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8 Ash Ln
C+ Composite 61.43
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.8/30.0
  • DSCR +8.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.4/10.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$141,500

8 Ash Ln · Richland, PA 18951
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 826 sqft · SingleFamily · 70 Days on market
Built 2026 Good condition 0.25 ac lot $171/sqft · 83% above area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Enjoy watching nature from the porch of this cozy new home nestled on a wooded lot. The open concept and vinyl floors provide low maintenance in the living areas and carpet allows for warmth in the bedrooms. Don't miss the opportunity to own this value priced home. Enjoy the park amenities included in the land lease of $991/mo . Park approval required

Key facts

  • Wooded lot
  • Open concept
  • Vinyl floors

Tags

WOODED LOTOPEN CONCEPTVINYL FLOORSPARK AMENITIES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $142k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $300 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $142k).
  • Recommended offer: $133k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#498 in PA, #4,585 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Quakertown Community SD (suburban): math 45% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #154 of 539 in PA (top 29%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 144 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 663 units permitted in Bucks County in 2024 (106 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $978 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bucks County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($133k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $133,010 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.14%
Cap rate
8.84%
Cash-on-cash
9.09%
DSCR
1.40
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$77,480
List price
$141,500
Delta
82.63%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
11 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.5%
Equity multiple
0.90×
Total profit
$-3,782
Equity at exit
$21,098
10-year hold
IRR
7.2%
Equity multiple
1.54×
Total profit
$21,429
Equity at exit
$12,234

Cash invested: $39,620 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18951

Active inventory
144
Price-to-rent
7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,618 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$742
Tax est. 1.5%
$177 /mo · $2,122/yr
Insurance
$59
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$340
Net cashflow
$300

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,238
Max offer price $141,500
Occupancy floor 76%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $398 -5% $349 +0% $300 +5% $251 +10% $202
Rent -10% $172 -5% $236 +0% $300 +5% $364 +10% $428
Rate -1.0pp $372 -0.5pp $336 base $300 +0.5pp $264 +1.0pp $226

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$35,375
Closing costs
$4,245
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
155 Redwood Dr Quakertown, PA 1.0 1.5 1080 $1,100 $1.02 44d 1 1.22mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $141,500 Active 70 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $141,500 Active 69 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $141,500 Active 68 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $141,500 Active 67 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $141,500 Active 65 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $141,500 Active 64 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $141,500 Active 61 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $141,500 Active 60 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $141,500 Active 59 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $141,500 Active 56 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $141,500 Active 55 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $141,500 Active 54 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $141,500 Active 53 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $141,500 Active 52 DOM
  15. 2026-04-09
    listed $141,500 Active 354-char remark
    Show marketing remark (354 chars)

    Enjoy watching nature from the porch of this cozy new home nestled on a wooded lot. The open concept and vinyl floors provide low maintenance in the living areas and carpet allows for warmth in the bedrooms. Don't miss the opportunity to own this value priced home. Enjoy the park amenities included in the land lease of $991/mo . Park approval required

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 22% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,414
− Mortgage interest
−$7,926
− Property taxes
−$2,122
− Insurance
−$708
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,553
− Management
−$1,553
− Depreciation
−$4,116
Taxable income
$1,436
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$345
After-tax cash flow
$3,258/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 8 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This home is in good condition with modern updates and a good curb appeal. It is ready for a new owner and would benefit from some landscaping and painting to further enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both Painting — Fresh paint can make the home look more inviting
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal — Improves the home's overall appearance and value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both Painting — Fresh paint can make the home look more inviting
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal — Improves the home's overall appearance and value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Quakertown Community SD
NCES district ID
4219890
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$66,186
Composite
44.3/100
National rank
#2833
State rank
#154 of 539 in PA

Livability — Richland

Score
74/100
State rank
#498
US rank
#4585

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety B User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Bucks County · 506,477 people
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Population (ZIP)
36,568
Household income
$98,268
Rent vs Own
18.0% rent · 82.0% own
Severe rent burden
488.0

Population outlook (Bucks County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
630,973 people
By 2030
627,093 · -0.6%
By 2040
609,680 · -3.4%
By 2050
584,225 · -7.4%
By 2075
539,840 · -14.4%
By 2100
483,970 · -23.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 3% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Polish 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bucks

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.5% · R 49.5%
2008→2024 swing
-8.7pp toward R · 2008: 8.7pp · 2024: -0.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+0.1 2020: D+4.4 2016: D+0.6 2012: D+1.2 2008: D+8.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -247.25%
Current HPI
283.2262
Rent YoY
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-09 Listed $141,500 BRIGHT MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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