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Lakeside Plan 🏗️ New Construction
D Composite 44.67
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Condition / age +4.8/5.0
  • DSCR +4.2/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$366,990

Lakeside Plan · Plant City, FL 33565
5 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,077 sqft · SingleFamily · 372 Days on market
Excellent condition

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This single story, all concrete block constructed home offers 5 bedrooms, 3 bathrooms, a 2-car garage and a seamless open layout. The inviting entrance of the home features a foyer and a hall leading to two secondary bedrooms and a full guest bathroom. The home features an open concept kitchen overlooking the great room, dining area, and covered back porch. The kitchen comes full equipped with all stainless-steel appliances including a refrigerator, built-in dishwasher, electric range, and microwave. Towards the back of the home, you will find the primary suite which features an ensuite double vanity bathroom and spacious walk-in closet. Privately tucked away off of the dining area is the additional 4th and 5th bedroom, with a second full guest bathroom. You will also find your laundry room and extra storage space in this area. Pictures, photographs, colors, features, and sizes are for illustration purposes only and will vary from the homes as built. Home and community information including pricing, included features, terms, availability and amenities are subject to change and prior sale at any time without notice or obligation. CBC039052.

Key facts

  • Extra storage space
  • Open concept kitchen
  • Covered back porch

Tags

OPEN CONCEPT KITCHENCOVERED BACK PORCHSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESENSUITE DOUBLE VANITY BATHROOMSPACIOUS WALK-IN CLOSETEXTRA STORAGE SPACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. Builder plan / spec listing (the home may be to-be-built); metrics use comparable previous sales.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $367k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $39 ($465/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $326k (11.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $323k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#227 in FL, #3,587 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, commute F.
  • Hillsborough (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #41 of 73 in FL (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Knights Elementary School (math 52% / reading 45%, grade D, #1,152 of 2,144 statewide, top 55%, 623 students, 70% FRL); Marshall Middle Magnet School (math 28% / reading 31%, grade F, #469 of 571 statewide, top 84%, 1,089 students, 69% FRL); Plant City High School (math 38% / reading 40%, grade F, #312 of 667 statewide, top 48%, 2,474 students, 58% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 323 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,053 units permitted in Hillsborough County in 2024 (4,555 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,259/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($73k/yr) (locally 152% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hillsborough County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 372 days — a 12% lower offer ($323k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $322,951 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 372 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.89%
Cap rate
6.42%
Cash-on-cash
0.45%
DSCR
1.02
GRM
9.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.6%
Equity multiple
0.45×
Total profit
$-56,954
Equity at exit
$54,719
10-year hold
IRR
-7.1%
Equity multiple
0.55×
Total profit
$-46,220
Equity at exit
$31,731

Cash invested: $102,757 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33565

Home prices YoY
-24.7%
Active inventory
323
Price-to-rent
9.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,259 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,925
Tax est. 1.5%
$459 /mo · $5,505/yr
Insurance
$153
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$684
Net cashflow
$39

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,210
Max offer price $366,990
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $292 -5% $166 +0% $39 +5% $-88 +10% $-215
Rent -10% $-219 -5% $-90 +0% $39 +5% $167 +10% $296
Rate -1.0pp $224 -0.5pp $132 base $39 +0.5pp $-56 +1.0pp $-153

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$91,748
Closing costs
$11,010
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3440 Ivy Hollow Dr Plant City, FL 5.0 3.0 2605 $2,750 $1.06 26d 1 0.35mi
3809 Sunny Spring St Plant City, FL 5.0 3.0 2964 $2,800 $0.94 26d 1 0.52mi
3827 Sunny Spring St Plant City, FL 4.0 3.0 2756 $3,150 $1.14 26d 1 0.56mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $366,990 Active 372 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $366,990 Active 369 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $366,990 Active 368 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $366,990 Active 367 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $366,990 Active 366 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $366,990 Active 364 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $366,990 Active 363 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $366,990 Active 360 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $366,990 Active 359 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $366,990 Active 358 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $366,990 Active 355 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $366,990 Active 354 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $366,990 Active 353 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $366,990 Active 352 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $366,990 Active 351 DOM
  16. 2026-03-17
    price $366,990 1157-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1157 chars)

    This single story, all concrete block constructed home offers 5 bedrooms, 3 bathrooms, a 2-car garage and a seamless open layout. The inviting entrance of the home features a foyer and a hall leading to two secondary bedrooms and a full guest bathroom. The home features an open concept kitchen overlooking the great room, dining area, and covered back porch. The kitchen comes full equipped with all stainless-steel appliances including a refrigerator, built-in dishwasher, electric range, and microwave. Towards the back of the home, you will find the primary suite which features an ensuite double vanity bathroom and spacious walk-in closet. Privately tucked away off of the dining area is the additional 4th and 5th bedroom, with a second full guest bathroom. You will also find your laundry room and extra storage space in this area. Pictures, photographs, colors, features, and sizes are for illustration purposes only and will vary from the homes as built. Home and community information including pricing, included features, terms, availability and amenities are subject to change and prior sale at any time without notice or obligation. CBC039052.

  17. 2026-01-27
    price $365,990 1157-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1157 chars)

    This single story, all concrete block constructed home offers 5 bedrooms, 3 bathrooms, a 2-car garage and a seamless open layout. The inviting entrance of the home features a foyer and a hall leading to two secondary bedrooms and a full guest bathroom. The home features an open concept kitchen overlooking the great room, dining area, and covered back porch. The kitchen comes full equipped with all stainless-steel appliances including a refrigerator, built-in dishwasher, electric range, and microwave. Towards the back of the home, you will find the primary suite which features an ensuite double vanity bathroom and spacious walk-in closet. Privately tucked away off of the dining area is the additional 4th and 5th bedroom, with a second full guest bathroom. You will also find your laundry room and extra storage space in this area. Pictures, photographs, colors, features, and sizes are for illustration purposes only and will vary from the homes as built. Home and community information including pricing, included features, terms, availability and amenities are subject to change and prior sale at any time without notice or obligation. CBC039052.

  18. 2025-12-17
    price $370,990 1157-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1157 chars)

    This single story, all concrete block constructed home offers 5 bedrooms, 3 bathrooms, a 2-car garage and a seamless open layout. The inviting entrance of the home features a foyer and a hall leading to two secondary bedrooms and a full guest bathroom. The home features an open concept kitchen overlooking the great room, dining area, and covered back porch. The kitchen comes full equipped with all stainless-steel appliances including a refrigerator, built-in dishwasher, electric range, and microwave. Towards the back of the home, you will find the primary suite which features an ensuite double vanity bathroom and spacious walk-in closet. Privately tucked away off of the dining area is the additional 4th and 5th bedroom, with a second full guest bathroom. You will also find your laundry room and extra storage space in this area. Pictures, photographs, colors, features, and sizes are for illustration purposes only and will vary from the homes as built. Home and community information including pricing, included features, terms, availability and amenities are subject to change and prior sale at any time without notice or obligation. CBC039052.

  19. 2025-08-06
    price $367,990 1157-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1157 chars)

    This single story, all concrete block constructed home offers 5 bedrooms, 3 bathrooms, a 2-car garage and a seamless open layout. The inviting entrance of the home features a foyer and a hall leading to two secondary bedrooms and a full guest bathroom. The home features an open concept kitchen overlooking the great room, dining area, and covered back porch. The kitchen comes full equipped with all stainless-steel appliances including a refrigerator, built-in dishwasher, electric range, and microwave. Towards the back of the home, you will find the primary suite which features an ensuite double vanity bathroom and spacious walk-in closet. Privately tucked away off of the dining area is the additional 4th and 5th bedroom, with a second full guest bathroom. You will also find your laundry room and extra storage space in this area. Pictures, photographs, colors, features, and sizes are for illustration purposes only and will vary from the homes as built. Home and community information including pricing, included features, terms, availability and amenities are subject to change and prior sale at any time without notice or obligation. CBC039052.

  20. 2025-07-29
    price $366,990 1157-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1157 chars)

    This single story, all concrete block constructed home offers 5 bedrooms, 3 bathrooms, a 2-car garage and a seamless open layout. The inviting entrance of the home features a foyer and a hall leading to two secondary bedrooms and a full guest bathroom. The home features an open concept kitchen overlooking the great room, dining area, and covered back porch. The kitchen comes full equipped with all stainless-steel appliances including a refrigerator, built-in dishwasher, electric range, and microwave. Towards the back of the home, you will find the primary suite which features an ensuite double vanity bathroom and spacious walk-in closet. Privately tucked away off of the dining area is the additional 4th and 5th bedroom, with a second full guest bathroom. You will also find your laundry room and extra storage space in this area. Pictures, photographs, colors, features, and sizes are for illustration purposes only and will vary from the homes as built. Home and community information including pricing, included features, terms, availability and amenities are subject to change and prior sale at any time without notice or obligation. CBC039052.

  21. 2025-07-03
    price $365,990 1157-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1157 chars)

    This single story, all concrete block constructed home offers 5 bedrooms, 3 bathrooms, a 2-car garage and a seamless open layout. The inviting entrance of the home features a foyer and a hall leading to two secondary bedrooms and a full guest bathroom. The home features an open concept kitchen overlooking the great room, dining area, and covered back porch. The kitchen comes full equipped with all stainless-steel appliances including a refrigerator, built-in dishwasher, electric range, and microwave. Towards the back of the home, you will find the primary suite which features an ensuite double vanity bathroom and spacious walk-in closet. Privately tucked away off of the dining area is the additional 4th and 5th bedroom, with a second full guest bathroom. You will also find your laundry room and extra storage space in this area. Pictures, photographs, colors, features, and sizes are for illustration purposes only and will vary from the homes as built. Home and community information including pricing, included features, terms, availability and amenities are subject to change and prior sale at any time without notice or obligation. CBC039052.

  22. 2025-06-14
    listed $366,990 Active 1157-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1157 chars)

    This single story, all concrete block constructed home offers 5 bedrooms, 3 bathrooms, a 2-car garage and a seamless open layout. The inviting entrance of the home features a foyer and a hall leading to two secondary bedrooms and a full guest bathroom. The home features an open concept kitchen overlooking the great room, dining area, and covered back porch. The kitchen comes full equipped with all stainless-steel appliances including a refrigerator, built-in dishwasher, electric range, and microwave. Towards the back of the home, you will find the primary suite which features an ensuite double vanity bathroom and spacious walk-in closet. Privately tucked away off of the dining area is the additional 4th and 5th bedroom, with a second full guest bathroom. You will also find your laundry room and extra storage space in this area. Pictures, photographs, colors, features, and sizes are for illustration purposes only and will vary from the homes as built. Home and community information including pricing, included features, terms, availability and amenities are subject to change and prior sale at any time without notice or obligation. CBC039052.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$39,112
− Mortgage interest
−$20,557
− Property taxes
−$5,505
− Insurance
−$1,835
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,129
− Management
−$3,129
− Depreciation
−$10,676
Taxable loss
−$5,719
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,372
After-tax cash flow
$1,837/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This single-story home is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers a seamless open layout, modern appliances, and well-maintained exterior and interior. Upgrades in painting and landscaping would further enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Rental HVAC maintenance — A clean and efficient HVAC system is crucial for rental properties.
  • Resale Kitchen appliances maintenance — Modern appliances are a selling point for potential buyers.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Rental HVAC maintenance — A clean and efficient HVAC system is crucial for rental properties.
  • Resale Kitchen appliances maintenance — Modern appliances are a selling point for potential buyers.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hillsborough
NCES district ID
1200870
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$50,622
Composite
41.6/100
National rank
#3435
State rank
#41 of 73 in FL

Livability — Plant City

Score
76/100
State rank
#227
US rank
#3587

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Plant City, FL
County
Hillsborough County · 1,540,968 people
City population
68,525
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Population (ZIP)
18,108
Household income
$73,414
Rent vs Own
9.1% rent · 90.9% own
Severe rent burden
152.0

Population outlook (Hillsborough County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,607,022 people
By 2030
1,733,968 · +7.9%
By 2040
1,979,565 · +23.2%
By 2050
2,203,427 · +37.1%
By 2075
2,667,893 · +66.0%
By 2100
2,891,558 · +79.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 14% Black 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 16% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
80% English-only · Spanish 19%

Political lean MEDSL · Hillsborough

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.9% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-10.2pp toward R · 2008: 7.1pp · 2024: -3.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.1 2020: D+6.9 2016: D+6.8 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+7.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -114.17%
Current HPI
347.2475
Rent YoY
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-17 Price Changed $366,990 Zillow
  • 2026-01-27 Price Changed $365,990 Zillow
  • 2025-12-17 Price Changed $370,990 Zillow
  • 2025-08-06 Price Changed $367,990 Zillow
  • 2025-07-29 Price Changed $366,990 Zillow
  • 2025-07-03 Price Changed $365,990 Zillow
  • 2025-06-14 Listed $366,990 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…