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181 Chisholm Trl
C Composite 57.53
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.4/30.0
  • DSCR +9.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.1/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$129,900

181 Chisholm Trl · North Fort Myers, FL 33917
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,051 sqft · Manufactured public records · 55 Days on market
Built 1987 5,662 sqft lot Est $101k · 29% over $95/mo HOA · 6% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming and affordable 2-bedroom, 2-bath home located in North Fort Myers, featuring approximately 1,072 square feet of comfortable living space. This well-laid-out floor plan includes a spacious living area, functional kitchen, and generously sized bedrooms, providing a great foundation to make it your own. Situated in an established community with convenient access to US-41, shopping, dining, and everything the Fort Myers area has to enjoy. The manageable lot size allows for easy maintenance, making it an excellent option for full-time residents, seasonal homeowners, or those looking to enjoy the Florida lifestyle at an attainable price point. With solid bones and plenty of potential, th

Key facts

  • 5,662 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Community pool

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoning: MH-1; Lot is regular; total area approximately 1,491; Lot acreage approximately 0.13; Subdivision: Carriage Village
  • HOA & community: Mandatory HOA with $95 monthly fee; Total annual recurring fees $1,140; Community amenities: clubhouse, community pool, exercise room, golf course, billiards, bocce court, BBQ/picnic area, bike storage, boat storage, streetlights; Community type: Mobile/Manufactured, Non-gated

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (1 car); Detached carport (1 car)
  • Security: Storm shutters
  • Utilities: Central water; Central sewer; Cable available
  • Home design: Manufactured residential home; Florida / Traditional style; Located in Carriage Village; Built in 1987; Single-story
  • Construction: Manufactured construction with metal frame
  • Exterior features: Metal roof; Impact-resistant windows; Storm protection with impact-resistant windows and shutters; Aluminum siding; Rear exposure faces southwest; Partial building view

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Range; Ice maker (stand-alone)
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Master bath with combo tub and shower
  • Heating & cooling: Central electric heat; Central electric cooling; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Bar; Built-in cabinets; Cable prewire; Smoke detectors; Vaulted ceiling; Walk-in closet; Window coverings; Great room floor plan; Dining area in living room; Open porch/lanai
  • Laundry & utility: Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-49 ($-583/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $121k (6.6% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
  • Recommended offer: $121k (6.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 3.6% in North Fort Myers — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#269 in FL, #4,409 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Diplomat Elementary School (math 67% / reading 60%, grade B, #564 of 2,144 statewide, top 27%, 1,069 students, 56% FRL); Mariner Middle School (math 50% / reading 47%, grade C-, #274 of 571 statewide, top 50%, 1,001 students, 53% FRL); Ida S. Baker High School (math 44% / reading 47%, grade D-, #223 of 667 statewide, top 34%, 1,933 students, 39% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 846 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $95k; 37% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $121,310 (6.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 7% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.21%
Cap rate
9.78%
Cash-on-cash
12.47%
DSCR
1.55
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$100,896
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
153 Chisholm Trl 0.15mi 2/1.5 900 (-14%) 10mo $65,000 $72 59
349 Shrub Ln S 0.46mi 2/2.0 1,144 (+9%) 7mo $110,000 $96 58
734 Knotty Pine Cir 0.67mi 2/2.0 1,152 (+10%) 3mo $148,000 $128 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.63% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-19.3%
Equity multiple
0.33×
Total profit
$-24,464
Equity at exit
$19,369
10-year hold
IRR
-12.6%
Equity multiple
0.27×
Total profit
$-26,586
Equity at exit
$11,231

Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33917

Home prices YoY
-30.2%
Rents YoY
2.6%
Active inventory
846
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,576 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$681
Tax from tax record
$36 /mo · $437/yr
Insurance
$54
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$95
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$331
Net cashflow
$-49

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,637
Max offer price $121,310
Occupancy floor 98%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $25 -5% $-12 +0% $-49 +5% $-85 +10% $-122
Rent -10% $-173 -5% $-111 +0% $-49 +5% $14 +10% $76
Rate -1.0pp $17 -0.5pp $-16 base $-49 +0.5pp $-82 +1.0pp $-117

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,475
Closing costs
$3,897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1439 Glick Dr North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 1.0 1134 $1,500 $1.32 4d 1 0.20mi
947 Strongbox Ln North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 25d 1 0.49mi
1846 Powell Dr Unit 28 North Fort Myers, FL 1.0 1.0 850 $1,500 $1.76 5d 1 0.55mi
15427 Crystal Lake Dr North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1021 $3,200 $3.13 25d 1 0.62mi
1275 Gramac Dr North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1013 $1,575 $1.55 25d 1 0.63mi
1275 Gramac Dr North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1013 $1,550 $1.53 5d 1 0.63mi
7050 Nantucket Cir #6 North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 950 $3,000 $3.16 18d 1 0.65mi
7050 Nantucket Cir North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 950 $3,000 $3.16 25d 1 0.65mi
5701 Longleaf Dr North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1233 $1,570 $1.27 13d 1 0.66mi
257 Poe Ave North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 1.0 870 $1,175 $1.35 5d 1 0.67mi
69 E Mariana Ave Unit B North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,795 $1.79 5d 1 0.80mi
5713 Foxlake Dr #5 North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 830 $1,400 $1.69 21d 1 0.83mi
15610 Crystal Lake Dr #101 North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 998 $1,900 $1.90 25d 1 0.83mi
15610 Crystal Lake Dr North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 968 $1,850 $1.91 25d 1 0.83mi
5707 Foxlake Dr #2 North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1114 $1,500 $1.35 25d 1 0.83mi
137 Lantern Pl Unit A North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 1.0 1080 $1,200 $1.11 5d 1 0.85mi
280 Flame Ln North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 980 $1,350 $1.38 5d 1 0.85mi
112 Crescent Lake Dr North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 1.0 980 $1,700 $1.73 25d 1 0.87mi
106 Gaslight Ave North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1056 $1,400 $1.33 5d 1 0.93mi
1398 Evalena Ln North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1479 $1,849 $1.25 4d 1 0.95mi
5510 Sir Walter Way North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1152 $1,800 $1.56 5d 1 0.97mi
5558 Sir Walter Way North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1372 $1,095 $0.80 16d 1 0.98mi
15250 Riverbend Blvd #204 North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1429 $1,600 $1.12 23d 1 1.02mi
234 Lamplighter Ln North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 864 $895 $1.04 16d 1 1.05mi
226 Lamplighter Ln North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 1.0 900 $899 $1.00 25d 1 1.06mi
21 Crescent Lake Dr Unit 21 North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 1.0 900 $1,550 $1.72 25d 1 1.06mi
1056 Old Bridge Rd North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,350 $1.23 25d 1 1.08mi
7622 Peyraud Dr North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1404 $1,350 $0.96 25d 1 1.11mi
2500 Gail Helen Ct North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1296 $1,500 $1.16 25d 1 1.12mi
1526 Wood Rd North Fort Myers, FL 1.0 1.0 912 $1,500 $1.64 5d 1 1.12mi
1916 Flamingo Dr North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 1.0 852 $1,250 $1.47 5d 1 1.13mi
1916 Flamingo Dr North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 1.0 852 $1,275 $1.50 25d 1 1.13mi
15080 Riverbend Blvd #802 North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1344 $1,850 $1.38 23d 1 1.17mi
16363 Teresa Ln North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,000 $1.00 25d 1 1.18mi
248 Stockton St North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 924 $1,300 $1.41 25d 1 1.21mi
247 Stockton St North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 924 $1,325 $1.43 25d 1 1.21mi
260 Stockton St North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 924 $1,200 $1.30 5d 1 1.24mi
7306 Coon Rd North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 13d 1 1.39mi
15020 Caspian Tern Ct Unit 103 North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.5 1286 $1,600 $1.24 25d 1 1.42mi
15493 Admiralty Cir #5 North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1146 $2,400 $2.09 25d 1 1.44mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$95 · $1,140/yr

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $129,900 Active 55 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $129,900 Active 51 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $129,900 Active 50 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $129,900 Active 49 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $129,900 Active 47 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $129,900 Active 44 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $129,900 Active 43 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $129,900 Active 42 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $129,900 Active 41 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $129,900 Active 37 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $129,900 Active 36 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $129,900 Active 35 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $129,900 Active 34 DOM
  14. 2026-05-08
    price $139,500
  15. 2026-04-27
    listed $139,900 Active
  16. 2024-09-23
    historical
  17. 2024-04-05
    price $166,000
  18. 2024-03-20
    price $167,500
  19. 2023-12-29
    price $169,000
  20. 2023-12-11
    listed $170,000 Active
  21. 2019-09-18
    soldstatus $95,000
  22. 2017-11-27
    soldstatus $66,000
  23. 1991-11-18
    soldstatus $43,600

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$437 · $36/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,078 · $90/mo
Expected delta
+$641/yr (+$53/mo · 146.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone AE · 13% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,907
− Mortgage interest
−$7,276
− Property taxes
−$437
− Insurance
−$5,768
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,513
− Management
−$1,513
− HOA
−$1,140
− Depreciation
−$3,779
Taxable loss
−$2,519
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$605
After-tax cash flow
$21/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lee
NCES district ID
1201080
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$49,518
Composite
41.49/100
National rank
#3458
State rank
#42 of 73 in FL

Livability — North Fort Myers

Score
74/100
State rank
#269
US rank
#4409

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
North Fort Myers, FL
County
Lee County · 788,662 people
City population
57,035
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
Population (ZIP)
33,380
Household income
$55,000
Rent vs Own
16.3% rent · 83.7% own
Severe rent burden
775.0

Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
871,946 people
By 2030
955,468 · +9.6%
By 2040
1,113,587 · +27.7%
By 2050
1,256,891 · +44.1%
By 2075
1,560,270 · +78.9%
By 2100
1,726,848 · +98.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 1% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lee

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
2008→2024 swing
-18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -122.28%
Current HPI
282.2895
Rent YoY
▲ 2.63%
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+220.0% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Price Changed $139,500 NAPLESMLS
  • 2026-04-27 Listed $139,900 NAPLESMLS
  • 2024-09-23 Listing Removed FORTMLS
  • 2024-04-05 Price Changed $166,000 FORTMLS
  • 2024-03-20 Price Changed $167,500 FORTMLS
  • 2023-12-29 Price Changed $169,000 FORTMLS
  • 2023-12-11 Listed $170,000 FORTMLS
  • 2019-09-18 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
  • 2017-11-27 Sold (Public Records) $66,000 Public Records
  • 1991-11-18 Sold (Public Records) $43,600 Public Records

Property tax history

-5.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $437 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…