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2241 Blue Ridge Springs Rd
C Composite 58.13
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +7.3/10.0
  • Schools +6.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$209,000

2241 Blue Ridge Springs Rd · Blue Ridge, VA 24064
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,092 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 10 Days on market
Built 1950 5.32 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Looking to own over 5 acres of open and wooded land in much desired Blue Ridge are of Botetourt County, you'll want to see this 1-story , 3 BR, 1 BA with a large Eat-in-Kitchen, LR and Walkout basement. This home needs a handyman to restore it's original charm. Hardwood floors under carpet. Covered front porch. Fenced pasture with a seasonal branch and wooded area. * Please only enter property with your Realtor *

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Walkout basement
  • Large eat-in-kitchen

Tags

OVER 5 ACRESOPEN AND WOODED LANDLARGE EAT-IN-KITCHENWALKOUT BASEMENTHARDWOOD FLOORSCOVERED FRONT PORCH

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Has heating (forced air oil)
  • Home design: Residential property; Built in 1950
  • Construction: Year built: 1950
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Approximately 5.32-acre lot

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms, all on the main level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Wood
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air oil heating
  • Interior features: Six total rooms; Carpet and wood flooring

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $209k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $309 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $209k).
  • Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 3.1% in Blue Ridge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#200 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Botetourt County Public School District (rural): math 76% / reading 82% proficiency, ranked #6 of 131 in VA (top 5%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Colonial Elementary (math 82% / reading 82%, grade A+, #106 of 1,108 statewide, top 11%, 478 students, 40% FRL); Read Mountain Middle (math 75% / reading 82%, grade A+, #32 of 342 statewide, top 9%, 657 students, 35% FRL); Lord Botetourt High (math 83% / reading 92%, grade A, #15 of 319 statewide, top 4%, 980 students, 27% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 116 units permitted in Botetourt County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Botetourt County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $209,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.00%
Cap rate
8.39%
Cash-on-cash
7.48%
DSCR
1.33
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.5%
Equity multiple
0.76×
Total profit
$-14,184
Equity at exit
$31,163
10-year hold
IRR
3.1%
Equity multiple
1.22×
Total profit
$12,921
Equity at exit
$18,071

Cash invested: $58,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 24064

Active inventory
43
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,100 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,096
Tax from tax record
$111 /mo · $1,331/yr
Insurance
$87
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$441
Net cashflow
$309

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,708
Max offer price $209,000
Occupancy floor 80%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $428 -5% $369 +0% $309 +5% $250 +10% $191
Rent -10% $144 -5% $227 +0% $309 +5% $392 +10% $475
Rate -1.0pp $415 -0.5pp $363 base $309 +0.5pp $255 +1.0pp $200

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,250
Closing costs
$6,270
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3465 Webster Rd Blue Ridge, VA 3.0 1.0 1008 $2,100 $2.08 44d 1 1.28mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $209,000 Active 10 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $209,000 Active 9 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $209,000 Active 8 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $209,000 Active 7 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $209,000 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $209,000 Active 4 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $209,000 Active 2 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    remarks 417-char remark
  9. 2026-06-09
    listed $209,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,331 · $111/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,714 · $143/mo
Expected delta
+$383/yr (+$32/mo · 28.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,200
− Mortgage interest
−$11,707
− Property taxes
−$1,331
− Insurance
−$1,712
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,016
− Management
−$2,016
− Depreciation
−$6,080
Taxable income
$339
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$81
After-tax cash flow
$3,632/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Botetourt County Public School District
NCES district ID
5100420
Math proficiency
76% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
82% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$63,125
Composite
68.07/100
National rank
#355
State rank
#6 of 131 in VA

Livability — Blue Ridge

Score
72/100
State rank
#200
US rank
#6182

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Blue Ridge, VA
Population (ZIP)
5,226

Population outlook (Botetourt County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
34,273 people
By 2030
34,457 · +0.5%
By 2040
34,051 · -0.6%
By 2050
32,841 · -4.2%
By 2075
30,720 · -10.4%
By 2100
26,395 · -23.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Iranian 3% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Botetourt

2024 margin
Solid R (+45.1) · D 27.0% · R 72.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.9pp toward R · 2008: -33.2pp · 2024: -45.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+45.1 2020: R+44.5 2016: R+47.6 2012: R+38.6 2008: R+33.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -90.90%
Current HPI
160.6289
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $209,000 MLSRV

Property tax history

+14.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,331 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…