626 Princeton Ave · Elyria, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +12.6/30.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- DSCR +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this charming two-story Bungalow situated in the desirable East Broad Street Heights neighborhood of Elyria! Offering 3 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom across 1,089 square feet of comfortable living space, this home is full of classic appeal and ready for your personal touch. The traditional layout features a bright and inviting dining area that flows into a functional kitchen equipped with classic wood cabinetry and white appliances, including a gas range. The home’s bedrooms are cozy and feature ceiling fans for added comfort, while the full bathroom highlights a classic pedestal sink. The finished upper level provides fantastic flexible space—perfect for a primary bed
Key facts
- Two story bungalow
- Functional kitchen
- Ceiling fans
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; 1 garage space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: 2-story home; Aluminum siding; Asphalt fiberglass shingle roof
- Construction: Aluminum siding construction; Asphalt/fiberglass shingle roof; Has basement (unfinished)
- Exterior features: Driveway access; On-street parking available
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
- Interior features: Unfinished basement; Total of 5 rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-17 ($-206/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $132k (2.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $114k (15.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $114k (15.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.0% in Elyria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#243 in OH, #3,869 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools C-, employment D, commute F.
- Elyria City Schools (urban): math 21% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #586 of 656 in OH (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 360 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,098 units permitted in Lorain County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $46k; list at $135k implies a 190% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.54%
- DSCR
- 0.98
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $170,973
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 609 Princeton Ave | 0.05mi | 3/1.0 | 1,089 (0%) | 2mo | $165,000 | $152 | 96 |
| 532 Princeton Ave | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 | 1,089 (0%) | 1mo | $190,000 | $174 | 94 |
| 537 Cambridge Ave | 0.11mi | 3/1.0 | 1,089 (0%) | 3mo | $127,000 | $117 | 93 |
| 539 Princeton Ave | 0.11mi | 3/1.0 | 1,089 (0%) | 3mo | $195,000 | $179 | 92 |
| 453 Kenyon Ave | 0.27mi | 3/1.5 | 1,028 (-6%) | 1mo | $152,000 | $148 | 75 |
| 254 Boston Ave | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,040 (-4%) | 2mo | $140,000 | $135 | 75 |
| 746 Delaware Ave | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 | 1,050 (-4%) | 2mo | $165,000 | $157 | 73 |
| 229 Lexington Ave | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 | 984 (-10%) | 1mo | $162,900 | $166 | 73 |
| 908 Baldwin Ave | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 1,050 (-4%) | 4mo | $130,000 | $124 | 61 |
| 817 Boston Ave | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 | 925 (-15%) | 2mo | $161,000 | $174 | 59 |
| 553 Purdue Ave | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 1,207 (+11%) | 4mo | $191,000 | $158 | 54 |
| 128 Northrup St | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 940 (-14%) | 1mo | $66,000 | $70 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.74% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.51×
- Total profit
- $-18,492
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- 0.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.06×
- Total profit
- $2,324
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44035
- Rents YoY
- 6.7%
- Active inventory
- 360
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,144 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$156 /mo · $1,878/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$240
- Net cashflow
- $-17
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $59 | -5% $21 | +0% $-17 | +5% $-55 | +10% $-94 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-107 | -5% $-62 | +0% $-17 | +5% $28 | +10% $73 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $51 | -0.5pp $17 | base $-17 | +0.5pp $-52 | +1.0pp $-88 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 630 Abbe Rd S Unit 3 Elyria, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 830 | $1,025 | $1.23 | 3d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 630 Abbe Rd S Unit 23 Elyria, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 830 | $1,050 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 129 Park Meadow Ln Elyria, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 729 | $1,179 | $1.62 | 3d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 327 Beebe Ave Elyria, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 976 | $1,650 | $1.69 | 17d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 334 Washington Ave Unit 102F Elyria, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $895 | $1.19 | 22d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1309 Middle Ave Elyria, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $795 | $0.80 | 45d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-22$135,000 Active
-
1989-02-15soldstatus $46,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,878 · $156/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,992 · $166/mo
- Expected delta
- +$114/yr (+$10/mo · 6.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,725
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$1,878
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,098
- − Management
- −$1,098
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable loss
- −$2,513
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$603
- After-tax cash flow
- $398/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Elyria City Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3904394
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -25.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,992
- Composite
- 24.45/100
- National rank
- #7670
- State rank
- #586 of 656 in OH
Livability — Elyria
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #243
- US rank
- #3869
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Elyria, OH
- County
- Lorain County · 219,437 people
- City population
- 62,179
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 62,179
- Household income
- $56,408
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2229.0
Population outlook (Lorain County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 314,924 people
- By 2030
- 317,546 · +0.8%
- By 2040
- 317,962 · +1.0%
- By 2050
- 312,872 · -0.7%
- By 2075
- 301,806 · -4.2%
- By 2100
- 278,271 · -11.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Two or more races 12% Black 11% Hispanic / Latino 10% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · China, Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lorain
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.7) · D 46.7% · R 52.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.9pp · 2024: -5.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.7 2020: R+2.5 2016: R+0.3 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+17.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -139.09%
- Current HPI
- 199.7354
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.74%
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+190.3% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $135,000 MLSNOW
- 1989-02-15 Sold (Public Records) $46,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,878 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…