9604 Cherryfield Dr · Moline Acres, MO
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.69%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.9/30.0
- ARV discount +10.2/15.0
- Appreciation +6.9/10.0
- DSCR +4.9/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.4/10.0
$145,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This charming home features three spacious bedrooms and one and a half baths, providing comfortable living for families or roommates. With an attached one-car garage, you'll enjoy convenient parking and extra storage space. Perfect for first-time homebuyers or investors, this property offers plenty of potential for sweat equity and future growth. Whether you're looking to customize your own space or add to your investment portfolio, this home is an excellent opportunity.
Key facts
- 9,252 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1956
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $70 ($844/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $134k (7.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $132k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 10.9% in Moline Acres — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#480 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, schools F.
- Riverview Gardens (suburban): math 2% / reading 9% proficiency, ranked #324 of 324 in MO (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 372 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (3.8% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 119 days — a 9% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $79k; list at $145k implies a 84% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 119 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.87%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.08%
- DSCR
- 1.09
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $154,275
- List price
- $145,000
- Delta
- -6.01%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2410 Netherwood Dr | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,320 (+6%) | 1mo | $85,100 | $64 | 81 |
| 9435 Eastchester Dr | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 | 1,195 (-4%) | 2mo | $55,500 | $46 | 72 |
| 1118 Dunford Dr | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 | 1,195 (-4%) | 6mo | $139,900 | $117 | 64 |
| 9737 Wendell Dr | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 1,183 (-5%) | 4mo | $60,000 | $51 | 61 |
| 1109 Bluegrass Dr | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,195 (-4%) | 6mo | $139,000 | $116 | 60 |
| 9279 Dell Ct | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,195 (-4%) | 4mo | $150,000 | $126 | 59 |
| 1250 Admiral Dr | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,287 (+4%) | 4mo | $115,000 | $89 | 54 |
| 2225 Kerwin Dr | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 1,135 (-8%) | 2mo | $135,900 | $120 | 53 |
| 2035 Sun Valley Dr | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,170 (-6%) | 4mo | $68,900 | $59 | 52 |
| 2568 Dorwood Dr | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,336 (+8%) | 4mo | $105,000 | $79 | 51 |
| 9421 Dickerson Dr | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,304 (+5%) | 4mo | $60,000 | $46 | 49 |
| 9701 Colony Dr | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,060 (-14%) | 5mo | $80,000 | $75 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.79% appreciation · 4.97% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.76×
- Total profit
- $30,819
- Equity at exit
- $71,744
- IRR
- 15.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.47×
- Total profit
- $100,408
- Equity at exit
- $115,951
Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63136
- Home prices YoY
- 0.9%
- Rents YoY
- 5.0%
- Active inventory
- 372
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,341 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax from tax record
- −$168 /mo · $2,017/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$282
- Net cashflow
- $70
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $152 | -5% $111 | +0% $70 | +5% $29 | +10% $-12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-36 | -5% $17 | +0% $70 | +5% $123 | +10% $176 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $143 | -0.5pp $107 | base $70 | +0.5pp $33 | +1.0pp $-6 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,250
- Closing costs
- $4,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1225 Newark Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 944 | $1,400 | $1.48 | 4d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 9418 Pattonwood Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 982 | $1,500 | $1.53 | 24d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 9723 Portage Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1014 | $1,450 | $1.43 | 8d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 9744 Lanier Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1014 | $1,345 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 2152 Nemnich Rd Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1030 | $1,100 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 9908 Norbridge Ln Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1240 | $1,650 | $1.33 | 20d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1130 Forest Home Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1025 | $1,275 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 956 Fontaine Pl Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1192 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 24d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 2056 Coleridge Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 949 | $1,195 | $1.26 | 24d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 2321 Noll Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,320 | $1.35 | 24d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 960 Raford Ct St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $950 | $1.27 | 24d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 2326 Chambers Rd Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $1,050 | $0.99 | 24d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 2257 Chambers Rd Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 24d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 7 Lamar Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 894 | $1,200 | $1.34 | 18d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1255 Bosworth Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1071 | $1,575 | $1.47 | 11d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 8817 Shady Grove Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1085 | $1,075 | $0.99 | 24d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 2008 Kappel Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 858 | $1,175 | $1.37 | 24d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 9517 West Ave Unit 1F St. Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,300 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 10113 Duke Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 770 | $1,325 | $1.72 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 3 Pohlman Ln Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 704 | $1,000 | $1.42 | 17d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 10112 Count Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $1,000 | $1.26 | 8d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 10139 Royal Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1016 | $900 | $0.89 | 44d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 10113 Count Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 882 | $775 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 605 Fremont Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $995 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 8720 Akins Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1012 | $1,150 | $1.14 | 24d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1520 Attica Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1062 | $1,200 | $1.13 | 24d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 9709 Balboa Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 2022 McLaran Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1181 | $1,593 | $1.35 | 15d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 9823 Winkler Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 788 | $900 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 9827 Winkler Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,450 | $1.68 | 8d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 9812 Balboa Dr Saint Louis, MO | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,495 | $1.00 | 22d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 623 Ludlow Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,199 | $1.43 | 24d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 2415 Shirley Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $1,450 | $1.46 | 24d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 1942 Damato Ct Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 905 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 637 Karess Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1190 | $1,525 | $1.28 | 13d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 10200 Tappan Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,450 | $1.59 | 17d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 2617 Hord Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $775 | $0.97 | 4d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1926 Chambers Rd Saint Louis, MO | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1095 | $995 | $0.91 | 15d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 9547 Glen Owen Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 923 | $985 | $1.07 | 24d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 2427 Switzer Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,300 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $145,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $145,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $145,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $145,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $145,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $145,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $145,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $145,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $145,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $145,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $145,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $145,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $145,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $145,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-02-20$145,000 Active 475-char remark
Show marketing remark (475 chars)
This charming home features three spacious bedrooms and one and a half baths, providing comfortable living for families or roommates. With an attached one-car garage, you'll enjoy convenient parking and extra storage space. Perfect for first-time homebuyers or investors, this property offers plenty of potential for sweat equity and future growth. Whether you're looking to customize your own space or add to your investment portfolio, this home is an excellent opportunity.
-
2026-02-18historical $145,000 475-char remark
Show marketing remark (475 chars)
This charming home features three spacious bedrooms and one and a half baths, providing comfortable living for families or roommates. With an attached one-car garage, you'll enjoy convenient parking and extra storage space. Perfect for first-time homebuyers or investors, this property offers plenty of potential for sweat equity and future growth. Whether you're looking to customize your own space or add to your investment portfolio, this home is an excellent opportunity.
-
2003-11-26soldstatus $78,900
-
1994-11-18soldstatus $56,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,017 · $168/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,017 · $168/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 69% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,089
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,122
- − Property taxes
- −$2,017
- − Insurance
- −$725
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,287
- − Management
- −$1,287
- − Depreciation
- −$4,218
- Taxable loss
- −$1,568
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$376
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,220/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Riverview Gardens
- NCES district ID
- 2926670
- Math proficiency
- 2% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 9% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,759
- Composite
- 4.22/100
- National rank
- #10058
- State rank
- #324 of 324 in MO
Livability — Moline Acres
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #480
- US rank
- #18899
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Moline Acres, MO
- County
- Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,929
- Household income
- $41,154
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3085.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,025,227 people
- By 2030
- 1,028,023 · +0.3%
- By 2040
- 1,020,940 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 1,007,280 · -1.8%
- By 2075
- 987,277 · -3.7%
- By 2100
- 921,984 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 90% White 5% Two or more races 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.79%
- Current HPI
- 420.28
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.97%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
||
Price history
+156.6% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-20 Listed $145,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-18 Coming Soon $145,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-11-26 Sold (Public Records) $78,900 Public Records
- 1994-11-18 Sold (Public Records) $56,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.9%/yrLatest (2022): $2,017 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…