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4745 Avon Ct #71
D Composite 44.28
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +8.1/30.0
  • 1% rule +5.5/10.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$160,000

4745 Avon Ct #71 · St. Cloud, FL 34769
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 967 sqft · Condo · 202 Days on market
Built 1973 Good condition $165/sqft · 24% below area Est $212k · 24% under $385/mo HOA · 23% of rent ↓ 3% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Ask about our flexible financing options available on this property, including non-traditional programs for buyers or properties who may not fit standard guidelines. Financing subject to credit, property approval, and lender terms. Great investment opportunities. Lovely 2-bedroom, 2-bath condo located on the second floor with beautiful views overlooking the garden area. Enjoy peaceful mornings or relaxing evenings on the enclosed screened patio, perfect for reading or sipping your favorite cup of coffee. This home offers valuable upgrades including a new water heater (2022), A/C unit replaced in 2020, and a new interior motor installed in 2025.

Key facts

  • New water heater
  • A/c unit replaced
  • $385 HOA

Tags

ENCLOSED SCREENED PATIONEW WATER HEATERA/C UNIT REPLACED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $160k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-159 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $137k (14.4% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
  • Recommended offer: $137k (14.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 3.9% in St. Cloud — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Osceola (suburban): math 39% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #60 of 73 in FL (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Neptune Elementary School (math 42% / reading 44%, grade F, #1,366 of 2,144 statewide, top 64%, 993 students, 46% FRL); Neptune Middle School (math 49% / reading 48%, grade C-, #274 of 571 statewide, top 50%, 978 students, 44% FRL); St. Cloud High School (math 32% / reading 50%, grade F, #289 of 667 statewide, top 44%, 2,264 students, 51% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 362 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 64d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 8,813 units permitted in Osceola County in 2024 (3,072 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Osceola County population projected at +73% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 202 days — a 12% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 23% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $136,937 (14.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 202 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.05%
Cap rate
5.10%
Cash-on-cash
-4.27%
DSCR
0.81
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$211,551
List price
$160,000
Delta
-24.37%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4718 Kilt Ct #66 0.04mi 2/2.0 967 (0%) 2mo $110,000 $114 97
3613 Bay Ct 0.41mi 2/1.0 884 (-9%) 1mo $185,000 $209 62
2781 King Oak Cir 0.86mi 2/2.0 962 (-0%) 3mo $160,000 $166 62
2580 King Oak Cir 0.89mi 2/2.0 962 (-0%) 4mo $195,000 $203 61
820 Robinson Ave 0.87mi 3/2.0 (+1) 960 (-1%) 4mo $125,000 $130 55
2422 King Oak Ct 0.78mi 2/2.0 886 (-8%) 2mo $229,499 $259 50
4305 Mutter Rd 0.51mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,154 (+19%) 1mo $290,000 $251 46
1720 W Acres Dr 1.35mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,047 (+8%) 4mo $325,000 $310 41
2927 Cool Breeze Cir 1.30mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,187 (+23%) 1mo $322,000 $271 34
2958 Cool Breeze Cir 1.27mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,153 (+19%) 2mo $327,000 $284 33
841 Robinson Ct 0.91mi 2/1.0 784 (-19%) 3mo $100,000 $128 33
902 Columbia Ave 0.99mi 2/1.0 744 (-23%) 4mo $175,000 $235 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.35% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-25.9%
Equity multiple
0.14×
Total profit
$-38,569
Equity at exit
$23,857
10-year hold
IRR
-31.2%
Equity multiple
-0.26×
Total profit
$-56,519
Equity at exit
$13,834

Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34769

Home prices YoY
-24.6%
Rents YoY
1.4%
Active inventory
362
Price-to-rent
7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,685 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax est. 1.5%
$200 /mo · $2,400/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$385
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$354
Net cashflow
$-159

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,887
Max offer price $136,937
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-49 -5% $-104 +0% $-159 +5% $-215 +10% $-270
Rent -10% $-293 -5% $-226 +0% $-159 +5% $-93 +10% $-26
Rate -1.0pp $-79 -0.5pp $-119 base $-159 +0.5pp $-201 +1.0pp $-243

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$40,000
Closing costs
$4,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3528 Bay Ct Saint Cloud, FL 2.0 1.0 884 $1,495 $1.69 64d 1 0.41mi
3528 Bay Ct Saint Cloud, FL 2.0 1.0 884 $1,495 $1.69 119d 1 0.41mi
527 Neptune Bay Cir Saint Cloud, FL 2.0–3.0 2.0 1115 $1,557 $1.40 2d 9 0.60mi
2531 King Oak Cir Saint Cloud, FL 2.0 2.0 962 $1,600 $1.66 40d 1 0.91mi
2531 King Oak Cir Saint Cloud, FL 2.0 2.0 962 $1,600 $1.66 42d 1 0.91mi
201 Saint Cloud Village Ct Kissimmee, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 880 $1,412 $1.60 110d 1 0.92mi
200 Pine Valley Rd Saint Cloud, FL 1.0–4.0 1.0–3.0 1166 $1,599 $1.37 28d 19 0.92mi
2510 King Oak Cir Saint Cloud, FL 1.0 1.0 709 $1,300 $1.83 113d 1 0.92mi
1031 Columbia Ave Unit D St Cloud, FL 1.0 1.0 650 $1,000 $1.54 7d 1 0.99mi
1031 Columbia Ave Unit C St Cloud, FL 1.0 1.0 595 $1,300 $2.18 28d 1 0.99mi
1031 Columbia Ave Unit C St Cloud, FL 1.0 1.0 595 $1,300 $2.18 7d 1 0.99mi
1031 Columbia Ave Apt K St Cloud, FL 1.0 1.0 650 $950 $1.46 115d 1 0.99mi
1031 Columbia Ave Apt G St Cloud, FL 1.0 1.0 650 $950 $1.46 87d 1 0.99mi
1404 Montana Ave Saint Cloud, FL 2.0 1.5 1000 $1,800 $1.80 119d 1 1.00mi
1423 Montana Ave Saint Cloud, FL 3.0 2.0 1062 $1,725 $1.62 42d 1 1.04mi
1423 Montana Ave Unit 1423 St Cloud, FL 3.0 2.0 1062 $1,725 $1.62 28d 1 1.04mi
190 Everton Dr Kissimmee, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 912 $2,240 $2.46 7d 30 1.06mi
2802 7th St St Cloud, FL 2.0 1.0 1014 $1,590 $1.57 78d 1 1.07mi
1626 Louisiana Ave St Cloud, FL 2.0 2.0 1008 $1,500 $1.49 67d 1 1.09mi
437 Columbia Ave St Cloud, FL 2.0 2.0 1103 $1,750 $1.59 94d 1 1.11mi
437 Columbia Ave St Cloud, FL 2.0 2.0 1103 $1,700 $1.54 7d 1 1.11mi
521 Montana Ave Saint Cloud, FL 2.0 2.0 1010 $1,495 $1.48 119d 1 1.14mi
521 Montana Ave Saint Cloud, FL 2.0 2.0 1010 $1,495 $1.48 97d 1 1.14mi
3249 Villa Way Cir Saint Cloud, FL 2.0 2.0 1041 $1,550 $1.49 7d 1 1.18mi
2400 16th St Saint Cloud, FL 3.0 2.0 1040 $1,799 $1.73 113d 1 1.29mi
3055 Soldier City Way Apt 103 St Cloud, FL 3.0 2.0 1045 $1,835 $1.76 28d 1 1.30mi
3055 Soldier City Way Unit 101 St Cloud, FL 3.0 2.0 1045 $1,790 $1.71 71d 1 1.30mi
3055 Soldier City Way Apt 201 St Cloud, FL 3.0 2.0 1045 $1,725 $1.65 7d 1 1.30mi
3055 Soldier City Way Unit 203 St Cloud, FL 3.0 2.0 1045 $1,770 $1.69 7d 1 1.30mi
3055 Soldier City Way Apt 202 St Cloud, FL 3.0 2.0 1125 $1,810 $1.61 7d 1 1.30mi
3055 Soldier City Way Unit 102 St Cloud, FL 3.0 2.0 1125 $1,875 $1.67 71d 1 1.30mi
3100 Soldier City Way St Cloud, FL 3.0 2.0 1085 $1,818 $1.68 4d 12 1.30mi
217 Montana Ave Saint Cloud, FL 2.0 1.0 864 $1,400 $1.62 103d 1 1.30mi
3065 Soldier City Way Apt 101 St Cloud, FL 3.0 2.0 1045 $1,790 $1.71 42d 1 1.31mi
3065 Soldier City Way Apt 201 St Cloud, FL 3.0 2.0 1045 $1,725 $1.65 7d 1 1.31mi
3065 Soldier City Way Unit 103 St Cloud, FL 3.0 2.0 1045 $1,790 $1.71 71d 1 1.31mi
3065 Soldier City Way Unit 202 St Cloud, FL 3.0 2.0 1125 $1,825 $1.62 71d 1 1.31mi
3075 Soldier City Way Unit 201 St Cloud, FL 3.0 2.0 1045 $1,790 $1.71 71d 1 1.33mi
3075 Soldier City Way Unit 101 St Cloud, FL 3.0 2.0 1045 $1,850 $1.77 99d 1 1.33mi
3075 Soldier City Way Unit 203 St Cloud, FL 3.0 2.0 1045 $1,725 $1.65 7d 1 1.33mi

Property features AI

Finance

Other
UnfurnishedNo lease restrictions
Financial info
Total monthly fees $385Total annual fees $4,620
HOA & community
Monthly condo fee of $385 (includes structure maintenance, grounds maintenance, pool, and water)Association fees requiredCommunity clubhouseCommunity mailboxCommunity poolTennis courtsPets allowed with breed restrictions

Exterior

Utilities
Public sewerCable availableElectricity availableNo water source listed
Home design
CondominiumResidential propertySecond-floor unitFaces eastOne level (unit)2 total stories in building
Construction
Block constructionShingle roofBlock and slab foundationBuilt as part of building 4745/4743
Exterior features
SidewalkTennis courts

Interior

Kitchen
DishwasherRangeRefrigerator
Bedrooms
2 bedrooms
Flooring
Ceramic tileLaminate
Bathrooms
2 full bathrooms
Heating & cooling
Central heatingCentral air conditioning
Interior features
Ceiling fansLiving room/dining room comboWindow treatments
Laundry & utility
Inside laundry

HOA detail $385/mo · $4,620/yr condo

Likely covers
water
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-30
    days on market $160,000 Active 202 DOM
  2. 2026-06-29
    days on market $160,000 Active 201 DOM
  3. 2026-06-28
    days on market $160,000 Active 200 DOM
  4. 2026-06-27
    days on market $160,000 Active 199 DOM
  5. 2026-06-26
    days on market $160,000 Active 198 DOM
  6. 2026-06-24
    days on market $160,000 Active 196 DOM
  7. 2026-06-22
    days on market $160,000 Active 194 DOM
  8. 2026-06-21
    days on market $160,000 Active 193 DOM
  9. 2026-06-18
    days on market $160,000 Active 190 DOM
  10. 2026-06-17
    days on market $160,000 Active 189 DOM
  11. 2026-06-16
    days on market $160,000 Active 188 DOM
  12. 2026-06-15
    days on market $160,000 Active 187 DOM
  13. 2026-06-13
    days on market $160,000 Active 185 DOM
  14. 2026-06-13
    days on market $160,000 Active 184 DOM
  15. 2026-06-10
    days on market $160,000 Active 181 DOM
  16. 2026-06-08
    days on market $160,000 Active 180 DOM
  17. 2026-06-07
    days on market $160,000 Active 179 DOM
  18. 2026-06-04
    days on market $160,000 Active 176 DOM
  19. 2026-06-03
    days on market $160,000 Active 175 DOM
  20. 2026-06-02
    days on market $160,000 Active 174 DOM
  21. 2026-06-02
    days on market $160,000 Active 173 DOM
  22. 2026-05-31
    days on market $160,000 Active 172 DOM
  23. 2026-02-02
    price $160,000
  24. 2025-12-10
    listed $165,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,223
− Mortgage interest
−$8,962
− Property taxes
−$2,400
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,618
− Management
−$1,618
− HOA
−$4,620
− Depreciation
−$4,655
Taxable loss
−$4,450
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,068
After-tax cash flow
$-845/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $4,835–$14,505 screening

This 2-bedroom, 2-bath condo is in good condition with some minor repairs needed. It offers a good investment opportunity with potential for increased value through updates.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor Kitchen cabinets — The kitchen cabinets appear to have some minor wear and tear.
  • Minor Bathroom fixtures — The bathroom fixtures appear to have some minor wear and tear.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Painting the interior walls — Painting the interior walls can make the home look fresh and new, which can increase its resale value.
  • Resale Replacing the kitchen cabinets — Replacing the kitchen cabinets can make the home look more modern and increase its resale value.
  • Resale Replacing the bathroom fixtures — Replacing the bathroom fixtures can make the home look more modern and increase its resale value.

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 45/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Neptune Elementary School F FL #1,366/2,144 Nat'l #17,525/41,679 Middle St. Cloud Middle School C FL #237/571 Nat'l #3,276/14,009 High St. Cloud High School F FL #289/667 Nat'l #7,961/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Osceola
NCES district ID
1201470
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$45,528
Composite
35.7/100
National rank
#4865
State rank
#60 of 73 in FL

Livability — St. Cloud

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
St. Cloud, FL
County
Osceola County · 447,624 people
City population
29,247
Metro
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
Population (ZIP)
30,204
Household income
$67,148
Rent vs Own
33.1% rent · 66.9% own
Severe rent burden
12% of renters

Population outlook (Osceola County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
447,624 people
By 2030
511,823 · +14.3%
By 2040
642,986 · +43.6%
By 2050
774,552 · +73.0%
By 2075
1,078,144 · +140.9%
By 2100
1,269,660 · +183.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 50% Hispanic / Latino 38% Two or more races 17% Black 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 21% Dominican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Russian 2%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
66% English-only · Spanish 31% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Osceola

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-21.2pp toward R · 2008: 19.7pp · 2024: -1.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.4 2020: D+13.8 2016: D+25.0 2012: D+24.5 2008: D+19.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

-3.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-02 Price Changed $160,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-10 Listed $165,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…