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601 Biddle St
B Composite 73.3
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$79,900

601 Biddle St · Gillespie, IL 62033
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,700 sqft · SingleFamily · 93 Days on market
Built 1975 1.02 ac lot Est $148k · 46% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Step into this inviting home offering a surprising amount of space, and flexible living areas. From the enclosed front sunroom that welcomes you inside to the comfortable living and dining rooms, this home blends charm with functionality. The eat-in kitchen provides plenty of room to gather and includes essential appliances plus convenient laundry hookups. A large sunken family room expands your living space even further, complete with its own window AC unit and easy access to one of the home’s gas furnace. Two well-sized bedrooms sit on the main level, connected by a Jack-and-Jill style bathroom featuring double sinks. One bedroom includes double closets and access to a stairwell lea

Key facts

  • Double closets
  • Eat-in kitchen
  • 1.02 acre lot

Tags

ENCLOSED FRONT SUNROOMEAT-IN KITCHENLARGE SUNKEN FAMILY ROOMJACK-AND-JILL STYLE BATHROOMDOUBLE CLOSETSUPPER LEVEL STORAGE AREA

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $353 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $73k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#261 in IL, #4,848 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute D-, employment F.
  • Gillespie CUSD 7 (town): math 14% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #485 of 620 in IL (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Gillespie High School (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #187 of 693 statewide, top 30%, 340 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 57% district-wide (57 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 30% at this address vs 17% district-wide (+12 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Gillespie CUSD 7 average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP; 70 units permitted in Macoupin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Macoupin County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $72,709 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.31%
Cap rate
11.59%
Cash-on-cash
18.93%
DSCR
1.84
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$147,900
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
601 Biddle St 0.00mi 2/1.0 1,700 (0%) 1mo $79,900 $47 100
701 Olive St 0.12mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,800 (+6%) 11mo $189,900 $106 66
418 E Maple St 0.72mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,550 (-9%) 4mo $184,900 $119 40
1301 Hickory St 0.51mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,845 (+8%) 20mo $74,000 $40 37
309 W Chestnut St 0.74mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,500 (-12%) 8mo $149,900 $100 32
410 W Easton St 0.71mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,465 (-14%) 8mo $115,000 $78 30
1202 Jane Dr 0.57mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,500 (-12%) 18mo $129,900 $87 30
409 E Maple St 0.75mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,800 (+6%) 21mo $143,000 $79 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.7%
Equity multiple
1.42×
Total profit
$9,497
Equity at exit
$11,913
10-year hold
IRR
19.8%
Equity multiple
2.66×
Total profit
$37,086
Equity at exit
$6,908

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62033

Home prices YoY
-25.4%
Active inventory
21
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,050 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$419
Tax from tax record
$24 /mo · $291/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$220
Net cashflow
$353

Break-even live

Break-even rent $603
Max offer price $79,900
Occupancy floor 61%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $398 -5% $375 +0% $353 +5% $330 +10% $308
Rent -10% $270 -5% $311 +0% $353 +5% $394 +10% $436
Rate -1.0pp $393 -0.5pp $373 base $353 +0.5pp $332 +1.0pp $311

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,975
Closing costs
$2,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-03-13
    status Pending
  2. 2025-12-10
    listed $79,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$291 · $24/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,053 · $88/mo
Expected delta
+$761/yr (+$63/mo · 261.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,599
− Mortgage interest
−$4,476
− Property taxes
−$291
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,008
− Management
−$1,008
− Depreciation
−$2,324
Taxable income
$3,093
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$742
After-tax cash flow
$3,492/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gillespie CUSD 7
NCES district ID
1716680
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -19.00%
Median HH income
$41,399
Composite
14.59/100
National rank
#9413
State rank
#485 of 620 in IL

Livability — Gillespie

Score
74/100
State rank
#261
US rank
#4848

Category grades

Amenities F Commute D- Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Gillespie, IL
Population (ZIP)
4,398

Population outlook (Macoupin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
42,867 people
By 2030
40,796 · -4.8%
By 2040
36,135 · -15.7%
By 2050
31,469 · -26.6%
By 2075
22,102 · -48.4%
By 2100
15,380 · -64.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 6%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Romanian 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
0%

Political lean MEDSL · Macoupin

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.2) · D 29.4% · R 68.7% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-49.0pp toward R · 2008: 9.8pp · 2024: -39.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.2 2020: R+36.5 2016: R+35.0 2012: R+7.0 2008: D+9.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -46.59%
Current HPI
136.9671
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-13 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-10 Listed $79,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-0.1%/yr

Latest (2021): $291 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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