13058 Pembroke Dr · Vineyards, FL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- AH
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.13%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,142 – $2,507
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 29 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Cash flow +1.3/30.0
- 1% rule +0.0/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$600,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
HAMILTON PLACE! STUNNING REMODELED ($150,000+/-) 3 BEDROOM, DEN, 2.5 BATH (2 STORY) IN-TOWN-MID TOWN AFFORDABLE LUXURY LIVING! BIG OPEN FLOOR PLAN, 10' CEILINGS AND ALL CUSTOM WOOD FLOORING THROUGHOUT THE WHOLE HOME. "CHEFS" BRAND NEW KITCHEN: WHITE "SHAKER" WOOD CABINETRY, LEVEL 5 QUARTZ TOPS, ALL STAINLESS STEEL HIGH END APPLIANCES, CENTER ISLAND WORK STATION and a specialty "WATER PURIFICATION" system for the kitchen and all your cooking needs. UPSTAIRS Master bedroom has HIS & HERS WALK-IN CLOSETS w/ organizers, DUAL QUARTZ VANITIES & floor-to-ceiling glass & tile walk-in shower with custom wood stairway. GARAGE has an "EPOXY&q
Key facts
- Remodeled kitchen
- Walk-in closets
- Quartz vanities
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: 66 units in complex; 7 units in building; 2 floors in building; Development: Hamilton Place; Subdivision/unit restrictions: deeded, limited number of vehicles, no corporate buyer, no RV
- HOA & community: Mandatory HOA (professional management); Monthly HOA fee of $370; HOA covers irrigation water, lawn/land maintenance, manager, sewer, and trash removal; Community amenities include a community pool and hobby room; Gated community; Total annual recurring HOA fees $4,440; one-time fees $150
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 1-car garage
- Security: Gated community; Impact resistant doors and windows
- Utilities: Central water (assessment unpaid); Central sewer (assessment unpaid); Cable available
- Home design: Residential townhouse; 2-story / multi-story home; Rear exposure facing south; Zero lot line
- Construction: Concrete block construction; Stucco exterior finish; Metal and tile roof; Built in 2023
- Exterior features: Patio
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen island; Pantry; Electric cooktop; Wall oven; Microwave; Refrigerator with icemaker; Ice maker (stand-alone); Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms plus den; Master bedroom upstairs; Split bedroom floor plan
- Flooring: Tile; Wood
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom; Master bath with dual sinks and multiple shower heads (shower only)
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heat; Central electric cooling; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Built-in cabinets; Pantry; Window coverings; Den/Study; Great room; Home office; Screened lanai/porch; Negotiable furnishings
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer in residence; Auto garage door
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $600k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-3k ($-31k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $147k (75.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $224k (62.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $147k (75.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#679 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
- Collier (suburban): math 60% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #16 of 73 in FL (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 329 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,520 units permitted in Collier County in 2024 (959 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $18k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Collier County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($564k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $152/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AH (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 75% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.37% ✗
- Cap rate
- 1.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- -17.22%
- DSCR
- 0.23
- GRM
- 22.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.85% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -55.4%
- Equity multiple
- -0.58×
- Total profit
- $-265,008
- Equity at exit
- $89,462
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- -1.73×
- Total profit
- $-458,924
- Equity at exit
- $51,877
Cash invested: $168,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34105
- Home prices YoY
- -30.5%
- Rents YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 329
- Price-to-rent
- 22.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,237 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,146
- Tax from tax record
- −$411 /mo · $4,932/yr
- Insurance
- −$250
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$152 /mo · $1,824/yr
- HOA
- −$370
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$470
- Net cashflow
- $-2,562
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-2,223 | -5% $-2,392 | +0% $-2,562 | +5% $-2,732 | +10% $-2,902 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-2,739 | -5% $-2,651 | +0% $-2,562 | +5% $-2,474 | +10% $-2,386 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-2,260 | -0.5pp $-2,410 | base $-2,562 | +0.5pp $-2,718 | +1.0pp $-2,876 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $150,000
- Closing costs
- $18,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1115 Reserve Ct Unit 2 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,800 | $1.64 | 14d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1105 Reserve Ct #206 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,000 | $1.82 | 14d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 3105 La Costa Cir Naples, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1050 | $2,235 | $2.13 | 14d | 20 | 0.43mi |
| 1235 Reserve Way #103 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 894 | $1,995 | $2.23 | 14d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1235 Reserve Way Naples, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 894 | $2,300 | $2.57 | 24d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1170 Reserve Way #205 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 894 | $1,700 | $1.90 | 24d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1180 Reserve Way Naples, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 912 | $1,990 | $2.18 | 14d | 3 | 0.71mi |
| 1180 Reserve Way Naples, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 954 | $2,000 | $2.10 | 24d | 2 | 0.71mi |
| 1220 Reserve Way #305 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1059 | $1,950 | $1.84 | 24d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1190 Reserve Way #304 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1059 | $2,900 | $2.74 | 24d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 5301 Summerwind Dr Naples, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 836 | $1,864 | $2.23 | 14d | 12 | 0.97mi |
| 1554 Oyster Catcher Pt Unit C Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1124 | $2,900 | $2.58 | 24d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1545 Oyster Catcher Pt Unit A Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1124 | $2,200 | $1.96 | 14d | 1 | 1.48mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $370 · $4,440/yr
- Likely covers
- water
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $600,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $600,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $600,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $600,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $600,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $600,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $600,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $600,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $600,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $600,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $600,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $600,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $600,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $600,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-03-30$600,000 Active
-
2025-10-25historical $3,500
-
2025-08-05$3,500
-
2025-07-09historical
-
2025-05-16price $599,000
-
2025-04-26price $629,000
-
2025-04-08price $649,000
-
2025-03-25$684,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,932 · $411/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,980 · $415/mo
- Expected delta
- +$48/yr (+$4/mo · 1.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone AH · 13% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,844
- − Mortgage interest
- −$33,609
- − Property taxes
- −$4,932
- − Insurance
- −$4,824
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,148
- − Management
- −$2,148
- − HOA
- −$4,440
- − Depreciation
- −$17,455
- Taxable loss
- −$42,711
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$10,251
- After-tax cash flow
- $-20,496/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This remodeled single-family home in Hamilton Place offers a modern, open floor plan with high-end finishes and a well-maintained exterior. It is move-in ready and ready for a new owner to add their personal touch.
Value-add opportunities
- Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value
- Both painting — refreshes the interior and exterior
- Both window treatments — improves privacy and aesthetics
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both painting — refreshes the interior and exterior ↑
- Both window treatments — improves privacy and aesthetics ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Collier
- NCES district ID
- 1200330
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,275
- Composite
- 50.23/100
- National rank
- #1892
- State rank
- #16 of 73 in FL
Livability — Vineyards
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #679
- US rank
- #14101
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Collier County · 396,295 people
- Metro
- Naples-Marco Island, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,441
- Household income
- $92,214
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 780.0
Population outlook (Collier County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,858 people
- By 2030
- 450,054 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 502,232 · +19.3%
- By 2050
- 544,932 · +29.5%
- By 2075
- 627,203 · +49.0%
- By 2100
- 659,015 · +56.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 7% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 3% Salvadoran 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 22% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Collier
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.1) · D 33.1% · R 66.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.6pp toward R · 2008: -22.5pp · 2024: -33.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.1 2020: R+24.7 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+30.1 2008: R+22.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -124.65%
- Current HPI
- 283.9084
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.85%
- Metro
- Naples-Marco Island, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
-12.3% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-30 Listed $600,000 NAPLESMLS
- 2025-10-25 Rental Removed $3,500 NAPLESMLS
- 2025-08-05 Listed for Rent $3,500 NAPLESMLS
- 2025-07-09 Listing Removed — NAPLESMLS
- 2025-05-16 Price Changed $599,000 NAPLESMLS
- 2025-04-26 Price Changed $629,000 NAPLESMLS
- 2025-04-08 Price Changed $649,000 NAPLESMLS
- 2025-03-25 Listed $684,000 NAPLESMLS
Property tax history
+58.9%/yrLatest (2025): $4,932 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…