2426 Hoff St · Flint, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$8,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
A property with great potential, ready for renovation or updates to bring it to its full value. Ideal for investors or buyers looking to customize a home to their taste. Homes must be complete with remodeling withing twelve months.
Key facts
- 4,792 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1950
Property features AI
Finance
- Other:
- Financial info:
- HOA & community:
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage
- Security:
- Utilities: Public water; Sewer available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Ground-level entry with steps
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.11 acres (40 x 120)
Interior
- Kitchen:
- Bedrooms: Total of 4 rooms (bedrooms included)
- Flooring:
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No cooling
- Interior features: Unfinished basement
- Laundry & utility:
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $8k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $568 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($808 rent vs $8k).
- Recommended offer: $7k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 86.4% vs local median 11.5% in Flint — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 202 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $59 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $255 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $2k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 209 days — a 12% lower offer ($7k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $1k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 209 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 9.50% ✓
- Cap rate
- 86.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 286.21%
- DSCR
- 13.73
- GRM
- 0.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $30,816
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2510 Bennett Ave | 0.17mi | 2/1.0 | 700 (+9%) | 5mo | $8,500 | $12 | 72 |
| 2426 Maryland Ave | 0.18mi | 2/1.0 | 712 (+11%) | 2mo | $36,000 | $51 | 72 |
| 2002 Branch Rd | 0.53mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 628 (-2%) | 3mo | $30,000 | $48 | 64 |
| 2719 Branch Rd | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (+12%) | 2mo | $19,000 | $26 | 61 |
| 2001 N Lynch St | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 | 724 (+13%) | 12mo | $25,500 | $35 | 54 |
| 3214 Maryland Ave | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (+12%) | 4mo | $39,000 | $54 | 50 |
| 3123 Maryland Ave | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (+12%) | 12mo | $63,900 | $89 | 48 |
| 2116 Branch Rd | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 | 735 (+14%) | 8mo | $30,000 | $41 | 48 |
| 3006 Agree Ave | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 | 700 (+9%) | 3mo | $50,000 | $71 | 48 |
| 3314 Dakota Ave | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 | 572 (-11%) | 3mo | $850 | $1 | 48 |
| 3218 Colorado Ave | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (+12%) | 8mo | $53,000 | $74 | 41 |
| 2910 Mcclure Ave | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 | 727 (+13%) | 10mo | $30,000 | $41 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 15.62×
- Total profit
- $34,796
- Equity at exit
- $1,267
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 33.32×
- Total profit
- $76,932
- Equity at exit
- $735
Cash invested: $2,380 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48506
- Active inventory
- 202
- Price-to-rent
- 0.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $808 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$45
- Tax from tax record
- −$22 /mo · $268/yr
- Insurance
- −$4
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$170
- Net cashflow
- $568
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $572 | -5% $570 | +0% $568 | +5% $565 | +10% $563 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $504 | -5% $536 | +0% $568 | +5% $600 | +10% $631 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $572 | -0.5pp $570 | base $568 | +0.5pp $565 | +1.0pp $563 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $2,125
- Closing costs
- $255
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2621 Churchill Ave Flint, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 736 | $795 | $1.08 | 14d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 3202 Western Rd Flint, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $645 | $1.29 | 14d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1553 Illinois Ave Flint, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 702 | $900 | $1.28 | 21d | 1 | 0.76mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $8,500 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $8,500 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $8,500 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $8,500 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $8,500 Active 204 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $8,500 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $8,500 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $8,500 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $8,500 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $8,500 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $8,500 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $8,500 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $8,500 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $8,500 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $8,500 Active 191 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $8,500 Active 190 DOM
-
2025-12-16price $8,500 231-char remark
Show marketing remark (231 chars)
A property with great potential, ready for renovation or updates to bring it to its full value. Ideal for investors or buyers looking to customize a home to their taste. Homes must be complete with remodeling withing twelve months.
-
2025-12-15price $8,500
-
2025-11-21$9,900 Active
Show marketing remark (231 chars)
A property with great potential, ready for renovation or updates to bring it to its full value. Ideal for investors or buyers looking to customize a home to their taste. Homes must be complete with remodeling withing twelve months.
-
2025-11-21$9,900 Active 231-char remark
Show marketing remark (231 chars)
A property with great potential, ready for renovation or updates to bring it to its full value. Ideal for investors or buyers looking to customize a home to their taste. Homes must be complete with remodeling withing twelve months.
-
2010-12-06historical
-
2003-05-30historical
-
2003-01-12$56,900
-
2003-01-12$56,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $268 · $22/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $268 · $22/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,692
- − Mortgage interest
- −$476
- − Property taxes
- −$268
- − Insurance
- −$42
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$775
- − Management
- −$775
- − Depreciation
- −$247
- Taxable income
- $7,108
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,706
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,106/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Flint School District
- NCES district ID
- 2614520
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 13% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,954
- Composite
- 10.97/100
- National rank
- #14642
- State rank
- #714 of 760 in MI
Livability — Flint
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #196
- US rank
- #4946
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Flint, MI
- County
- Genesee County · 221,329 people
- City population
- 93,814
- Metro
- Flint, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,712
- Household income
- $47,929
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 954.0
Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 381,312 people
- By 2030
- 362,731 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 321,550 · -15.7%
- By 2050
- 279,212 · -26.8%
- By 2075
- 193,336 · -49.3%
- By 2100
- 128,118 · -66.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 6% Romanian 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Genesee
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -173.31%
- Current HPI
- 90.0494
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Flint, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
-85.1% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-16 Price Changed $8,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-12-15 Price Changed $8,500 REALCOMP
- 2025-11-21 Listed $9,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-11-21 Listed $9,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2010-12-06 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2003-05-30 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2003-01-12 Listed $56,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2003-01-12 Listed $56,900 REALCOMP
Property tax history
-13.5%/yrLatest (2020): $268 · -49.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…