205 S 54th St #20 · Springfield, OR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 13 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$59,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Beautifully remodeled doublewide in Chalet Village 55+ Community! This move-in ready 2 bed, 1 bath home offers 1008 sq ft of updated living space in a peaceful setting with no neighbors behind. Enjoy relaxing views of the grassy field and trees right from your backyard. Recent updates include a brand-new roof, new interior and exterior paint, and LVP flooring throughout. Both bedrooms feature walk-in closets, and all appliances are included. Home also has washer/dryer hookups, a carport with storage shed, and a very large partially fenced yard with plenty of room to garden, entertain, or simply enjoy the quiet surroundings. Chalet Village is a welcoming 55+ community offering great ameniti
Key facts
- New exterior paint
- Remodeled doublewide
- Brand-new roof
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Unit dimensions approximately 40 ft by 24 ft; Lot described as level
- Financial info: Monthly lot rent
- HOA & community: 55+ senior community (Chalet Village); Community amenities include pool, sauna, clubhouse with kitchen and dining hall, TV lounge, pool tables, meeting/party rooms, laundry, management, and recreation facilities
Exterior
- Parking: Carport (1 space); Driveway parking
- Security: No security features listed
- Utilities: Electric water heater (tank); Electric fuel; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Manufactured home in a park; Residential property; Updated/remodeled condition; One story; Park/greenbelt, territorial and trees/woods views; Entry level: main
- Construction: Built in 1970; Tar/gravel roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Manufacturer: HILLCREST
- Exterior features: Covered patio; Fenced yard; In-ground pool; Sauna; Tool shed; Yard; Aluminum exterior
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Free-standing range; Range hood; Free-standing refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on main level; Second bedroom on main level
- Flooring: Luxury vinyl plank
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced-air heating; No central air
- Interior features: Luxury vinyl plank flooring; Double-pane windows with vinyl frames; One-level accessibility
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $59k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $793 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $59k).
- Recommended offer: $57k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 22.4% vs local median 3.0% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#40 in OR, #934 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, employment D+.
- Springfield SD 19 (suburban): math 19% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #48 of 58 in OR (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Mt Vernon Elementary School (math 5% / reading 34%, grade F, #366 of 412 statewide, top 91%, 412 students, 63% FRL); Agnes Stewart Middle School (math 16% / reading 36%, grade F, #101 of 128 statewide, top 80%, 513 students, 63% FRL); Thurston High School (math 22% / reading 52%, grade F, #85 of 143 statewide, top 61%, 1,277 students, 65% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 263 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,808 units permitted in Lane County in 2024 (972 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $408 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lane County population projected at +15% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.4% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.58% ✓
- Cap rate
- 22.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- 57.57%
- DSCR
- 3.56
- GRM
- 3.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $39,670
- List price
- $59,000
- Delta
- 48.73%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 205 S 54th St #64 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 924 (-4%) | 8mo | $30,000 | $32 | 83 |
| 5660 Daisy St #44 | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 | 960 (0%) | 10mo | $258,000 | $269 | 83 |
| 205 S 54th St #115 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 924 (-4%) | 9mo | $39,000 | $42 | 82 |
| 5335 Daisy St #131 | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 | 924 (-4%) | 3mo | $40,000 | $43 | 78 |
| 5335 Main St #233 | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 | 938 (-2%) | 17mo | $19,900 | $21 | 75 |
| 5335 Main St #229 | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 | 896 (-7%) | 8mo | $27,650 | $31 | 75 |
| 205 S 54th St #35 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 880 (-8%) | 14mo | $35,500 | $40 | 70 |
| 524 S 53rd St | 0.29mi | 2/2.0 | 960 (0%) | 16mo | $190,000 | $198 | 69 |
| 621 S 57th Pl | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 936 (-2%) | 7mo | $250,000 | $267 | 66 |
| 5179 Daisy St | 0.35mi | 2/2.0 | 924 (-4%) | 9mo | $250,000 | $271 | 66 |
| 658 S 57 Th st Space 67 | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 | 830 (-14%) | 18mo | $44,000 | $53 | 54 |
| 5335 Daisy St #55 | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,100 (+15%) | 10mo | $114,000 | $104 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.38% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 56.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.51×
- Total profit
- $41,522
- Equity at exit
- $8,797
- IRR
- 61.6%
- Equity multiple
- 7.27×
- Total profit
- $103,659
- Equity at exit
- $5,101
Cash invested: $16,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97478
- Rents YoY
- 3.4%
- Active inventory
- 263
- Price-to-rent
- 3.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,519 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$309
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$74 /mo · $885/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$319
- Net cashflow
- $793
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $833 | -5% $813 | +0% $793 | +5% $772 | +10% $752 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $673 | -5% $733 | +0% $793 | +5% $853 | +10% $913 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $822 | -0.5pp $808 | base $793 | +0.5pp $777 | +1.0pp $762 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,750
- Closing costs
- $1,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 176 S 53rd St Unit 04 Springfield, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 971 | $1,250 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 5312 Main St Unit 14 Springfield, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $1,199 | $1.54 | 44d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 5312 Main St Unit 13 Springfield, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $1,299 | $1.67 | 44d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 421 S 58th St Unit 00136 Springfield, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,600 | $1.45 | 14d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 5817 Aster St Apt 3 Springfield, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,295 | $1.29 | 14d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 4830 Elderberry Loop Springfield, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,595 | $1.68 | 44d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 4885 Aster St Springfield, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,734 | $1.73 | 14d | 18 | 0.75mi |
| 4800 B St Springfield, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 968 | $1,662 | $1.72 | 14d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 5040 E St #12 Springfield, OR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,895 | $2.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 5040 E St #1 Springfield, OR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,895 | $1.90 | 14d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 5040 E St #21 Springfield, OR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,795 | $1.79 | 14d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1075 56th Pl Springfield, OR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 904 | $1,795 | $1.99 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 274 S 47th St Unit B Springfield, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 940 | $1,150 | $1.22 | 21d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 5580 High Banks Rd Springfield, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,590 | $1.99 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 4625 Main St Unit 8 Springfield, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,250 | $1.92 | 14d | 1 | 1.03mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $59,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $59,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $59,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $59,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $59,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $59,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $59,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $59,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $59,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $59,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $59,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $59,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $59,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $59,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-14$59,000 Active 1029-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 13 unhealthy d/yr today · 15 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,232
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,305
- − Property taxes
- −$885
- − Insurance
- −$295
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,459
- − Management
- −$1,459
- − Depreciation
- −$1,716
- Taxable income
- $9,114
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,187
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,323/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Springfield SD 19
- NCES district ID
- 4111670
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,236
- Composite
- 24.14/100
- National rank
- #7746
- State rank
- #48 of 58 in OR
Livability — Springfield
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #40
- US rank
- #934
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Springfield, OR
- County
- Lane County · 310,476 people
- City population
- 76,907
- Metro
- Eugene-Springfield, OR
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,373
- Household income
- $80,086
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 904.0
Population outlook (Lane County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 391,933 people
- By 2030
- 405,860 · +3.6%
- By 2040
- 429,386 · +9.6%
- By 2050
- 452,016 · +15.3%
- By 2075
- 508,825 · +29.8%
- By 2100
- 531,208 · +35.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 9% Native American 1% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Lithuanian 3% Portuguese 3%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 5% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lane
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.1) · D 60.0% · R 36.9% · Other 3.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.4pp · 2024: 23.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.1 2020: D+24.3 2016: D+18.9 2012: D+23.4 2008: D+27.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -395.83%
- Current HPI
- 302.9203
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.38%
- Metro
- Eugene-Springfield, OR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Listed $59,000 RMLS
Property tax history
-44.8%/yrLatest (2015): $6 · -96.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…