3312 Sedge Grass Dr · Melissa, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.8/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- DSCR +3.3/10.0
- Appreciation +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.1/5.0
$374,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
The Willow is a great two-story plan with a large covered front porch. You will have a large flex space with a walk-in closet and a powder room off of the family room. The California kitchen is open to the dining nook and has a nice walk-in pantry. The private owner's suite has dual vanity sinks, walk-in closet, large linen closet, and walk-in shower. All secondary bedrooms are upstairs with a bathroom and spacious game room. This home also offers extra storage space throughout!
Key facts
- 4,796 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 2025
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property listed by IMP Realty (Builder special listing conditions)
- Financial info: Loan type: Treat As Clear; No second mortgage indicated
- HOA & community: Mandatory homeowners association; Annual HOA fee (listed) with management by Neighborhood Management; HOA covers full use of facilities, grounds maintenance, and management fees; Community features include greenbelt, park, perimeter fencing, and sidewalks
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage (single double-width door, approx. 18' x 20'); 2 covered parking spaces
- Security: No specific security features listed
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; Green energy features for HVAC, insulation, and thermostat; Low-flow fixtures for water conservation; Not in a municipal utility district
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two-story home; New construction completed in 2025; Brick exterior; Facing direction not specified
- Construction: Brick construction; Composition (shingle) roof; Slab foundation; New construction complete (2025)
- Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Exterior lighting; Wood fencing; Lot dimensions approximately 40 x 110; Less than 0.5 acre lot (about 0.11 acre)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave
- Bedrooms: 5 bedrooms (primary bedroom on first floor; additional bedrooms on second floor)
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Tile
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric) and central air
- Interior features: Open floorplan with kitchen island and pantry; One living area and one dining area; 9 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Utility room with full-size washer/dryer area
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/2.5-bath other listed at $375k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-130 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $352k (6.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $271k (27.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $271k (27.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 2.9% in Melissa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#477 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D, amenities F, commute F.
- Melissa ISD (suburban): math 65% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #24 of 826 in TX (top 3%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Harry Mckillop El (math 74% / reading 68%, grade A-, #128 of 4,322 statewide, top 3%, 955 students, 18% FRL); Melissa Middle (math 62% / reading 63%, grade B+, #128 of 1,662 statewide, top 8%, 1,232 students, 0% FRL); Melissa H S (math 69% / reading 76%, grade B+, #94 of 1,632 statewide, top 6%, 1,485 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 6% FRL vs 24% district-wide (18 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.4%/yr); 511 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 27d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 19,194 units permitted in Collin County in 2024 (3,988 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Collin County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 164 days — a 12% lower offer ($330k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $48k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 164 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.72% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.49%
- DSCR
- 0.93
- GRM
- 11.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.27×
- Total profit
- $-77,162
- Equity at exit
- $55,914
- IRR
- -23.6%
- Equity multiple
- -0.04×
- Total profit
- $-109,210
- Equity at exit
- $32,423
Cash invested: $105,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75454
- Home prices YoY
- -1.9%
- Rents YoY
- -1.4%
- Active inventory
- 511
- Price-to-rent
- 11.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,711 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,967
- Tax from tax record
- −$95 /mo · $1,143/yr
- Insurance
- −$156
- HOA
- −$54
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$569
- Net cashflow
- $-130
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $82 | -5% $-24 | +0% $-130 | +5% $-236 | +10% $-343 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-344 | -5% $-237 | +0% $-130 | +5% $-23 | +10% $84 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $59 | -0.5pp $-35 | base $-130 | +0.5pp $-227 | +1.0pp $-326 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $93,750
- Closing costs
- $11,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1905 Winecup Dr Melissa, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2309 | $2,450 | $1.06 | 45d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 1817 Winecup Dr Melissa, TX | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2440 | $2,495 | $1.02 | 45d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 3324 Celestial Ln Melissa, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2055 | $2,300 | $1.12 | 45d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 3225 Sedge Grass Dr Melissa, TX | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2565 | $2,800 | $1.09 | 45d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 1912 Scarlet Ln Melissa, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2309 | $2,375 | $1.03 | 19d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 1800 Winecup Dr Melissa, TX | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2440 | $2,495 | $1.02 | 14d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 3110 Sedge Grass Dr Melissa, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2357 | $2,400 | $1.02 | 45d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 3105 Bedstraw Ln Melissa, TX | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2327 | $2,700 | $1.16 | 20d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 1908 Iris Rd Melissa, TX | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2467 | $2,495 | $1.01 | 26d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 3434 Laguna Dr Melissa, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2128 | $2,399 | $1.13 | 45d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 2595 Bryant St Melissa, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2432 | $2,350 | $0.97 | 45d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 2401 Lovegrass Ln Melissa, TX | 5.0 | 4.0 | 3173 | $3,024 | $0.95 | 26d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 2221 Grassland Ave Melissa, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2067 | $2,500 | $1.21 | 45d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 3810 Honeycomb Holw Melissa, TX | 5.0 | 3.5 | 2777 | $2,850 | $1.03 | 26d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 2510 Lovegrass Ln Melissa, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1990 | $2,450 | $1.23 | 20d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 2203 Poppy Valley Ln Melissa, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1871 | $2,395 | $1.28 | 46d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 2203 Poppy Valley Ln Melissa, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1871 | $2,395 | $1.28 | 45d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 3100 Whispering Pine Blvd Melissa, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2473 | $2,550 | $1.03 | 45d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 2011 Redtail Dr Melissa, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2264 | $2,640 | $1.17 | 20d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 2121 Meadowlark Ln Melissa, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2250 | $2,500 | $1.11 | 45d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 3509 Clara Dr Melissa, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2055 | $2,700 | $1.31 | 6d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 3511 Clara Dr Melissa, TX | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2771 | $3,050 | $1.10 | 14d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 2412 Yaupon Way Melissa, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1980 | $2,447 | $1.24 | 3d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 4303 Crossvine Ln Melissa, TX | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2314 | $2,800 | $1.21 | 0d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 4424 Marsh Hawk Dr Melissa, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2247 | $2,500 | $1.11 | 12d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 3217 Willena Rd Melissa, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2213 | $2,680 | $1.21 | 7d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 2105 Meadow Park Dr Melissa, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2121 | $2,290 | $1.08 | 14d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 3216 Creekhaven Dr Melissa, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2338 | $2,795 | $1.20 | 12d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 2122 Meadow Park Dr Melissa, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2121 | $2,350 | $1.11 | 45d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 3228 Willena Rd Melissa, TX | 5.0 | 4.0 | 3272 | $2,795 | $0.85 | 45d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 2613 Patriot Dr Melissa, TX | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2756 | $2,850 | $1.03 | 45d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 3307 Willena Rd Melissa, TX | 4.0 | 3.5 | 3271 | $3,295 | $1.01 | 1d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 3600 White Summit Ln Melissa, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2032 | $2,350 | $1.16 | 20d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 4529 Winecup Rd Melissa, TX | 5.0 | 4.0 | 2776 | $2,995 | $1.08 | 17d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 4529 Winecup Rd Melissa, TX | 5.0 | 4.0 | 3222 | $2,990 | $0.93 | 0d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 2122 Prairie Ln Melissa, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2247 | $2,475 | $1.10 | 1d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 3411 Kodiak Dr Melissa, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2400 | $2,700 | $1.12 | 45d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 7221 Mayplace Dr McKinney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1836 | $2,300 | $1.25 | 26d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 7212 Seton Pl McKinney, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2526 | $3,400 | $1.35 | 45d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 7221 Headingham Way McKinney, TX | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2714 | $3,299 | $1.22 | 45d | 1 | 1.42mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $54 · $648/yr
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $374,999 Pending 164 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $374,999 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $374,999 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $374,999 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $385,999 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $385,999 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $385,999 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $385,999 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $385,999 Active 154 DOM
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2026-05-22status Active 483-char remark
Show marketing remark (483 chars)
The Willow is a great two-story plan with a large covered front porch. You will have a large flex space with a walk-in closet and a powder room off of the family room. The California kitchen is open to the dining nook and has a nice walk-in pantry. The private owner's suite has dual vanity sinks, walk-in closet, large linen closet, and walk-in shower. All secondary bedrooms are upstairs with a bathroom and spacious game room. This home also offers extra storage space throughout!
-
2026-05-22status Active
Show marketing remark (483 chars)
The Willow is a great two-story plan with a large covered front porch. You will have a large flex space with a walk-in closet and a powder room off of the family room. The California kitchen is open to the dining nook and has a nice walk-in pantry. The private owner's suite has dual vanity sinks, walk-in closet, large linen closet, and walk-in shower. All secondary bedrooms are upstairs with a bathroom and spacious game room. This home also offers extra storage space throughout!
-
2026-03-26historical 483-char remark
Show marketing remark (483 chars)
The Willow is a great two-story plan with a large covered front porch. You will have a large flex space with a walk-in closet and a powder room off of the family room. The California kitchen is open to the dining nook and has a nice walk-in pantry. The private owner's suite has dual vanity sinks, walk-in closet, large linen closet, and walk-in shower. All secondary bedrooms are upstairs with a bathroom and spacious game room. This home also offers extra storage space throughout!
-
2026-03-25status Pending
-
2026-03-14price $385,999
Show marketing remark (483 chars)
The Willow is a great two-story plan with a large covered front porch. You will have a large flex space with a walk-in closet and a powder room off of the family room. The California kitchen is open to the dining nook and has a nice walk-in pantry. The private owner's suite has dual vanity sinks, walk-in closet, large linen closet, and walk-in shower. All secondary bedrooms are upstairs with a bathroom and spacious game room. This home also offers extra storage space throughout!
-
2026-03-14status Active 483-char remark
Show marketing remark (483 chars)
The Willow is a great two-story plan with a large covered front porch. You will have a large flex space with a walk-in closet and a powder room off of the family room. The California kitchen is open to the dining nook and has a nice walk-in pantry. The private owner's suite has dual vanity sinks, walk-in closet, large linen closet, and walk-in shower. All secondary bedrooms are upstairs with a bathroom and spacious game room. This home also offers extra storage space throughout!
-
2026-03-14price $385,999 483-char remark
Show marketing remark (483 chars)
The Willow is a great two-story plan with a large covered front porch. You will have a large flex space with a walk-in closet and a powder room off of the family room. The California kitchen is open to the dining nook and has a nice walk-in pantry. The private owner's suite has dual vanity sinks, walk-in closet, large linen closet, and walk-in shower. All secondary bedrooms are upstairs with a bathroom and spacious game room. This home also offers extra storage space throughout!
-
2026-02-09price $402,999
-
2025-11-18historical 483-char remark
Show marketing remark (483 chars)
The Willow is a great two-story plan with a large covered front porch. You will have a large flex space with a walk-in closet and a powder room off of the family room. The California kitchen is open to the dining nook and has a nice walk-in pantry. The private owner's suite has dual vanity sinks, walk-in closet, large linen closet, and walk-in shower. All secondary bedrooms are upstairs with a bathroom and spacious game room. This home also offers extra storage space throughout!
-
2025-10-31$422,999 Active
-
2025-10-16price $422,999 483-char remark
Show marketing remark (483 chars)
The Willow is a great two-story plan with a large covered front porch. You will have a large flex space with a walk-in closet and a powder room off of the family room. The California kitchen is open to the dining nook and has a nice walk-in pantry. The private owner's suite has dual vanity sinks, walk-in closet, large linen closet, and walk-in shower. All secondary bedrooms are upstairs with a bathroom and spacious game room. This home also offers extra storage space throughout!
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2025-10-16price $433,864 483-char remark
Show marketing remark (483 chars)
The Willow is a great two-story plan with a large covered front porch. You will have a large flex space with a walk-in closet and a powder room off of the family room. The California kitchen is open to the dining nook and has a nice walk-in pantry. The private owner's suite has dual vanity sinks, walk-in closet, large linen closet, and walk-in shower. All secondary bedrooms are upstairs with a bathroom and spacious game room. This home also offers extra storage space throughout!
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2025-10-16price $422,999 483-char remark
Show marketing remark (483 chars)
The Willow is a great two-story plan with a large covered front porch. You will have a large flex space with a walk-in closet and a powder room off of the family room. The California kitchen is open to the dining nook and has a nice walk-in pantry. The private owner's suite has dual vanity sinks, walk-in closet, large linen closet, and walk-in shower. All secondary bedrooms are upstairs with a bathroom and spacious game room. This home also offers extra storage space throughout!
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2025-07-30$433,864 Active 483-char remark
Show marketing remark (483 chars)
The Willow is a great two-story plan with a large covered front porch. You will have a large flex space with a walk-in closet and a powder room off of the family room. The California kitchen is open to the dining nook and has a nice walk-in pantry. The private owner's suite has dual vanity sinks, walk-in closet, large linen closet, and walk-in shower. All secondary bedrooms are upstairs with a bathroom and spacious game room. This home also offers extra storage space throughout!
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2025-07-03soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,143 · $95/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,862 · $572/mo
- Expected delta
- +$5,720/yr (+$477/mo · 500.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,533
- − Mortgage interest
- −$21,006
- − Property taxes
- −$1,143
- − Insurance
- −$1,875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,603
- − Management
- −$2,603
- − HOA
- −$648
- − Depreciation
- −$10,909
- Taxable loss
- −$8,253
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,981
- After-tax cash flow
- $418/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Melissa ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4830120
- Math proficiency
- 65% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 65% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $82,500
- Composite
- 58.34/100
- National rank
- #1012
- State rank
- #24 of 826 in TX
Livability — Melissa
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #477
- US rank
- #9595
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Collin County · 1,159,394 people
- City population
- 22,990
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,990
- Household income
- $138,827
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 246.0
Population outlook (Collin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,210,074 people
- By 2030
- 1,358,201 · +12.2%
- By 2040
- 1,654,061 · +36.7%
- By 2050
- 1,937,359 · +60.1%
- By 2075
- 2,567,039 · +112.1%
- By 2100
- 2,952,048 · +144.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Hispanic / Latino 16% Black 15% Two or more races 10% Asian 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Slovak 3% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 78% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Collin
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.1) · D 43.1% · R 54.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +14.4pp toward D · 2008: -25.6pp · 2024: -11.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.1 2020: R+4.3 2016: R+17.0 2012: R+31.6 2008: R+25.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -4.66%
- Current HPI
- 235.2508
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.42%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-11.0% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Relisted — Zillow
- 2026-05-22 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2026-03-26 Delisted — Zillow
- 2026-03-25 Pending — NTREIS
- 2026-03-14 Price Changed $385,999 NTREIS
- 2026-03-14 Relisted — Zillow
- 2026-03-14 Price Changed $385,999 Zillow
- 2026-02-09 Price Changed $402,999 NTREIS
- 2025-11-18 Delisted — Zillow
- 2025-10-31 Listed $422,999 NTREIS
- 2025-10-16 Price Changed $422,999 Zillow
- 2025-10-16 Price Changed $433,864 Zillow
- 2025-10-16 Price Changed $422,999 Zillow
- 2025-07-30 Listed $433,864 Zillow
- 2025-07-03 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
-14.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,143 · -1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…