426 Crawley Ln · Lake Murray of Richland, SC 29036

$294,900

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,594 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 50 Days on market

Built 2014 7,840 sqft lot $48/mo HOA · 2% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +14.4/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +4.5/10.0
• DSCR +4.4/10.0
• Livability +3.4/5.0
• 1% rule +3.2/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Super cute craftsman style home on a large corner lot in highly desired Wescott Ridge subdivision. Located in Chapin close to town and all Columbia has as well. 4 bedroom/ 2 bath home has an open concept. One bedroom would be great for office/craft room. The spacious great room features a gas fireplace perfect for making the area cozy and warm. The kitchen has an eat in and bar area for extra seating. Great area for entertaining. Primary bedroom is large with walk-in closet and roomy bathroom. 3 secondary bedrooms are nice sized with shared bath. Garage has shelving perfect for workshop or crafting. Screened porch with ceiling fan over looking a large back yard. Great spot to sip your coffe

Key facts

• Craftsman style home
• Large corner lot
• Open concept

Tags

• CRAFTSMAN STYLE HOME
• LARGE CORNER LOT
• OPEN CONCEPT
• GAS FIREPLACE
• EAT IN AND BAR AREA
• SCREENED PORCH

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $295k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $58 ($701/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $243k (17.5% below list).
• Recommended offer: $243k (17.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 67/100 on livability (#102 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
• Lexington 05 (suburban): math 47% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #5 of 80 in SC (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Lake Murray Elementary (math 78% / reading 82%, grade A+, #4 of 597 statewide, top 1%, 809 students, 18% FRL); Chapin High (math 82% / reading 91%, grade A, #7 of 196 statewide, top 4%, 1,615 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 59% FRL vs 27% district-wide (32 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 83% at this address vs 51% district-wide (+32 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Lexington 05 average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
• Market conditions: 443 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 3,472 units permitted in Richland County in 2024 (1,096 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Richland County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($286k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 4 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $185k; list at $295k implies a 59% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 57% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $243,191 (17.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.82% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.53%
• Cash-on-cash: 0.85%
• DSCR: 1.04
• GRM: 10.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -15.0%
• Equity multiple: 0.47×
• Total profit: $-44,136
• Equity at exit: $43,971

10-year hold

• IRR: -6.4%
• Equity multiple: 0.59×
• Total profit: $-33,929
• Equity at exit: $25,498

Cash invested: $82,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State South Carolina: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 29036

• Active inventory: 443
• Price-to-rent: 10.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,432 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,546
• Tax from tax record: −$145 /mo · $1,745/yr
• Insurance: −$123
• HOA: −$48
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$511
• Net cashflow: $58

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,358

Max offer price $294,900

Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $225	-5% $142	+0% $58	+5% $-25	+10% $-109
Rent	-10% $-134	-5% $-38	+0% $58	+5% $154	+10% $251
Rate	-1.0pp $207	-0.5pp $133	base $58	+0.5pp $-18	+1.0pp $-96

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $73,725
• Closing costs: $8,847
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $48 · $576/yr
• Likely covers: gas

Listing history 8 events

1. 2026-04-19
   status Pending
2. 2026-02-28
   listed $294,900 Active
3. 2026-02-05
   listed $294,900 Active
4. 2025-09-18
   listed $294,900 Active
5. 2020-03-18
   soldstatus $185,000
6. 2020-02-21
   historical
7. 2020-01-07
   listed $189,900 Active
8. 2019-11-18
   price $194,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,745 · $145/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,745 · $145/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 57% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $29,183
• − Mortgage interest: −$16,519
• − Property taxes: −$1,745
• − Insurance: −$1,474
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,335
• − Management: −$2,335
• − HOA: −$576
• − Depreciation: −$8,579
• Taxable loss: −$4,380
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,051
• After-tax cash flow: $1,752/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Lexington 05
• NCES district ID: 4502820
• Math proficiency: 47% ▼ -7.00%
• Reading proficiency: 55% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $67,732
• Composite: 45.28/100
• National rank: #2656
• State rank: #5 of 80 in SC

Livability — Lake Murray of Richland

• Score: 67/100
• State rank: #102
• US rank: #10903

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Lexington County · 232,571 people
• City population: 179
• Metro: Columbia, SC
• Population (ZIP): 26,620
• Household income: $113,986
• Rent vs Own: 8.1% rent · 91.9% own
• Severe rent burden: 212.0

Population outlook (Richland County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 459,667 people
• By 2030: 487,524 · +6.1%
• By 2040: 542,035 · +17.9%
• By 2050: 595,371 · +29.5%
• By 2075: 732,998 · +59.5%
• By 2100: 820,415 · +78.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (86%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 86% Asian 5% Two or more races 4% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 3%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 4% Slovak 4% Italian 2%
• Foreign-born: 6% · Canada, South Korea, China
• Languages at home: 95% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Richland

• 2024 margin: Solid D (+34.6) · D 66.4% · R 31.8% · Other 1.8%
• 2008→2024 swing: +5.7pp toward D · 2008: 28.9pp · 2024: 34.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+34.6 2020: D+38.3 2016: D+32.9 2012: D+33.3 2008: D+28.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -134.76%
• Current HPI: 248.3807
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Columbia, SC
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 4.51%
• F500 in state: 2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Packaging	1	$7B

Price history

+51.3% since first listed

8 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-19 Pending — Consolidated MLS
• 2026-02-28 Listed $294,900 Consolidated MLS
• 2026-02-05 Listed $294,900 Consolidated MLS
• 2025-09-18 Listed $294,900 Consolidated MLS
• 2020-03-18 Sold (Public Records) $185,000 Public Records
• 2020-02-21 Delisted — Consolidated MLS
• 2020-01-07 Listed $189,900 Consolidated MLS
• 2019-11-18 Price Changed $194,900 Consolidated MLS

Property tax history

+9.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,745 · +4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.