442 Walbridge Ave · Toledo, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +5.4/10.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$62,300
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nice 3 Bedroom Rental. Great price and time to become a landlord with this turnkey property. Currently rented at $475 per month.
Key facts
- Close to 75
- Fenced rear yard
- 3,700 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Alley access; On-street parking
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Metal siding; Block foundation; Built as a single-story home
- Exterior features: Asphalt roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (approx. 10 x 10)
- Bedrooms: Bedroom sizes include a 9 x 9 and a 10 x 8 (additional bedroom/bonus room present)
- Flooring: Carpet; Combination flooring; Plank flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Storage; Basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $62k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $391 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $62k).
- Recommended offer: $61k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.8% vs local median 7.6% in Toledo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
- Toledo City (urban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #634 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Marshall Stemm Academy (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #1,554 of 1,584 statewide, top 100%, 374 students, 0% FRL); Waite High School (math 12% / reading 24%, grade F, #687 of 781 statewide, top 88%, 997 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 72% district-wide (72 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.8%/yr); 99 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 52% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $898 of equity ($431 loan paydown + $467 appreciation (0.8% local appreciation)).
- Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (0.8% appreciation + 7.8% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $40k; list at $62k implies a 56% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1892 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1892 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.69% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 26.88%
- DSCR
- 2.20
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $51,302
- List price
- $62,300
- Delta
- 21.44%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 251 Knower St | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,119 (+1%) | 4mo | $30,000 | $27 | 80 |
| 511 Congress St | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,109 (+0%) | 6mo | $55,000 | $50 | 74 |
| 517 Knower St | 0.10mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 966 (-13%) | 1mo | $65,000 | $67 | 69 |
| 204 South Ave | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,204 (+9%) | 1mo | $115,000 | $96 | 66 |
| 717 Segur Ave | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 | 1,188 (+7%) | 2mo | $79,000 | $66 | 66 |
| 710 Western Ave | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 | 1,028 (-7%) | 8mo | $72,500 | $71 | 65 |
| 267 Leland Ave | 0.17mi | 2/1.0 | 969 (-12%) | 9mo | $87,000 | $90 | 64 |
| 518 South Ave | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,255 (+13%) | 6mo | $64,000 | $51 | 62 |
| 223 Linden Pl | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,242 (+12%) | 12mo | $24,900 | $20 | 52 |
| 837 Orchard St | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,224 (+11%) | 1mo | $19,000 | $16 | 47 |
| 616 Pleasant Pl | 0.37mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 941 (-15%) | 6mo | $45,000 | $48 | 45 |
| 58 City Park | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,008 (-9%) | 7mo | $45,000 | $45 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.75% appreciation · 7.8% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 33.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.76×
- Total profit
- $30,628
- Equity at exit
- $20,460
- IRR
- 38.2%
- Equity multiple
- 6.37×
- Total profit
- $93,677
- Equity at exit
- $26,574
Cash invested: $17,444 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43609
- Home prices YoY
- 0.3%
- Rents YoY
- 7.8%
- Active inventory
- 99
- Price-to-rent
- 4.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,050 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$327
- Tax from tax record
- −$87 /mo · $1,038/yr
- Insurance
- −$26
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$221
- Net cashflow
- $391
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $426 | -5% $408 | +0% $391 | +5% $373 | +10% $355 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $308 | -5% $349 | +0% $391 | +5% $432 | +10% $474 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $422 | -0.5pp $407 | base $391 | +0.5pp $375 | +1.0pp $358 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,575
- Closing costs
- $1,869
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 31 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 244 Knower St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $995 | $0.89 | 14d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 827 Colburn St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $750 | $0.69 | 44d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 837 Colburn St Unit 2 Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1158 | $695 | $0.60 | 24d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 837 Colburn St Unit 1 Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1178 | $700 | $0.59 | 44d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 771 Orchard St Unit 7715 Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1086 | $645 | $0.59 | 24d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 337 Broadway St Unit 201 Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1455 | $1,650 | $1.13 | 24d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 34 S Erie St Unit 202 Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 894 | $1,275 | $1.43 | 24d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 34 S Erie St Unit 107 Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1103 | $1,300 | $1.18 | 24d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 34 S Erie St Unit 409 Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $1,375 | $1.48 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 34 S Erie St Apt 602 Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 894 | $1,315 | $1.47 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 34 S Erie St Unit 611 Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $1,300 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 34 S Erie St Unit 209 Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $1,375 | $1.48 | 24d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 15 S Ontario St Apt 409 Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 984 | $1,695 | $1.72 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1 S Erie St Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 846 | $1,410 | $1.67 | 14d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 20 Greenwood Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1496 | $1,150 | $0.77 | 14d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 1321 Gordon St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1121 | $1,050 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 23 N Summit St Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 838 | $1,475 | $1.76 | 14d | 2 | 1.24mi |
| 950 Oak St Unit 1 Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $700 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 834 Oak St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $900 | $0.85 | 44d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 2424 Broadway St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1416 | $1,049 | $0.74 | 14d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1418 Colburn St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 992 | $1,200 | $1.21 | 14d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 123 Water St Unit 307 Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 914 | $1,445 | $1.58 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 123 Water St Unit 406 Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1207 | $1,675 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 123 Water St Unit 411 Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 747 | $1,380 | $1.85 | 24d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 200 N St Clair St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 835 | $2,550 | $3.05 | 14d | 15 | 1.41mi |
| 537 Potter St Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $600 | $0.60 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 537 Potter St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $625 | $0.52 | 24d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 946 Butler St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 944 | $650 | $0.69 | 44d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 1521 Emma St Unit LABS 1521 Emma St, B 43051619729 Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $900 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 532 Carlton St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1130 | $1,050 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 724 Spencer St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1127 | $1,100 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-05statusdays on market $62,300 Pending 23 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $62,300 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $62,300 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $62,300 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $62,300 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $62,300 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-11$62,300 Active 148-char remark
-
2025-10-13price $15,000 129-char remark
Show marketing remark (129 chars)
Nice 3 Bedroom Home. Lender owned Sold As-Is please provide proof of funds or pre-approval with offer. Seller Addendum to follow.
-
2025-10-13price $9,000
Show marketing remark (129 chars)
Nice 3 Bedroom Home. Lender owned Sold As-Is please provide proof of funds or pre-approval with offer. Seller Addendum to follow.
-
2013-07-02soldstatus $15,000 129-char remark
Show marketing remark (129 chars)
Nice 3 Bedroom Rental. Great price and time to become a landlord with this turnkey property. Currently rented at $475 per month.
-
2013-06-28price $18,900 129-char remark
Show marketing remark (129 chars)
Nice 3 Bedroom Rental. Great price and time to become a landlord with this turnkey property. Currently rented at $475 per month.
-
2013-05-27$18,900 129-char remark
Show marketing remark (129 chars)
Nice 3 Bedroom Rental. Great price and time to become a landlord with this turnkey property. Currently rented at $475 per month.
-
2012-11-07historical
-
2012-07-30$23,900
-
2009-11-30soldstatus $9,000
Show marketing remark (129 chars)
Nice 3 Bedroom Home. Lender owned Sold As-Is please provide proof of funds or pre-approval with offer. Seller Addendum to follow.
-
2009-10-19$11,900
Show marketing remark (129 chars)
Nice 3 Bedroom Home. Lender owned Sold As-Is please provide proof of funds or pre-approval with offer. Seller Addendum to follow.
-
2009-09-30historical
-
2009-09-03$15,900
-
2009-08-31historical
-
2009-05-20$16,900
-
1995-10-24soldstatus $39,000
-
1993-03-23soldstatus $10,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,038 · $87/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,038 · $87/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,606
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,490
- − Property taxes
- −$1,038
- − Insurance
- −$312
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,008
- − Management
- −$1,008
- − Depreciation
- −$1,812
- Taxable income
- $3,937
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$945
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,743/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Toledo City
- NCES district ID
- 3904490
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,137
- Composite
- 15.76/100
- National rank
- #9276
- State rank
- #634 of 656 in OH
Livability — Toledo
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #645
- US rank
- #11442
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Toledo, OH
- County
- Lucas County · 380,724 people
- City population
- 280,811
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,404
- Household income
- $42,313
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1603.0
Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,751 people
- By 2030
- 410,187 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 384,019 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 355,125 · -15.6%
- By 2075
- 291,683 · -30.7%
- By 2100
- 233,670 · -44.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Black 29% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 5% Arabic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lucas
- 2024 margin
- D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.75%
- Current HPI
- 235.2515
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.80%
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+300.0% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Sold (MLS) $40,000 NORIS
- 2026-06-04 Pending — NORIS
- 2026-05-11 Listed $62,300 NORIS
- 2025-10-13 Price Changed $15,000 NORIS
- 2025-10-13 Price Changed $9,000 NORIS
- 2013-07-02 Sold (MLS) $15,000 NORIS
- 2013-06-28 Price Changed $18,900 NORIS
- 2013-05-27 Listed $18,900 NORIS
- 2012-11-07 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2012-07-30 Listed $23,900 NORIS
- 2009-11-30 Sold (MLS) $9,000 NORIS
- 2009-11-25 Price Changed $11,900 NORIS
- 2009-10-19 Listed $11,900 NORIS
- 2009-09-30 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2009-09-03 Listed $15,900 NORIS
- 2009-08-31 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2009-05-20 Listed $16,900 NORIS
- 1995-10-24 Sold (Public Records) $39,000 Public Records
- 1993-03-23 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,038 · +35.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…