24715 Forest Ct · Veneta, OR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 12 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.2/10.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$204,750
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This Rambler style single family home offers 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom with approximately 1008 square feet of living space on a 0.2acre lot. There are no inspection or financing contingencies on this cash only purchase. Offers to be placed on Xome website. Do not trespass!
Key facts
- 8,276 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1991
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $205k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $132 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $198k (3.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $186k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 2.5% in Veneta — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#86 in OR, #4,271 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living B+; Watch: crime C-, commute C-, schools D-.
- Fern Ridge SD 28J (rural): math 22% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #29 of 58 in OR (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 79 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,808 units permitted in Lane County in 2024 (972 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lane County population projected at +15% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 97 days — a 9% lower offer ($186k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $28k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 97 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.07%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.77%
- DSCR
- 1.12
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $357,276
- List price
- $204,750
- Delta
- -42.69%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88002 10th St | 0.02mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (0%) | 2mo | $350,000 | $347 | 97 |
| 87953 Sherwood St | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,007 (-0%) | 2mo | $370,000 | $367 | 87 |
| 87988 6th St | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (0%) | 1mo | $329,000 | $326 | 82 |
| 24822 Sertic Rd | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 | 1,056 (+5%) | 10mo | $354,900 | $336 | 73 |
| 24814 Parkside Dr | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,052 (+4%) | 11mo | $360,000 | $342 | 70 |
| 24928 W Broadway Ave | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (0%) | 17mo | $345,000 | $342 | 61 |
| 25030 Woodland Ave | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 1,022 (+1%) | 13mo | $365,000 | $357 | 59 |
| 25007 Woodland Ave | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (0%) | 20mo | $335,000 | $332 | 57 |
| 25020 Woodland Ave | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (0%) | 24mo | $340,500 | $338 | 53 |
| 24862 Mccutcheon Ave | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 880 (-13%) | 16mo | $350,000 | $398 | 43 |
| 88140 3rd St | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 872 (-14%) | 17mo | $225,000 | $258 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.57×
- Total profit
- $-24,723
- Equity at exit
- $30,529
- IRR
- -2.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-10,529
- Equity at exit
- $17,703
Cash invested: $57,330 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97487
- Home prices YoY
- -30.7%
- Active inventory
- 79
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,980 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,074
- Tax from tax record
- −$273 /mo · $3,273/yr
- Insurance
- −$85
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$416
- Net cashflow
- $132
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $248 | -5% $190 | +0% $132 | +5% $74 | +10% $16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-24 | -5% $54 | +0% $132 | +5% $210 | +10% $289 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $235 | -0.5pp $184 | base $132 | +0.5pp $79 | +1.0pp $25 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $51,188
- Closing costs
- $6,142
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 87948 8th St Veneta, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1316 | $1,975 | $1.50 | 21d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 88024 7th St Unit 88024 Veneta, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $2,075 | $1.73 | 14d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 88046 7th St Unit 88046 Veneta, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $2,075 | $1.73 | 44d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 25160 E Broadway Ave Veneta, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1220 | $1,700 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 25160 E Broadway Ave Veneta, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1220 | $1,700 | $1.39 | 14d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 25160 E Broadway Ave Unit 4C Veneta, OR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1220 | $1,700 | $1.39 | 14d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 88064 Pine St Veneta, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1064 | $2,295 | $2.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-13status $204,750 Pending 97 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $204,750 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $204,750 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $204,750 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $204,750 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $204,750 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $204,750 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $204,750 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $204,750 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $204,750 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-04-10price $204,750 273-char remark
Show marketing remark (273 chars)
This Rambler style single family home offers 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom with approximately 1008 square feet of living space on a 0.2acre lot. There are no inspection or financing contingencies on this cash only purchase. Offers to be placed on Xome website. Do not trespass!
-
2026-03-05$233,100 Active 273-char remark
Show marketing remark (273 chars)
This Rambler style single family home offers 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom with approximately 1008 square feet of living space on a 0.2acre lot. There are no inspection or financing contingencies on this cash only purchase. Offers to be placed on Xome website. Do not trespass!
-
2023-07-12soldstatus $315,000
-
2015-02-11soldstatus $157,500 Sold 289-char remark
Show marketing remark (289 chars)
Perfect starter home on quiet cul de sac in Veneta. Large lot with fenced backyard, fire pit, and deck off master. Super clean and well maintained home with custom paint finishes, new carpet, 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. Pride of ownership abounds throughout this charming move in ready home!
-
2015-02-11soldstatus $157,500
Show marketing remark (289 chars)
Perfect starter home on quiet cul de sac in Veneta. Large lot with fenced backyard, fire pit, and deck off master. Super clean and well maintained home with custom paint finishes, new carpet, 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. Pride of ownership abounds throughout this charming move in ready home!
-
2014-12-13status Pending 289-char remark
Show marketing remark (289 chars)
Perfect starter home on quiet cul de sac in Veneta. Large lot with fenced backyard, fire pit, and deck off master. Super clean and well maintained home with custom paint finishes, new carpet, 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. Pride of ownership abounds throughout this charming move in ready home!
-
2014-12-08$159,000 Active 289-char remark
Show marketing remark (289 chars)
Perfect starter home on quiet cul de sac in Veneta. Large lot with fenced backyard, fire pit, and deck off master. Super clean and well maintained home with custom paint finishes, new carpet, 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. Pride of ownership abounds throughout this charming move in ready home!
-
2009-10-29soldstatus $146,700
-
1992-01-06soldstatus $54,000
-
1990-10-01soldstatus $10,300
-
1990-04-26soldstatus $70,000
-
1987-01-30soldstatus $17,256
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,273 · $273/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,273 · $273/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,756
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,469
- − Property taxes
- −$3,273
- − Insurance
- −$1,024
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,900
- − Management
- −$1,900
- − Depreciation
- −$5,956
- Taxable loss
- −$1,767
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$424
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,010/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fern Ridge SD 28J
- NCES district ID
- 4104950
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,687
- Composite
- 28.67/100
- National rank
- #6697
- State rank
- #29 of 58 in OR
Livability — Veneta
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #86
- US rank
- #4271
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Veneta, OR
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,546
Population outlook (Lane County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 391,933 people
- By 2030
- 405,860 · +3.6%
- By 2040
- 429,386 · +9.6%
- By 2050
- 452,016 · +15.3%
- By 2075
- 508,825 · +29.8%
- By 2100
- 531,208 · +35.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 11% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Vietnam, Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Vietnamese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Lane
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.1) · D 60.0% · R 36.9% · Other 3.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.4pp · 2024: 23.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.1 2020: D+24.3 2016: D+18.9 2012: D+23.4 2008: D+27.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -129.87%
- Current HPI
- 293.6855
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
+1086.5% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-10 Price Changed $204,750 MLSCO
- 2026-03-05 Listed $233,100 MLSCO
- 2023-07-12 Sold (Public Records) $315,000 Public Records
- 2015-02-11 Sold (Public Records) $157,500 Public Records
- 2015-02-11 Sold (MLS) $157,500 RMLS
- 2014-12-13 Pending — RMLS
- 2014-12-08 Listed $159,000 RMLS
- 2009-10-29 Sold (Public Records) $146,700 Public Records
- 1992-01-06 Sold (Public Records) $54,000 Public Records
- 1990-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $10,300 Public Records
- 1990-04-26 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
- 1987-01-30 Sold (Public Records) $17,256 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.5%/yrLatest (2025): $3,273 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…