8 Ash Ln · Richland, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 22.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.8/30.0
- DSCR +8.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.4/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$141,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Enjoy watching nature from the porch of this cozy new home nestled on a wooded lot. The open concept and vinyl floors provide low maintenance in the living areas and carpet allows for warmth in the bedrooms. Don't miss the opportunity to own this value priced home. Enjoy the park amenities included in the land lease of $991/mo . Park approval required
Key facts
- Wooded lot
- Open concept
- Vinyl floors
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $142k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $300 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $142k).
- Recommended offer: $133k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#498 in PA, #4,585 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Quakertown Community SD (suburban): math 45% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #154 of 539 in PA (top 29%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 144 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 663 units permitted in Bucks County in 2024 (106 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $978 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bucks County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($133k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.09%
- DSCR
- 1.40
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $77,480
- List price
- $141,500
- Delta
- 82.63%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 11 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.90×
- Total profit
- $-3,782
- Equity at exit
- $21,098
- IRR
- 7.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.54×
- Total profit
- $21,429
- Equity at exit
- $12,234
Cash invested: $39,620 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18951
- Active inventory
- 144
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,618 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$742
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$177 /mo · $2,122/yr
- Insurance
- −$59
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$340
- Net cashflow
- $300
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $398 | -5% $349 | +0% $300 | +5% $251 | +10% $202 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $172 | -5% $236 | +0% $300 | +5% $364 | +10% $428 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $372 | -0.5pp $336 | base $300 | +0.5pp $264 | +1.0pp $226 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,375
- Closing costs
- $4,245
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 155 Redwood Dr Quakertown, PA | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1080 | $1,100 | $1.02 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $141,500 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $141,500 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $141,500 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $141,500 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $141,500 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $141,500 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $141,500 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $141,500 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $141,500 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $141,500 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $141,500 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $141,500 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $141,500 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $141,500 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-04-09$141,500 Active 354-char remark
Show marketing remark (354 chars)
Enjoy watching nature from the porch of this cozy new home nestled on a wooded lot. The open concept and vinyl floors provide low maintenance in the living areas and carpet allows for warmth in the bedrooms. Don't miss the opportunity to own this value priced home. Enjoy the park amenities included in the land lease of $991/mo . Park approval required
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 22% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,414
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,926
- − Property taxes
- −$2,122
- − Insurance
- −$708
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,553
- − Management
- −$1,553
- − Depreciation
- −$4,116
- Taxable income
- $1,436
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$345
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,258/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 8 photos
This home is in good condition with modern updates and a good curb appeal. It is ready for a new owner and would benefit from some landscaping and painting to further enhance its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
- Both Painting — Fresh paint can make the home look more inviting
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal — Improves the home's overall appearance and value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both Painting — Fresh paint can make the home look more inviting ↑
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal — Improves the home's overall appearance and value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Quakertown Community SD
- NCES district ID
- 4219890
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,186
- Composite
- 44.3/100
- National rank
- #2833
- State rank
- #154 of 539 in PA
Livability — Richland
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #498
- US rank
- #4585
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Bucks County · 506,477 people
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,568
- Household income
- $98,268
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 488.0
Population outlook (Bucks County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 630,973 people
- By 2030
- 627,093 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 609,680 · -3.4%
- By 2050
- 584,225 · -7.4%
- By 2075
- 539,840 · -14.4%
- By 2100
- 483,970 · -23.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 3% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Polish 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bucks
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.5% · R 49.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.7pp toward R · 2008: 8.7pp · 2024: -0.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+0.1 2020: D+4.4 2016: D+0.6 2012: D+1.2 2008: D+8.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -247.25%
- Current HPI
- 283.2262
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-09 Listed $141,500 BRIGHT MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…