118 Kildare · Jackson, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.9/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.5/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$84,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
4 BR/2.5 BA has nice curb appeal and features lots of space and has potential. Being Sold AS IS. Owner occupants, NSP and non profits offers only through 11/11/2014.
Key facts
- Hardwood flooring
- Central hvac
- Dedicated full bath
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport (1 covered space); Driveway parking (total 2 parking spaces); Paved parking with direct access and storage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Cable available; Phone service available
- Home design: Single-family house; One level
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof; Conventional foundation; Built and measured per public records
- Exterior features: Private yard; Partial fencing; Rain gutters; Lot is level with a few trees; approximately 85' x 165'
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on main level (17x17); Bedroom on main level (11x12) with a dedicated half bath; Bedroom on main level (14x12); Bedroom on main level (14x10)
- Flooring: Hardwood
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms and one half bathroom (total 3)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Hardwood floors; Decorative masonry fireplace with hearth; Storage spaces; Move-in ready
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup on main level; Electric dryer hookup on main level; Laundry/utility area with storage (11x6)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $288 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $82k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#66 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, employment F, health & safety F.
- Jackson Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #112 of 130 in MS (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Provine High School (math 4% / reading 15%, grade F, #179 of 197 statewide, top 92%, 774 students, 100% FRL).
- Market conditions: 165 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 167 units permitted in Hinds County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($36k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $9k of equity ($587 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Hinds County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.35% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.52%
- DSCR
- 1.65
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $69,774
- List price
- $84,900
- Delta
- 21.68%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 103 Fair Ct | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,823 (-4%) | 1mo | $54,000 | $30 | 73 |
| 237 Rowland Ave | 0.45mi | 4/3.0 | 1,942 (+2%) | 0mo | $27,500 | $14 | 72 |
| 5020 Gaylyn Dr | 0.14mi | 5/4.0 (+1) | 1,918 (+1%) | 11mo | $125,000 | $65 | 72 |
| 5146 Andover Dr | 0.72mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,637 (-14%) | 20mo | $85,000 | $52 | 21 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 35.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.72×
- Total profit
- $64,594
- Equity at exit
- $76,485
- IRR
- 30.2%
- Equity multiple
- 8.40×
- Total profit
- $175,885
- Equity at exit
- $164,942
Cash invested: $23,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39209
- Home prices YoY
- 7.7%
- Active inventory
- 165
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,146 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$445
- Tax from tax record
- −$137 /mo · $1,644/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$241
- Net cashflow
- $288
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,225
- Closing costs
- $2,547
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 127 Barbara Ave Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1584 | $850 | $0.54 | 21d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 3856 Noble St Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1357 | $1,231 | $0.91 | 23d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 3856 Noble St Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1357 | $1,231 | $0.91 | 43d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 5629 Queen Mary Ln Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1272 | $1,395 | $1.10 | 13d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $84,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $84,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $84,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $84,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $84,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $84,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $84,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $84,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $84,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $84,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $84,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $84,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $84,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $84,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $84,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $84,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-05-01$84,900 Active 638-char remark
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2021-01-19soldstatus
-
2018-01-09soldstatus
-
2014-12-17soldstatus 165-char remark
Show marketing remark (165 chars)
4 BR/2.5 BA has nice curb appeal and features lots of space and has potential. Being Sold AS IS. Owner occupants, NSP and non profits offers only through 11/11/2014.
-
2014-12-11soldstatus
-
2014-10-24$9,900 165-char remark
Show marketing remark (165 chars)
4 BR/2.5 BA has nice curb appeal and features lots of space and has potential. Being Sold AS IS. Owner occupants, NSP and non profits offers only through 11/11/2014.
-
2013-01-03soldstatus
-
2012-11-21soldstatus
-
1999-05-07soldstatus
-
1963-12-27soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,644 · $137/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,644 · $137/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,750
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,756
- − Property taxes
- −$1,644
- − Insurance
- −$424
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,100
- − Management
- −$1,100
- − Depreciation
- −$2,470
- Taxable income
- $2,256
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$541
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,910/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jackson Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2802190
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,234
- Composite
- 10.89/100
- National rank
- #9755
- State rank
- #112 of 130 in MS
Livability — Jackson
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #66
- US rank
- #9695
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jackson, MS
- County
- Hinds County · 167,040 people
- City population
- 140,204
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,776
- Household income
- $36,344
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1627.0
Population outlook (Hinds County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 242,528 people
- By 2030
- 241,113 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 235,557 · -2.9%
- By 2050
- 226,946 · -6.4%
- By 2075
- 199,995 · -17.5%
- By 2100
- 164,165 · -32.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 90% White 7% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Hinds
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+46.1) · D 72.4% · R 26.3% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 46.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+46.1 2020: D+48.3 2016: D+43.7 2012: D+45.1 2008: D+39.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 22.28%
- Current HPI
- 312.6754
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+757.6% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Listed $84,900 MLSU
- 2021-01-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2018-01-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2014-12-17 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2014-12-11 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2014-10-24 Listed $9,900 MLSU
- 2013-01-03 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2012-11-21 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1999-05-07 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1963-12-27 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
-0.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,644 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…