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3263 Rivermist Cv
D+ Composite 48.85
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +14.1/30.0
  • 1% rule +4.6/10.0
  • DSCR +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$199,900

3263 Rivermist Cv · Panthersville, GA 30034
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,461 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 106 Days on market
Built 1990 10,018 sqft lot $137/sqft · 24% below area Est $262k · 24% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This split-level residence, constructed in 1990, features a wood frame and partial brick exterior situated on a 0.230-acre lot within the Riverside Station subdivision. The interior layout is distributed across three levels, with the upper floor containing three bedrooms and two full bathrooms. The main level serves as the primary living area, encompassing a kitchen, a formal dining space, and a living room. The lower level includes a family room with a masonry fireplace, a dedicated laundry room, and access to the attached one-car front-entry garage. The property offers approximately 1,461 square feet of heated space with central HVAC and gas heating systems, while the exterior features a level-to-sloping topography typical of the surrounding neighborhood.

Key facts

  • 0.23 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1990

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $28 ($331/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $192k (4.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $182k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 5.3% in Panthersville — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#180 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, schools D+, employment D.
  • Dekalb County (suburban): math 19% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #125 of 174 in GA (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 353 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,240 units permitted in DeKalb County in 2024 (385 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • DeKalb County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 106 days — a 9% lower offer ($182k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $111k; list at $200k implies a 80% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $181,909 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 106 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.96%
Cap rate
6.46%
Cash-on-cash
0.59%
DSCR
1.03
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$261,670
List price
$199,900
Delta
-23.61%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4105 Conley Pond Ct 0.16mi 3/2.5 1,448 (-1%) 1mo $251,000 $173 89
4169 Riverbank Ct 0.19mi 3/1.5 1,460 (-0%) 4mo $209,000 $143 86
3375 River Run Trl 0.18mi 3/2.5 1,454 (-0%) 4mo $236,000 $162 86
3875 Waldrop Hills Dr 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,460 (-0%) 4mo $205,000 $140 69
3800 Landgraf Cv 0.28mi 3/2.0 1,306 (-11%) 3mo $280,000 $214 67
3969 Cress Way Run 0.24mi 3/2.5 1,256 (-14%) 3mo $220,000 $175 61
3716 Cress Way Dr 0.12mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,669 (+14%) 4mo $170,000 $102 60
3308 River Run Trl 0.24mi 3/2.5 1,676 (+15%) 6mo $210,000 $125 57
4011 Riverside Pkwy 0.44mi 3/2.5 1,286 (-12%) 1mo $235,000 $183 56
3116 Leyland Ct 0.48mi 3/2.5 1,286 (-12%) 0mo $204,000 $159 55
3949 Riverside Pkwy 0.54mi 3/2.5 1,286 (-12%) 4mo $209,000 $163 49
2993 Oakvale Hts 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,608 (+10%) 6mo $210,000 $131 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.18% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.3%
Equity multiple
0.43×
Total profit
$-32,113
Equity at exit
$29,806
10-year hold
IRR
-9.5%
Equity multiple
0.43×
Total profit
$-31,658
Equity at exit
$17,284

Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30034

Home prices YoY
-27.4%
Rents YoY
2.2%
Active inventory
353
Price-to-rent
8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,919 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,048
Tax from tax record
$356 /mo · $4,278/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$403
Net cashflow
$28

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,884
Max offer price $199,900
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $141 -5% $84 +0% $28 +5% $-29 +10% $-86
Rent -10% $-124 -5% $-48 +0% $28 +5% $103 +10% $179
Rate -1.0pp $128 -0.5pp $78 base $28 +0.5pp $-24 +1.0pp $-77

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,975
Closing costs
$5,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3716 Cress Way Dr Decatur, GA 4.0 2.5 1669 $2,185 $1.31 5d 1 0.14mi
3328 River Run Trl Decatur, GA 3.0 2.0 1665 $1,981 $1.19 2d 1 0.22mi
3828 Landgraf Cv Decatur, GA 3.0 2.0 1548 $2,073 $1.34 5d 1 0.34mi
4023 Riverside Pkwy Decatur, GA 4.0 3.0 1870 $2,090 $1.12 44d 1 0.43mi
3830 Riverside Pkwy Decatur, GA 3.0 2.5 1286 $1,865 $1.45 0d 1 0.45mi
3868 Leyland Dr Decatur, GA 3.0 2.5 1312 $1,923 $1.47 44d 1 0.47mi
3516 Kingswood Run Unit 1 Decatur, GA 2.0 2.0 988 $1,500 $1.52 25d 1 0.49mi
3644 Gray Birch Dr Decatur, GA 3.0 2.0 1860 $2,000 $1.08 21d 1 0.52mi
3733 Waldrop Hills Dr Decatur, GA 3.0 2.5 1646 $2,023 $1.23 44d 1 0.54mi
3189 Kingswood Gln Decatur, GA 2.0 2.5 1152 $2,100 $1.82 44d 1 0.57mi
3554 Waldrop Rd Decatur, GA 3.0 2.5 1646 $2,135 $1.30 3d 1 0.60mi
3848 Laurenhill Ln Decatur, GA 3.0 2.5 1834 $1,900 $1.04 5d 1 0.61mi
3848 Laurenhill Ln Decatur, GA 3.0 2.5 1834 $1,900 $1.04 0d 1 0.61mi
3169 Kingswood Gln Decatur, GA 3.0 2.5 1560 $1,575 $1.01 44d 1 0.63mi
4210 Waldrop Hills Ter Decatur, GA 3.0 2.5 1200 $1,666 $1.39 44d 1 0.63mi
3906 Waldrop Ln Decatur, GA 3.0 2.5 1560 $1,700 $1.09 44d 1 0.64mi
3914 Waldrop Ln Decatur, GA 3.0 3.0 1560 $1,697 $1.09 4d 1 0.64mi
3833 Conley Downs Dr Decatur, GA 3.0 1.5 1248 $1,713 $1.37 0d 1 0.66mi
3075 Oakvale Hts Decatur, GA 3.0 2.5 1810 $2,120 $1.17 13d 1 0.67mi
3525 Waldrop Trl Decatur, GA 3.0 2.5 1560 $1,695 $1.09 22d 1 0.68mi
3804 Waldrop Ln Decatur, GA 3.0 2.5 1412 $1,850 $1.31 25d 1 0.69mi
3516 Waldrop Trl Decatur, GA 3.0 2.5 1560 $1,800 $1.15 44d 1 0.70mi
3798 Waldrop Ln Decatur, GA 3.0 2.5 1412 $1,680 $1.19 21d 1 0.71mi
3754 Waldrop Ln Decatur, GA 3.0 2.5 1560 $1,625 $1.04 44d 1 0.71mi
3489 Waldrop Trl Decatur, GA 3.0 2.5 1400 $1,400 $1.00 44d 1 0.73mi
3474 Waldrop Trl Decatur, GA 3.0 2.5 1412 $800 $0.57 44d 1 0.74mi
2945 Woody Ct Decatur, GA 3.0 2.5 1488 $1,850 $1.24 25d 1 0.77mi
3364 Waldrop Trl Decatur, GA 3.0 3.0 1200 $1,800 $1.50 44d 1 0.79mi
6303 Waldrop Pl Decatur, GA 3.0 2.0 1292 $1,900 $1.47 44d 1 0.80mi
6201 Waldrop Pl Decatur, GA 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,350 $1.04 19d 1 0.80mi
3821 River Rd Ellenwood, GA 3.0 2.0 1455 $2,195 $1.51 44d 1 0.82mi
4060 Waldrop Hills Dr Decatur, GA 3.0 2.5 1696 $1,920 $1.13 15d 1 0.82mi
3101 Waldrop Pl Decatur, GA 3.0 2.0 1290 $1,395 $1.08 44d 1 0.84mi
11101 Waldrop Pl Decatur, GA 3.0 2.0 1293 $1,550 $1.20 44d 1 0.85mi
3326 Waldrop Trl Decatur, GA 3.0 2.5 1560 $1,761 $1.13 21d 1 0.88mi
3319 Waldrop Trl Decatur, GA 3.0 2.5 1600 $1,600 $1.00 19d 1 0.89mi
17301 Waldrop Cv Decatur, GA 3.0 2.0 1292 $1,550 $1.20 18d 1 0.92mi
17301 Waldrop Cv Decatur, GA 3.0 2.0 1292 $1,550 $1.20 44d 1 0.92mi
3575 Oakvale Rd Decatur, GA 3.0–4.0 2.0 1374 $1,095 $0.80 15d 4 0.98mi
3575 Oakvale Rd #402 Decatur, GA 3.0 2.0 1420 $1,623 $1.14 1d 1 1.04mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $199,900 Active 106 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $199,900 Active 105 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $199,900 Active 104 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $199,900 Active 103 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $199,900 Active 101 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $199,900 Active 97 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $199,900 Active 96 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $199,900 Active 95 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    statusdays on market $199,900 Active 92 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $199,900 Back On Market 91 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $199,900 Back On Market 90 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    status $199,900 Back On Market 89 DOM
  13. 2026-05-14
    status Back On Market 767-char remark
    Show marketing remark (767 chars)

    This split-level residence, constructed in 1990, features a wood frame and partial brick exterior situated on a 0.230-acre lot within the Riverside Station subdivision. The interior layout is distributed across three levels, with the upper floor containing three bedrooms and two full bathrooms. The main level serves as the primary living area, encompassing a kitchen, a formal dining space, and a living room. The lower level includes a family room with a masonry fireplace, a dedicated laundry room, and access to the attached one-car front-entry garage. The property offers approximately 1,461 square feet of heated space with central HVAC and gas heating systems, while the exterior features a level-to-sloping topography typical of the surrounding neighborhood.

  14. 2026-04-22
    historical Active Under Contract 767-char remark
    Show marketing remark (767 chars)

    This split-level residence, constructed in 1990, features a wood frame and partial brick exterior situated on a 0.230-acre lot within the Riverside Station subdivision. The interior layout is distributed across three levels, with the upper floor containing three bedrooms and two full bathrooms. The main level serves as the primary living area, encompassing a kitchen, a formal dining space, and a living room. The lower level includes a family room with a masonry fireplace, a dedicated laundry room, and access to the attached one-car front-entry garage. The property offers approximately 1,461 square feet of heated space with central HVAC and gas heating systems, while the exterior features a level-to-sloping topography typical of the surrounding neighborhood.

  15. 2026-04-10
    price $199,900 767-char remark
    Show marketing remark (767 chars)

    This split-level residence, constructed in 1990, features a wood frame and partial brick exterior situated on a 0.230-acre lot within the Riverside Station subdivision. The interior layout is distributed across three levels, with the upper floor containing three bedrooms and two full bathrooms. The main level serves as the primary living area, encompassing a kitchen, a formal dining space, and a living room. The lower level includes a family room with a masonry fireplace, a dedicated laundry room, and access to the attached one-car front-entry garage. The property offers approximately 1,461 square feet of heated space with central HVAC and gas heating systems, while the exterior features a level-to-sloping topography typical of the surrounding neighborhood.

  16. 2026-02-24
    listed $209,900 New 767-char remark
    Show marketing remark (767 chars)

    This split-level residence, constructed in 1990, features a wood frame and partial brick exterior situated on a 0.230-acre lot within the Riverside Station subdivision. The interior layout is distributed across three levels, with the upper floor containing three bedrooms and two full bathrooms. The main level serves as the primary living area, encompassing a kitchen, a formal dining space, and a living room. The lower level includes a family room with a masonry fireplace, a dedicated laundry room, and access to the attached one-car front-entry garage. The property offers approximately 1,461 square feet of heated space with central HVAC and gas heating systems, while the exterior features a level-to-sloping topography typical of the surrounding neighborhood.

  17. 2013-06-20
    historical
  18. 2013-01-07
    historical Pending Approval
  19. 2013-01-02
    listed $40,000 New
  20. 2002-10-10
    soldstatus $111,000
  21. 1989-12-01
    soldstatus $37,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,278 · $356/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,278 · $356/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,022
− Mortgage interest
−$11,198
− Property taxes
−$4,278
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,842
− Management
−$1,842
− Depreciation
−$5,815
Taxable loss
−$2,951
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$708
After-tax cash flow
$1,039/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dekalb County
NCES district ID
1301740
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$51,448
Composite
20.92/100
National rank
#8482
State rank
#125 of 174 in GA

Livability — Panthersville

Score
66/100
State rank
#180
US rank
#11244

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Dekalb County · 782,738 people
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
Population (ZIP)
41,847
Household income
$63,517
Rent vs Own
31.7% rent · 68.3% own
Severe rent burden
1659.0

Population outlook (DeKalb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
839,977 people
By 2030
891,768 · +6.2%
By 2040
988,894 · +17.7%
By 2050
1,074,583 · +27.9%
By 2075
1,245,026 · +48.2%
By 2100
1,303,135 · +55.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (90%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 90% White 4% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · DeKalb

2024 margin
Solid D (+64.8) · D 81.9% · R 17.1% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
+6.1pp toward D · 2008: 58.6pp · 2024: 64.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+64.8 2020: D+67.4 2016: D+64.8 2012: D+56.8 2008: D+58.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -78.92%
Current HPI
209.5638
Rent YoY
▲ 2.18%
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+433.1% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2026-04-22 Contingent GAMLS
  • 2026-04-10 Price Changed $199,900 GAMLS
  • 2026-02-24 Listed $209,900 GAMLS
  • 2013-06-20 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2013-01-07 Contingent GAMLS
  • 2013-01-02 Listed $40,000 GAMLS
  • 2002-10-10 Sold (Public Records) $111,000 Public Records
  • 1989-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $37,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,278 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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