Active 262 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $125,000 Active 261 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $125,000 Active 258 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $125,000 Active 257 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $125,000 Active 256 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 255 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 254 DOM
-
2025-09-18$125,000 Active 494-char remark
Show marketing remark (494 chars)
Welcome to 240 Shannon Drive in Science Hill. This singlewide home offers 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms on a spacious 1 acre lot. The property features a flat yard that makes upkeep simple and opens the door for gardening, raising chickens, or creating a fenced space for pets. Recent updates include a new HVAC system and a new water heater, providing peace of mind. Conveniently located close to town, this home blends country living with nearby amenities. Updated photos will be available soon.
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2012-08-08soldstatus $12,000
-
2005-03-09soldstatus $14,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,956
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$1,875
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,037
- − Management
- −$1,037
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable loss
- −$2,255
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$541
- After-tax cash flow
- $411/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pulaski County
- NCES district ID
- 2104950
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,366
- Composite
- 39.69/100
- National rank
- #3906
- State rank
- #17 of 165 in KY
Livability — Science Hill
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #300
- US rank
- #14380
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,962
Population outlook (Pulaski County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 65,414 people
- By 2030
- 65,828 · +0.6%
- By 2040
- 65,972 · +0.9%
- By 2050
- 65,108 · -0.5%
- By 2075
- 61,647 · -5.8%
- By 2100
- 53,613 · -18.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (97%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 97% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Subsaharan African 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pulaski
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+65.2) · D 16.9% · R 82.1% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.9pp toward R · 2008: -55.4pp · 2024: -65.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+65.2 2020: R+62.7 2016: R+66.7 2012: R+60.5 2008: R+55.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.22%
- Current HPI
- 312.5486
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
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Price history
+762.1% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2025-09-18 Listed $125,000 HKARMLS
- 2012-08-08 Sold (Public Records) $12,000 Public Records
- 2005-03-09 Sold (Public Records) $14,500 Public Records
Property tax history
-8.3%/yrLatest (2025): $36 · -2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…