🏷️ Likely Rental
706 Shady Ave · Charleroi, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$49,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
SOLD AS IS CONDITION. Great starter home for single family or investor. This 2 story 2 bedroom 1 bath is located in the heart of Charleroi. Currently tenant occupied.
Key facts
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1910
- Listed 269 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $513 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $44k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.6% vs local median 14.8% in Charleroi — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#382 in PA, #3,416 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools D+, employment F.
- Charleroi SD (rural): math 20% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #421 of 539 in PA (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 85 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 489 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.8%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $913 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Washington County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-1.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 269 days — a 12% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 269 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- 44.06%
- DSCR
- 2.96
- GRM
- 3.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $76,533
- List price
- $49,900
- Delta
- -34.80%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 705 Meadow Ave | 0.03mi | 2/1.0 | 1,100 (+9%) | 7mo | $74,900 | $68 | 77 |
| 924 5th St | 0.05mi | 2/2.0 | 1,087 (+8%) | 6mo | $58,000 | $53 | 76 |
| 301 Fremont Rd | 0.21mi | 2/2.0 | 1,087 (+8%) | 16mo | $122,500 | $113 | 60 |
| 412 Oakland Ave | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,050 (+4%) | 22mo | $84,000 | $80 | 60 |
| 611 Oakland Ave | 0.10mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,100 (+9%) | 22mo | $179,000 | $163 | 55 |
| 37 Moyer Ave | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,088 (+8%) | 18mo | $162,000 | $149 | 49 |
| 209 Crest Ave | 0.43mi | 2/2.0 | 1,120 (+11%) | 11mo | $40,000 | $36 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.83% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 42.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.94×
- Total profit
- $27,121
- Equity at exit
- $10,089
- IRR
- 47.6%
- Equity multiple
- 5.87×
- Total profit
- $68,108
- Equity at exit
- $9,005
Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15022
- Home prices YoY
- -1.0%
- Active inventory
- 85
- Price-to-rent
- 3.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,142 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax from tax record
- −$106 /mo · $1,276/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$240
- Net cashflow
- $513
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $541 | -5% $527 | +0% $513 | +5% $499 | +10% $485 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $423 | -5% $468 | +0% $513 | +5% $558 | +10% $603 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $538 | -0.5pp $526 | base $513 | +0.5pp $500 | +1.0pp $487 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,475
- Closing costs
- $1,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1204 Lower Meadow Ave Charleroi, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $1,150 | $1.12 | 3d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1022 McKean Ave Charleroi, PA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1344 | $1,450 | $1.08 | 3d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 1221 Graham Ave Monessen, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,300 | $1.35 | 3d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 925 Leeds Ave Monessen, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $700 | $0.70 | 16d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 925 Leeds Ave Monessen, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $700 | $0.70 | 3d | 1 | 1.25mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $49,900 Active 269 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $49,900 Active 266 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $49,900 Active 265 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $49,900 Active 264 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $49,900 Active 263 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $49,900 Active 261 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $49,900 Active 257 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $49,900 Active 256 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $49,900 Active 255 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $49,900 Active 252 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $49,900 Active 251 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $49,900 Active 250 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $49,900 Active 249 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $49,900 Active 248 DOM
-
2025-09-25$49,900 Active 166-char remark
Show marketing remark (166 chars)
SOLD AS IS CONDITION. Great starter home for single family or investor. This 2 story 2 bedroom 1 bath is located in the heart of Charleroi. Currently tenant occupied.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,276 · $106/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,276 · $106/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,699
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,795
- − Property taxes
- −$1,276
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,096
- − Management
- −$1,096
- − Depreciation
- −$1,452
- Taxable income
- $5,734
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,376
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,780/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Charleroi SD
- NCES district ID
- 4205640
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,410
- Composite
- 29.72/100
- National rank
- #6450
- State rank
- #421 of 539 in PA
Livability — Charleroi
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #382
- US rank
- #3416
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Charleroi, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,044
Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 208,060 people
- By 2030
- 207,168 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 202,738 · -2.6%
- By 2050
- 195,269 · -6.1%
- By 2075
- 175,588 · -15.6%
- By 2100
- 145,827 · -29.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 6% Black 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Lithuanian 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Washington
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.5) · D 36.9% · R 62.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.8pp toward R · 2008: -4.7pp · 2024: -25.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.5 2020: R+22.8 2016: R+25.3 2012: R+13.3 2008: R+4.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.83%
- Current HPI
- 174.218
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2025-09-25 Listed $49,900 West Penn MLS
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2026): $1,276 · +1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…