127 Nelson Rd · Cordova, NC 28379

$150,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,200 sqft · SingleFamily · 134 Days on market

Built 2023 1.00 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +20.0/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +6.3/10.0
• 1% rule +5.3/10.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Schools +2.7/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Check out this spacious 2023 built 3 bed 2 bath home ready to move in located in Rockingham nc Just minutes from downtown

Key facts

• 1 acre lot
• Built 2023
• Listed 134 days

Property features AI

Exterior

• Home design: House
• Construction: 1,200 finished living area
• Exterior features: 1-acre lot

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $183 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
• Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 63/100 on livability (#431 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
• Richmond County Schools (town): math 30% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #139 of 178 in NC (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 155 active listings in the ZIP; 54 units permitted in Richmond County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Richmond County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 134 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 65% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $132,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 134 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.03% ✓
• Cap rate: 7.76%
• Cash-on-cash: 5.23%
• DSCR: 1.23
• GRM: 8.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -8.2%
• Equity multiple: 0.70×
• Total profit: $-12,633
• Equity at exit: $22,365

10-year hold

• IRR: 1.4%
• Equity multiple: 1.10×
• Total profit: $4,096
• Equity at exit: $12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State North Carolina: 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 28379

• Home prices YoY: -32.4%
• Active inventory: 155
• Price-to-rent: 8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,544 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$787
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$188 /mo · $2,250/yr
• Insurance: −$62
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$324
• Net cashflow: $183

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,312

Max offer price $150,000

Occupancy floor 83%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $287	-5% $235	+0% $183	+5% $131	+10% $79
Rent	-10% $61	-5% $122	+0% $183	+5% $244	+10% $305
Rate	-1.0pp $258	-0.5pp $221	base $183	+0.5pp $144	+1.0pp $105

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $37,500
• Closing costs: $4,500
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 18 events

1. 2026-06-19
   days on market $150,000 Active 134 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $150,000 Active 133 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $150,000 Active 132 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $150,000 Active 131 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $150,000 Active 130 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $150,000 Active 128 DOM
7. 2026-06-13
   days on market $150,000 Active 127 DOM
8. 2026-06-10
   days on market $150,000 Active 125 DOM
9. 2026-06-09
   days on market $150,000 Active 124 DOM
10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $150,000 Active 123 DOM
11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $150,000 Active 122 DOM
12. 2026-06-05
    pricedays on market $150,000 Active 119 DOM
13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $170,000 Active 118 DOM
14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $170,000 Active 117 DOM
15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $170,000 Active 116 DOM
16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $170,000 Active 115 DOM
17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $170,000 Active 114 DOM
18. 2026-02-05
    listed $170,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 65% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $18,525
• − Mortgage interest: −$8,402
• − Property taxes: −$2,250
• − Insurance: −$750
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,482
• − Management: −$1,482
• − Depreciation: −$4,364
• Taxable loss: −$205
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$49
• After-tax cash flow: $2,244/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Richmond County Schools
• NCES district ID: 3703870
• Math proficiency: 30% ▼ -12.00%
• Reading proficiency: 36% ▼ -3.00%
• Median HH income: $32,224
• Composite: 26.97/100
• National rank: #7076
• State rank: #139 of 178 in NC

Livability — Cordova

• Score: 63/100
• State rank: #431
• US rank: #15936

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• City population: 464
• Population (ZIP): 24,068

Population outlook (Richmond County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 42,892 people
• By 2030: 41,257 · -3.8%
• By 2040: 37,629 · -12.3%
• By 2050: 33,655 · -21.5%
• By 2075: 23,992 · -44.1%
• By 2100: 14,782 · -65.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
• Race & ethnicity: White 56% Black 32% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 4% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 6%
• Common ancestry: Serbian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 4% · Canada, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 91% English-only · Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Richmond

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+20.9) · D 39.2% · R 60.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: -22.4pp toward R · 2008: 1.5pp · 2024: -20.9pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+20.9 2020: R+14.8 2016: R+10.1 2012: D+2.7 2008: D+1.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -97.10%
• Current HPI: 203.0628
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	2	$213B
▸Retail	2	$95B
▸Industrial Conglomerate	1	$38B
▸Metals / Steel	1	$35B
▸Utilities	1	$30B
▸Industrial Machinery	1	$19B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-02-05 Listed $170,000 ForSaleByOwner.com