181 Chisholm Trl · North Fort Myers, FL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.13%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 29 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.4/30.0
- DSCR +9.5/10.0
- 1% rule +7.1/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming and affordable 2-bedroom, 2-bath home located in North Fort Myers, featuring approximately 1,072 square feet of comfortable living space. This well-laid-out floor plan includes a spacious living area, functional kitchen, and generously sized bedrooms, providing a great foundation to make it your own. Situated in an established community with convenient access to US-41, shopping, dining, and everything the Fort Myers area has to enjoy. The manageable lot size allows for easy maintenance, making it an excellent option for full-time residents, seasonal homeowners, or those looking to enjoy the Florida lifestyle at an attainable price point. With solid bones and plenty of potential, th
Key facts
- 5,662 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Community pool
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoning: MH-1; Lot is regular; total area approximately 1,491; Lot acreage approximately 0.13; Subdivision: Carriage Village
- HOA & community: Mandatory HOA with $95 monthly fee; Total annual recurring fees $1,140; Community amenities: clubhouse, community pool, exercise room, golf course, billiards, bocce court, BBQ/picnic area, bike storage, boat storage, streetlights; Community type: Mobile/Manufactured, Non-gated
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (1 car); Detached carport (1 car)
- Security: Storm shutters
- Utilities: Central water; Central sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Manufactured residential home; Florida / Traditional style; Located in Carriage Village; Built in 1987; Single-story
- Construction: Manufactured construction with metal frame
- Exterior features: Metal roof; Impact-resistant windows; Storm protection with impact-resistant windows and shutters; Aluminum siding; Rear exposure faces southwest; Partial building view
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Range; Ice maker (stand-alone)
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Master bath with combo tub and shower
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heat; Central electric cooling; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Bar; Built-in cabinets; Cable prewire; Smoke detectors; Vaulted ceiling; Walk-in closet; Window coverings; Great room floor plan; Dining area in living room; Open porch/lanai
- Laundry & utility: Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-49 ($-583/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $121k (6.6% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $121k (6.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 3.6% in North Fort Myers — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#269 in FL, #4,409 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Diplomat Elementary School (math 67% / reading 60%, grade B, #564 of 2,144 statewide, top 27%, 1,069 students, 56% FRL); Mariner Middle School (math 50% / reading 47%, grade C-, #274 of 571 statewide, top 50%, 1,001 students, 53% FRL); Ida S. Baker High School (math 44% / reading 47%, grade D-, #223 of 667 statewide, top 34%, 1,933 students, 39% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 846 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $95k; 37% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 7% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.78%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.47%
- DSCR
- 1.55
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $100,896
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 153 Chisholm Trl | 0.15mi | 2/1.5 | 900 (-14%) | 10mo | $65,000 | $72 | 59 |
| 349 Shrub Ln S | 0.46mi | 2/2.0 | 1,144 (+9%) | 7mo | $110,000 | $96 | 58 |
| 734 Knotty Pine Cir | 0.67mi | 2/2.0 | 1,152 (+10%) | 3mo | $148,000 | $128 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.63% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.33×
- Total profit
- $-24,464
- Equity at exit
- $19,369
- IRR
- -12.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.27×
- Total profit
- $-26,586
- Equity at exit
- $11,231
Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33917
- Home prices YoY
- -30.2%
- Rents YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 846
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,576 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$681
- Tax from tax record
- −$36 /mo · $437/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$95
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$331
- Net cashflow
- $-49
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $25 | -5% $-12 | +0% $-49 | +5% $-85 | +10% $-122 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-173 | -5% $-111 | +0% $-49 | +5% $14 | +10% $76 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $17 | -0.5pp $-16 | base $-49 | +0.5pp $-82 | +1.0pp $-117 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,475
- Closing costs
- $3,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1439 Glick Dr North Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1134 | $1,500 | $1.32 | 4d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 947 Strongbox Ln North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 25d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 1846 Powell Dr Unit 28 North Fort Myers, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,500 | $1.76 | 5d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 15427 Crystal Lake Dr North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1021 | $3,200 | $3.13 | 25d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1275 Gramac Dr North Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1013 | $1,575 | $1.55 | 25d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1275 Gramac Dr North Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1013 | $1,550 | $1.53 | 5d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 7050 Nantucket Cir #6 North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $3,000 | $3.16 | 18d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 7050 Nantucket Cir North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $3,000 | $3.16 | 25d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 5701 Longleaf Dr North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1233 | $1,570 | $1.27 | 13d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 257 Poe Ave North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 870 | $1,175 | $1.35 | 5d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 69 E Mariana Ave Unit B North Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,795 | $1.79 | 5d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 5713 Foxlake Dr #5 North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 830 | $1,400 | $1.69 | 21d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 15610 Crystal Lake Dr #101 North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 998 | $1,900 | $1.90 | 25d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 15610 Crystal Lake Dr North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 968 | $1,850 | $1.91 | 25d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 5707 Foxlake Dr #2 North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1114 | $1,500 | $1.35 | 25d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 137 Lantern Pl Unit A North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,200 | $1.11 | 5d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 280 Flame Ln North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 980 | $1,350 | $1.38 | 5d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 112 Crescent Lake Dr North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $1,700 | $1.73 | 25d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 106 Gaslight Ave North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,400 | $1.33 | 5d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1398 Evalena Ln North Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1479 | $1,849 | $1.25 | 4d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 5510 Sir Walter Way North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $1,800 | $1.56 | 5d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 5558 Sir Walter Way North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1372 | $1,095 | $0.80 | 16d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 15250 Riverbend Blvd #204 North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1429 | $1,600 | $1.12 | 23d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 234 Lamplighter Ln North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 864 | $895 | $1.04 | 16d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 226 Lamplighter Ln North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $899 | $1.00 | 25d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 21 Crescent Lake Dr Unit 21 North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,550 | $1.72 | 25d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1056 Old Bridge Rd North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,350 | $1.23 | 25d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 7622 Peyraud Dr North Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1404 | $1,350 | $0.96 | 25d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 2500 Gail Helen Ct North Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1296 | $1,500 | $1.16 | 25d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1526 Wood Rd North Fort Myers, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,500 | $1.64 | 5d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1916 Flamingo Dr North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 852 | $1,250 | $1.47 | 5d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1916 Flamingo Dr North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 852 | $1,275 | $1.50 | 25d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 15080 Riverbend Blvd #802 North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $1,850 | $1.38 | 23d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 16363 Teresa Ln North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,000 | $1.00 | 25d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 248 Stockton St North Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 924 | $1,300 | $1.41 | 25d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 247 Stockton St North Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 924 | $1,325 | $1.43 | 25d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 260 Stockton St North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 924 | $1,200 | $1.30 | 5d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 7306 Coon Rd North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 13d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 15020 Caspian Tern Ct Unit 103 North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1286 | $1,600 | $1.24 | 25d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 15493 Admiralty Cir #5 North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1146 | $2,400 | $2.09 | 25d | 1 | 1.44mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $95 · $1,140/yr
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $129,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $129,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $129,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $129,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $129,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $129,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $129,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $129,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $129,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $129,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $129,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-05-08price $139,500
-
2026-04-27$139,900 Active
-
2024-09-23historical
-
2024-04-05price $166,000
-
2024-03-20price $167,500
-
2023-12-29price $169,000
-
2023-12-11$170,000 Active
-
2019-09-18soldstatus $95,000
-
2017-11-27soldstatus $66,000
-
1991-11-18soldstatus $43,600
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $437 · $36/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,078 · $90/mo
- Expected delta
- +$641/yr (+$53/mo · 146.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone AE · 13% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,907
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,276
- − Property taxes
- −$437
- − Insurance
- −$5,768
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,513
- − Management
- −$1,513
- − HOA
- −$1,140
- − Depreciation
- −$3,779
- Taxable loss
- −$2,519
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$605
- After-tax cash flow
- $21/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lee
- NCES district ID
- 1201080
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,518
- Composite
- 41.49/100
- National rank
- #3458
- State rank
- #42 of 73 in FL
Livability — North Fort Myers
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #269
- US rank
- #4409
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- North Fort Myers, FL
- County
- Lee County · 788,662 people
- City population
- 57,035
- Metro
- Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,380
- Household income
- $55,000
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 775.0
Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 871,946 people
- By 2030
- 955,468 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 1,113,587 · +27.7%
- By 2050
- 1,256,891 · +44.1%
- By 2075
- 1,560,270 · +78.9%
- By 2100
- 1,726,848 · +98.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 1% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -122.28%
- Current HPI
- 282.2895
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.63%
- Metro
- Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+220.0% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Price Changed $139,500 NAPLESMLS
- 2026-04-27 Listed $139,900 NAPLESMLS
- 2024-09-23 Listing Removed — FORTMLS
- 2024-04-05 Price Changed $166,000 FORTMLS
- 2024-03-20 Price Changed $167,500 FORTMLS
- 2023-12-29 Price Changed $169,000 FORTMLS
- 2023-12-11 Listed $170,000 FORTMLS
- 2019-09-18 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
- 2017-11-27 Sold (Public Records) $66,000 Public Records
- 1991-11-18 Sold (Public Records) $43,600 Public Records
Property tax history
-5.1%/yrLatest (2025): $437 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…