CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
19249 Saint Aubin St
D Composite 44.14
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$15,000

19249 Saint Aubin St · Detroit, MI 48234
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 826 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 13 Days on market
Built 1925 3,485 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Discover the charm of 19249 Saint Aubin Street, a wonderful house located in the vibrant city of Detroit, MI. This property shows a unique opportunity to make a house a home in a well-situated area. The house showcases an appealing exterior that is sure to catch the eye. Inside, you'll find a layout that provides a comfortable living space, ready for personalization and transformation. Whether you are seeking a new residence or investment opportunity, this property presents a canvas for future possibilities. The surrounding area combines urban convenience with residential appeal, contributing to a desirable living environment. With its inviting presence and potential, this house stands as a noteworthy option in Detroit's real estate landscape. Explore the possibilities that await at 19249 Saint Aubin Street, where a promising future can unfold.

Key facts

  • 3,485 sq ft lot
  • Built 1925
  • Listed 13 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Annual tax listed

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage; Carport
  • Utilities: Other water source; Sewer: unknown
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Ground-level entry
  • Construction: Built with other construction materials; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Paved road frontage; Pets allowed

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliances included
  • Bedrooms: Total of 5 rooms (bedroom count not specified)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Window cooling units
  • Interior features: Other interior features; Unfinished basement
  • Laundry & utility: Basement utility access (unfinished)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $15k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $929 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $15k).
  • Cap rate 80.6% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 226 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($35k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $104 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $450 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.7% rent growth), your $4k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $4k (21%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $10k; 43% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $15,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
8.72%
Cap rate
80.63%
Cash-on-cash
265.49%
DSCR
12.81
GRM
1.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$43,778
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
18877 Fleming St 0.27mi 2/1.0 (-1) 870 (+5%) 3mo $9,900 $11 71
19308 Lumpkin St 0.11mi 3/1.0 747 (-10%) 10mo $38,000 $51 71
19164 Dequindre St 0.08mi 3/1.5 918 (+11%) 8mo $80,000 $87 69
19235 Fleming St 0.13mi 2/1.0 (-1) 720 (-13%) 6mo $57,000 $79 63
19656 Mitchell St 0.56mi 2/1.0 (-1) 814 (-2%) 11mo $33,000 $41 58
18042 Russell St 0.75mi 3/1.0 851 (+3%) 9mo $45,000 $53 53
18908 Mackay St 0.33mi 2/1.0 (-1) 724 (-12%) 11mo $32,624 $45 50
18882 Marx St 0.25mi 2/1.0 (-1) 945 (+14%) 13mo $28,000 $30 49
19210 Cameron St 0.59mi 2/1.0 (-1) 750 (-9%) 5mo $52,500 $70 48
17888 Marx St 0.69mi 3/1.0 937 (+13%) 2mo $34,000 $36 44
20192 Lumpkin St 0.62mi 3/2.0 914 (+11%) 12mo $115,000 $126 39
20006 Anglin St 0.60mi 2/1.0 (-1) 726 (-12%) 12mo $55,000 $76 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.72% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
15.73×
Total profit
$61,847
Equity at exit
$2,237
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
37.34×
Total profit
$152,632
Equity at exit
$1,297

Cash invested: $4,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48234

Home prices YoY
-11.9%
Rents YoY
6.7%
Active inventory
226
Price-to-rent
1.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,307 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$79
Tax est. 1.5%
$19 /mo · $225/yr
Insurance
$6
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$275
Net cashflow
$929

Break-even live

Break-even rent $131
Max offer price $15,000
Occupancy floor 24%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$3,750
Closing costs
$450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 24 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
18882 Marx St Highland Park, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 44d 1 0.25mi
18629 Fleming St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 900 $1,150 $1.28 24d 1 0.36mi
18551 Saint Aubin St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 962 $1,200 $1.25 17d 1 0.41mi
18666 Joseph Campau St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 17d 1 0.58mi
18084 Goddard St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.5 790 $1,050 $1.33 17d 1 0.59mi
19694 Gallagher St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,150 $1.15 15d 1 0.66mi
19360 Revere St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,250 $1.19 24d 1 0.72mi
19450 Norwood St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 5d 1 0.78mi
20255 Harned St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,374 $1.37 17d 1 0.78mi
2034 John B Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 920 $1,261 $1.37 44d 1 0.97mi
19703 Keating St Highland Park, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 17d 1 0.99mi
19930 Binder St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,450 $1.45 17d 1 0.99mi
18662 Sunset St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 726 $1,250 $1.72 18d 1 1.14mi
21155 Warner Ave Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 756 $1,029 $1.36 24d 1 1.14mi
1019 E Hayes Ave Unit 1032331P Hazel Park, MI 3.0 1.0 1033 $5,301 $5.13 2d 1 1.18mi
1211 E Bernhard Ave Hazel Park, MI 2.0 1.0 721 $1,500 $2.08 24d 1 1.23mi
21516 Dequindre Rd Warren, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 837 $1,375 $1.64 22d 1 1.25mi
1621 E Evelyn Ave Hazel Park, MI 2.0 1.0 749 $1,295 $1.73 18d 1 1.31mi
1326 E Evelyn Ave Unit 1032332P Hazel Park, MI 3.0 2.0 1097 $6,448 $5.88 1d 1 1.33mi
406 W Goldengate St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1050 $1,100 $1.05 44d 1 1.36mi
404 W Golden Gate Highland Park, MI 2.0 1.0 1050 $1,100 $1.05 44d 1 1.36mi
407 E Hayes Ave Hazel Park, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,750 $1.75 24d 1 1.39mi
13929 Arlington St Unit 2 Hamtramck, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $950 $1.36 44d 1 1.40mi
19450 Fenelon St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1062 $1,384 $1.30 5d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $15,000 Active 13 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    pricedays on market $15,000 Active 12 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $19,000 Active 11 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $19,000 Active 10 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $19,000 Active 8 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $19,000 Active 7 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $19,000 Active 4 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $19,000 Active 3 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    remarks 699-char remark
  10. 2026-06-07
    listed $19,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,689
− Mortgage interest
−$840
− Property taxes
−$225
− Insurance
−$75
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,255
− Management
−$1,255
− Depreciation
−$436
Taxable income
$11,602
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,785
After-tax cash flow
$8,366/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
32,760
Household income
$35,322
Rent vs Own
47.0% rent · 53.0% own
Severe rent burden
2372.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (94%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 94% White 3% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
Languages at home
97% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -44.65%
Current HPI
328.8978
Rent YoY
▲ 6.72%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+81.0% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $19,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $19,000 REALCOMP
  • 2012-04-01 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2012-03-28 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2012-02-29 Listed $6,000 REALCOMP
  • 2012-02-29 Listed $6,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2000-11-17 Sold (Public Records) $10,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+16.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,249 · +0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…