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15699 Tangelo Dr
B- Composite 67.93
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.0/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$60,000

15699 Tangelo Dr · Harlingen, TX 78552
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 672 sqft · Manufactured · 11 Days on market
Built 1983 Fair condition 5,526 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

672 sq. ft. mobile home located at 15699 Tangelo Dr offering a great opportunity for an investor or buyer looking to add their personal touch. Property has potential with a functional layout and convenient location. NOT located in a 55+ community and NO HOA. Easy access to Hwy 77, shopping, dining, and everyday amenities. Sold AS IS. Fixer-Upper. Seller is a licensed Texas real estate agent.

Key facts

  • Functional layout
  • Convenient location
  • 5,526 sq ft lot

Tags

FUNCTIONAL LAYOUTCONVENIENT LOCATIONEASY ACCESS TO HWY 77

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Located in Sun Valley Village Mobile Home Park

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public sewer
  • Home design: Manufactured home; Single-story
  • Construction: Aluminum siding
  • Exterior features: Metal roof

Interior

  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Electric water heater; Crawl space foundation
  • Laundry & utility: Washer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $60k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $388 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
  • Cap rate 14.1% vs local median 3.8% in Harlingen — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#217 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, commute F, employment F.
  • Harlingen CISD (urban): math 25% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #647 of 826 in TX (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Stuart Place El (math 30% / reading 40%, grade F, #1,965 of 4,322 statewide, top 46%, 613 students, 59% FRL); Moises Vela Middle (math 27% / reading 30%, grade F, #1,122 of 1,662 statewide, top 69%, 742 students, 67% FRL); Harlingen H S - South (math 47% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,044 of 1,632 statewide, top 66%, 1,571 students, 75% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.9%/yr); 534 active listings in the ZIP; 2,326 units permitted in Cameron County in 2024 (503 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cameron County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $60,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.69%
Cap rate
14.06%
Cash-on-cash
27.73%
DSCR
2.23
GRM
4.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.4%
Equity multiple
1.72×
Total profit
$12,040
Equity at exit
$8,946
10-year hold
IRR
24.6%
Equity multiple
2.84×
Total profit
$30,875
Equity at exit
$5,188

Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78552

Home prices YoY
-13.8%
Rents YoY
-1.9%
Active inventory
534
Price-to-rent
4.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,016 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$315
Tax est. 1.5%
$75 /mo · $900/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$213
Net cashflow
$388

Break-even live

Break-even rent $525
Max offer price $60,000
Occupancy floor 57%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,000
Closing costs
$1,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-14
    statusdays on market $60,000 Pending 11 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $60,000 Active 9 DOM
  3. 2026-06-03
    remarks 394-char remark
  4. 2026-06-02
    days on market $60,000 Active 8 DOM
  5. 2026-06-01
    days on market $60,000 Active 7 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $60,000 Active 6 DOM
  7. 2026-05-30
    days on market $60,000 Active 5 DOM
  8. 2026-05-25
    listed $60,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,195
− Mortgage interest
−$3,361
− Property taxes
−$900
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$976
− Management
−$976
− Depreciation
−$1,745
Taxable income
$3,938
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$945
After-tax cash flow
$3,714/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 21 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This mobile home requires significant repairs and updates to improve its condition and increase its value. The roof and exterior siding are in poor condition, and the interior needs painting and carpet replacement. A new HVAC system would also significantly enhance comfort and energy efficiency.

Repairs flagged

  • Major roof — visible structural damage
  • Major exterior siding — deteriorating condition
  • Major HVAC system — visible rust and wear
  • Major kitchen cabinets — dated and worn
  • Major bathroom fixtures — dated and worn
  • Major flooring — worn and exposed subfloor

Value-add opportunities

  • Both paint interior walls — enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both replace carpet — improves comfort and appearance
  • Both repair roof — fixes structural issues and enhances safety
  • Both repair exterior siding — enhances curb appeal and structural integrity
  • Both replace HVAC system — improves comfort and energy efficiency

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
roof · visible structural damage Major $15,000–50,000
exterior siding · deteriorating condition Major $15,000–50,000
HVAC system · visible rust and wear Major $15,000–50,000
kitchen cabinets · dated and worn Major $15,000–50,000
bathroom fixtures · dated and worn Major $15,000–50,000
flooring · worn and exposed subfloor Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 6 items $90,000–300,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both paint interior walls — enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both replace carpet — improves comfort and appearance
  • Both repair roof — fixes structural issues and enhances safety
  • Both repair exterior siding — enhances curb appeal and structural integrity
  • Both replace HVAC system — improves comfort and energy efficiency

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Harlingen CISD
NCES district ID
4822530
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -28.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$37,182
Composite
24.94/100
National rank
#7566
State rank
#647 of 826 in TX

Livability — Harlingen

Score
73/100
State rank
#217
US rank
#5347

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Harlingen, TX
County
Cameron County · 310,734 people
City population
95,667
Metro
Brownsville-Harlingen, TX
Population (ZIP)
42,332
Household income
$69,811
Rent vs Own
24.7% rent · 75.3% own
Severe rent burden
487.0

Population outlook (Cameron County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
441,603 people
By 2030
448,113 · +1.5%
By 2040
456,385 · +3.3%
By 2050
456,294 · +3.3%
By 2075
423,851 · -4.0%
By 2100
342,787 · -22.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (80%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 80% Two or more races 31% White 16% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 75%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
15% · Canada
Languages at home
49% English-only · Spanish 49% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cameron

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.8) · D 46.7% · R 52.5%
2008→2024 swing
-34.6pp toward R · 2008: 28.8pp · 2024: -5.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.8 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+32.5 2012: D+32.4 2008: D+28.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -31.61%
Current HPI
197.1906
Rent YoY
▼ -1.87%
Metro
Brownsville-Harlingen, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-25 Listed $60,000 RGVMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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