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12323 233rd Ave
B- Composite 68.24
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$75,000

12323 233rd Ave · Salem Lakes, WI 53179
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,034 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1940 4,356 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Near Cross Lake! Perfect for investor! Selling ''as-is'' no VA or FHA.

Key facts

  • 4,356 sq ft lot
  • Built 1940
  • Listed 4 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $562 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
  • Cap rate 15.3% vs local median 1.8% in Salem Lakes — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Salem School District (suburban): math 34% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #196 of 342 in WI (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Salem Elementary (math 34% / reading 37%, grade F, #608 of 1,041 statewide, top 58%, 1,000 students, 33% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 259 units permitted in Kenosha County in 2024 (8 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $25k; list at $75k implies a 200% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $75,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.95%
Cap rate
15.28%
Cash-on-cash
32.11%
DSCR
2.43
GRM
4.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$245,058
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
23433 124th Pl 0.17mi 2/1.0 1,076 (+4%) 17mo $187,500 $174 69
23605 125th St 0.26mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,034 (0%) 18mo $210,000 $203 66
23619 124th St 0.26mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,000 (-3%) 17mo $285,000 $285 62
23607 125th St 0.26mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,144 (+11%) 7mo $255,000 $223 57
110 Lakewood Dr 0.43mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,091 (+6%) 9mo $200,000 $183 56
394 Birchwood Dr 0.71mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,036 (+0%) 5mo $192,000 $185 55
23809 125th St 0.39mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,152 (+11%) 1mo $296,500 $257 55
23515 127th St 0.33mi 2/2.0 1,180 (+14%) 15mo $280,000 $237 46
269 Lakewood Dr 0.69mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,098 (+6%) 4mo $305,519 $278 45
12507 240th Ave 0.49mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,148 (+11%) 9mo $30,000 $26 44
22221 121st St 0.65mi 2/1.0 1,184 (+14%) 0mo $360,000 $304 43
277 Sunset Ln 0.71mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,128 (+9%) 11mo $308,000 $273 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
27.2%
Equity multiple
2.13×
Total profit
$23,702
Equity at exit
$11,183
10-year hold
IRR
34.7%
Equity multiple
4.19×
Total profit
$66,998
Equity at exit
$6,485

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Wisconsin
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; Madison / Milwaukee have some local enforcement.

ZIP-level market 53179

Home prices YoY
-30.6%
Active inventory
31
Price-to-rent
4.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,463 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$169 /mo · $2,031/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$307
Net cashflow
$562

Break-even live

Break-even rent $752
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 57%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $604 -5% $583 +0% $562 +5% $541 +10% $519
Rent -10% $446 -5% $504 +0% $562 +5% $620 +10% $677
Rate -1.0pp $600 -0.5pp $581 base $562 +0.5pp $542 +1.0pp $523

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
565 Drom Ct Unit 2A Antioch, IL 2.0 1.0 900 $1,450 $1.61 19d 1 0.94mi
556 Main St Antioch, IL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,475 $1.48 0d 1 0.97mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-02-16
    status Pending
  2. 2026-02-12
    listed $75,000 Active
  3. 1999-07-01
    soldstatus $25,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,031 · $169/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,031 · $169/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,555
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$2,031
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,404
− Management
−$1,404
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$5,957
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,430
After-tax cash flow
$5,313/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Salem School District
NCES district ID
5513350
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$67,521
Composite
32.43/100
National rank
#5725
State rank
#196 of 342 in WI

Livability — Salem Lakes

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Salem Lakes, WI
City population
18,215
Population (ZIP)
6,724

Population outlook (Kenosha County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
174,032 people
By 2030
174,923 · +0.5%
By 2040
173,895 · -0.1%
By 2050
170,102 · -2.3%
By 2075
162,952 · -6.4%
By 2100
154,781 · -11.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 11% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Romanian 11% Portuguese 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 4% German/W. Germanic 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Kenosha

2024 margin
Lean R (+6.2) · D 46.2% · R 52.5% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-24.3pp toward R · 2008: 18.1pp · 2024: -6.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+6.2 2020: R+3.1 2016: R+0.3 2012: D+12.3 2008: D+18.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -127.13%
Current HPI
288.6464
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.10%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+200.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-16 Pending METROMLS
  • 2026-02-12 Listed $75,000 METROMLS
  • 1999-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,031 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…