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204 Locust St
B+ Composite 79.34
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +8.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$70,000

204 Locust St · Narrows, VA 24124
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,320 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 71 Days on market
Built 1950 0.30 ac lot $53/sqft · 57% below area ↓ 10% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Three-bedroom, one-bath home in Narrows located near the beautiful New River—perfect for anyone looking for a project with great potential. This property is just waiting for a buyer wanting to add their own touches. Features a functional layout, and convenient access to town amenities, outdoor recreation, and local schools. Home will be cleaned out prior to closing.

Key facts

  • Outdoor recreation
  • New river
  • Convenient access

Tags

NEW RIVERFUNCTIONAL LAYOUTCONVENIENT ACCESSOUTDOOR RECREATIONLOCAL SCHOOLS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $419 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $66k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#204 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Giles County Public School District (rural): math 56% / reading 68% proficiency, ranked #54 of 131 in VA (top 41%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP; 25 units permitted in Giles County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($484 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (6.0% local appreciation)).
  • Giles County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (6.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (30%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $50k; 40% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $65,800 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.56%
Cap rate
13.48%
Cash-on-cash
25.65%
DSCR
2.14
GRM
5.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$171,558
List price
$70,000
Delta
-59.20%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
181 Stockpen Mountain Rd 0.38mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,308 (-1%) 6mo $267,900 $205 66
305 Fairview St 0.37mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,287 (-2%) 15mo $97,750 $76 61
111 Spring St 0.24mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,190 (-10%) 24mo $200,000 $168 46
212 Gross St 0.73mi 2/1.0 1,140 (-14%) 14mo $65,000 $57 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

6.04% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
37.1%
Equity multiple
3.40×
Total profit
$47,036
Equity at exit
$44,159
10-year hold
IRR
34.4%
Equity multiple
6.99×
Total profit
$117,405
Equity at exit
$80,215

Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 24124

Home prices YoY
3.1%
Active inventory
41
Price-to-rent
5.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,095 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$50 /mo · $595/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$230
Net cashflow
$419

Break-even live

Break-even rent $564
Max offer price $70,000
Occupancy floor 57%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,500
Closing costs
$2,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $70,000 Active 71 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $70,000 Active 70 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $70,000 Active 69 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $70,000 Active 68 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $70,000 Active 67 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $70,000 Active 65 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $70,000 Active 64 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $70,000 Active 62 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $70,000 Active 61 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $70,000 Active 60 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $70,000 Active 59 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $70,000 Active 55 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $70,000 Active 54 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $70,000 Active 53 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $70,000 Active 52 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $70,000 Active 51 DOM
  17. 2026-05-19
    price $75,000 374-char remark
    Show marketing remark (374 chars)

    Three-bedroom, one-bath home in Narrows located near the beautiful New River—perfect for anyone looking for a project with great potential. This property is just waiting for a buyer wanting to add their own touches. Features a functional layout, and convenient access to town amenities, outdoor recreation, and local schools. Home will be cleaned out prior to closing.

  18. 2026-05-09
    price $77,500 374-char remark
    Show marketing remark (374 chars)

    Three-bedroom, one-bath home in Narrows located near the beautiful New River—perfect for anyone looking for a project with great potential. This property is just waiting for a buyer wanting to add their own touches. Features a functional layout, and convenient access to town amenities, outdoor recreation, and local schools. Home will be cleaned out prior to closing.

  19. 2026-05-01
    price $81,500 374-char remark
    Show marketing remark (374 chars)

    Three-bedroom, one-bath home in Narrows located near the beautiful New River—perfect for anyone looking for a project with great potential. This property is just waiting for a buyer wanting to add their own touches. Features a functional layout, and convenient access to town amenities, outdoor recreation, and local schools. Home will be cleaned out prior to closing.

  20. 2026-04-24
    price $82,000 374-char remark
    Show marketing remark (374 chars)

    Three-bedroom, one-bath home in Narrows located near the beautiful New River—perfect for anyone looking for a project with great potential. This property is just waiting for a buyer wanting to add their own touches. Features a functional layout, and convenient access to town amenities, outdoor recreation, and local schools. Home will be cleaned out prior to closing.

  21. 2026-04-22
    price $84,900 374-char remark
    Show marketing remark (374 chars)

    Three-bedroom, one-bath home in Narrows located near the beautiful New River—perfect for anyone looking for a project with great potential. This property is just waiting for a buyer wanting to add their own touches. Features a functional layout, and convenient access to town amenities, outdoor recreation, and local schools. Home will be cleaned out prior to closing.

  22. 2026-04-10
    price $89,999 374-char remark
    Show marketing remark (374 chars)

    Three-bedroom, one-bath home in Narrows located near the beautiful New River—perfect for anyone looking for a project with great potential. This property is just waiting for a buyer wanting to add their own touches. Features a functional layout, and convenient access to town amenities, outdoor recreation, and local schools. Home will be cleaned out prior to closing.

  23. 2026-04-10
    listed $99,999 Active 374-char remark
    Show marketing remark (374 chars)

    Three-bedroom, one-bath home in Narrows located near the beautiful New River—perfect for anyone looking for a project with great potential. This property is just waiting for a buyer wanting to add their own touches. Features a functional layout, and convenient access to town amenities, outdoor recreation, and local schools. Home will be cleaned out prior to closing.

  24. 2018-08-17
    soldstatus $49,900 340-char remark
    Show marketing remark (340 chars)

    Great house for starting out. Main floor offers two bedrooms, office space, and laundry area. Full walk up finished attic space offers great possibilities for additional space. Great front porch with mountain view and side deck for the BBQ. Legal: Building #1 - Tax Map #24B 11 93. Sold as is and where is. No Warranties given or implied.

  25. 2018-05-29
    listed $49,900 340-char remark
    Show marketing remark (340 chars)

    Great house for starting out. Main floor offers two bedrooms, office space, and laundry area. Full walk up finished attic space offers great possibilities for additional space. Great front porch with mountain view and side deck for the BBQ. Legal: Building #1 - Tax Map #24B 11 93. Sold as is and where is. No Warranties given or implied.

  26. 2018-03-27
    soldstatus $67,150
  27. 2013-09-27
    soldstatus $91,500
  28. 2007-04-25
    soldstatus $82,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$595 · $50/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$595 · $50/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 9 d/yr ≥91°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,137
− Mortgage interest
−$3,921
− Property taxes
−$595
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,051
− Management
−$1,051
− Depreciation
−$2,036
Taxable income
$4,133
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$992
After-tax cash flow
$4,036/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Giles County Public School District
NCES district ID
5101590
Math proficiency
56% ▼ -26.00%
Reading proficiency
68% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$45,394
Composite
52.25/100
National rank
#1600
State rank
#54 of 131 in VA

Livability — Narrows

Score
72/100
State rank
#204
US rank
#6289

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Narrows, VA
Population (ZIP)
4,177

Population outlook (Giles County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
15,868 people
By 2030
15,306 · -3.5%
By 2040
14,149 · -10.8%
By 2050
13,059 · -17.7%
By 2075
10,837 · -31.7%
By 2100
8,648 · -45.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Serbian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Giles

2024 margin
Solid R (+54.5) · D 22.4% · R 76.9%
2008→2024 swing
-38.2pp toward R · 2008: -16.3pp · 2024: -54.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+54.5 2020: R+51.4 2016: R+48.6 2012: R+25.6 2008: R+16.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 6.04%
Current HPI
201.2028
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-9.5% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Price Changed $75,000 NRVMLS
  • 2026-05-09 Price Changed $77,500 NRVMLS
  • 2026-05-01 Price Changed $81,500 NRVMLS
  • 2026-04-24 Price Changed $82,000 NRVMLS
  • 2026-04-22 Price Changed $84,900 NRVMLS
  • 2026-04-10 Price Changed $89,999 NRVMLS
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $99,999 NRVMLS
  • 2018-08-17 Sold (MLS) $49,900 MLSRV
  • 2018-05-29 Listed $49,900 MLSRV
  • 2018-03-27 Sold (Public Records) $67,150 Public Records
  • 2013-09-27 Sold (Public Records) $91,500 Public Records
  • 2007-04-25 Sold (Public Records) $82,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $595 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…