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5701 NE St Johns Rd #21
B Composite 72.32
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.7/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.6/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$189,000

5701 NE St Johns Rd #21 · Minnehaha, WA 98661
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,616 sqft · Manufactured public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1991 Est $204k · 7% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

1990 SILVERWOOD MANUFACTURED/OAK HAVEN 55+ COMMUNITY. NEW PAINT IN & OUT, NEW CARPET & VINYL, NEW ROOF, MSTR BDR W/WLK-IN CLOSET, & LG BATH DBL CARPORT W/SHED. ALL APPLIANCES STAY. NEW WASHER/DRYER & DISHWASHER $320 MO FEE. FOURTH DRIVEWAY ON THE

Key facts

  • Primary suite
  • Dining area
  • Large living room

Tags

LARGE LIVING ROOMSEPARATE FAMILY ROOMDINING AREAKITCHEN WITH BREAKFAST BARSKYLIGHTPRIMARY SUITE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoned R-18
  • Financial info: Land lease required; lot rent $900 monthly (lease expires December 31, 2026)
  • HOA & community: Oak Haven Mobile Home Park (senior community); Park provides water and sewer

Exterior

  • Parking: Covered carport
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service; Cable internet
  • Home design: Manufactured home in park; Single-story; Not attached; Model: 60/28; No view
  • Construction: Built in 1991; Composition roof; Skirting foundation
  • Exterior features: T-111 siding; Paved road access; Secluded lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free-standing range; Free-standing refrigerator; Electric hot water
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (Main level); 2nd bedroom (Main level); 3rd bedroom (Main level)
  • Flooring: Luxury vinyl plank; Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Heat pump cooling
  • Interior features: Luxury vinyl plank flooring; Wall-to-wall carpet; Vinyl window frames; Basement hatch door
  • Laundry & utility: Electric fuel for appliances

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $189k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $770 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $189k).
  • Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 2.8% in Minnehaha — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#47 in WA, #847 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living D-.
  • Vancouver School District (suburban): math 43% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #156 of 291 in WA (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Minnehaha Elementary School (517 students, 59% FRL); Jason Lee Middle School (532 students, 59% FRL); Hudson'S Bay High School (1,143 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 61% FRL vs 44% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 266 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,547 units permitted in Clark County in 2024 (1,361 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Clark County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.0% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $65k; list at $189k implies a 191% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $189,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  3. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  4. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.26%
Cap rate
11.18%
Cash-on-cash
17.47%
DSCR
1.78
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$203,616
Comps found
7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5701 NE ST Johns Rd #58 0.01mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,632 (+1%) 6mo $185,000 $113 88
5701 NE St Johns Rd #86 0.01mi 3/2.0 1,512 (-6%) 7mo $212,000 $140 82
5701 NE ST Johns Rd #47 0.01mi 3/2.0 1,548 (-4%) 19mo $199,900 $129 76
5701 NE St Johns Rd #60 0.01mi 3/2.0 1,412 (-13%) 4mo $177,500 $126 75
5701 NE ST Johns Rd #4 0.01mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,392 (-14%) 4mo $167,000 $120 68
5701 NE ST Johns Rd #40 0.01mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,484 (-8%) 20mo $218,000 $147 64
5701 NE ST Johns Rd #74 0.01mi 3/2.0 1,454 (-10%) 24mo $179,900 $124 63

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.05% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.9%
Equity multiple
1.30×
Total profit
$16,107
Equity at exit
$28,181
10-year hold
IRR
16.3%
Equity multiple
2.28×
Total profit
$67,798
Equity at exit
$16,341

Cash invested: $52,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98661

Rents YoY
2.0%
Active inventory
266
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,378 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$991
Tax from tax record
$39 /mo · $464/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$499
Net cashflow
$770

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,403
Max offer price $189,000
Occupancy floor 63%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,250
Closing costs
$5,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 31 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3544 NE 61st Way Vancouver, WA 4.0 2.5 1661 $2,595 $1.56 23d 1 0.24mi
5009 NE 29th Ave Vancouver, WA 3.0 2.5 1588 $3,200 $2.02 3d 1 0.45mi
4802 NE 37th Ct Vancouver, WA 3.0 2.5 1648 $2,495 $1.51 23d 1 0.46mi
3503 NE 49th St Vancouver, WA 2.0 1.5 1100 $1,409 $1.28 23d 1 0.47mi
3805 NE 49th St Unit B204 Vancouver, WA 3.0 2.0 1325 $1,899 $1.43 23d 1 0.47mi
5010 NE 29th Ave Vancouver, WA 3.0 2.5 1585 $2,495 $1.57 3d 1 0.47mi
4941 NE 24th Ave Vancouver, WA 4.0 2.5 2210 $2,998 $1.36 3d 1 0.69mi
3608 NE 42nd St Vancouver, WA 3.0 2.5 1776 $2,495 $1.40 23d 1 0.73mi
5200 NE 19th Ave Vancouver, WA 4.0 1.0 2000 $2,620 $1.31 2d 1 0.92mi
3008 NE 74th St Vancouver, WA 3.0 2.5 1834 $2,450 $1.34 16d 1 0.95mi
5313 NE 68th St Vancouver, WA 2.0–3.0 2.0 1108 $1,825 $1.65 16d 2 0.96mi
3005 NE 75th St Vancouver, WA 3.0 2.5 1849 $2,615 $1.41 22d 1 0.97mi
5811 NE 56th Pl Vancouver, WA 3.0 2.5 1608 $2,495 $1.55 23d 1 0.99mi
7714 NE 39th Ct Vancouver, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 921 $2,035 $2.21 2d 12 1.01mi
5404 NE 45th St Vancouver, WA 3.0 2.0 1276 $2,795 $2.19 7d 1 1.04mi
5917 NE 58th Ave Vancouver, WA 3.0 2.5 1498 $2,350 $1.57 23d 1 1.07mi
5917 NE 58th St Vancouver, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1162 $2,075 $1.78 7d 3 1.11mi
4316 NE 34th Cir Vancouver, WA 3.0 2.5 1482 $2,450 $1.65 2d 1 1.18mi
6008 NE 64th St Vancouver, WA 3.0 3.0 1288 $2,184 $1.70 7d 3 1.22mi
8007 NE 38th Ave Vancouver, WA 3.0 2.5 1477 $2,395 $1.62 3d 1 1.22mi
6313 NE 61st Ave Vancouver, WA 3.0 2.5 1346 $2,595 $1.93 2d 1 1.27mi
4500 Nicholson Rd Vancouver, WA 2.0–3.0 2.0 1034 $2,154 $2.08 2d 8 1.27mi
8111 NE 36th Ct Vancouver, WA 3.0 2.5 1512 $2,295 $1.52 7d 1 1.28mi
2702 E 33rd St Unit 1334336P Vancouver, WA 3.0 2.0 1496 $5,271 $3.52 23d 1 1.29mi
NE 47 NE 47th Ct Vancouver, WA 3.0 2.5 1475 $2,850 $1.93 1d 5 1.31mi
3100 Falk Rd Vancouver, WA 2.0–3.0 2.0–3.0 1234 $2,299 $1.86 1d 4 1.35mi
2301 NE 81st St Vancouver, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1080 $2,550 $2.36 1d 10 1.35mi
8225 NE St Johns Rd Vancouver, WA 3.0 2.0 1584 $2,048 $1.29 3d 1 1.36mi
1307 NE 70th St Vancouver, WA 3.0 2.0 1802 $2,829 $1.57 23d 1 1.38mi
5406 NE 34th St Unit A1 Vancouver, WA 3.0 1.5 1124 $2,095 $1.86 4d 1 1.42mi
2920 Falk Rd Vancouver, WA 2.0–3.0 2.5–3.0 1268 $2,565 $2.02 1d 1 1.44mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $189,000 Active 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $189,000 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $189,000 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $189,000 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on marketlisting id $189,000 Active 2 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $189,000 Active 6 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $189,000 Active 5 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    remarks 503-char remark
  9. 2026-06-07
    listed $189,000 Active 4 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$464 · $39/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,852 · $154/mo
Expected delta
+$1,388/yr (+$116/mo · 299.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,542
− Mortgage interest
−$10,587
− Property taxes
−$464
− Insurance
−$945
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,283
− Management
−$2,283
− Depreciation
−$5,498
Taxable income
$6,481
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,555
After-tax cash flow
$7,690/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Vancouver School District
NCES district ID
5309270
Math proficiency
43% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$52,562
Composite
43.45/100
National rank
#6479
State rank
#156 of 291 in WA

Livability — Minnehaha

Score
83/100
State rank
#47
US rank
#847

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living D- Crime C+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Minnehaha, WA
County
Clark County · 513,189 people
Metro
Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
Population (ZIP)
50,743
Household income
$76,913
Rent vs Own
57.3% rent · 42.7% own
Severe rent burden
2384.0

Population outlook (Clark County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
529,610 people
By 2030
563,242 · +6.4%
By 2040
625,905 · +18.2%
By 2050
681,558 · +28.7%
By 2075
805,967 · +52.2%
By 2100
877,450 · +65.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (64%)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 14% Black 4% Asian 3% Pacific Islander 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 18%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Portuguese 3% Subsaharan African 3%
Foreign-born
15% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
76% English-only · Spanish 14% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Clark

2024 margin
Lean D (+7.0) · D 52.1% · R 45.1% · Other 2.8%
2008→2024 swing
+0.9pp no change · 2008: 6.1pp · 2024: 7.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+7.0 2020: D+5.1 2016: D+0.1 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+6.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -567.83%
Current HPI
308.3632
Rent YoY
▲ 2.05%
Metro
Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+293.8% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-03 Listed $189,000 RMLS
  • 2001-03-08 Sold (MLS) $65,000 RMLS
  • 2000-12-27 Listed $66,500 RMLS
  • 2000-03-16 Sold (MLS) $43,000 RMLS
  • 1999-12-17 Listed $48,000 RMLS

Property tax history

-3.5%/yr

Latest (2020): $464 · +25.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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