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Manchester Plan 🏗️ New Construction
D Composite 42.03
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +6.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.8/10.0
  • DSCR +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$208,000

Manchester Plan · Westfield, IN 46074
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,302 sqft · Townhouse · 192 Days on market
55+ age-restricted Fair condition ↓ 5% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Whether you are working or retired, the Village Cooperative of Westfield is a hassle-free home ownership option for active adults (62+). You simply won't find a better value anywhere in the area with all the amenities. It offers a carefree lifestyle that lets you enjoy more of what you love in a safe and secure community of peers. The homes range in size from approximately 900 sq. ft. to over 1,800 sq. ft. of one-level living space within in a three-story building built over secure underground parking. Standard features of this living community include a community and club areas, hobby shop, reading areas, guest suite, garden plots, while-you're-away services, underground heated parking with a car wash bay-all wrapped up in a fully secure building. The homes are equipped with all appliances including a washer and dryer, in-home storage, walk-in closets and individually controlled HVAC systems. The Village Cooperative is a community of like-minded adults who want to live near other people their age, but not in assisted living or rental housing. It offers maintenance-free living in a vibrant environment with many unique amenities that are suited for both working and retired residents.

Key facts

  • Car wash bay
  • Guest suite
  • Garden plots

Tags

ONE-LEVEL LIVING SPACEGUEST SUITEGARDEN PLOTSUNDERGROUND HEATED PARKINGCAR WASH BAYFULLY SECURE BUILDING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $208,000 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $270,000.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $208k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-257 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $204k (2.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $183k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 3.2% in Westfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#140 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Westfield-Washington Schools (suburban): math 58% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #10 of 301 in IN (top 3%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Shamrock Springs Elementary School (math 63% / reading 56%, grade B-, #128 of 994 statewide, top 15%, 615 students, 10% FRL); Westfield Middle School (math 46% / reading 62%, grade B-, #31 of 330 statewide, top 9%, 1,429 students, 18% FRL); Westfield High School (math 61% / reading 85%, grade B+, #8 of 369 statewide, top 2%, 2,665 students, 18% FRL) — zoned schools at 16% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 1050 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 10d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 4,661 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (1,528 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hamilton County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 192 days — a 12% lower offer ($183k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $183,040 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 192 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.75%
Cap rate
5.15%
Cash-on-cash
-4.07%
DSCR
0.82
GRM
11.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$270,000
List price
$208,000
Delta
-22.96%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
5 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
15541 Frankel Ln 1.38mi 2/2.5 1,400 (+8%) 9mo $640,025 $457 43
711 Bucksport Ln 1.11mi 2/2.5 1,444 (+11%) 5mo $265,000 $184 41
2680 Old Rosebud Ln 1.20mi 2/2.0 1,617 (+24%) 1mo $427,500 $264 39
2591 Old Rosebud Ln 1.13mi 2/2.0 1,626 (+25%) 2mo $415,000 $255 38
15425 Bowie Dr 0.76mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,444 (+11%) 4mo $270,000 $187 36
2816 Old Rosebud Ln 1.32mi 2/2.0 1,626 (+25%) 4mo $450,000 $277 36
2466 Goldfinger Ln 1.29mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,601 (+23%) 2mo $440,000 $275 33
14990 Barbaro Dr 1.37mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,601 (+23%) 4mo $435,000 $272 32
2529 Goldfinger Ln 1.25mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,601 (+23%) 4mo $429,000 $268 31
2546 Goldfinger Ln 1.29mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,601 (+23%) 4mo $425,000 $265 31
2698 Old Rosebud Ln 1.22mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,604 (+23%) 8mo $430,000 $268 29
15569 Tiffin Cir 1.33mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,601 (+23%) 9mo $425,000 $265 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.26% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-21.8%
Equity multiple
0.24×
Total profit
$-57,454
Equity at exit
$40,258
10-year hold
IRR
-12.8%
Equity multiple
0.21×
Total profit
$-59,947
Equity at exit
$23,345

Cash invested: $75,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
21 active
Months of supply
126.0 mo (1%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$230,000 ($163/sqft)
Median days on market
192 d
This list price
14% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+27.6% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 46074

Rents YoY
4.3%
Active inventory
1050
Price-to-rent
8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,037 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,416
Tax est. 1.5%
$338 /mo · $4,050/yr
Insurance
$112
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$428
Net cashflow
$-257

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,362
Max offer price $232,858
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-70 -5% $-163 +0% $-257 +5% $-350 +10% $-443
Rent -10% $-418 -5% $-337 +0% $-257 +5% $-176 +10% $-96
Rate -1.0pp $-121 -0.5pp $-188 base $-257 +0.5pp $-327 +1.0pp $-398

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$67,500
Closing costs
$8,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1601 S Waterleaf Dr Westfield, IN 2.0 2.0 635 $1,924 $3.03 9d 20 0.08mi
1659 Dewey Dr Westfield, IN 2.0 2.0 1748 $2,500 $1.43 9d 1 0.35mi
14637 Handel Dr Carmel, IN 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1128 $1,606 $1.42 9d 45 1.24mi

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-08-08
    days on market $208,000 Active 192 DOM
  2. 2026-08-07
    days on market $208,000 Active 191 DOM
  3. 2026-08-06
    days on market $208,000 Active 190 DOM
  4. 2026-08-05
    days on market $208,000 Active 189 DOM
  5. 2026-08-04
    days on market $208,000 Active 188 DOM
  6. 2026-08-03
    days on market $208,000 Active 187 DOM
  7. 2026-07-31
    days on market $208,000 Active 184 DOM
  8. 2026-07-30
    days on market $208,000 Active 183 DOM
  9. 2026-07-30
    days on market $208,000 Active 182 DOM
  10. 2026-07-28
    days on market $208,000 Active 181 DOM
  11. 2026-07-26
    days on market $208,000 Active 179 DOM
  12. 2026-07-24
    days on market $208,000 Active 177 DOM
  13. 2026-07-23
    days on market $208,000 Active 176 DOM
  14. 2026-07-22
    days on market $208,000 Active 175 DOM
  15. 2026-07-21
    days on market $208,000 Active 174 DOM
  16. 2026-07-20
    days on market $208,000 Active 173 DOM
  17. 2026-07-18
    days on market $208,000 Active 171 DOM
  18. 2026-07-18
    days on market $208,000 Active 170 DOM
  19. 2026-07-16
    days on market $208,000 Active 169 DOM
  20. 2026-07-15
    days on market $208,000 Active 168 DOM
  21. 2026-07-14
    days on market $208,000 Active 167 DOM
  22. 2026-07-13
    days on market $208,000 Active 166 DOM
  23. 2026-07-13
    days on market $208,000 Active 165 DOM
  24. 2026-07-11
    days on market $208,000 Active 164 DOM
  25. 2026-07-10
    days on market $208,000 Active 163 DOM
  26. 2026-07-09
    days on market $208,000 Active 162 DOM
  27. 2026-07-07
    days on market $208,000 Active 160 DOM
  28. 2026-07-06
    days on market $208,000 Active 159 DOM
  29. 2026-07-05
    days on market $208,000 Active 158 DOM
  30. 2026-07-03
    days on market $208,000 Active 156 DOM
  31. 2026-07-02
    days on market $208,000 Active 155 DOM
  32. 2026-07-01
    days on market $208,000 Active 154 DOM
  33. 2026-06-30
    days on market $208,000 Active 153 DOM
  34. 2026-06-29
    days on market $208,000 Active 152 DOM
  35. 2026-06-28
    days on market $208,000 Active 151 DOM
  36. 2026-06-27
    days on market $208,000 Active 150 DOM
  37. 2026-06-26
    days on market $208,000 Active 149 DOM
  38. 2026-06-25
    days on market $208,000 Active 147 DOM
  39. 2026-06-22
    days on market $208,000 Active 145 DOM
  40. 2026-06-21
    days on market $208,000 Active 144 DOM
  41. 2026-06-18
    days on market $208,000 Active 141 DOM
  42. 2026-06-17
    days on market $208,000 Active 140 DOM
  43. 2026-06-16
    days on market $208,000 Active 139 DOM
  44. 2026-06-15
    days on market $208,000 Active 138 DOM
  45. 2026-06-13
    days on market $208,000 Active 136 DOM
  46. 2026-06-13
    days on market $208,000 Active 135 DOM
  47. 2026-06-09
    days on market $208,000 Active 132 DOM
  48. 2026-06-08
    days on market $208,000 Active 131 DOM
  49. 2026-06-07
    days on market $208,000 Active 130 DOM
  50. 2026-06-05
    days on market $208,000 Active 127 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,444
− Mortgage interest
−$15,124
− Property taxes
−$4,050
− Insurance
−$1,350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,956
− Management
−$1,956
− Depreciation
−$7,855
Taxable loss
−$7,846
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,883
After-tax cash flow
$-1,197/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Fair 45/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $6,510–$19,530 screening

The Manchester unit is in fair condition with cosmetic updates needed. Painting, landscaping, and minor interior updates can significantly enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping — Landscaping improves curb appeal and enhances property value
  • Both New flooring — New flooring can significantly improve the look and feel of the home
  • Both New kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can boost both resale and rental value
  • Both New bathroom fixtures — Upgraded fixtures can enhance the home's appeal and value

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

C Composite school gradezoned avg 62/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Shamrock Springs Elementary School B- IN #128/994 Nat'l #7,252/41,679 Middle Westfield Middle School B- IN #31/330 Nat'l #2,699/14,009 High Westfield High School B+ IN #8/369 Nat'l #1,820/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Westfield-Washington Schools
NCES district ID
1813080
Math proficiency
58% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
64% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$82,682
Composite
55.01/100
National rank
#1295
State rank
#10 of 301 in IN
B Composite livability gradescore 71/100

Livability — Westfield

Score
71/100
State rank
#140
US rank
#7263

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Westfield, IN
County
Hamilton County · 381,938 people
City population
48,901
Metro
Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
Population (ZIP)
48,901
Household income
$126,724
Rent vs Own
18.4% rent · 81.6% own
Severe rent burden
8% of renters

Population outlook (Hamilton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
381,938 people
By 2030
417,496 · +9.3%
By 2040
486,684 · +27.4%
By 2050
549,805 · +44.0%
By 2075
687,078 · +79.9%
By 2100
754,495 · +97.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 8% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Italian 4% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 5% Arabic 3% Chinese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Hamilton

2024 margin
Lean R (+6.1) · D 46.0% · R 52.1% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
+16.2pp toward D · 2008: -22.2pp · 2024: -6.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+6.1 2020: R+6.8 2016: R+19.6 2012: R+34.3 2008: R+22.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

-5.5% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-03 Price Changed $208,000 Zillow
  • 2026-01-28 Listed $220,000 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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