CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
19 Evergreen Mhp
B+ Composite 78.33
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.3/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.7/15.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0

$124,900

19 Evergreen Mhp · Mount Cobb, PA 18436
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,120 sqft · Manufactured · 266 Days on market
Built 2026 Good condition $112/sqft · at area comps Est $120k · at est. ↓ 7% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

* * * JUST REDUCED! * * * Welcome home to this rare gem . .. minutes to I-84 in Evergreen MH Park. Whether you're a snow bird or looking for a place to relax year round, this gorgeous new home comes with beautiful SS appliances, fantastic built in shelves & cupboards and a master suite like no other! Complete with a HUGE walk in closet and electric fireplace for the perfect cozy end to your day! Enjoy the sunrise on your covered front porch!This one won't last long, call today and make an appointment, at $465/month, lot rent is one of the lowest around!! * * * First 6 months lot rent will be waived * * *

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Built in shelves
  • Huge walk in closet

Tags

BUILT IN SHELVESCOVERED FRONT PORCHHUGE WALK IN CLOSETELECTRIC FIREPLACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $125k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $440 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#642 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • North Pocono SD (rural): math 45% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #82 of 539 in PA (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 340 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 251 units permitted in Lackawanna County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $13k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Lackawanna County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 266 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $109,912 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 266 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.32%
Cap rate
10.52%
Cash-on-cash
15.11%
DSCR
1.67
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$120,000
List price
$124,900
Delta
4.08%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
19 Evergreen Mhp 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,120 (0%) 0mo $120,000 $107 100
13 Evergreen Park 0.09mi 2/2.0 1,008 (-10%) 17mo $83,000 $82 65
13 Evergreen Dr 0.09mi 2/2.0 1,008 (-10%) 17mo $83,000 $82 65

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
35.4%
Equity multiple
3.75×
Total profit
$96,094
Equity at exit
$112,520
10-year hold
IRR
30.5%
Equity multiple
8.46×
Total profit
$260,977
Equity at exit
$242,653

Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18436

Home prices YoY
16.9%
Active inventory
340
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,650 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$655
Tax est. 1.5%
$156 /mo · $1,874/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$346
Net cashflow
$440

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,093
Max offer price $124,900
Occupancy floor 68%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $527 -5% $484 +0% $440 +5% $397 +10% $354
Rent -10% $310 -5% $375 +0% $440 +5% $506 +10% $571
Rate -1.0pp $503 -0.5pp $472 base $440 +0.5pp $408 +1.0pp $375

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,225
Closing costs
$3,747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3191 Aberdeen Rd Madison Township, PA 3.0 1.5 1100 $1,650 $1.50 45d 1 1.28mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $124,900 Pending 266 DOM
  2. 2026-06-10
    days on market $124,900 Active 265 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $124,900 Active 264 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $124,900 Active 263 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $124,900 Active 262 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    days on market $124,900 Active 257 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $124,900 Active 256 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $124,900 Active 255 DOM
  9. 2026-05-30
    days on market $124,900 Active 254 DOM
  10. 2026-05-07
    price $124,900 626-char remark
    Show marketing remark (626 chars)

    * * * JUST REDUCED! * * * Welcome home to this rare gem . .. minutes to I-84 in Evergreen MH Park. Whether you're a snow bird or looking for a place to relax year round, this gorgeous new home comes with beautiful SS appliances, fantastic built in shelves & cupboards and a master suite like no other! Complete with a HUGE walk in closet and electric fireplace for the perfect cozy end to your day! Enjoy the sunrise on your covered front porch!This one won't last long, call today and make an appointment, at $465/month, lot rent is one of the lowest around!! * * * First 6 months lot rent will be waived * * *

  11. 2025-12-06
    price $129,000 626-char remark
    Show marketing remark (626 chars)

    * * * JUST REDUCED! * * * Welcome home to this rare gem . .. minutes to I-84 in Evergreen MH Park. Whether you're a snow bird or looking for a place to relax year round, this gorgeous new home comes with beautiful SS appliances, fantastic built in shelves & cupboards and a master suite like no other! Complete with a HUGE walk in closet and electric fireplace for the perfect cozy end to your day! Enjoy the sunrise on your covered front porch!This one won't last long, call today and make an appointment, at $465/month, lot rent is one of the lowest around!! * * * First 6 months lot rent will be waived * * *

  12. 2025-09-17
    listed $134,900 Active 626-char remark
    Show marketing remark (626 chars)

    * * * JUST REDUCED! * * * Welcome home to this rare gem . .. minutes to I-84 in Evergreen MH Park. Whether you're a snow bird or looking for a place to relax year round, this gorgeous new home comes with beautiful SS appliances, fantastic built in shelves & cupboards and a master suite like no other! Complete with a HUGE walk in closet and electric fireplace for the perfect cozy end to your day! Enjoy the sunrise on your covered front porch!This one won't last long, call today and make an appointment, at $465/month, lot rent is one of the lowest around!! * * * First 6 months lot rent will be waived * * *

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,800
− Mortgage interest
−$6,996
− Property taxes
−$1,874
− Insurance
−$624
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,584
− Management
−$1,584
− Depreciation
−$3,633
Taxable income
$3,504
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$841
After-tax cash flow
$4,443/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This move-in-ready manufactured home in Evergreen MH Park offers a good condition with modern amenities and a welcoming exterior. Potential buyers and renters will appreciate the well-maintained interior and exterior, making it a solid investment.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Improves curb appeal and value
  • Both Add a small outdoor lighting system — Enhances curb appeal and safety

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Improves curb appeal and value
  • Both Add a small outdoor lighting system — Enhances curb appeal and safety

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
North Pocono SD
NCES district ID
4217310
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
71% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$59,555
Composite
50.23/100
National rank
#1894
State rank
#82 of 539 in PA

Livability — Mount Cobb

Score
72/100
State rank
#642
US rank
#6245

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
13,225

Population outlook (Lackawanna County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
210,652 people
By 2030
208,623 · -1.0%
By 2040
203,980 · -3.2%
By 2050
201,069 · -4.5%
By 2075
205,026 · -2.7%
By 2100
210,851 · +0.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 9% Scotch-Irish 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
4%
Languages at home
95% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lackawanna

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.0% · R 48.3%
2008→2024 swing
-23.2pp toward R · 2008: 26.0pp · 2024: 2.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+2.8 2020: D+8.4 2016: D+3.4 2012: D+27.4 2008: D+26.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 47.95%
Current HPI
331.9645
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-7.4% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Price Changed $124,900 PWMLS
  • 2025-12-06 Price Changed $129,000 PWMLS
  • 2025-09-17 Listed $134,900 PWMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…