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179 Pearl Davis Rd
C- Composite 52.79
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.7/15.0
  • DSCR +6.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.5/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$240,000

179 Pearl Davis Rd · Springfield, GA 31329
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,128 sqft · Other · 43 Days on market
Built 2000 1.10 ac lot $113/sqft · at area comps Est $241k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

4 Bedroom 2 bathroom home on over 1 acre lot just north of Springfield. Split bedroom floor plan. Large open floor plan with a formal living room, den with fireplace, dining room, large laundry room, newer tin roof, hvac unit, private well.

Key facts

  • 1.1 acre lot
  • Built 2000
  • Listed 43 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Private well water; Septic tank
  • Home design: Residential mobile home
  • Construction: Metal roof; Raised foundation
  • Exterior features: Fenced yard; Wooded lot; Shed(s); Workshop; Has a view; Dirt road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Oven; Range
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Factory-built fireplace in the family room; Washer hookup and a dedicated laundry room; Electric water heater
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $240k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $345 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $229k (4.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $229k (4.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 4.2% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#116 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment C-, schools D-, amenities F.
  • Effingham County (rural): math 49% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #16 of 174 in GA (top 9%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 112 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 836 units permitted in Effingham County in 2024 (46 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($78k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Effingham County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($233k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $228,634 (4.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 5% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.95%
Cap rate
8.02%
Cash-on-cash
6.16%
DSCR
1.27
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$240,865
List price
$240,000
Delta
-0.36%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.8%
Equity multiple
0.75×
Total profit
$-17,011
Equity at exit
$35,785
10-year hold
IRR
2.7%
Equity multiple
1.20×
Total profit
$13,120
Equity at exit
$20,751

Cash invested: $67,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31329

Home prices YoY
-14.7%
Active inventory
112
Price-to-rent
8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,286 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,259
Tax from tax record
$103 /mo · $1,233/yr
Insurance
$100
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$480
Net cashflow
$345

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,850
Max offer price $240,000
Occupancy floor 80%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $481 -5% $413 +0% $345 +5% $277 +10% $209
Rent -10% $164 -5% $255 +0% $345 +5% $435 +10% $526
Rate -1.0pp $466 -0.5pp $406 base $345 +0.5pp $283 +1.0pp $219

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$60,000
Closing costs
$7,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $240,000 Active 43 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $240,000 Active 42 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $240,000 Active 41 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    price $240,000 Active 40 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $249,000 Active 40 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $249,000 Active 38 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $249,000 Active 37 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $249,000 Active 35 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $249,000 Active 34 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $249,000 Active 33 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $249,000 Active 32 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $249,000 Active 29 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $249,000 Active 28 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $249,000 Active 27 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $249,000 Active 26 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $249,000 Active 25 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $249,000 Active 24 DOM
  18. 2026-05-06
    listed $249,000 Active 413-char remark
  19. 2024-05-03
    soldstatus $245,500
  20. 2024-05-02
    soldstatus $245,500 240-char remark
    Show marketing remark (242 chars)

    4 Bedroom 2 bathroom home on over 1 acre lot just north of Springfield. Split bedroom floor plan. Large open floor plan with a formal living room, den with fireplace, dining room, large laundry room, newer tin roof, hvac unit, private well.

  21. 2024-05-02
    soldstatus $245,500 Sold
    Show marketing remark (242 chars)

    4 Bedroom 2 bathroom home on over 1 acre lot just north of Springfield. Split bedroom floor plan. Large open floor plan with a formal living room, den with fireplace, dining room, large laundry room, newer tin roof, hvac unit, private well.

  22. 2024-04-22
    status Under Contract
    Show marketing remark (242 chars)

    4 Bedroom 2 bathroom home on over 1 acre lot just north of Springfield. Split bedroom floor plan. Large open floor plan with a formal living room, den with fireplace, dining room, large laundry room, newer tin roof, hvac unit, private well.

  23. 2024-03-25
    status Pending Offer Approval
    Show marketing remark (242 chars)

    4 Bedroom 2 bathroom home on over 1 acre lot just north of Springfield. Split bedroom floor plan. Large open floor plan with a formal living room, den with fireplace, dining room, large laundry room, newer tin roof, hvac unit, private well.

  24. 2024-03-22
    listed $249,900 240-char remark
    Show marketing remark (242 chars)

    4 Bedroom 2 bathroom home on over 1 acre lot just north of Springfield. Split bedroom floor plan. Large open floor plan with a formal living room, den with fireplace, dining room, large laundry room, newer tin roof, hvac unit, private well.

  25. 2024-03-22
    listed $249,900 New
    Show marketing remark (242 chars)

    4 Bedroom 2 bathroom home on over 1 acre lot just north of Springfield. Split bedroom floor plan. Large open floor plan with a formal living room, den with fireplace, dining room, large laundry room, newer tin roof, hvac unit, private well.

  26. 2011-11-30
    historical
  27. 2011-09-14
    listed $39,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,233 · $103/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,208 · $184/mo
Expected delta
+$975/yr (+$81/mo · 79.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,436
− Mortgage interest
−$13,444
− Property taxes
−$1,233
− Insurance
−$1,200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,195
− Management
−$2,195
− Depreciation
−$6,982
Taxable income
$188
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$45
After-tax cash flow
$4,094/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Effingham County
NCES district ID
1301980
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$60,503
Composite
42.56/100
National rank
#3195
State rank
#16 of 174 in GA

Livability — Springfield

Score
69/100
State rank
#116
US rank
#8573

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Effingham County · 68,439 people
Metro
Savannah, GA
Population (ZIP)
9,609
Household income
$78,483
Rent vs Own
22.5% rent · 77.5% own
Severe rent burden
80.0

Population outlook (Effingham County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
67,399 people
By 2030
72,297 · +7.3%
By 2040
81,602 · +21.1%
By 2050
89,494 · +32.8%
By 2075
105,976 · +57.2%
By 2100
111,943 · +66.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Black 22% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Iranian 2% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Effingham

2024 margin
Solid R (+49.1) · D 25.2% · R 74.3%
2008→2024 swing
+1.6pp toward D · 2008: -50.7pp · 2024: -49.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+49.1 2020: R+49.5 2016: R+55.6 2012: R+51.2 2008: R+50.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -44.15%
Current HPI
255.5281
Rent YoY
Metro
Savannah, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+501.5% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-15 Price Changed $240,000 Hive MLS
  • 2026-05-06 Listed $249,000 Hive MLS
  • 2024-05-03 Sold (Public Records) $245,500 Public Records
  • 2024-05-02 Sold (MLS) $245,500 GAMLS
  • 2024-05-02 Sold (MLS) $245,500 Hive MLS
  • 2024-04-22 Pending GAMLS
  • 2024-03-25 Pending GAMLS
  • 2024-03-22 Listed $249,900 GAMLS
  • 2024-03-22 Listed $249,900 Hive MLS
  • 2011-11-30 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2011-09-14 Listed $39,900 Hive MLS

Property tax history

+7.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,233 · +50.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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