CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
205 S 54th St #20
C+ Composite 62.41
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$59,000

205 S 54th St #20 · Springfield, OR 97478
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 960 sqft · Manufactured public records · 35 Days on market
Built 1970 $61/sqft · 56% above area Est $40k · 49% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Beautifully remodeled doublewide in Chalet Village 55+ Community! This move-in ready 2 bed, 1 bath home offers 1008 sq ft of updated living space in a peaceful setting with no neighbors behind. Enjoy relaxing views of the grassy field and trees right from your backyard. Recent updates include a brand-new roof, new interior and exterior paint, and LVP flooring throughout. Both bedrooms feature walk-in closets, and all appliances are included. Home also has washer/dryer hookups, a carport with storage shed, and a very large partially fenced yard with plenty of room to garden, entertain, or simply enjoy the quiet surroundings. Chalet Village is a welcoming 55+ community offering great ameniti

Key facts

  • New exterior paint
  • Remodeled doublewide
  • Brand-new roof

Tags

REMODELED DOUBLEWIDEUPDATED LIVING SPACEBRAND-NEW ROOFNEW INTERIOR PAINTNEW EXTERIOR PAINTLVP FLOORING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Unit dimensions approximately 40 ft by 24 ft; Lot described as level
  • Financial info: Monthly lot rent
  • HOA & community: 55+ senior community (Chalet Village); Community amenities include pool, sauna, clubhouse with kitchen and dining hall, TV lounge, pool tables, meeting/party rooms, laundry, management, and recreation facilities

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport (1 space); Driveway parking
  • Security: No security features listed
  • Utilities: Electric water heater (tank); Electric fuel; Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Manufactured home in a park; Residential property; Updated/remodeled condition; One story; Park/greenbelt, territorial and trees/woods views; Entry level: main
  • Construction: Built in 1970; Tar/gravel roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Manufacturer: HILLCREST
  • Exterior features: Covered patio; Fenced yard; In-ground pool; Sauna; Tool shed; Yard; Aluminum exterior

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Free-standing range; Range hood; Free-standing refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on main level; Second bedroom on main level
  • Flooring: Luxury vinyl plank
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced-air heating; No central air
  • Interior features: Luxury vinyl plank flooring; Double-pane windows with vinyl frames; One-level accessibility

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $59k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $793 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $59k).
  • Recommended offer: $57k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 22.4% vs local median 3.0% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#40 in OR, #934 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, employment D+.
  • Springfield SD 19 (suburban): math 19% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #48 of 58 in OR (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Mt Vernon Elementary School (math 5% / reading 34%, grade F, #366 of 412 statewide, top 91%, 412 students, 63% FRL); Agnes Stewart Middle School (math 16% / reading 36%, grade F, #101 of 128 statewide, top 80%, 513 students, 63% FRL); Thurston High School (math 22% / reading 52%, grade F, #85 of 143 statewide, top 61%, 1,277 students, 65% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 263 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,808 units permitted in Lane County in 2024 (972 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $408 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lane County population projected at +15% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.4% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $57,230 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.58%
Cap rate
22.41%
Cash-on-cash
57.57%
DSCR
3.56
GRM
3.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$39,670
List price
$59,000
Delta
48.73%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
205 S 54th St #64 0.00mi 2/2.0 924 (-4%) 8mo $30,000 $32 83
5660 Daisy St #44 0.19mi 2/1.0 960 (0%) 10mo $258,000 $269 83
205 S 54th St #115 0.00mi 2/2.0 924 (-4%) 9mo $39,000 $42 82
5335 Daisy St #131 0.28mi 2/1.0 924 (-4%) 3mo $40,000 $43 78
5335 Main St #233 0.16mi 2/1.0 938 (-2%) 17mo $19,900 $21 75
5335 Main St #229 0.16mi 2/1.0 896 (-7%) 8mo $27,650 $31 75
205 S 54th St #35 0.00mi 2/2.0 880 (-8%) 14mo $35,500 $40 70
524 S 53rd St 0.29mi 2/2.0 960 (0%) 16mo $190,000 $198 69
621 S 57th Pl 0.32mi 3/2.0 (+1) 936 (-2%) 7mo $250,000 $267 66
5179 Daisy St 0.35mi 2/2.0 924 (-4%) 9mo $250,000 $271 66
658 S 57 Th st Space 67 0.19mi 2/1.0 830 (-14%) 18mo $44,000 $53 54
5335 Daisy St #55 0.28mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,100 (+15%) 10mo $114,000 $104 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.38% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
56.5%
Equity multiple
3.51×
Total profit
$41,522
Equity at exit
$8,797
10-year hold
IRR
61.6%
Equity multiple
7.27×
Total profit
$103,659
Equity at exit
$5,101

Cash invested: $16,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Oregon
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
SB608 (2019): statewide rent cap (7% + CPI) and just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr. Portland has relocation assistance ordinance.

ZIP-level market 97478

Rents YoY
3.4%
Active inventory
263
Price-to-rent
3.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,519 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$309
Tax est. 1.5%
$74 /mo · $885/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$319
Net cashflow
$793

Break-even live

Break-even rent $516
Max offer price $59,000
Occupancy floor 43%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $833 -5% $813 +0% $793 +5% $772 +10% $752
Rent -10% $673 -5% $733 +0% $793 +5% $853 +10% $913
Rate -1.0pp $822 -0.5pp $808 base $793 +0.5pp $777 +1.0pp $762

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,750
Closing costs
$1,770
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
176 S 53rd St Unit 04 Springfield, OR 2.0 1.5 971 $1,250 $1.29 44d 1 0.22mi
5312 Main St Unit 14 Springfield, OR 2.0 1.0 780 $1,199 $1.54 44d 1 0.26mi
5312 Main St Unit 13 Springfield, OR 2.0 1.0 780 $1,299 $1.67 44d 1 0.26mi
421 S 58th St Unit 00136 Springfield, OR 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,600 $1.45 14d 1 0.38mi
5817 Aster St Apt 3 Springfield, OR 2.0 1.5 1000 $1,295 $1.29 14d 1 0.42mi
4830 Elderberry Loop Springfield, OR 2.0 1.0 950 $1,595 $1.68 44d 1 0.66mi
4885 Aster St Springfield, OR 2.0 1.5 1000 $1,734 $1.73 14d 18 0.75mi
4800 B St Springfield, OR 2.0 2.0 968 $1,662 $1.72 14d 1 0.80mi
5040 E St #12 Springfield, OR 3.0 1.0 912 $1,895 $2.08 44d 1 0.81mi
5040 E St #1 Springfield, OR 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,895 $1.90 14d 1 0.81mi
5040 E St #21 Springfield, OR 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,795 $1.79 14d 1 0.81mi
1075 56th Pl Springfield, OR 3.0 1.0 904 $1,795 $1.99 44d 1 0.86mi
274 S 47th St Unit B Springfield, OR 2.0 1.0 940 $1,150 $1.22 21d 1 0.94mi
5580 High Banks Rd Springfield, OR 2.0 1.0 800 $1,590 $1.99 44d 1 0.96mi
4625 Main St Unit 8 Springfield, OR 2.0 1.0 650 $1,250 $1.92 14d 1 1.03mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $59,000 Active 35 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $59,000 Active 34 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $59,000 Active 33 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $59,000 Active 32 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $59,000 Active 30 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $59,000 Active 27 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $59,000 Active 26 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $59,000 Active 25 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $59,000 Active 24 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $59,000 Active 20 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $59,000 Active 19 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $59,000 Active 18 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,000 Active 17 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $59,000 Active 16 DOM
  15. 2026-05-14
    listed $59,000 Active 1029-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 13 unhealthy d/yr today · 15 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,232
− Mortgage interest
−$3,305
− Property taxes
−$885
− Insurance
−$295
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,459
− Management
−$1,459
− Depreciation
−$1,716
Taxable income
$9,114
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,187
After-tax cash flow
$7,323/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Springfield SD 19
NCES district ID
4111670
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$42,236
Composite
24.14/100
National rank
#7746
State rank
#48 of 58 in OR

Livability — Springfield

Score
83/100
State rank
#40
US rank
#934

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime D+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Springfield, OR
County
Lane County · 310,476 people
City population
76,907
Metro
Eugene-Springfield, OR
Population (ZIP)
39,373
Household income
$80,086
Rent vs Own
31.0% rent · 69.0% own
Severe rent burden
904.0

Population outlook (Lane County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
391,933 people
By 2030
405,860 · +3.6%
By 2040
429,386 · +9.6%
By 2050
452,016 · +15.3%
By 2075
508,825 · +29.8%
By 2100
531,208 · +35.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 9% Native American 1% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Lithuanian 3% Portuguese 3%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 5% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lane

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.1) · D 60.0% · R 36.9% · Other 3.1%
2008→2024 swing
-4.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.4pp · 2024: 23.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.1 2020: D+24.3 2016: D+18.9 2012: D+23.4 2008: D+27.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -395.83%
Current HPI
302.9203
Rent YoY
▲ 3.38%
Metro
Eugene-Springfield, OR
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $59,000 RMLS

Property tax history

-44.8%/yr

Latest (2015): $6 · -96.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…