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143 Lyndon Cir
D+ Composite 48.55
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.8/10.0
  • DSCR +4.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$124,900

143 Lyndon Cir · Poulan, GA 31781
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 840 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1982 0.58 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this unique property offering plenty of potential for homeowners and investors alike. Originally a manufactured home, the property has been expanded with an additional that provides extra living space and added functionality. A charming front porch welcomes you home, surrounded by mature trees and shrubs that create a private, peaceful setting. This property is a handyman special and presents an excellent opportunity to add your personal touch. Many of the materials and supplies needed to complete the remaining work are already on-site, making it easier to bring your vision to life. With a little effort and creativity, the property could become a wonderful primary residence or in

Key facts

  • Front porch
  • Newer deck
  • Pergola

Tags

FRONT PORCHMATURE TREESPRIVATE SETTINGNEWER DECKPERGOLAOUTDOOR SITTING AREA

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Listing provided by Home Town Realty SWG

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer
  • Home design: Residential mobile home; Zoned R; Lot about 0.58 acres; Located in the Myrtle Heights subdivision
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Deck; Porch; Metal roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Total of 5 rooms (bedrooms and living areas combined)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Ceiling fans; Has cooling
  • Interior features: Window coverings throughout; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $45 ($543/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $115k (7.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $115k (7.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#123 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, crime D-.
  • Worth County (town): math 28% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #91 of 174 in GA (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 26 units permitted in Worth County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.6% local appreciation)).
  • Worth County population projected at -31% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (1.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 98% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $114,983 (7.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.92%
Cap rate
6.73%
Cash-on-cash
1.55%
DSCR
1.07
GRM
9.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.65% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.0%
Equity multiple
1.26×
Total profit
$9,264
Equity at exit
$46,928
10-year hold
IRR
8.8%
Equity multiple
2.16×
Total profit
$40,402
Equity at exit
$65,826

Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31781

Home prices YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
14
Price-to-rent
9.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,150 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$655
Tax est. 1.5%
$156 /mo · $1,874/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$241
Net cashflow
$45

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,093
Max offer price $124,900
Occupancy floor 91%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $132 -5% $88 +0% $45 +5% $2 +10% $-41
Rent -10% $-46 -5% $0 +0% $45 +5% $91 +10% $136
Rate -1.0pp $108 -0.5pp $77 base $45 +0.5pp $13 +1.0pp $-20

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,225
Closing costs
$3,747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $124,900 Active 4 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $124,900 Active 3 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $124,900 Active 2 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    remarks 699-char remark
  5. 2026-06-15
    listed $124,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 98% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,798
− Mortgage interest
−$6,996
− Property taxes
−$1,874
− Insurance
−$624
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,104
− Management
−$1,104
− Depreciation
−$3,633
Taxable loss
−$1,538
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$369
After-tax cash flow
$912/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Worth County
NCES district ID
1305850
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$39,056
Composite
25.97/100
National rank
#7327
State rank
#91 of 174 in GA

Livability — Poulan

Score
69/100
State rank
#123
US rank
#8859

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Poulan, GA
Population (ZIP)
2,209

Population outlook (Worth County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
18,547 people
By 2030
17,345 · -6.5%
By 2040
14,978 · -19.2%
By 2050
12,782 · -31.1%
By 2075
8,832 · -52.4%
By 2100
6,226 · -66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Two or more races 11% Black 5%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
0%

Political lean MEDSL · Worth

2024 margin
Solid R (+50.4) · D 24.7% · R 75.1%
2008→2024 swing
-11.7pp toward R · 2008: -38.7pp · 2024: -50.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+50.4 2020: R+47.8 2016: R+50.0 2012: R+40.2 2008: R+38.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.65%
Current HPI
105.4968
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-15 Listed $124,900 TBOR

Property tax history

-1.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $226 · -22.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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