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2402 Greenway Dr
D Composite 44.44
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +8.9/15.0
  • DSCR +4.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.2/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$125,000

2402 Greenway Dr · Brownwood, TX 76801
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 984 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1950 10,280 sqft lot Est $129k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

The home has 3 bedrooms, one bath, a spacious living room and a large eat in kitchen. Fresh coat of paint in the main living space and looks like there could be original hardwood floors under the carpet in the 2 bedrooms with carpet. The exterior boasts a fenced back yard, attached carport, and partial enclosed back porch.

Key facts

  • 0.24 acre lot
  • Parking
  • Built 1950

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Directions: From Austin Street turn west on Travis and then north on Greenway
  • Financial info: Treat as clear loan type; No second mortgage
  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport (1 covered/carport space)
  • Utilities: City sewer; Electricity connected; Not in a municipal utility district
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; One story; Preowned (built 1950)
  • Construction: Built in 1950; Fiber cement exterior; Composition roof; Has foundation (standard for site-built)
  • Exterior features: Lot in Bowie View subdivision; Less than 0.5 acre lot (approx. 0.236 acre); Curbs

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen; No appliances included
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms; Primary bedroom on level 1 (approx. 10 x 10)
  • Flooring: Wood flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Electric cooling
  • Interior features: Cable TV available; Eat-in kitchen; Basement present; One level
  • Laundry & utility: No washer/dryer listed

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-27 ($-323/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $120k (3.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $115k (8.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $115k (8.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.8% in Brownwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#781 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, health & safety D+, amenities F.
  • Brownwood ISD (town): math 45% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #344 of 826 in TX (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: East El (math 64% / reading 54%, grade B-, #409 of 4,322 statewide, top 10%, 316 students, 79% FRL); Brownwood Middle (math 39% / reading 41%, grade F, #646 of 1,662 statewide, top 40%, 485 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 72% FRL vs 54% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 380 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 142 units permitted in Brown County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $114,563 (8.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.92%
Cap rate
6.67%
Cash-on-cash
1.35%
DSCR
1.06
GRM
9.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$128,904
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2503 Belmeade St 0.16mi 3/1.0 1,072 (+9%) 3mo $135,000 $126 75
2612 1st St 0.38mi 3/1.0 953 (-3%) 8mo $139,900 $147 71
2103 9th St 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,062 (+8%) 2mo $185,000 $174 64
2204 Berkley St 0.16mi 3/1.0 1,128 (+15%) 6mo $134,900 $120 64
2506 Vincent St 0.59mi 3/1.5 1,056 (+7%) 4mo $148,900 $141 55
1806 1st St 0.62mi 2/1.0 (-1) 936 (-5%) 10mo $75,000 $80 50
1007 Lackey St 0.46mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,111 (+13%) 4mo $139,900 $126 49
1810 9th St 0.53mi 2/1.0 (-1) 857 (-13%) 2mo $69,000 $81 47
1808 8th St 0.50mi 3/1.0 1,130 (+15%) 10mo $118,000 $104 44
1700 4th St 0.61mi 2/1.0 (-1) 877 (-11%) 6mo $115,000 $131 43
2901 Austin Ave 0.66mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,130 (+15%) 4mo $198,500 $176 36
2008 Austin Ave 0.60mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,122 (+14%) 8mo $154,000 $137 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.8%
Equity multiple
0.37×
Total profit
$-21,913
Equity at exit
$18,638
10-year hold
IRR
-9.8%
Equity multiple
0.40×
Total profit
$-21,051
Equity at exit
$10,808

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76801

Active inventory
380
Price-to-rent
9.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,146 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax from tax record
$158 /mo · $1,895/yr
Insurance
$52
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$241
Net cashflow
$-27

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,180
Max offer price $120,239
Occupancy floor 97%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $44 -5% $8 +0% $-27 +5% $-62 +10% $-98
Rent -10% $-117 -5% $-72 +0% $-27 +5% $18 +10% $64
Rate -1.0pp $36 -0.5pp $5 base $-27 +0.5pp $-59 +1.0pp $-92

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2001 Brady Ave Unit 1705 Austin-A Brownwood, TX 2.0 1.0 1070 $1,095 $1.02 45d 1 1.17mi
3201 Stephen F Austin Dr Lot 130 Brownwood, TX 3.0 2.0 1120 $1,200 $1.07 45d 1 1.20mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $125,000 Active 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $125,000 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    remarks 46-char remark
  4. 2026-06-18
    listed $125,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,895 · $158/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,288 · $191/mo
Expected delta
+$392/yr (+$33/mo · 20.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 95% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,748
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$1,895
− Insurance
−$1,422
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,100
− Management
−$1,100
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable loss
−$2,408
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$578
After-tax cash flow
$255/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Brownwood ISD
NCES district ID
4811700
Math proficiency
45% ▲ 4.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$37,395
Composite
35.8/100
National rank
#4833
State rank
#344 of 826 in TX

Livability — Brownwood

Score
64/100
State rank
#781
US rank
#14230

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Brownwood, TX
Population (ZIP)
25,152

Population outlook (Brown County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
38,381 people
By 2030
38,288 · -0.2%
By 2040
38,120 · -0.7%
By 2050
38,227 · -0.4%
By 2075
39,362 · +2.6%
By 2100
39,171 · +2.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (66%)
Race & ethnicity
White 66% Hispanic / Latino 26% Two or more races 15% Black 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 23%
Common ancestry
Italian 12% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
82% English-only · Spanish 17%

Political lean MEDSL · Brown

2024 margin
Solid R (+73.9) · D 12.7% · R 86.6%
2008→2024 swing
-12.5pp toward R · 2008: -61.5pp · 2024: -73.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+73.9 2020: R+72.6 2016: R+74.5 2012: R+71.7 2008: R+61.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -121.52%
Current HPI
164.0992
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+177.8% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-18 Listed $125,000 NTREIS
  • 2023-12-20 Rental Removed $1,300 NTREIS
  • 2023-12-08 Price Changed $1,300 NTREIS
  • 2023-11-02 Listed for Rent $1,500 NTREIS
  • 2023-02-17 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2023-02-15 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2023-02-12 Pending NTREIS
  • 2023-02-01 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2023-01-24 Listed $89,900 NTREIS
  • 2015-02-24 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2015-02-24 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2009-08-14 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2009-08-13 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2009-07-16 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2009-07-10 Listed $45,000 NTREIS
  • 2005-07-29 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1997-08-08 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+4.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,895 · -2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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