Triplex
637 Nantasket Ave · Hull, MA
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.97%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $915 – $1,699
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +12.1/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.7/10.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$675,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Great investment property. Fully rented three family (3/1/1) home mins to sandy beach. Rent includes heat, hot water, electric and water/sewer. 1 Electric Meter, 3 separate heating systems (2 Gas FHA systems and 1 gas boiler ) one hot water that rund off of Boiler. 3 Separate gas meters. Three bedroom unit has Lead Paint Certificate. Private Market flood quote $1,212.80. Also being offered as a package with 439 Newport Rd (MLS# 73519331) for $1,125,000.
Key facts
- Sandy beach
- Investment property
- Fully rented
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Not a senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street open parking; 4 parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Gas hookup for range
- Home design: 3-family property; 4 total stories; 4 levels reported; Address: 637 Nantasket Ave, Hull MA
- Construction: Frame construction; Concrete perimeter foundation; Shingle roof; Built year per public records
- Exterior features: Porch; Corner lot; Located in a flood plain; Bay and ocean nearby; 3/10 to 1/2 mile to the beach; Public beach access ownership
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Multiple units with bedrooms across levels (unit-level details available)
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating; Hot water heating; 3 heating units; No central cooling reported
- Interior features: Living room; Kitchen; 12 total rooms; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $675k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($37k/yr) — positive. Per door: $1k/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($9k rent vs $675k).
- Recommended offer: $655k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.8% vs local median 2.5% in Hull — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#168 in MA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Hull (suburban): math 44% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #125 of 302 in MA (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Lillian M Jacobs (math 47% / reading 57%, grade C-, #287 of 938 statewide, top 33%, 362 students, 0% FRL); Memorial Middle (math 32% / reading 47%, grade F, #148 of 305 statewide, top 49%, 172 students, 0% FRL); Hull High (math 74% / reading 74%, grade B+, #60 of 343 statewide, top 19%, 241 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 28% district-wide (28 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 55 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 1,255 units permitted in Plymouth County in 2024 (411 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $9,269/mo this rent would consume 96% of the median local household income ($115k/yr) (locally 281% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $20k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $189k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($655k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $30k; list at $675k implies a 2150% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.37% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.68%
- DSCR
- 1.88
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $752,364
- List price
- $675,000
- Delta
- -10.28%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 10 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.45×
- Total profit
- $84,441
- Equity at exit
- $100,645
- IRR
- 20.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.71×
- Total profit
- $322,833
- Equity at exit
- $58,362
Cash invested: $189,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Massachusetts
- 20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 02045
- Active inventory
- 55
- Price-to-rent
- 18.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $9,269 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,540
- Tax from tax record
- −$401 /mo · $4,815/yr
- Insurance
- −$281
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,946
- Net cashflow
- $3,045
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $3,427 | -5% $3,236 | +0% $3,045 | +5% $2,854 | +10% $2,663 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $2,312 | -5% $2,679 | +0% $3,045 | +5% $3,411 | +10% $3,777 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $3,385 | -0.5pp $3,216 | base $3,045 | +0.5pp $2,870 | +1.0pp $2,692 |
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 2 | 1 | $9,270 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $3,090 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $3,090 |
| #3 | 2 | 1 | $3,090 |
| Total (3 units) | $9,269 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $168,750
- Closing costs
- $20,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 689 Nantasket Ave Hull, MA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1758 | $16,000 | $9.10 | 0d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 351 Beach Ave Hull, MA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2344 | $6,000 | $2.56 | 26d | 1 | 1.04mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $675,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $675,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $675,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $675,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $675,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $675,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $675,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $675,000 Price Changed 26 DOM
-
2026-06-08pricestatusdays on market $675,000 Price Changed 25 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $695,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $695,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $695,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $695,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $695,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $695,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-14$695,000 New 463-char remark
-
1982-07-26soldstatus $30,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,815 · $401/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,559 · $547/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,744/yr (+$145/mo · 36.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 97% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $111,228
- − Mortgage interest
- −$37,810
- − Property taxes
- −$4,815
- − Insurance
- −$4,042
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$8,898
- − Management
- −$8,898
- − Depreciation
- −$19,636
- Taxable income
- $27,128
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$6,511
- After-tax cash flow
- $30,026/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hull
- NCES district ID
- 2506420
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $74,605
- Composite
- 44.68/100
- National rank
- #2760
- State rank
- #125 of 302 in MA
Livability — Hull
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #168
- US rank
- #11180
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hull, MA
- County
- Plymouth County · 358,589 people
- City population
- 10,138
- Metro
- Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,138
- Household income
- $115,485
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 281.0
Population outlook (Plymouth County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 533,105 people
- By 2030
- 541,862 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 549,791 · +3.1%
- By 2050
- 542,476 · +1.8%
- By 2075
- 518,429 · -2.8%
- By 2100
- 448,179 · -15.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 3% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · China, Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Plymouth
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+8.8) · D 53.6% · R 44.7% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.3pp toward D · 2008: 7.6pp · 2024: 8.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+8.8 2020: D+17.4 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+3.8 2008: D+7.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -340.99%
- Current HPI
- 300.9416
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.28%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 3 | $17B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $84B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $76B |
|
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| Life Sciences | 1 | $43B |
|
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| Energy Technology | 1 | $31B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+2150.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Price Changed $675,000 MLS PIN
- 2026-05-14 Listed $695,000 MLS PIN
- 1982-07-26 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2024): $4,815 · +4.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…