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1222 Grove St St
C Composite 57.81
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$175,000

1222 Grove St St · Vicksburg, MS 39183
3 bd · 0.5 ba · 2,132 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 350 Days on market
Built 1920 0.25 ac lot $82/sqft · 14% below area Est $205k · 14% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This unique opportunity includes two parcels—the main property plus the adjacent lot at 12218—offering even more space and flexibility for your vision. Zoned CBR-4, this property supports a wide range of residential and commercial uses. Ideal for investors, developers, or owner-occupants seeking a multi-use setup, allowable uses include: multifamily dwellings, medical or professional offices, educational or philanthropic institutions, personal service shops (such as salons or fitness studios), artist or photography studios, boarding houses, and more. Whether you're planning to expand, build, or reimagine, this dual-lot property offers the perfect canvas. Let your creativity take the lead—CBR-4 zoning and two lots make the possibilities nearly endless!

Key facts

  • Two parcels
  • Adjacent lot
  • Zoned cbr-4

Tags

TWO PARCELSADJACENT LOTZONED CBR-4MULTIFAMILY DWELLINGSMEDICAL OFFICESPROFESSIONAL OFFICES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/0.5-bath single-family listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $262 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
  • Recommended offer: $154k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 4.5% in Vicksburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#166 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Vicksburg Warren School District (rural): math 22% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #82 of 130 in MS (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 65 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 12 units permitted in Warren County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Warren County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 350 days — a 12% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $154,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 350 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.03%
Cap rate
8.09%
Cash-on-cash
6.41%
DSCR
1.29
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$204,628
List price
$175,000
Delta
-14.48%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
17 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
617 Adams St 0.37mi 3/2.0 1,990 (-7%) 13mo $19,900 $10 55
1127 Harrison St 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,874 (-12%) 9mo $20,750 $11 51
1310 Main St 0.14mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,426 (+14%) 22mo $15,000 $6 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.4%
Equity multiple
0.76×
Total profit
$-11,682
Equity at exit
$26,093
10-year hold
IRR
3.2%
Equity multiple
1.23×
Total profit
$11,292
Equity at exit
$15,131

Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39183

Home prices YoY
-32.3%
Active inventory
65
Price-to-rent
8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,800 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$918
Tax from tax record
$169 /mo · $2,034/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$378
Net cashflow
$262

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,469
Max offer price $175,000
Occupancy floor 80%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,750
Closing costs
$5,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1711 Cherry St Vicksburg, MS 2.0 1.0 1481 $1,800 $1.22 23d 1 0.45mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2025-06-30
    status Active 780-char remark
    Show marketing remark (780 chars)

    This unique opportunity includes two parcels—the main property plus the adjacent lot at 12218—offering even more space and flexibility for your vision. Zoned CBR-4, this property supports a wide range of residential and commercial uses. Ideal for investors, developers, or owner-occupants seeking a multi-use setup, allowable uses include: multifamily dwellings, medical or professional offices, educational or philanthropic institutions, personal service shops (such as salons or fitness studios), artist or photography studios, boarding houses, and more. Whether you're planning to expand, build, or reimagine, this dual-lot property offers the perfect canvas. Let your creativity take the lead—CBR-4 zoning and two lots make the possibilities nearly endless!

  2. 2025-06-25
    status Pending 780-char remark
    Show marketing remark (780 chars)

    This unique opportunity includes two parcels—the main property plus the adjacent lot at 12218—offering even more space and flexibility for your vision. Zoned CBR-4, this property supports a wide range of residential and commercial uses. Ideal for investors, developers, or owner-occupants seeking a multi-use setup, allowable uses include: multifamily dwellings, medical or professional offices, educational or philanthropic institutions, personal service shops (such as salons or fitness studios), artist or photography studios, boarding houses, and more. Whether you're planning to expand, build, or reimagine, this dual-lot property offers the perfect canvas. Let your creativity take the lead—CBR-4 zoning and two lots make the possibilities nearly endless!

  3. 2025-06-07
    listed $175,000 Active 780-char remark
    Show marketing remark (780 chars)

    This unique opportunity includes two parcels—the main property plus the adjacent lot at 12218—offering even more space and flexibility for your vision. Zoned CBR-4, this property supports a wide range of residential and commercial uses. Ideal for investors, developers, or owner-occupants seeking a multi-use setup, allowable uses include: multifamily dwellings, medical or professional offices, educational or philanthropic institutions, personal service shops (such as salons or fitness studios), artist or photography studios, boarding houses, and more. Whether you're planning to expand, build, or reimagine, this dual-lot property offers the perfect canvas. Let your creativity take the lead—CBR-4 zoning and two lots make the possibilities nearly endless!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,034 · $169/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,034 · $169/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,600
− Mortgage interest
−$9,803
− Property taxes
−$2,034
− Insurance
−$875
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,728
− Management
−$1,728
− Depreciation
−$5,091
Taxable income
$342
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$82
After-tax cash flow
$3,061/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Vicksburg Warren School District
NCES district ID
2804470
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$40,492
Composite
20.31/100
National rank
#8612
State rank
#82 of 130 in MS

Livability — Vicksburg

Score
63/100
State rank
#166
US rank
#16032

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Vicksburg, MS
City population
28,479
Population (ZIP)
13,419

Population outlook (Warren County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
45,473 people
By 2030
44,051 · -3.1%
By 2040
40,884 · -10.1%
By 2050
37,596 · -17.3%
By 2075
30,162 · -33.7%
By 2100
23,585 · -48.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Race & ethnicity
White 49% Black 47% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Warren

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 51.4% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-0.9pp no change · 2008: -3.0pp · 2024: -4.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+4.0 2020: D+0.4 2016: R+4.9 2012: D+2.6 2008: R+3.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -69.46%
Current HPI
145.8279
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2025-06-30 Relisted MLSU
  • 2025-06-25 Pending MLSU
  • 2025-06-07 Listed $175,000 MLSU

Property tax history

+3.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,034 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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