3312 Mcnair Dr · Moss Point, MS 39563

$143,900

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,008 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market

Built 1960 9,147 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +20.9/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Appreciation +7.3/10.0
• DSCR +6.7/10.0
• 1% rule +4.8/10.0
• Livability +3.4/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.6/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Very nice brick home w/ carport, nice outside storage building,

Key facts

• 9,147 sq ft lot
• Parking
• Built 1960

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $144k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $201 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $141k (2.3% below list).
• Recommended offer: $141k (2.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 67/100 on livability (#77 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F, commute F.
• Moss Point Separate School District (suburban): math 17% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #94 of 130 in MS (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Moss Point Escatawpa Upper Elem (math 12% / reading 20%, grade F, #270 of 375 statewide, top 72%, 339 students, 100% FRL); Moss Point High School (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #101 of 197 statewide, top 54%, 455 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 83% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: 86 active listings in the ZIP; 516 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $8k of equity ($995 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (4.6% local appreciation)).
• At projected returns (4.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $40k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 2 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $140,622 (2.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.98% ✗
• Cap rate: 7.97%
• Cash-on-cash: 5.98%
• DSCR: 1.27
• GRM: 8.5

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $94,752
• Comps found: 4

Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
3424 Howze St	0.32mi	3/1.0	1,052 (+4%)	1mo	$29,900	$28	73
3625 Rollins Ave	0.41mi	3/1.0	1,040 (+3%)	16mo	$89,900	$86	58
3718 Howze St	0.54mi	2/1.0 (-1)	962 (-5%)	0mo	$90,000	$94	58
4848 Devon St	0.70mi	2/1.0 (-1)	960 (-5%)	11mo	$103,000	$107	41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.6% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 17.0%
• Equity multiple: 2.06×
• Total profit: $42,676
• Equity at exit: $78,091

10-year hold

• IRR: 17.5%
• Equity multiple: 3.97×
• Total profit: $119,531
• Equity at exit: $132,000

Cash invested: $40,292 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Mississippi: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 39563

• Home prices YoY: 3.0%
• Active inventory: 86
• Price-to-rent: 8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,406 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$755
• Tax from tax record: −$96 /mo · $1,147/yr
• Insurance: −$60
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$295
• Net cashflow: $201

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,152

Max offer price $143,900

Occupancy floor 81%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $282	-5% $242	+0% $201	+5% $160	+10% $119
Rent	-10% $90	-5% $145	+0% $201	+5% $256	+10% $312
Rate	-1.0pp $273	-0.5pp $237	base $201	+0.5pp $163	+1.0pp $126

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $35,975
• Closing costs: $4,317
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 5 events

1. 2026-04-16
   status Pending
2. 2026-02-26
   listed $143,900 Active
3. 2022-03-28
   soldstatus
4. 2021-07-26
   soldstatus
5. 2007-01-02
   listed $79,900 63-char remark

   Show marketing remark (63 chars)

   Very nice brick home w/ carport, nice outside storage building,

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,147 · $96/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,147 · $96/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 23% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $16,875
• − Mortgage interest: −$8,061
• − Property taxes: −$1,147
• − Insurance: −$720
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,350
• − Management: −$1,350
• − Depreciation: −$4,186
• Taxable income: $62
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$15
• After-tax cash flow: $2,395/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Moss Point Separate School District
• NCES district ID: 2803000
• Math proficiency: 17% ▼ -3.00%
• Reading proficiency: 22% ▬ 0.00%
• Median HH income: $38,041
• Composite: 16.34/100
• National rank: #9205
• State rank: #94 of 130 in MS

Livability — Moss Point

• Score: 67/100
• State rank: #77
• US rank: #10398

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Moss Point, MS
• City population: 12,023
• Population (ZIP): 12,023

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 146,926 people
• By 2030: 148,442 · +1.0%
• By 2040: 149,631 · +1.8%
• By 2050: 148,723 · +1.2%
• By 2075: 147,845 · +0.6%
• By 2100: 144,510 · -1.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Black (74%)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 74% White 18% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 2%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 0%
• Foreign-born: 1% · Canada
• Languages at home: 97% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+39.9) · D 29.5% · R 69.4% · Other 1.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: -6.4pp toward R · 2008: -33.5pp · 2024: -39.9pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+39.9 2020: R+34.6 2016: R+39.9 2012: R+36.1 2008: R+33.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 4.60%
• Current HPI: 155.3138
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: —
• F500 in state: 0

Price history

+80.1% since first listed

5 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-16 Pending — MLSU
• 2026-02-26 Listed $143,900 MLSU
• 2022-03-28 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2021-07-26 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2007-01-02 Listed $79,900 MLSU

Property tax history

+12.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,147 · +5.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.