1645 23rd St · Sarasota, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 29 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.4/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.7/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$49,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nice 3 bedroom 1 bath 800 SqFt home! Great investment property. Needs a little TLC
Key facts
- 5,750 sq ft lot
- Built 1959
- Listed 12 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property type: Residential (Single Family Residence); Zoned RSF4; Lot about 0.13 acres (approximately 0 to less than 1/4 acre)
- HOA & community: No HOA association listed
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Faces south
- Construction: Frame construction; Shingle roof; Crawlspace foundation; Approximately 800 sq ft living area
- Exterior features: Private mailbox; Concrete and paved road frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Tile flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: No interior features listed
- Laundry & utility: No laundry room features listed
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $50k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#121 in FL, #1,854 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, health & safety A+, commute A; Watch: crime F.
- Sarasota (urban): math 63% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #7 of 73 in FL (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.1%/yr); 268 active listings in the ZIP; 7,466 units permitted in Sarasota County in 2024 (2,138 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sarasota County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 35.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- 105.08%
- DSCR
- 5.68
- GRM
- 2.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 5.57×
- Total profit
- $63,889
- Equity at exit
- $7,440
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 10.52×
- Total profit
- $133,003
- Equity at exit
- $4,314
Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34234
- Rents YoY
- -3.1%
- Active inventory
- 268
- Price-to-rent
- 2.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,050 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax from tax record
- −$114 /mo · $1,367/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$431
- Net cashflow
- $1,223
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,475
- Closing costs
- $1,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-05statusdays on market $49,900 Pending 12 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $49,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $49,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $49,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $49,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-05-05status Pending
-
2026-04-30$49,900 Active
-
2018-04-24soldstatus $55,000
-
2018-04-16soldstatus $55,000 Sold 82-char remark
Show marketing remark (82 chars)
Nice 3 bedroom 1 bath 800 SqFt home! Great investment property. Needs a little TLC
-
2018-04-11status Pending 82-char remark
Show marketing remark (82 chars)
Nice 3 bedroom 1 bath 800 SqFt home! Great investment property. Needs a little TLC
-
2018-03-26status Pending 82-char remark
Show marketing remark (82 chars)
Nice 3 bedroom 1 bath 800 SqFt home! Great investment property. Needs a little TLC
-
2018-03-20historical 82-char remark
Show marketing remark (82 chars)
Nice 3 bedroom 1 bath 800 SqFt home! Great investment property. Needs a little TLC
-
2018-02-14status Active 82-char remark
Show marketing remark (82 chars)
Nice 3 bedroom 1 bath 800 SqFt home! Great investment property. Needs a little TLC
-
2018-01-29status Pending 82-char remark
Show marketing remark (82 chars)
Nice 3 bedroom 1 bath 800 SqFt home! Great investment property. Needs a little TLC
-
2018-01-16price $55,000 82-char remark
Show marketing remark (82 chars)
Nice 3 bedroom 1 bath 800 SqFt home! Great investment property. Needs a little TLC
-
2018-01-16status Active 82-char remark
Show marketing remark (82 chars)
Nice 3 bedroom 1 bath 800 SqFt home! Great investment property. Needs a little TLC
-
2018-01-08status Pending 82-char remark
Show marketing remark (82 chars)
Nice 3 bedroom 1 bath 800 SqFt home! Great investment property. Needs a little TLC
-
2017-12-24price $65,000 82-char remark
Show marketing remark (82 chars)
Nice 3 bedroom 1 bath 800 SqFt home! Great investment property. Needs a little TLC
-
2017-12-18status Active 82-char remark
Show marketing remark (82 chars)
Nice 3 bedroom 1 bath 800 SqFt home! Great investment property. Needs a little TLC
-
2017-12-18historical 82-char remark
Show marketing remark (82 chars)
Nice 3 bedroom 1 bath 800 SqFt home! Great investment property. Needs a little TLC
-
2017-12-12price $70,000 82-char remark
Show marketing remark (82 chars)
Nice 3 bedroom 1 bath 800 SqFt home! Great investment property. Needs a little TLC
-
2017-12-07$75,000 Active 82-char remark
Show marketing remark (82 chars)
Nice 3 bedroom 1 bath 800 SqFt home! Great investment property. Needs a little TLC
-
2013-06-11soldstatus $55,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,367 · $114/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,367 · $114/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,604
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,795
- − Property taxes
- −$1,367
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,968
- − Management
- −$1,968
- − Depreciation
- −$1,452
- Taxable income
- $14,805
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,553
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,128/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sarasota
- NCES district ID
- 1201680
- Math proficiency
- 63% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 63% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,167
- Composite
- 53.68/100
- National rank
- #1428
- State rank
- #7 of 73 in FL
Livability — Sarasota
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #121
- US rank
- #1854
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sarasota, FL
- County
- Sarasota County · 448,376 people
- City population
- 261,896
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,986
- Household income
- $57,288
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1306.0
Population outlook (Sarasota County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 452,380 people
- By 2030
- 474,175 · +4.8%
- By 2040
- 511,577 · +13.1%
- By 2050
- 541,467 · +19.7%
- By 2075
- 604,947 · +33.7%
- By 2100
- 621,965 · +37.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 44% Black 31% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 14% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 6% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Hispanic 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 17% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sarasota
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.2) · D 40.5% · R 58.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.1pp toward R · 2008: -0.1pp · 2024: -18.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.2 2020: R+10.4 2016: R+11.6 2012: R+7.4 2008: R+0.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -229.06%
- Current HPI
- 305.6629
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -3.15%
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-10.7% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-30 Listed $49,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-04-24 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
- 2018-04-16 Sold (MLS) $55,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-04-11 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-03-26 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-03-20 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-02-14 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-01-29 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-01-16 Price Changed $55,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-01-16 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-01-08 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-12-24 Price Changed $65,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-12-18 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-12-18 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-12-12 Price Changed $70,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-12-07 Listed $75,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-06-11 Sold (Public Records) $55,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+9.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,367 · -1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…