179 Pearl Davis Rd · Springfield, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.2/30.0
- ARV discount +7.7/15.0
- DSCR +6.7/10.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$240,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
4 Bedroom 2 bathroom home on over 1 acre lot just north of Springfield. Split bedroom floor plan. Large open floor plan with a formal living room, den with fireplace, dining room, large laundry room, newer tin roof, hvac unit, private well.
Key facts
- 1.1 acre lot
- Built 2000
- Listed 43 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Private well water; Septic tank
- Home design: Residential mobile home
- Construction: Metal roof; Raised foundation
- Exterior features: Fenced yard; Wooded lot; Shed(s); Workshop; Has a view; Dirt road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Oven; Range
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Factory-built fireplace in the family room; Washer hookup and a dedicated laundry room; Electric water heater
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $240k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $345 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $229k (4.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $229k (4.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 4.2% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#116 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment C-, schools D-, amenities F.
- Effingham County (rural): math 49% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #16 of 174 in GA (top 9%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 112 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 836 units permitted in Effingham County in 2024 (46 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($78k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Effingham County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($233k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 5% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.16%
- DSCR
- 1.27
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $240,865
- List price
- $240,000
- Delta
- -0.36%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.75×
- Total profit
- $-17,011
- Equity at exit
- $35,785
- IRR
- 2.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.20×
- Total profit
- $13,120
- Equity at exit
- $20,751
Cash invested: $67,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31329
- Home prices YoY
- -14.7%
- Active inventory
- 112
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,286 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,259
- Tax from tax record
- −$103 /mo · $1,233/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$480
- Net cashflow
- $345
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $481 | -5% $413 | +0% $345 | +5% $277 | +10% $209 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $164 | -5% $255 | +0% $345 | +5% $435 | +10% $526 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $466 | -0.5pp $406 | base $345 | +0.5pp $283 | +1.0pp $219 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $60,000
- Closing costs
- $7,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $240,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $240,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $240,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-15price $240,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $249,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $249,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $249,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $249,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $249,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $249,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $249,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $249,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $249,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $249,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $249,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $249,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $249,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-06$249,000 Active 413-char remark
-
2024-05-03soldstatus $245,500
-
2024-05-02soldstatus $245,500 240-char remark
Show marketing remark (242 chars)
4 Bedroom 2 bathroom home on over 1 acre lot just north of Springfield. Split bedroom floor plan. Large open floor plan with a formal living room, den with fireplace, dining room, large laundry room, newer tin roof, hvac unit, private well.
-
2024-05-02soldstatus $245,500 Sold
Show marketing remark (242 chars)
4 Bedroom 2 bathroom home on over 1 acre lot just north of Springfield. Split bedroom floor plan. Large open floor plan with a formal living room, den with fireplace, dining room, large laundry room, newer tin roof, hvac unit, private well.
-
2024-04-22status Under Contract
Show marketing remark (242 chars)
4 Bedroom 2 bathroom home on over 1 acre lot just north of Springfield. Split bedroom floor plan. Large open floor plan with a formal living room, den with fireplace, dining room, large laundry room, newer tin roof, hvac unit, private well.
-
2024-03-25status Pending Offer Approval
Show marketing remark (242 chars)
4 Bedroom 2 bathroom home on over 1 acre lot just north of Springfield. Split bedroom floor plan. Large open floor plan with a formal living room, den with fireplace, dining room, large laundry room, newer tin roof, hvac unit, private well.
-
2024-03-22$249,900 240-char remark
Show marketing remark (242 chars)
4 Bedroom 2 bathroom home on over 1 acre lot just north of Springfield. Split bedroom floor plan. Large open floor plan with a formal living room, den with fireplace, dining room, large laundry room, newer tin roof, hvac unit, private well.
-
2024-03-22$249,900 New
Show marketing remark (242 chars)
4 Bedroom 2 bathroom home on over 1 acre lot just north of Springfield. Split bedroom floor plan. Large open floor plan with a formal living room, den with fireplace, dining room, large laundry room, newer tin roof, hvac unit, private well.
-
2011-11-30historical
-
2011-09-14$39,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,233 · $103/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,208 · $184/mo
- Expected delta
- +$975/yr (+$81/mo · 79.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,436
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,444
- − Property taxes
- −$1,233
- − Insurance
- −$1,200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,195
- − Management
- −$2,195
- − Depreciation
- −$6,982
- Taxable income
- $188
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$45
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,094/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Effingham County
- NCES district ID
- 1301980
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,503
- Composite
- 42.56/100
- National rank
- #3195
- State rank
- #16 of 174 in GA
Livability — Springfield
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #116
- US rank
- #8573
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Effingham County · 68,439 people
- Metro
- Savannah, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,609
- Household income
- $78,483
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 80.0
Population outlook (Effingham County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 67,399 people
- By 2030
- 72,297 · +7.3%
- By 2040
- 81,602 · +21.1%
- By 2050
- 89,494 · +32.8%
- By 2075
- 105,976 · +57.2%
- By 2100
- 111,943 · +66.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Black 22% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 2% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Effingham
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+49.1) · D 25.2% · R 74.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.6pp toward D · 2008: -50.7pp · 2024: -49.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+49.1 2020: R+49.5 2016: R+55.6 2012: R+51.2 2008: R+50.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -44.15%
- Current HPI
- 255.5281
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Savannah, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+501.5% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Price Changed $240,000 Hive MLS
- 2026-05-06 Listed $249,000 Hive MLS
- 2024-05-03 Sold (Public Records) $245,500 Public Records
- 2024-05-02 Sold (MLS) $245,500 GAMLS
- 2024-05-02 Sold (MLS) $245,500 Hive MLS
- 2024-04-22 Pending — GAMLS
- 2024-03-25 Pending — GAMLS
- 2024-03-22 Listed $249,900 GAMLS
- 2024-03-22 Listed $249,900 Hive MLS
- 2011-11-30 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2011-09-14 Listed $39,900 Hive MLS
Property tax history
+7.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,233 · +50.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…