168 Main St · Allison, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +4.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.4/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
$59,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This incredible duplex might be the opportunity you've been waiting for! This nicely appointed multi-unit building is a great opportunity to invest in real estate, or move in yourself on one side and rent the other side out- to live rent and mortgage free! Nearly turn key and ready to move in- come see this gem today!
Key facts
- 8,712 sq ft lot
- Built 1912
- Listed 37 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $637 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $58k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 47/100 on livability (#1,714 in PA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, health & safety A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Brownsville Area SD (rural): math 17% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #472 of 539 in PA (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Brownsville Area El Sch (math 16% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,169 of 1,518 statewide, top 77%, 700 students, 100% FRL); Brownsville Area Ms (math 7% / reading 32%, grade F, #444 of 512 statewide, top 87%, 352 students, 100% FRL); Brownsville Area Hs (math 64% / reading 24%, grade F, #196 of 437 statewide, top 47%, 434 students, 77% FRL) — zoned schools average 92% FRL vs 59% district-wide (33 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 44 active listings in the ZIP; 201 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.7%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $998 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fayette County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-1.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1912 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1912 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- 45.56%
- DSCR
- 3.03
- GRM
- 3.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $72,560
- List price
- $59,900
- Delta
- -17.45%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 9 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 160 Main St | 0.06mi | 4/1.0 | 2,128 (-7%) | 1mo | $82,000 | $39 | 82 |
| 414 Middle Ave | 0.58mi | 4/3.0 | 2,192 (-4%) | 2mo | $38,000 | $17 | 58 |
| 228 2nd St | 0.05mi | 4/2.0 | 1,988 (-13%) | 23mo | $161,000 | $81 | 54 |
| 419 3rd St | 0.65mi | 4/1.5 | 2,347 (+2%) | 24mo | $68,960 | $29 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.67% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 44.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.04×
- Total profit
- $34,271
- Equity at exit
- $12,568
- IRR
- 49.1%
- Equity multiple
- 6.08×
- Total profit
- $85,178
- Equity at exit
- $11,645
Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15417
- Home prices YoY
- -0.9%
- Active inventory
- 44
- Price-to-rent
- 3.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,295 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$314
- Tax from tax record
- −$47 /mo · $570/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$272
- Net cashflow
- $637
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $671 | -5% $654 | +0% $637 | +5% $620 | +10% $603 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $534 | -5% $586 | +0% $637 | +5% $688 | +10% $739 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $667 | -0.5pp $652 | base $637 | +0.5pp $621 | +1.0pp $605 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,975
- Closing costs
- $1,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-18status Pending 319-char remark
Show marketing remark (319 chars)
This incredible duplex might be the opportunity you've been waiting for! This nicely appointed multi-unit building is a great opportunity to invest in real estate, or move in yourself on one side and rent the other side out- to live rent and mortgage free! Nearly turn key and ready to move in- come see this gem today!
-
2026-04-11$59,900 Active 319-char remark
Show marketing remark (319 chars)
This incredible duplex might be the opportunity you've been waiting for! This nicely appointed multi-unit building is a great opportunity to invest in real estate, or move in yourself on one side and rent the other side out- to live rent and mortgage free! Nearly turn key and ready to move in- come see this gem today!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $570 · $47/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $758 · $63/mo
- Expected delta
- +$188/yr (+$16/mo · 33.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,544
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,355
- − Property taxes
- −$570
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,244
- − Management
- −$1,244
- − Depreciation
- −$1,743
- Taxable income
- $7,090
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,702
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,940/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Brownsville Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4204080
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,500
- Composite
- 20.93/100
- National rank
- #8481
- State rank
- #472 of 539 in PA
Livability — Allison
- Score
- 47/100
- State rank
- #1714
- US rank
- #26285
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Allison, PA
- City population
- 456
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,709
Population outlook (Fayette County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 127,561 people
- By 2030
- 123,206 · -3.4%
- By 2040
- 113,232 · -11.2%
- By 2050
- 103,468 · -18.9%
- By 2075
- 83,185 · -34.8%
- By 2100
- 62,384 · -51.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Black 8% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Fayette
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.9) · D 30.8% · R 68.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -37.5pp toward R · 2008: -0.4pp · 2024: -37.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.9 2020: R+33.5 2016: R+31.0 2012: R+8.3 2008: R+0.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.67%
- Current HPI
- 190.8891
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Pending — West Penn MLS
- 2026-04-11 Listed $59,900 West Penn MLS
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2026): $570 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…