Cambridge Plan · Sienna, TX 77459

$333,990

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,887 sqft · MultiFamily · 369 Days on market

Good condition ↓ 11% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +17.2/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +5.4/10.0
• 1% rule +4.7/10.0
• Schools +4.5/10.0
• Appreciation +4.2/10.0
• Condition / age +3.8/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Livability +2.5/5.0

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks MLS

The Cambridge is a bright, single-story home designed for comfort and style. The great room features an 11-foot ceiling and tall windows that flood the space with natural light. A centrally located study anchors the foyer, while the spacious kitchen offers a walk-in pantry and breakfast area with a window seat. The private primary suite includes sloped ceilings, a luxury bath, and walk-in closet. Enjoy outdoor living with a covered back patio, along with the everyday convenience of a front laundry room and a mud room just off the 2-car garage.

Key facts

• 2 garage spots
• Listed 369 days

🏗️ New construction. Builder plan / spec listing (the home may be to-be-built); metrics use comparable previous sales.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $334k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $241 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $323k (3.4% below list).
• Recommended offer: $294k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 3.3% in Sienna — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
• Fort Bend ISD (suburban): math 44% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #140 of 826 in TX (top 17%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.1%/yr); 1215 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 12,093 units permitted in Fort Bend County in 2024 (815 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-1.7%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Fort Bend County population projected at +75% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 369 days — a 12% lower offer ($294k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $43k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $293,911 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 369 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.97% ✗
• Cap rate: 7.16%
• Cash-on-cash: 3.09%
• DSCR: 1.14
• GRM: 8.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.67% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -7.8%
• Equity multiple: 0.69×
• Total profit: $-29,156
• Equity at exit: $70,047

10-year hold

• IRR: -3.5%
• Equity multiple: 0.74×
• Total profit: $-24,714
• Equity at exit: $64,881

Cash invested: $93,517 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 77459

• Home prices YoY: -0.8%
• Rents YoY: -0.1%
• Active inventory: 1215
• Price-to-rent: 8.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $3,227 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,751
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$417 /mo · $5,010/yr
• Insurance: −$139
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$678
• Net cashflow: $241

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,922

Max offer price $333,990

Occupancy floor 88%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $472	-5% $356	+0% $241	+5% $125	+10% $10
Rent	-10% $-14	-5% $113	+0% $241	+5% $368	+10% $496
Rate	-1.0pp $409	-0.5pp $326	base $241	+0.5pp $154	+1.0pp $66

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $83,498
• Closing costs: $10,020
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 3 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1714 Forest Mist Dr Missouri City, TX	3.0	3.0	1979	$3,000	$1.52	44d	1	0.04mi
8719 Fox Trail Dr Missouri City, TX	4.0	3.5	2143	$6,000	$2.80	22d	1	0.90mi
2142 Ironwood Pass Dr Missouri City, TX	4.0	3.0	2140	$6,000	$2.80	1d	1	1.02mi

Listing history 24 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $333,990 Active 369 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $333,990 Active 368 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $333,990 Active 367 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $333,990 Active 366 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $333,990 Active 364 DOM
6. 2026-06-09
   days on market $333,990 Active 360 DOM
7. 2026-06-07
   days on market $333,990 Active 358 DOM
8. 2026-06-04
   days on market $333,990 Active 355 DOM
9. 2026-06-03
   days on market $333,990 Active 354 DOM
10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $333,990 Active 353 DOM
11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $333,990 Active 352 DOM
12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $333,990 Active 351 DOM
13. 2026-05-15
    price $333,990 549-char remark

    Show marketing remark (549 chars)

    The Cambridge is a bright, single-story home designed for comfort and style. The great room features an 11-foot ceiling and tall windows that flood the space with natural light. A centrally located study anchors the foyer, while the spacious kitchen offers a walk-in pantry and breakfast area with a window seat. The private primary suite includes sloped ceilings, a luxury bath, and walk-in closet. Enjoy outdoor living with a covered back patio, along with the everyday convenience of a front laundry room and a mud room just off the 2-car garage.

14. 2026-05-02
    price $329,990 549-char remark

    Show marketing remark (549 chars)

    The Cambridge is a bright, single-story home designed for comfort and style. The great room features an 11-foot ceiling and tall windows that flood the space with natural light. A centrally located study anchors the foyer, while the spacious kitchen offers a walk-in pantry and breakfast area with a window seat. The private primary suite includes sloped ceilings, a luxury bath, and walk-in closet. Enjoy outdoor living with a covered back patio, along with the everyday convenience of a front laundry room and a mud room just off the 2-car garage.

15. 2026-02-12
    price $369,990 549-char remark

    Show marketing remark (549 chars)

    The Cambridge is a bright, single-story home designed for comfort and style. The great room features an 11-foot ceiling and tall windows that flood the space with natural light. A centrally located study anchors the foyer, while the spacious kitchen offers a walk-in pantry and breakfast area with a window seat. The private primary suite includes sloped ceilings, a luxury bath, and walk-in closet. Enjoy outdoor living with a covered back patio, along with the everyday convenience of a front laundry room and a mud room just off the 2-car garage.

16. 2026-01-23
    price $368,990 549-char remark

    Show marketing remark (549 chars)

    The Cambridge is a bright, single-story home designed for comfort and style. The great room features an 11-foot ceiling and tall windows that flood the space with natural light. A centrally located study anchors the foyer, while the spacious kitchen offers a walk-in pantry and breakfast area with a window seat. The private primary suite includes sloped ceilings, a luxury bath, and walk-in closet. Enjoy outdoor living with a covered back patio, along with the everyday convenience of a front laundry room and a mud room just off the 2-car garage.

17. 2026-01-15
    price $388,990 549-char remark

    Show marketing remark (549 chars)

    The Cambridge is a bright, single-story home designed for comfort and style. The great room features an 11-foot ceiling and tall windows that flood the space with natural light. A centrally located study anchors the foyer, while the spacious kitchen offers a walk-in pantry and breakfast area with a window seat. The private primary suite includes sloped ceilings, a luxury bath, and walk-in closet. Enjoy outdoor living with a covered back patio, along with the everyday convenience of a front laundry room and a mud room just off the 2-car garage.

18. 2025-12-15
    price $387,990 549-char remark

    Show marketing remark (549 chars)

    The Cambridge is a bright, single-story home designed for comfort and style. The great room features an 11-foot ceiling and tall windows that flood the space with natural light. A centrally located study anchors the foyer, while the spacious kitchen offers a walk-in pantry and breakfast area with a window seat. The private primary suite includes sloped ceilings, a luxury bath, and walk-in closet. Enjoy outdoor living with a covered back patio, along with the everyday convenience of a front laundry room and a mud room just off the 2-car garage.

19. 2025-12-03
    status Active 549-char remark

    Show marketing remark (549 chars)

    The Cambridge is a bright, single-story home designed for comfort and style. The great room features an 11-foot ceiling and tall windows that flood the space with natural light. A centrally located study anchors the foyer, while the spacious kitchen offers a walk-in pantry and breakfast area with a window seat. The private primary suite includes sloped ceilings, a luxury bath, and walk-in closet. Enjoy outdoor living with a covered back patio, along with the everyday convenience of a front laundry room and a mud room just off the 2-car garage.

20. 2025-12-02
    historical 549-char remark

    Show marketing remark (549 chars)

    The Cambridge is a bright, single-story home designed for comfort and style. The great room features an 11-foot ceiling and tall windows that flood the space with natural light. A centrally located study anchors the foyer, while the spacious kitchen offers a walk-in pantry and breakfast area with a window seat. The private primary suite includes sloped ceilings, a luxury bath, and walk-in closet. Enjoy outdoor living with a covered back patio, along with the everyday convenience of a front laundry room and a mud room just off the 2-car garage.

21. 2025-12-02
    status Active 549-char remark

    Show marketing remark (549 chars)

    The Cambridge is a bright, single-story home designed for comfort and style. The great room features an 11-foot ceiling and tall windows that flood the space with natural light. A centrally located study anchors the foyer, while the spacious kitchen offers a walk-in pantry and breakfast area with a window seat. The private primary suite includes sloped ceilings, a luxury bath, and walk-in closet. Enjoy outdoor living with a covered back patio, along with the everyday convenience of a front laundry room and a mud room just off the 2-car garage.

22. 2025-12-02
    historical 549-char remark

    Show marketing remark (549 chars)

    The Cambridge is a bright, single-story home designed for comfort and style. The great room features an 11-foot ceiling and tall windows that flood the space with natural light. A centrally located study anchors the foyer, while the spacious kitchen offers a walk-in pantry and breakfast area with a window seat. The private primary suite includes sloped ceilings, a luxury bath, and walk-in closet. Enjoy outdoor living with a covered back patio, along with the everyday convenience of a front laundry room and a mud room just off the 2-car garage.

23. 2025-09-03
    price $386,990 549-char remark

    Show marketing remark (549 chars)

    The Cambridge is a bright, single-story home designed for comfort and style. The great room features an 11-foot ceiling and tall windows that flood the space with natural light. A centrally located study anchors the foyer, while the spacious kitchen offers a walk-in pantry and breakfast area with a window seat. The private primary suite includes sloped ceilings, a luxury bath, and walk-in closet. Enjoy outdoor living with a covered back patio, along with the everyday convenience of a front laundry room and a mud room just off the 2-car garage.

24. 2025-06-13
    listed $376,990 Active 549-char remark

    Show marketing remark (549 chars)

    The Cambridge is a bright, single-story home designed for comfort and style. The great room features an 11-foot ceiling and tall windows that flood the space with natural light. A centrally located study anchors the foyer, while the spacious kitchen offers a walk-in pantry and breakfast area with a window seat. The private primary suite includes sloped ceilings, a luxury bath, and walk-in closet. Enjoy outdoor living with a covered back patio, along with the everyday convenience of a front laundry room and a mud room just off the 2-car garage.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X · 72% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $38,718
• − Mortgage interest: −$18,709
• − Property taxes: −$5,010
• − Insurance: −$1,670
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$3,097
• − Management: −$3,097
• − Depreciation: −$9,716
• Taxable loss: −$2,581
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$619
• After-tax cash flow: $3,509/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 3 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

The Cambridge Plan is a well-maintained single-story home with good curb appeal and interior condition, ready for minor cosmetic updates to enhance its resale and rental value.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Painting exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
• Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value
• Both Interior touch-ups — Enhances interior appearance and value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

• Both Painting exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
• Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
• Both Interior touch-ups — Enhances interior appearance and value ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Fort Bend ISD
• NCES district ID: 4819650
• Math proficiency: 44% ▼ -15.00%
• Reading proficiency: 53% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $82,360
• Composite: 44.61/100
• National rank: #2779
• State rank: #140 of 826 in TX

Livability — Sienna

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

• Census place: Sienna, TX
• County: Fort Bend County · 836,777 people
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• Population (ZIP): 84,221
• Household income: $129,151
• Rent vs Own: 14.8% rent · 85.2% own
• Severe rent burden: 1004.0

Population outlook (Fort Bend County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,004,526 people
• By 2030: 1,153,104 · +14.8%
• By 2040: 1,453,718 · +44.7%
• By 2050: 1,753,781 · +74.6%
• By 2075: 2,455,772 · +144.5%
• By 2100: 2,930,528 · +191.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.75)
• Race & ethnicity: White 34% Black 26% Asian 22% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 10%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 7%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 21% · Canada, China, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 73% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 8% Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Fort Bend

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 49.5% · R 47.9% · Other 2.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: +4.0pp toward D · 2008: -2.4pp · 2024: 1.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+1.6 2020: D+10.6 2016: D+6.6 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+2.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -1.67%
• Current HPI: 212.3573
• Rent YoY: ▼ -0.15%
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

-11.4% since first listed

12 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-15 Price Changed $333,990 Zillow
• 2026-05-02 Price Changed $329,990 Zillow
• 2026-02-12 Price Changed $369,990 Zillow
• 2026-01-23 Price Changed $368,990 Zillow
• 2026-01-15 Price Changed $388,990 Zillow
• 2025-12-15 Price Changed $387,990 Zillow
• 2025-12-03 Relisted — Zillow
• 2025-12-02 Delisted — Zillow
• 2025-12-02 Relisted — Zillow
• 2025-12-02 Delisted — Zillow
• 2025-09-03 Price Changed $386,990 Zillow
• 2025-06-13 Listed $376,990 Zillow