2241 Blue Ridge Springs Rd · Blue Ridge, VA
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.3/10.0
- Schools +6.8/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$209,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Looking to own over 5 acres of open and wooded land in much desired Blue Ridge are of Botetourt County, you'll want to see this 1-story , 3 BR, 1 BA with a large Eat-in-Kitchen, LR and Walkout basement. This home needs a handyman to restore it's original charm. Hardwood floors under carpet. Covered front porch. Fenced pasture with a seasonal branch and wooded area. * Please only enter property with your Realtor *
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Walkout basement
- Large eat-in-kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Has heating (forced air oil)
- Home design: Residential property; Built in 1950
- Construction: Year built: 1950
- Exterior features: Front porch; Approximately 5.32-acre lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms, all on the main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Wood
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air oil heating
- Interior features: Six total rooms; Carpet and wood flooring
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $209k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $309 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $209k).
- Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 3.1% in Blue Ridge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#200 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Botetourt County Public School District (rural): math 76% / reading 82% proficiency, ranked #6 of 131 in VA (top 5%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Colonial Elementary (math 82% / reading 82%, grade A+, #106 of 1,108 statewide, top 11%, 478 students, 40% FRL); Read Mountain Middle (math 75% / reading 82%, grade A+, #32 of 342 statewide, top 9%, 657 students, 35% FRL); Lord Botetourt High (math 83% / reading 92%, grade A, #15 of 319 statewide, top 4%, 980 students, 27% FRL).
- Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 116 units permitted in Botetourt County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Botetourt County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.48%
- DSCR
- 1.33
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.76×
- Total profit
- $-14,184
- Equity at exit
- $31,163
- IRR
- 3.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.22×
- Total profit
- $12,921
- Equity at exit
- $18,071
Cash invested: $58,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24064
- Active inventory
- 43
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,100 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,096
- Tax from tax record
- −$111 /mo · $1,331/yr
- Insurance
- −$87
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$441
- Net cashflow
- $309
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $428 | -5% $369 | +0% $309 | +5% $250 | +10% $191 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $144 | -5% $227 | +0% $309 | +5% $392 | +10% $475 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $415 | -0.5pp $363 | base $309 | +0.5pp $255 | +1.0pp $200 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,250
- Closing costs
- $6,270
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3465 Webster Rd Blue Ridge, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $2,100 | $2.08 | 44d | 1 | 1.28mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $209,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $209,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $209,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $209,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $209,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $209,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $209,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-09remarks 417-char remark
-
2026-06-09$209,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,331 · $111/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,714 · $143/mo
- Expected delta
- +$383/yr (+$32/mo · 28.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,200
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,707
- − Property taxes
- −$1,331
- − Insurance
- −$1,712
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,016
- − Management
- −$2,016
- − Depreciation
- −$6,080
- Taxable income
- $339
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$81
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,632/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Botetourt County Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5100420
- Math proficiency
- 76% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 82% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $63,125
- Composite
- 68.07/100
- National rank
- #355
- State rank
- #6 of 131 in VA
Livability — Blue Ridge
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #200
- US rank
- #6182
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Blue Ridge, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,226
Population outlook (Botetourt County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 34,273 people
- By 2030
- 34,457 · +0.5%
- By 2040
- 34,051 · -0.6%
- By 2050
- 32,841 · -4.2%
- By 2075
- 30,720 · -10.4%
- By 2100
- 26,395 · -23.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Iranian 3% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Botetourt
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+45.1) · D 27.0% · R 72.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.9pp toward R · 2008: -33.2pp · 2024: -45.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+45.1 2020: R+44.5 2016: R+47.6 2012: R+38.6 2008: R+33.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -90.90%
- Current HPI
- 160.6289
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Listed $209,000 MLSRV
Property tax history
+14.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,331 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…