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626 Princeton Ave
D+ Composite 47.72
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +12.6/30.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • DSCR +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$135,000

626 Princeton Ave · Elyria, OH 44035
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,089 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1950 5,662 sqft lot Est $171k · 21% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this charming two-story Bungalow situated in the desirable East Broad Street Heights neighborhood of Elyria! Offering 3 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom across 1,089 square feet of comfortable living space, this home is full of classic appeal and ready for your personal touch. The traditional layout features a bright and inviting dining area that flows into a functional kitchen equipped with classic wood cabinetry and white appliances, including a gas range. The home’s bedrooms are cozy and feature ceiling fans for added comfort, while the full bathroom highlights a classic pedestal sink. The finished upper level provides fantastic flexible space—perfect for a primary bed

Key facts

  • Two story bungalow
  • Functional kitchen
  • Ceiling fans

Tags

TWO STORY BUNGALOWBRIGHT DINING AREAFUNCTIONAL KITCHENCLASSIC WOOD CABINETRYGAS RANGECEILING FANS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; 1 garage space
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: 2-story home; Aluminum siding; Asphalt fiberglass shingle roof
  • Construction: Aluminum siding construction; Asphalt/fiberglass shingle roof; Has basement (unfinished)
  • Exterior features: Driveway access; On-street parking available

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement; Total of 5 rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-17 ($-206/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $132k (2.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $114k (15.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $114k (15.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.0% in Elyria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#243 in OH, #3,869 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools C-, employment D, commute F.
  • Elyria City Schools (urban): math 21% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #586 of 656 in OH (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 360 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,098 units permitted in Lorain County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $46k; list at $135k implies a 190% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $114,373 (15.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
6.14%
Cash-on-cash
-0.54%
DSCR
0.98
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$170,973
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
609 Princeton Ave 0.05mi 3/1.0 1,089 (0%) 2mo $165,000 $152 96
532 Princeton Ave 0.12mi 3/1.0 1,089 (0%) 1mo $190,000 $174 94
537 Cambridge Ave 0.11mi 3/1.0 1,089 (0%) 3mo $127,000 $117 93
539 Princeton Ave 0.11mi 3/1.0 1,089 (0%) 3mo $195,000 $179 92
453 Kenyon Ave 0.27mi 3/1.5 1,028 (-6%) 1mo $152,000 $148 75
254 Boston Ave 0.24mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,040 (-4%) 2mo $140,000 $135 75
746 Delaware Ave 0.42mi 3/1.0 1,050 (-4%) 2mo $165,000 $157 73
229 Lexington Ave 0.23mi 3/1.0 984 (-10%) 1mo $162,900 $166 73
908 Baldwin Ave 0.64mi 3/1.0 1,050 (-4%) 4mo $130,000 $124 61
817 Boston Ave 0.30mi 3/1.0 925 (-15%) 2mo $161,000 $174 59
553 Purdue Ave 0.53mi 3/1.0 1,207 (+11%) 4mo $191,000 $158 54
128 Northrup St 0.64mi 2/1.0 (-1) 940 (-14%) 1mo $66,000 $70 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.74% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.1%
Equity multiple
0.51×
Total profit
$-18,492
Equity at exit
$20,129
10-year hold
IRR
0.8%
Equity multiple
1.06×
Total profit
$2,324
Equity at exit
$11,672

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44035

Rents YoY
6.7%
Active inventory
360
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,144 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax from tax record
$156 /mo · $1,878/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$240
Net cashflow
$-17

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,165
Max offer price $131,973
Occupancy floor 96%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $59 -5% $21 +0% $-17 +5% $-55 +10% $-94
Rent -10% $-107 -5% $-62 +0% $-17 +5% $28 +10% $73
Rate -1.0pp $51 -0.5pp $17 base $-17 +0.5pp $-52 +1.0pp $-88

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
630 Abbe Rd S Unit 3 Elyria, OH 2.0 1.0 830 $1,025 $1.23 3d 1 0.42mi
630 Abbe Rd S Unit 23 Elyria, OH 2.0 1.0 830 $1,050 $1.27 45d 1 0.44mi
129 Park Meadow Ln Elyria, OH 1.0–2.0 1.0 729 $1,179 $1.62 3d 1 0.76mi
327 Beebe Ave Elyria, OH 3.0 1.0 976 $1,650 $1.69 17d 1 1.28mi
334 Washington Ave Unit 102F Elyria, OH 2.0 1.0 750 $895 $1.19 22d 1 1.33mi
1309 Middle Ave Elyria, OH 2.0 1.0 1000 $795 $0.80 45d 1 1.39mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-22
    listed $135,000 Active
  2. 1989-02-15
    soldstatus $46,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,878 · $156/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,992 · $166/mo
Expected delta
+$114/yr (+$10/mo · 6.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,725
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$1,878
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,098
− Management
−$1,098
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable loss
−$2,513
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$603
After-tax cash flow
$398/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Elyria City Schools
NCES district ID
3904394
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -25.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$40,992
Composite
24.45/100
National rank
#7670
State rank
#586 of 656 in OH

Livability — Elyria

Score
75/100
State rank
#243
US rank
#3869

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Elyria, OH
County
Lorain County · 219,437 people
City population
62,179
Metro
Cleveland-Elyria, OH
Population (ZIP)
62,179
Household income
$56,408
Rent vs Own
37.3% rent · 62.7% own
Severe rent burden
2229.0

Population outlook (Lorain County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
314,924 people
By 2030
317,546 · +0.8%
By 2040
317,962 · +1.0%
By 2050
312,872 · -0.7%
By 2075
301,806 · -4.2%
By 2100
278,271 · -11.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Two or more races 12% Black 11% Hispanic / Latino 10% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · China, Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lorain

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.7) · D 46.7% · R 52.4%
2008→2024 swing
-23.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.9pp · 2024: -5.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.7 2020: R+2.5 2016: R+0.3 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+17.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -139.09%
Current HPI
199.7354
Rent YoY
▲ 6.74%
Metro
Cleveland-Elyria, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+190.3% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $135,000 MLSNOW
  • 1989-02-15 Sold (Public Records) $46,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,878 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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