🏷️ Likely Rental
716 Northampton St · Buffalo, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +6.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$79,400
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Priced to sell, this 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in the City of Buffalo is the perfect opportunity for first-time buyers, investors, or anyone looking for a great value. The home offers a comfortable layout, plenty of natural light, and a solid foundation, making it easy to move right in or add to your investment portfolio. Tenant occupied. Showings to be scheduled only after 3pm.
Key facts
- 4,950 sq ft lot
- Built 1900
- Listed 27 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $79k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $736 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $79k).
- Recommended offer: $78k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.4% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 173 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,627/mo this rent would consume 54% of the median local household income ($36k/yr) (locally 1804% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($549 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (2.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $21k; list at $79k implies a 278% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- 39.74%
- DSCR
- 2.77
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $138,159
- List price
- $79,400
- Delta
- -42.53%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 255 Reed St | 0.57mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,294 (+0%) | 6mo | $125,000 | $97 | 63 |
| 513 High St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 1,270 (-1%) | 7mo | $95,000 | $75 | 60 |
| 855 Woodlawn Ave | 0.57mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,303 (+1%) | 10mo | $116,500 | $89 | 54 |
| 189 Reed St | 0.69mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,261 (-2%) | 10mo | $145,000 | $115 | 51 |
| 337 French St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,264 (-2%) | 11mo | $90,000 | $71 | 49 |
| 598 High St | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 1,139 (-12%) | 7mo | $115,000 | $101 | 48 |
| 31 Walden Ave | 0.40mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,420 (+10%) | 11mo | $31,000 | $22 | 46 |
| 59 Landon St | 0.60mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,424 (+11%) | 15mo | $76,500 | $54 | 37 |
| 849 Woodlawn Ave | 0.56mi | 3/3.0 | 1,124 (-13%) | 14mo | $168,800 | $150 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.05% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 43.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.36×
- Total profit
- $52,560
- Equity at exit
- $31,529
- IRR
- 44.6%
- Equity multiple
- 6.69×
- Total profit
- $126,510
- Equity at exit
- $45,565
Cash invested: $22,232 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14211
- Home prices YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 173
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,627 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$416
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$99 /mo · $1,191/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$342
- Net cashflow
- $736
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $791 | -5% $764 | +0% $736 | +5% $709 | +10% $681 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $608 | -5% $672 | +0% $736 | +5% $801 | +10% $865 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $776 | -0.5pp $756 | base $736 | +0.5pp $716 | +1.0pp $695 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,850
- Closing costs
- $2,382
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 408 Winslow Ave Unit 2 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,050 | $1.05 | 15d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 184 Butler Ave Unit 1545840P Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1496 | $3,226 | $2.16 | 15d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 104 Butler Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 45d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 179 Donaldson Rd Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $1,350 | $1.17 | 4d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 517 Goodyear Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1559 | $1,800 | $1.15 | 20d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 76 Chester St Unit 1 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,000 | $0.91 | 15d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 102 Florida St Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1296 | $1,650 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 983 Michigan Ave Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 804 | $3,202 | $3.98 | 3d | 58 | 1.31mi |
| 1786 Main St Unit 104 Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1256 | $1,875 | $1.49 | 45d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1786 Main St Unit 103 Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1110 | $1,677 | $1.51 | 45d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1152 Main St Apt 3 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,400 | $2.40 | 15d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 67 Moeller St Unit LOWER Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,200 | $1.25 | 25d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 67 Moeller St Unit UPPER Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,000 | $1.04 | 4d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-05-11status Pending 378-char remark
Show marketing remark (378 chars)
Priced to sell, this 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in the City of Buffalo is the perfect opportunity for first-time buyers, investors, or anyone looking for a great value. The home offers a comfortable layout, plenty of natural light, and a solid foundation, making it easy to move right in or add to your investment portfolio. Tenant occupied. Showings to be scheduled only after 3pm.
-
2026-05-06status Active 378-char remark
Show marketing remark (378 chars)
Priced to sell, this 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in the City of Buffalo is the perfect opportunity for first-time buyers, investors, or anyone looking for a great value. The home offers a comfortable layout, plenty of natural light, and a solid foundation, making it easy to move right in or add to your investment portfolio. Tenant occupied. Showings to be scheduled only after 3pm.
-
2026-05-03historical Active Under Contract 378-char remark
Show marketing remark (378 chars)
Priced to sell, this 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in the City of Buffalo is the perfect opportunity for first-time buyers, investors, or anyone looking for a great value. The home offers a comfortable layout, plenty of natural light, and a solid foundation, making it easy to move right in or add to your investment portfolio. Tenant occupied. Showings to be scheduled only after 3pm.
-
2026-04-29status Pending 378-char remark
Show marketing remark (378 chars)
Priced to sell, this 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in the City of Buffalo is the perfect opportunity for first-time buyers, investors, or anyone looking for a great value. The home offers a comfortable layout, plenty of natural light, and a solid foundation, making it easy to move right in or add to your investment portfolio. Tenant occupied. Showings to be scheduled only after 3pm.
-
2026-04-17price $79,400 378-char remark
Show marketing remark (378 chars)
Priced to sell, this 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in the City of Buffalo is the perfect opportunity for first-time buyers, investors, or anyone looking for a great value. The home offers a comfortable layout, plenty of natural light, and a solid foundation, making it easy to move right in or add to your investment portfolio. Tenant occupied. Showings to be scheduled only after 3pm.
-
2026-04-10$87,400 Active 378-char remark
Show marketing remark (378 chars)
Priced to sell, this 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in the City of Buffalo is the perfect opportunity for first-time buyers, investors, or anyone looking for a great value. The home offers a comfortable layout, plenty of natural light, and a solid foundation, making it easy to move right in or add to your investment portfolio. Tenant occupied. Showings to be scheduled only after 3pm.
-
2015-01-12soldstatus $21,000 245-char remark
Show marketing remark (245 chars)
Quaint turn of the century bungalow with updated boiler, electric plumbing, newer carpet and some windows, security doors with alarm system. Currently rented: Tenant desires to stay. Has off street parking. Showings will begin Thursday, 8/21/14.
-
2014-08-15$30,000 245-char remark
Show marketing remark (245 chars)
Quaint turn of the century bungalow with updated boiler, electric plumbing, newer carpet and some windows, security doors with alarm system. Currently rented: Tenant desires to stay. Has off street parking. Showings will begin Thursday, 8/21/14.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,519
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,448
- − Property taxes
- −$1,191
- − Insurance
- −$397
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,561
- − Management
- −$1,561
- − Depreciation
- −$2,310
- Taxable income
- $8,050
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,932
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,903/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buffalo City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605850
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,665
- Composite
- 33.17/100
- National rank
- #5544
- State rank
- #535 of 590 in NY
Livability — Buffalo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3011
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buffalo, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 440,021
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,663
- Household income
- $36,300
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1804.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 59% Asian 20% Hispanic / Latino 9% White 9% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 74% English-only · Other Indo-European 14% Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- Current HPI
- 357.6438
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+164.7% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2026-05-06 Relisted — WNYREIS
- 2026-05-03 Contingent — WNYREIS
- 2026-04-29 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2026-04-17 Price Changed $79,400 WNYREIS
- 2026-04-10 Listed $87,400 WNYREIS
- 2015-01-12 Sold (MLS) $21,000 WNYREIS
- 2014-08-15 Listed $30,000 WNYREIS
Property tax history
+2.9%/yrLatest (2025): $135 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…