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421 S Park Ave
B+ Composite 77.35
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$74,900

421 S Park Ave · Alliance, OH 44601
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,062 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 48 Days on market
Built 1940 1,981 sqft lot $71/sqft · 28% below area Est $103k · 28% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great starter or rental property! All redone and ready to move in! Newer kitchen, electrical, paint, siding and much more! 1st floor laundry. 2 bedrooms up & 1 bedroom down. Don't pass this by! Call today

Key facts

  • 1,981 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1940

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Annual tax amount listed (2025)

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: 2-story home; Above-grade finished living area about 1,062 (per assessor)
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
  • Exterior features: Small lot (approx. 0.0455 acres)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; One main-level bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Gas heating
  • Interior features: Full basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $437 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $73k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.3% vs local median 4.8% in Alliance — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#175 in OH, #2,737 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, employment F.
  • Alliance City (town): math 39% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #536 of 656 in OH (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 166 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 528 units permitted in Stark County in 2024 (84 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $518 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Stark County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $20k; list at $75k implies a 274% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $72,653 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.54%
Cap rate
13.29%
Cash-on-cash
25.00%
DSCR
2.11
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$103,481
List price
$74,900
Delta
-27.62%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
140 E High St 0.07mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,054 (-1%) 12mo $130,000 $123 80
46 Rosenberry St 0.35mi 3/1.5 1,056 (-1%) 2mo $115,000 $109 79
163 W Market St 0.32mi 3/1.0 1,187 (+12%) 2mo $110,000 $93 64
134 E Summit St 0.19mi 3/1.0 1,192 (+12%) 9mo $66,930 $56 63
252 W Summit St 0.33mi 3/1.5 1,138 (+7%) 11mo $110,000 $97 62
326 N Park Ave 0.46mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,040 (-2%) 10mo $107,000 $103 61
565 W Broadway St 0.64mi 3/1.0 1,040 (-2%) 7mo $146,700 $141 61
38 W Washington St 0.56mi 3/1.0 1,120 (+6%) 10mo $125,000 $112 56
732 E High St 0.48mi 3/1.5 1,144 (+8%) 9mo $116,000 $101 55
215 Parkway Blvd 0.69mi 3/1.0 1,008 (-5%) 12mo $163,500 $162 49
274 Selby St 0.75mi 3/1.0 988 (-7%) 12mo $105,000 $106 44
1044 S Liberty Ave 0.65mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,212 (+14%) 7mo $90,000 $74 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.4%
Equity multiple
1.75×
Total profit
$15,678
Equity at exit
$11,168
10-year hold
IRR
26.8%
Equity multiple
3.36×
Total profit
$49,445
Equity at exit
$6,476

Cash invested: $20,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44601

Active inventory
166
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,155 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$52 /mo · $620/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$243
Net cashflow
$437

Break-even live

Break-even rent $602
Max offer price $74,900
Occupancy floor 57%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,725
Closing costs
$2,247
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
109 W Ely St Alliance, OH 3.0 1.0 1344 $1,300 $0.97 13d 1 0.47mi
1329 Auld St Alliance, OH 2.0 2.0 900 $895 $0.99 13d 1 1.03mi
1329 Auld St Unit 1329 Alliance, OH 2.0 2.0 900 $925 $1.03 13d 1 1.03mi
734 Mill Cir Alliance, OH 1.0–2.0 1.0 724 $940 $1.30 13d 1 1.37mi
2406 S Union Ave Alliance, OH 4.0 2.0 1394 $1,600 $1.15 43d 1 1.39mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    status $74,900 Pending 48 DOM
  2. 2026-06-15
    days on market $74,900 Active 48 DOM
  3. 2026-06-14
    days on market $74,900 Active 46 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $74,900 Active 45 DOM
  5. 2026-06-10
    days on market $74,900 Active 43 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $74,900 Active 42 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $74,900 Active 41 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $74,900 Active 40 DOM
  9. 2026-06-02
    days on market $74,900 Active 35 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $74,900 Active 34 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $74,900 Active 33 DOM
  12. 2026-05-30
    days on market $74,900 Active 32 DOM
  13. 2026-04-28
    listed $79,900 Active 379-char remark
  14. 2016-09-15
    soldstatus $20,000 Sold 211-char remark
    Show marketing remark (211 chars)

    Great starter or rental property! All redone and ready to move in! Newer kitchen, electrical, paint, siding and much more! 1st floor laundry. 2 bedrooms up & 1 bedroom down. Don't pass this by! Call today

  15. 2016-09-07
    status Pending 211-char remark
    Show marketing remark (211 chars)

    Great starter or rental property! All redone and ready to move in! Newer kitchen, electrical, paint, siding and much more! 1st floor laundry. 2 bedrooms up & 1 bedroom down. Don't pass this by! Call today

  16. 2016-08-29
    listed $19,900 Active 211-char remark
    Show marketing remark (211 chars)

    Great starter or rental property! All redone and ready to move in! Newer kitchen, electrical, paint, siding and much more! 1st floor laundry. 2 bedrooms up & 1 bedroom down. Don't pass this by! Call today

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$620 · $52/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$894 · $75/mo
Expected delta
+$274/yr (+$23/mo · 44.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,861
− Mortgage interest
−$4,196
− Property taxes
−$620
− Insurance
−$374
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,109
− Management
−$1,109
− Depreciation
−$2,179
Taxable income
$4,274
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,026
After-tax cash flow
$4,216/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Alliance City
NCES district ID
3904349
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$33,326
Composite
34.54/100
National rank
#5176
State rank
#536 of 656 in OH

Livability — Alliance

Score
78/100
State rank
#175
US rank
#2737

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Alliance, OH
County
Stark County · 272,865 people
City population
32,696
Metro
Canton-Massillon, OH
Population (ZIP)
32,696
Household income
$61,965
Rent vs Own
36.6% rent · 63.4% own
Severe rent burden
780.0

Population outlook (Stark County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
373,708 people
By 2030
371,245 · -0.7%
By 2040
361,331 · -3.3%
By 2050
345,290 · -7.6%
By 2075
302,669 · -19.0%
By 2100
238,870 · -36.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Black 6% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Stark

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.9) · D 38.6% · R 60.5%
2008→2024 swing
-27.4pp toward R · 2008: 5.5pp · 2024: -21.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.9 2020: R+18.5 2016: R+17.4 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+5.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -174.62%
Current HPI
224.9507
Rent YoY
Metro
Canton-Massillon, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+276.4% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-15 Pending MLSNOW
  • 2026-05-22 Price Changed $74,900 MLSNOW
  • 2026-04-28 Listed $79,900 MLSNOW
  • 2016-09-15 Sold (MLS) $20,000 MLSNOW
  • 2016-09-07 Pending MLSNOW
  • 2016-08-29 Listed $19,900 MLSNOW

Property tax history

+34.5%/yr

Latest (2024): $620 · +6.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…