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716 Northampton St 🏷️ Likely Rental
A- Composite 83.19
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$79,400

716 Northampton St · Buffalo, NY 14211
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,288 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 27 Days on market
Built 1900 4,950 sqft lot $62/sqft · 43% below area Est $138k · 43% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Priced to sell, this 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in the City of Buffalo is the perfect opportunity for first-time buyers, investors, or anyone looking for a great value. The home offers a comfortable layout, plenty of natural light, and a solid foundation, making it easy to move right in or add to your investment portfolio. Tenant occupied. Showings to be scheduled only after 3pm.

Key facts

  • 4,950 sq ft lot
  • Built 1900
  • Listed 27 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $79,400 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$138,159) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $79k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $736 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $79k).
  • Recommended offer: $78k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 17.4% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 173 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,627/mo this rent would consume 54% of the median local household income ($36k/yr) (locally 1804% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($549 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (2.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $21k; list at $79k implies a 278% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $78,209 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.05%
Cap rate
17.42%
Cash-on-cash
39.74%
DSCR
2.77
GRM
4.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$138,159
List price
$79,400
Delta
-42.53%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
255 Reed St 0.57mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,294 (+0%) 6mo $125,000 $97 63
513 High St 0.70mi 3/1.0 1,270 (-1%) 7mo $95,000 $75 60
855 Woodlawn Ave 0.57mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,303 (+1%) 10mo $116,500 $89 54
189 Reed St 0.69mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,261 (-2%) 10mo $145,000 $115 51
337 French St 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,264 (-2%) 11mo $90,000 $71 49
598 High St 0.59mi 3/1.0 1,139 (-12%) 7mo $115,000 $101 48
31 Walden Ave 0.40mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,420 (+10%) 11mo $31,000 $22 46
59 Landon St 0.60mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,424 (+11%) 15mo $76,500 $54 37
849 Woodlawn Ave 0.56mi 3/3.0 1,124 (-13%) 14mo $168,800 $150 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.05% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
43.8%
Equity multiple
3.36×
Total profit
$52,560
Equity at exit
$31,529
10-year hold
IRR
44.6%
Equity multiple
6.69×
Total profit
$126,510
Equity at exit
$45,565

Cash invested: $22,232 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14211

Home prices YoY
0.6%
Active inventory
173
Price-to-rent
4.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,627 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$416
Tax est. 1.5%
$99 /mo · $1,191/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$342
Net cashflow
$736

Break-even live

Break-even rent $695
Max offer price $79,400
Occupancy floor 50%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $791 -5% $764 +0% $736 +5% $709 +10% $681
Rent -10% $608 -5% $672 +0% $736 +5% $801 +10% $865
Rate -1.0pp $776 -0.5pp $756 base $736 +0.5pp $716 +1.0pp $695

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,850
Closing costs
$2,382
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
408 Winslow Ave Unit 2 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,050 $1.05 15d 1 0.39mi
184 Butler Ave Unit 1545840P Buffalo, NY 4.0 1.0 1496 $3,226 $2.16 15d 1 0.64mi
104 Butler Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 45d 1 0.71mi
179 Donaldson Rd Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1152 $1,350 $1.17 4d 1 0.80mi
517 Goodyear Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1559 $1,800 $1.15 20d 1 0.92mi
76 Chester St Unit 1 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,000 $0.91 15d 1 1.06mi
102 Florida St Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1296 $1,650 $1.27 45d 1 1.16mi
983 Michigan Ave Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0–2.0 804 $3,202 $3.98 3d 58 1.31mi
1786 Main St Unit 104 Buffalo, NY 2.0 2.0 1256 $1,875 $1.49 45d 1 1.33mi
1786 Main St Unit 103 Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.5 1110 $1,677 $1.51 45d 1 1.33mi
1152 Main St Apt 3 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1000 $2,400 $2.40 15d 1 1.46mi
67 Moeller St Unit LOWER Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 960 $1,200 $1.25 25d 1 1.47mi
67 Moeller St Unit UPPER Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 960 $1,000 $1.04 4d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-05-11
    status Pending 378-char remark
    Show marketing remark (378 chars)

    Priced to sell, this 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in the City of Buffalo is the perfect opportunity for first-time buyers, investors, or anyone looking for a great value. The home offers a comfortable layout, plenty of natural light, and a solid foundation, making it easy to move right in or add to your investment portfolio. Tenant occupied. Showings to be scheduled only after 3pm.

  2. 2026-05-06
    status Active 378-char remark
    Show marketing remark (378 chars)

    Priced to sell, this 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in the City of Buffalo is the perfect opportunity for first-time buyers, investors, or anyone looking for a great value. The home offers a comfortable layout, plenty of natural light, and a solid foundation, making it easy to move right in or add to your investment portfolio. Tenant occupied. Showings to be scheduled only after 3pm.

  3. 2026-05-03
    historical Active Under Contract 378-char remark
    Show marketing remark (378 chars)

    Priced to sell, this 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in the City of Buffalo is the perfect opportunity for first-time buyers, investors, or anyone looking for a great value. The home offers a comfortable layout, plenty of natural light, and a solid foundation, making it easy to move right in or add to your investment portfolio. Tenant occupied. Showings to be scheduled only after 3pm.

  4. 2026-04-29
    status Pending 378-char remark
    Show marketing remark (378 chars)

    Priced to sell, this 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in the City of Buffalo is the perfect opportunity for first-time buyers, investors, or anyone looking for a great value. The home offers a comfortable layout, plenty of natural light, and a solid foundation, making it easy to move right in or add to your investment portfolio. Tenant occupied. Showings to be scheduled only after 3pm.

  5. 2026-04-17
    price $79,400 378-char remark
    Show marketing remark (378 chars)

    Priced to sell, this 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in the City of Buffalo is the perfect opportunity for first-time buyers, investors, or anyone looking for a great value. The home offers a comfortable layout, plenty of natural light, and a solid foundation, making it easy to move right in or add to your investment portfolio. Tenant occupied. Showings to be scheduled only after 3pm.

  6. 2026-04-10
    listed $87,400 Active 378-char remark
    Show marketing remark (378 chars)

    Priced to sell, this 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in the City of Buffalo is the perfect opportunity for first-time buyers, investors, or anyone looking for a great value. The home offers a comfortable layout, plenty of natural light, and a solid foundation, making it easy to move right in or add to your investment portfolio. Tenant occupied. Showings to be scheduled only after 3pm.

  7. 2015-01-12
    soldstatus $21,000 245-char remark
    Show marketing remark (245 chars)

    Quaint turn of the century bungalow with updated boiler, electric plumbing, newer carpet and some windows, security doors with alarm system. Currently rented: Tenant desires to stay. Has off street parking. Showings will begin Thursday, 8/21/14.

  8. 2014-08-15
    listed $30,000 245-char remark
    Show marketing remark (245 chars)

    Quaint turn of the century bungalow with updated boiler, electric plumbing, newer carpet and some windows, security doors with alarm system. Currently rented: Tenant desires to stay. Has off street parking. Showings will begin Thursday, 8/21/14.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,519
− Mortgage interest
−$4,448
− Property taxes
−$1,191
− Insurance
−$397
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,561
− Management
−$1,561
− Depreciation
−$2,310
Taxable income
$8,050
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,932
After-tax cash flow
$6,903/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
440,021
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
24,663
Household income
$36,300
Rent vs Own
54.8% rent · 45.2% own
Severe rent burden
1804.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% Asian 20% Hispanic / Latino 9% White 9% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
Languages at home
74% English-only · Other Indo-European 14% Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.05%
Current HPI
357.6438
Rent YoY
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+164.7% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2026-05-06 Relisted WNYREIS
  • 2026-05-03 Contingent WNYREIS
  • 2026-04-29 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2026-04-17 Price Changed $79,400 WNYREIS
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $87,400 WNYREIS
  • 2015-01-12 Sold (MLS) $21,000 WNYREIS
  • 2014-08-15 Listed $30,000 WNYREIS

Property tax history

+2.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $135 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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