62 Lippincott Rd · Fox Lake, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +6.0/15.0
- Cash flow +5.1/30.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- 1% rule +1.1/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$319,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Recently remodeled thru-out 1-sty ranch/cottage w/great backyard/2x storage sheds/sidedrive to fit 3-cars/front concrete patio/open living room/fully appliance eat in kitchen w/pantry closet/dining room w/sliders off huge concrete patio/3 good sized bedrooms/ceramic full & half bathrooms/laundry room/partial walkout basement great for storage/new plumbing/heating/windows/furnace/bamboo wood flooring & more!
Key facts
- 0.3 acre lot
- 3 parking spots
- Built 1945
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $319k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-733 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $190k (40.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $196k (38.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $190k (40.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 3.5% vs local median 6.0% in Fox Lake — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#247 in IL, #4,462 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, commute A; Watch: amenities D+, schools F, health & safety F.
- Grant Chsd 124 (suburban): math 23% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #296 of 620 in IL (top 48%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 78 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 7d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 948 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (424 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lake County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($314k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask is 128% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $115k; list at $319k implies a 177% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.61% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- -9.85%
- DSCR
- 0.56
- GRM
- 13.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $308,448
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39 Lippincott Rd | 0.10mi | 3/2.5 | 1,612 (+13%) | 1mo | $375,000 | $233 | 69 |
| 31 Lakeside Ln | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,500 (+5%) | 2mo | $705,000 | $470 | 66 |
| 10 S Hickory Ave | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 1,472 (+3%) | 9mo | $185,000 | $126 | 66 |
| 40 Lippincott Rd | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,548 (+8%) | 21mo | $254,900 | $165 | 62 |
| 43 Lippincott Rd | 0.08mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,608 (+13%) | 6mo | $275,000 | $171 | 59 |
| 34 Hawthorne Ln | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 1,319 (-8%) | 13mo | $285,000 | $216 | 53 |
| 18 Lakeside Ln | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,403 (-2%) | 24mo | $420,000 | $299 | 52 |
| 416 N Lincoln Ave | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,320 (-8%) | 14mo | $271,000 | $205 | 45 |
| 46 Hawthorne Ln | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,301 (-9%) | 23mo | $287,197 | $221 | 40 |
| 187 E Grand Ave | 0.40mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,610 (+13%) | 20mo | $190,000 | $118 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -33.9%
- Equity multiple
- -0.10×
- Total profit
- $-98,293
- Equity at exit
- $47,564
- IRR
- -42.3%
- Equity multiple
- -0.63×
- Total profit
- $-145,384
- Equity at exit
- $27,581
Cash invested: $89,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60020
- Home prices YoY
- -30.7%
- Active inventory
- 78
- Price-to-rent
- 13.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,961 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,673
- Tax from tax record
- −$476 /mo · $5,712/yr
- Insurance
- −$133
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$412
- Net cashflow
- $-733
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $79,750
- Closing costs
- $9,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 184 E Grand Ave Unit 1374785P Fox Lake, IL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1593 | $7,875 | $4.94 | 6d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 28 Glen Ave Fox Lake, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1212 | $2,300 | $1.90 | 7d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 87 Maude Ave Unit B Fox Lake, IL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1092 | $1,700 | $1.56 | 15d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 133 Arthur Ave Fox Lake, IL | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1800 | $2,000 | $1.11 | 2d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 6 N Pistakee Lake Rd Fox Lake, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,750 | $1.17 | 1d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 525 Circle Dr Unit 1374784P Fox Lake, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1140 | $4,830 | $4.24 | 1d | 1 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $319,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $319,000 Active 21 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $319,000 Active 20 DOM
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2026-06-15price $319,000 Active 19 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $335,000 Active 19 DOM
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2026-06-13remarks 699-char remark
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2026-06-13days on market $335,000 Active 17 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $335,000 Active 13 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $335,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $335,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $335,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $335,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $335,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $335,000 Active 5 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $335,000 Active 4 DOM
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2015-10-01soldstatus $115,000
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2015-09-25soldstatus $115,000 Closed Sale 418-char remark
Show marketing remark (418 chars)
Recently remodeled thru-out 1-sty ranch/cottage w/great backyard/2x storage sheds/sidedrive to fit 3-cars/front concrete patio/open living room/fully appliance eat in kitchen w/pantry closet/dining room w/sliders off huge concrete patio/3 good sized bedrooms/ceramic full & half bathrooms/laundry room/partial walkout basement great for storage/new plumbing/heating/windows/furnace/bamboo wood flooring & more!
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2015-09-11historical Contingent 418-char remark
Show marketing remark (418 chars)
Recently remodeled thru-out 1-sty ranch/cottage w/great backyard/2x storage sheds/sidedrive to fit 3-cars/front concrete patio/open living room/fully appliance eat in kitchen w/pantry closet/dining room w/sliders off huge concrete patio/3 good sized bedrooms/ceramic full & half bathrooms/laundry room/partial walkout basement great for storage/new plumbing/heating/windows/furnace/bamboo wood flooring & more!
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2015-07-28historical
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2015-07-08status Reactivated
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2015-07-07$139,900 New 418-char remark
Show marketing remark (418 chars)
Recently remodeled thru-out 1-sty ranch/cottage w/great backyard/2x storage sheds/sidedrive to fit 3-cars/front concrete patio/open living room/fully appliance eat in kitchen w/pantry closet/dining room w/sliders off huge concrete patio/3 good sized bedrooms/ceramic full & half bathrooms/laundry room/partial walkout basement great for storage/new plumbing/heating/windows/furnace/bamboo wood flooring & more!
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2015-04-14historical
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2015-02-25price
-
2015-02-25status Price Change
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2015-01-26New
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2015-01-26historical
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2014-07-28soldstatus $62,500
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2014-07-23soldstatus $62,500 Closed Sale
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2014-07-18status Pending
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2014-07-07historical Contingent
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2014-06-27$64,900 New
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,712 · $476/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,477 · $540/mo
- Expected delta
- +$765/yr (+$64/mo · 13.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,528
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,869
- − Property taxes
- −$5,712
- − Insurance
- −$1,595
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,882
- − Management
- −$1,882
- − Depreciation
- −$9,280
- Taxable loss
- −$14,693
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,526
- After-tax cash flow
- $-5,268/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Grant Chsd 124
- NCES district ID
- 1717340
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,450
- Composite
- 22.95/100
- National rank
- #7989
- State rank
- #296 of 620 in IL
Livability — Fox Lake
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #247
- US rank
- #4462
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fox Lake, IL
- City population
- 10,846
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,846
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 700,217 people
- By 2030
- 693,290 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 673,588 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 643,556 · -8.1%
- By 2075
- 562,792 · -19.6%
- By 2100
- 457,715 · -34.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 10% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 15% Portuguese 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 6% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.8) · D 59.7% · R 38.9% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.1pp toward D · 2008: 19.6pp · 2024: 20.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.8 2020: D+24.1 2016: D+20.3 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+19.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -97.19%
- Current HPI
- 219.6301
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+77.2% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2015-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
- 2015-09-25 Sold (MLS) $115,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-09-11 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-07-28 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-07-08 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-07-07 Listed $139,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-04-14 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-02-25 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-02-25 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-01-26 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-01-26 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-07-28 Sold (Public Records) $62,500 Public Records
- 2014-07-23 Sold (MLS) $62,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-07-18 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-07-07 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-06-27 Listed $64,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+9.0%/yrLatest (2024): $5,712 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…