Fourplex
603 Madison St · Oakland, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 82°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 16 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.4/30.0
- DSCR +7.9/10.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- ARV discount +3.1/15.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1,050,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this well-maintained four-unit income property located near the heart of Oaklands vibrant Chinatown and downtown amenities. Each of the four units features 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, all fully permitted with a practical layout that appeals to long-term tenants or investors. Three units will be delivered vacant and one unit is currently occupied, offering flexibility for owner-users, short-term rental strategy, or immediate lease-up at market rent. The building is in good, functional condition and includes a shared washer/dryer for all residents, plus one garage space per unit, providing rare convenience and added value Centrally located near shops, dining, public transportation, major freeways, and a quick trip to BART. Buyers to do a 1031 exchange at no cost to the buyers.
Key facts
- Shared washer dryer
- Quick trip to bart
- Near major freeways
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $1.05M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($26k/yr) — positive. Per door: $534/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($11k rent vs $1.05M).
- Recommended offer: $956k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 2.4% in Oakland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#224 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F, cost of living F.
- Oakland Unified (urban): math 27% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #1,007 of 1,400 in CA (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 133 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,742 units permitted in Alameda County in 2024 (856 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $11,096/mo this rent would consume 140% of the median local household income ($95k/yr) (locally 2002% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $7k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $32k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Alameda County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($956k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 19% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $170k; list at $1.05M implies a 518% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.72%
- DSCR
- 1.39
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $955,989
- List price
- $1,050,000
- Delta
- 9.83%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 16 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.24% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.89×
- Total profit
- $-31,594
- Equity at exit
- $156,558
- IRR
- 7.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.54×
- Total profit
- $157,907
- Equity at exit
- $90,785
Cash invested: $294,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Oakland
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+62
ZIP-level market 94607
- Rents YoY
- 3.2%
- Active inventory
- 133
- Price-to-rent
- 31.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $11,096 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$5,506
- Tax from tax record
- −$685 /mo · $8,225/yr
- Insurance
- −$438
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$2,330
- Net cashflow
- $2,137
Break-even live
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4× units | 2 | 1 | $11,096 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $2,774 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $2,774 |
| #3 | 2 | 1 | $2,774 |
| #4 | 2 | 1 | $2,774 |
| Total (4 units) | $11,096 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $262,500
- Closing costs
- $31,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1200 Lakeshore Ave Oakland, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.5–2.5 | 1332 | $10,245 | $7.69 | 1d | 14 | 0.56mi |
| 1389 Jefferson St Oakland, CA | 3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1166 | $4,370 | $3.75 | 2d | 14 | 0.75mi |
| 1015 Martin Luther King Junior Way Unit B2 Oakland, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $1,000 | $0.56 | 43d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1015 Martin Luther King Junior Way Oakland, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $1,300 | $0.72 | 43d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 500 William St Oakland, CA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1108 | $4,654 | $4.20 | 2d | 16 | 0.93mi |
| 2730 Bette St Alameda, CA | 4.0 | 4.0 | 3226 | $6,450 | $2.00 | 4d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1202 Adeline St Oakland, CA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1800 | $3,795 | $2.11 | 19d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1518 Clement Ave Alameda, CA | 3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1108 | $5,961 | $5.38 | 1d | 21 | 1.35mi |
| 7 Sanderling Ct Alameda, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1590 | $4,700 | $2.96 | 18d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 1216 10th St Oakland, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1750 | $3,399 | $1.94 | 43d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 826 Lincoln Ave Unit A Alameda, CA | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2100 | $5,950 | $2.83 | 3d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 24 events
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2026-06-18days on market $1,050,000 Active 91 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $1,050,000 Active 90 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $1,050,000 Active 89 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $1,050,000 Active 88 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $1,050,000 Active 86 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $1,050,000 Active 85 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $1,050,000 Active 82 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $1,050,000 Active 81 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $1,050,000 Active 80 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $1,050,000 Active 77 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $1,050,000 Active 76 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $1,050,000 Active 75 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $1,050,000 Active 74 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $1,050,000 Active 73 DOM
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2026-05-06price $1,050,000 795-char remark
Show marketing remark (795 chars)
Welcome to this well-maintained four-unit income property located near the heart of Oaklands vibrant Chinatown and downtown amenities. Each of the four units features 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, all fully permitted with a practical layout that appeals to long-term tenants or investors. Three units will be delivered vacant and one unit is currently occupied, offering flexibility for owner-users, short-term rental strategy, or immediate lease-up at market rent. The building is in good, functional condition and includes a shared washer/dryer for all residents, plus one garage space per unit, providing rare convenience and added value Centrally located near shops, dining, public transportation, major freeways, and a quick trip to BART. Buyers to do a 1031 exchange at no cost to the buyers.
-
2026-05-06price $1,050,000 795-char remark
Show marketing remark (795 chars)
Welcome to this well-maintained four-unit income property located near the heart of Oaklands vibrant Chinatown and downtown amenities. Each of the four units features 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, all fully permitted with a practical layout that appeals to long-term tenants or investors. Three units will be delivered vacant and one unit is currently occupied, offering flexibility for owner-users, short-term rental strategy, or immediate lease-up at market rent. The building is in good, functional condition and includes a shared washer/dryer for all residents, plus one garage space per unit, providing rare convenience and added value Centrally located near shops, dining, public transportation, major freeways, and a quick trip to BART. Buyers to do a 1031 exchange at no cost to the buyers.
-
2026-03-19$879,000 Active 795-char remark
Show marketing remark (795 chars)
Welcome to this well-maintained four-unit income property located near the heart of Oaklands vibrant Chinatown and downtown amenities. Each of the four units features 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, all fully permitted with a practical layout that appeals to long-term tenants or investors. Three units will be delivered vacant and one unit is currently occupied, offering flexibility for owner-users, short-term rental strategy, or immediate lease-up at market rent. The building is in good, functional condition and includes a shared washer/dryer for all residents, plus one garage space per unit, providing rare convenience and added value Centrally located near shops, dining, public transportation, major freeways, and a quick trip to BART. Buyers to do a 1031 exchange at no cost to the buyers.
-
2026-03-19$879,000 Active 795-char remark
Show marketing remark (795 chars)
Welcome to this well-maintained four-unit income property located near the heart of Oaklands vibrant Chinatown and downtown amenities. Each of the four units features 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, all fully permitted with a practical layout that appeals to long-term tenants or investors. Three units will be delivered vacant and one unit is currently occupied, offering flexibility for owner-users, short-term rental strategy, or immediate lease-up at market rent. The building is in good, functional condition and includes a shared washer/dryer for all residents, plus one garage space per unit, providing rare convenience and added value Centrally located near shops, dining, public transportation, major freeways, and a quick trip to BART. Buyers to do a 1031 exchange at no cost to the buyers.
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2026-01-29historical
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2025-12-03status Active
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2025-11-28status Pending
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2025-11-19Active
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2022-05-12price $2,400
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1997-04-29soldstatus $170,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $8,225 · $685/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,225 · $685/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥82°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 16 unhealthy d/yr today · 16 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $133,152
- − Mortgage interest
- −$58,816
- − Property taxes
- −$8,225
- − Insurance
- −$5,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$10,652
- − Management
- −$10,652
- − Depreciation
- −$30,545
- Taxable income
- $9,011
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,163
- After-tax cash flow
- $23,477/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Oakland Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0628050
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,194
- Composite
- 29.52/100
- National rank
- #11769
- State rank
- #1007 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Oakland
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #224
- US rank
- #7245
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Oakland, CA
- County
- Alameda County · 1,614,355 people
- City population
- 385,993
- Metro
- San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,804
- Household income
- $94,863
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2002.0
Population outlook (Alameda County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,928,884 people
- By 2030
- 2,069,146 · +7.3%
- By 2040
- 2,338,405 · +21.2%
- By 2050
- 2,586,608 · +34.1%
- By 2075
- 3,061,911 · +58.7%
- By 2100
- 3,234,133 · +67.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.78)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 29% White 25% Asian 25% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 28% · China, Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 65% English-only · Chinese 16% Spanish 8% Arabic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Alameda
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+53.6) · D 74.6% · R 21.0% · Other 4.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.9pp toward R · 2008: 59.5pp · 2024: 53.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+53.6 2020: D+62.5 2016: D+64.4 2012: D+59.8 2008: D+59.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -170.49%
- Current HPI
- 263.5885
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.24%
- Metro
- San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+517.6% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $1,050,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $1,050,000 MLSListings
- 2026-03-19 Listed $879,000 MLSListings
- 2026-03-19 Listed $879,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2026-01-29 Listing Removed — bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2025-12-03 Relisted — bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2025-11-28 Pending — bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2025-11-19 Listed — bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2022-05-12 Price Changed $2,400 RENT.
- 1997-04-29 Sold (Public Records) $170,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.7%/yrLatest (2025): $8,225 · +5.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…