15326 Brookfield St · Livonia, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.4/30.0
- ARV discount +5.8/15.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- DSCR +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$299,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Location, location, location! Don't miss this spacious 4-bedroom, 2-full-bath home just north of 5 Mile near the heart of Livonia. Great curb appeal, brand-new shingles, new HVAC, and thoughtful updates throughout make this home a fantastic opportunity. Inside, you'll find a comfortable layout with plenty of room to spread out, plus great attic storage. Outside, enjoy a large fenced backyard and an oversized 2-car garage with additional storage/workshop space behind it. Located in Livonia Public Schools: Buchanan K-4, Riley 5-6, Holmes 7-8, and Stevenson 9-12. Walkable to Livonia staples like Handi-Dip, Bennett Library, and Bates Hamburgers!
Key facts
- New hvac
- New shingles
- 0.23 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with approximately 2.5 spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Circuit breaker electrical service; Cable available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Ground-level entry; Aluminum and vinyl siding; Asphalt roof
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Crawl space foundation; Built as a residential single-family home
- Exterior features: Patio; Porch; Fenced yard; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Free-standing gas range; Free-standing refrigerator; Microwave
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Gas water heater; Stainless steel appliances
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $300k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $7 ($87/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $258k (14.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $258k (14.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 4.9% in Livonia — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#116 in MI, #2,784 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D, health & safety D, commute F.
- Livonia Public Schools School District (urban): math 46% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #77 of 540 in MI (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 102 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 8 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $122k; list at $300k implies a 145% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1936 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1936 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.32%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.10%
- DSCR
- 1.00
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $288,600
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15508 Shadyside St | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,326 (+2%) | 9mo | $275,500 | $208 | 68 |
| 15151 Merriman Rd | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,308 (+1%) | 0mo | $235,000 | $180 | 65 |
| 33146 Lyndon St | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,249 (-4%) | 8mo | $287,500 | $230 | 50 |
| 14677 Auburndale St | 0.60mi | 4/1.5 | 1,155 (-11%) | 7mo | $282,000 | $244 | 46 |
| 14942 Melrose St | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,172 (-10%) | 9mo | $245,000 | $209 | 45 |
| 15694 Edington St | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,417 (+9%) | 10mo | $263,000 | $186 | 41 |
| 32295 Meadowbrook St | 0.35mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,456 (+12%) | 19mo | $278,500 | $191 | 41 |
| 32619 Oakley St | 0.51mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,146 (-12%) | 11mo | $260,000 | $227 | 40 |
| 15173 Melrose St | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,164 (-10%) | 20mo | $259,900 | $223 | 38 |
| 14915 Auburndale St | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,392 (+7%) | 22mo | $282,000 | $203 | 38 |
| 15480 Edington St | 0.51mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,492 (+15%) | 11mo | $395,000 | $265 | 35 |
| 32970 Allen St | 0.62mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,441 (+11%) | 14mo | $320,000 | $222 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.43×
- Total profit
- $-48,059
- Equity at exit
- $44,656
- IRR
- -7.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.51×
- Total profit
- $-41,204
- Equity at exit
- $25,895
Cash invested: $83,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48154
- Active inventory
- 102
- Price-to-rent
- 9.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,576 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,571
- Tax from tax record
- −$332 /mo · $3,985/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$541
- Net cashflow
- $7
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $74,875
- Closing costs
- $8,985
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31015 Dorais St Livonia, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1229 | $2,495 | $2.03 | 16d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 17034 Farmington Rd Livonia, MI | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1735 | $2,700 | $1.56 | 1d | 1 | 0.95mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $299,500 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $299,500 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $299,500 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15remarks 687-char remark
-
2026-06-15days on market $299,500 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $299,500 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $315,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $315,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 649-char remark
-
2026-06-07$315,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,985 · $332/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,299 · $358/mo
- Expected delta
- +$314/yr (+$26/mo · 7.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,907
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,777
- − Property taxes
- −$3,985
- − Insurance
- −$1,498
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,473
- − Management
- −$2,473
- − Depreciation
- −$8,713
- Taxable loss
- −$5,010
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,202
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,289/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Livonia Public Schools School District
- NCES district ID
- 2621840
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $65,268
- Composite
- 46.27/100
- National rank
- #2480
- State rank
- #77 of 540 in MI
Livability — Livonia
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #116
- US rank
- #2784
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Livonia, MI
- City population
- 56,806
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,915
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 4% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 13% Lithuanian 4% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Other Indo-European 3% Arabic 2% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -263.93%
- Current HPI
- 192.3426
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+57.6% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $315,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-06-05 Listed $315,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-08-28 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-07-10 Listed $325,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-07-10 Listed $325,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-07-08 Coming Soon — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2006-04-17 Sold (MLS) $122,000 REALCOMP
- 2006-02-08 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2006-02-07 Listed $129,900 REALCOMP
- 2005-11-11 Listed $134,900 REALCOMP
- 2004-02-29 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2003-11-29 Listed $144,900 REALCOMP
- 2003-11-20 Sold (MLS) $180,000 REALCOMP
- 2003-09-04 Listed $199,900 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+3.1%/yrLatest (2025): $3,985 · +3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…