6070 SW 99th Pl · Liberty Triangle, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +11.9/30.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- DSCR +3.5/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.9/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$170,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Under contract-accepting backup offers. One or more photo(s) has been virtually staged. Beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home with den located in the desirable 55+ community of Cherrywood in Ocala! This move-in ready home offers a bright, open floor plan designed for comfortable Florida living with newer luxury vinyl wood flooring, fresh neutral paint, and excellent overall condition throughout. The spacious kitchen features a breakfast bar, bay-window breakfast nook, and plenty of cabinet space, while the large primary suite includes a walk-in closet and updated carpeting. Enjoy peaceful mornings or relaxing evenings on the screened patio overlooking the beautifully maintained yard
Key facts
- Screened patio
- Updated carpeting
- Walk-in closet
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area listed as 1,687 sq ft (public records); Building area listed as 2,634 sq ft (public records); Direction the home faces: North
- Financial info: No lease restrictions indicated
- HOA & community: Monthly HOA fee of $328 (includes pool, recreational facilities and trash); Community amenities: clubhouse, fitness center, pool, tennis courts; Pets allowed; Senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; Attached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water connected; Irrigation equipment
- Home design: Single family residence; One story; North-facing
- Construction: Block and stucco construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Completed condition; Built on a 0.21-acre lot (approx. 91 x 100)
- Exterior features: Enclosed, screened rear porch; Patio/porch area; Private mailbox; Rain gutters; Sliding doors; Paved lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator; Disposal; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Laminate; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Built-in features; Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Split bedroom floorplan; Walk-in closet(s); Blinds, rods and other window treatments
- Laundry & utility: In-home laundry room; Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-42 ($-504/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $163k (4.4% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
- Recommended offer: $163k (4.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 4.5% in Liberty Triangle — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Hammett Bowen Jr. Elementary School (math 56% / reading 56%, grade C+, #832 of 2,144 statewide, top 40%, 867 students, 54% FRL); Liberty Middle School (math 40% / reading 41%, grade F, #360 of 571 statewide, top 64%, 1,365 students, 54% FRL); West Port High School (math 34% / reading 52%, grade F, #255 of 667 statewide, top 39%, 2,906 students, 52% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.6%/yr); 858 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 8 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.06%
- DSCR
- 0.95
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $264,859
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10031 SW 62nd Cir | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,855 (+10%) | 3mo | $200,000 | $108 | 75 |
| 9611 SW 62nd Ct | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,622 (-4%) | 3mo | $255,000 | $157 | 73 |
| 9619 SW 62nd Ct | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,615 (-4%) | 11mo | $255,490 | $158 | 73 |
| 6166 SW 100th Loop | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,535 (-9%) | 7mo | $174,000 | $113 | 70 |
| 10501 SW 60th Ter | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,699 (+1%) | 4mo | $224,900 | $132 | 69 |
| 5920 SW 102nd St | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,495 (-11%) | 2mo | $235,000 | $157 | 64 |
| 9530 SW 54th Ct | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,790 (+6%) | 9mo | $239,900 | $134 | 52 |
| 10441 SW 54th Ct | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,735 (+3%) | 12mo | $329,000 | $190 | 50 |
| 9346 SW 60th Terrace Rd | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,844 (+9%) | 14mo | $337,000 | $183 | 44 |
| 5464 SW 100th Loop | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,892 (+12%) | 8mo | $345,000 | $182 | 44 |
| 9364 SW 60th Terrace Rd | 0.62mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,811 (+7%) | 13mo | $319,205 | $176 | 43 |
| 9600 SW 53rd Cir | 0.66mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,441 (-15%) | 18mo | $225,000 | $156 | 25 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -22.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.25×
- Total profit
- $-35,743
- Equity at exit
- $25,348
- IRR
- -33.7%
- Equity multiple
- -0.17×
- Total profit
- $-55,837
- Equity at exit
- $14,698
Cash invested: $47,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34476
- Rents YoY
- -2.6%
- Active inventory
- 858
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,984 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax from tax record
- −$319 /mo · $3,831/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$328
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$417
- Net cashflow
- $-42
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $54 | -5% $6 | +0% $-42 | +5% $-90 | +10% $-138 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-199 | -5% $-120 | +0% $-42 | +5% $36 | +10% $115 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $44 | -0.5pp $1 | base $-42 | +0.5pp $-86 | +1.0pp $-131 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,500
- Closing costs
- $5,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6035 SW 98th Street Rd Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1494 | $1,650 | $1.10 | 16d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 15062 SW 63rd Ct Ocala, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1560 | $1,850 | $1.19 | 23d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 14173 SW 60th Ter Unit 2 Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1127 | $1,450 | $1.29 | 23d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 9324 SW 58th Cir Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2141 | $2,500 | $1.17 | 23d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 5637 SW 93rd St Ocala, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2039 | $2,600 | $1.28 | 16d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 9198 SW 62nd Terrace Rd Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1710 | $1,850 | $1.08 | 16d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 10417 SW 52nd Ct Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1577 | $1,995 | $1.27 | 16d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 6243 SW 90th St Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $1,750 | $1.03 | 23d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 4937 SW 98th Pl Ocala, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1838 | $2,400 | $1.31 | 16d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 13110 SW 89th St Ocala, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1824 | $1,950 | $1.07 | 23d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 6615 SW 89th Ln Ocala, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1958 | $2,195 | $1.12 | 16d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 7195 SW 92nd St Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1220 | $1,750 | $1.43 | 23d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 4725 SW 100th St Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $1,800 | $0.90 | 23d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 4780 SW 95th Ln Ocala, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2002 | $2,395 | $1.20 | 16d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 10912 SW 69th Cir Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1169 | $1,600 | $1.37 | 23d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 7177 SW 92nd St Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1410 | $1,850 | $1.31 | 23d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 8940 SW 50th Ter Ocala, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1827 | $2,195 | $1.20 | 23d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 8792 SW 49th Cir Ocala, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1498 | $1,850 | $1.23 | 23d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 11302 SW 62nd Cir Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1526 | $2,095 | $1.37 | 23d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 8780 SW 49th Cir Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1672 | $1,900 | $1.14 | 23d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 10061 SW 74th Ter Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1894 | $1,995 | $1.05 | 16d | 1 | 1.45mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $328 · $3,936/yr
Listing history 34 events
-
2026-05-20$170,000 Active
-
2026-05-11historical
-
2026-04-30price $189,000
-
2026-04-20price $192,500
-
2026-04-03price $192,900
-
2026-03-26price $193,000
-
2026-03-18price $193,500
-
2026-03-05price $193,900
-
2026-02-10price $194,400
-
2026-01-30price $194,900
-
2026-01-16price $195,900
-
2026-01-15$196,000 Active
-
2026-01-13historical $1,850
-
2026-01-01historical
-
2025-09-30price $209,900
-
2025-09-20price $220,000
-
2025-09-05$1,850
-
2025-08-25price $225,000
-
2025-07-01$234,000 Active
-
2024-06-17historical
-
2024-03-12price $234,000
-
2023-10-20historical $1,750
-
2023-10-18$239,000 Active
-
2023-08-24$1,750
-
2021-08-10soldstatus $200,000
-
2021-08-06soldstatus $200,000 Closed
-
2021-06-29status Pending
-
2021-06-29price $205,000
-
2021-06-24price $194,900
-
2021-06-07price $199,890
-
2021-06-01$199,900 Active
-
2017-05-23soldstatus $104,500
-
2017-05-23soldstatus $104,500
-
2017-03-09$115,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,831 · $319/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,831 · $319/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,811
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,523
- − Property taxes
- −$3,831
- − Insurance
- −$850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,905
- − Management
- −$1,905
- − HOA
- −$3,936
- − Depreciation
- −$4,945
- Taxable loss
- −$3,084
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$740
- After-tax cash flow
- $236/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marion
- NCES district ID
- 1201260
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,015
- Composite
- 35.61/100
- National rank
- #4890
- State rank
- #61 of 73 in FL
Livability — Liberty Triangle
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Liberty Triangle, FL
- County
- Marion County · 315,796 people
- City population
- 26,397
- Metro
- Ocala, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,997
- Household income
- $65,860
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 204.0
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 365,905 people
- By 2030
- 376,768 · +3.0%
- By 2040
- 396,555 · +8.4%
- By 2050
- 412,723 · +12.8%
- By 2075
- 446,090 · +21.9%
- By 2100
- 436,193 · +19.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 63% Hispanic / Latino 18% Black 13% Two or more races 10% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 8% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.8% · R 65.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.6pp · 2024: -31.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.6 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+11.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -105.22%
- Current HPI
- 189.0869
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.57%
- Metro
- Ocala, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+46.7% since first listed35 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-23 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-20 Listed $170,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-11 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $189,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-20 Price Changed $192,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-03 Price Changed $192,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-26 Price Changed $193,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-18 Price Changed $193,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-05 Price Changed $193,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-10 Price Changed $194,400 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-30 Price Changed $194,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-16 Price Changed $195,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-15 Listed $196,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-13 Rental Removed $1,850 STELLARMLS
- 2026-01-01 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-30 Price Changed $209,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-20 Price Changed $220,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-05 Listed for Rent $1,850 STELLARMLS
- 2025-08-25 Price Changed $225,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-01 Listed $234,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-06-17 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-03-12 Price Changed $234,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-10-20 Rental Removed $1,750 STELLARMLS
- 2023-10-18 Listed $239,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-08-24 Listed for Rent $1,750 STELLARMLS
- 2021-08-10 Sold (Public Records) $200,000 Public Records
- 2021-08-06 Sold (MLS) $200,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-06-29 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-06-29 Price Changed $205,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-06-24 Price Changed $194,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-06-07 Price Changed $199,890 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-06-01 Listed $199,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-05-23 Sold (Public Records) $104,500 Public Records
- 2017-05-23 Sold (MLS) $104,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-03-09 Listed $115,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+9.7%/yrLatest (2025): $3,831 · +3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…